Preseason Predictions having crazy high batters numbers (especially HR)

mattsamuelw · 05-25-2024, 02:04 PM

So we have reached Spring Training in our Online League and the preseason predictions at start of ST had some crazy high hitter prediction stats, while pitcher prediction stats were low. There were hitters with 100+ HR, with highest being 121 HR. All but one guy had HR totals of 74+ and the one who didn't was at 53. While only 4 pitchers had predictions of ERA in the 3's, lowest being 3.43 ERA. The rest were in the 4's/5's. Obviously this was at the start of ST and the predictions aren't great then, especially if teams haven't set rosters yet, but something seems to be up with it that high. I doubt the stats during the season end up being high like these, so not really worried about that, but figured this is something you will want to look into. My other online league in OOTP 25, had preseason predictions a bit higher than you would expect at Opening Day Preseason Prediction one (I don't remember what it was at start of ST), but not as high as these ones and the end of season stats didn't end up that high after we finished the first OOTP 25 season there. Also OD preseason predictions are better than start of ST ones. Still that leagues had everyone with HR numbers 50+ with a ton in the 60's. The end of the season stats in that league ended up with one player who got 50 HR. I will include the screenshots of the preseason predictions of the league who had the crazy high HR numbers at ST preseason predictions, as well as the google drive link to the zip file at start of ST. Thanks for looking into it:

AL Preseason Prediction Standings: https://ibb.co/PDMvZ17

AL Preseason Prediction Stats Leaders: https://ibb.co/5MnxTGf

NL Preseason Prediction Standings: https://ibb.co/TLXNjm9

NL Preseason Prediction Stats Leaders: https://ibb.co/85LW2bJ

League File Zip at start of ST (2/28/41): https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-4X...ew?usp=sharing

Just realized when you slim down file and delete everything but .dat files it gets rid of the preseason prediction file so here that is: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1o-H...ew?usp=sharing

Matt Arnold · 05-27-2024, 04:55 AM

It looks like something in the modifiers went out of control. I think by default the auto-calc only runs on opening day, so if you run a pre-season prediction before that runs, it's possible your modifiers were all over the place. The commish should check that the auto-calc is set to run, or potentially run it manually, just to make sure the totals end up correct.

05-25-2024, 02:04 PM	#1
mattsamuelw Minors (Single A) Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: San Diego, CA Posts: 81	Preseason Predictions having crazy high batters numbers (especially HR) So we have reached Spring Training in our Online League and the preseason predictions at start of ST had some crazy high hitter prediction stats, while pitcher prediction stats were low. There were hitters with 100+ HR, with highest being 121 HR. All but one guy had HR totals of 74+ and the one who didn't was at 53. While only 4 pitchers had predictions of ERA in the 3's, lowest being 3.43 ERA. The rest were in the 4's/5's. Obviously this was at the start of ST and the predictions aren't great then, especially if teams haven't set rosters yet, but something seems to be up with it that high. I doubt the stats during the season end up being high like these, so not really worried about that, but figured this is something you will want to look into. My other online league in OOTP 25, had preseason predictions a bit higher than you would expect at Opening Day Preseason Prediction one (I don't remember what it was at start of ST), but not as high as these ones and the end of season stats didn't end up that high after we finished the first OOTP 25 season there. Also OD preseason predictions are better than start of ST ones. Still that leagues had everyone with HR numbers 50+ with a ton in the 60's. The end of the season stats in that league ended up with one player who got 50 HR. I will include the screenshots of the preseason predictions of the league who had the crazy high HR numbers at ST preseason predictions, as well as the google drive link to the zip file at start of ST. Thanks for looking into it: AL Preseason Prediction Standings: https://ibb.co/PDMvZ17 AL Preseason Prediction Stats Leaders: https://ibb.co/5MnxTGf NL Preseason Prediction Standings: https://ibb.co/TLXNjm9 NL Preseason Prediction Stats Leaders: https://ibb.co/85LW2bJ League File Zip at start of ST (2/28/41): https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-4X...ew?usp=sharing Just realized when you slim down file and delete everything but .dat files it gets rid of the preseason prediction file so here that is: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1o-H...ew?usp=sharing Last edited by mattsamuelw; 05-25-2024 at 02:11 PM.

05-27-2024, 04:55 AM	#2
Matt Arnold OOTP Developer Join Date: Jun 2009 Location: Here and there Posts: 16,218	It looks like something in the modifiers went out of control. I think by default the auto-calc only runs on opening day, so if you run a pre-season prediction before that runs, it's possible your modifiers were all over the place. The commish should check that the auto-calc is set to run, or potentially run it manually, just to make sure the totals end up correct.