first $5k

rnt6685 · 11-10-2018, 05:08 PM

Should I spend it on (5) $1k packs or (1) $5k pack?

zrog2000 · 11-10-2018, 05:21 PM

I'd either go with the 1k packs or buy silvers off the AH for 100-200 each.

damientheomen3 · 11-10-2018, 05:28 PM

When I started off I saved up for 5000 packs because of the guaranteed golds, now I switched to the 1000 packs since, otherwise, the odds are all the same. I spent $10 to be able to buy 2 gold packs so I've opened 3 total so far, and all 3 of my golds have been relievers (harumph) while I've pulled maybe 2 silvers from those as well. Meanwhile in the ~10 or so 1000 packs I've opened so far after the start packs, I've gotten 1 diamond and at least 8 or 9 silvers.

Silfir · 11-10-2018, 05:30 PM

I'm almost 100% certain the answer is 5 standard packs.

Here's why: You'd be paying 4000 PP just to upgrade one Bronze card to a Gold card, and 4000 PP gets you two gold cards (specific gold cards, that you know you can use) from the auction house.

The third option is not to buy any packs, but to use the auction house instead. I happen to have done some math out of boredom, and by my estimation buying a pack is "profitable" if you expect that you'll be able to resell the contents at 185% of the minimum sale price or more, on average. I don't have the data required to know if that's the case, generally speaking - I can only review my own transaction history. For what it's worth, the two Silver cards I sold at the auction house went for about 400% of the minimum sale price, so at the moment I'd have to say opening packs is a pretty good use of PP, particularly at the beginning when any Silver-or-better card will go directly into your Active Roster.

Silent_Thunder · 11-10-2018, 08:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Silfir

I'm almost 100% certain the answer is 5 standard packs.

Here's why: You'd be paying 4000 PP just to upgrade one Bronze card to a Gold card, and 4000 PP gets you two gold cards (specific gold cards, that you know you can use) from the auction house.

The third option is not to buy any packs, but to use the auction house instead. I happen to have done some math out of boredom, and by my estimation buying a pack is "profitable" if you expect that you'll be able to resell the contents at 185% of the minimum sale price or more, on average. I don't have the data required to know if that's the case, generally speaking - I can only review my own transaction history. For what it's worth, the two Silver cards I sold at the auction house went for about 400% of the minimum sale price, so at the moment I'd have to say opening packs is a pretty good use of PP, particularly at the beginning when any Silver-or-better card will go directly into your Active Roster.

For now that may work, but as people start filling out their rosters and buying packs, more and more bronze/grey cards will start to flood the market, their value will become nearly equal to the minimum price, and even then finding buyers might be tricky as not many will be looking for them. Silver cards will likely depreciate in value similarly, while gold and perfect cards might actually start to balloon in value instead. It's how the economy has played out in pretty much all the other sports titles with the card game mechanic.

Silfir · 11-10-2018, 08:51 PM

Perfect/Diamond/Gold prices would have to collapse as well - these three provide the lion's share of a standard pack's EV. Diamond in particular.

11-10-2018, 05:08 PM	#1
rnt6685 Minors (Single A) Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 61	first $5k Should I spend it on (5) $1k packs or (1) $5k pack?

11-10-2018, 05:30 PM	#4
Silfir Minors (Double A) Join Date: May 2016 Posts: 138	I'm almost 100% certain the answer is 5 standard packs. Here's why: You'd be paying 4000 PP just to upgrade one Bronze card to a Gold card, and 4000 PP gets you two gold cards (specific gold cards, that you know you can use) from the auction house. The third option is not to buy any packs, but to use the auction house instead. I happen to have done some math out of boredom, and by my estimation buying a pack is "profitable" if you expect that you'll be able to resell the contents at 185% of the minimum sale price or more, on average. I don't have the data required to know if that's the case, generally speaking - I can only review my own transaction history. For what it's worth, the two Silver cards I sold at the auction house went for about 400% of the minimum sale price, so at the moment I'd have to say opening packs is a pretty good use of PP, particularly at the beginning when any Silver-or-better card will go directly into your Active Roster. Last edited by Silfir; 11-10-2018 at 05:42 PM.

11-10-2018, 05:21 PM	#2
zrog2000 All Star Starter Join Date: Nov 2018 Posts: 1,335	I'd either go with the 1k packs or buy silvers off the AH for 100-200 each.

11-10-2018, 08:51 PM	#6
Silfir Minors (Double A) Join Date: May 2016 Posts: 138	Perfect/Diamond/Gold prices would have to collapse as well - these three provide the lion's share of a standard pack's EV. Diamond in particular.