What Should I Set MLB inflation for in 2026?

The Game · 11-10-2016, 05:08 AM

Not sure of a good # to use.

Pineywoods OOTPer · 11-10-2016, 07:26 AM

I would say set it at about 4 to 8 percent per year.

jpeters1734 · 11-10-2016, 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pineywoods OOTPer

I would say set it at about 4 to 8 percent per year.

are contracts really growing at that rate? we need LGO on this

Raidergoo · 11-10-2016, 03:32 PM

ESPN lost close to 10% of their subscribers in the last three years. The regional sports networks are next. Revenue growth for the MLB may take a surprising downward direction due to cord cutters, or at least be more modest than in the past.

Le Grande Orange · 11-10-2016, 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pineywoods OOTPer

I would say set it at about 4 to 8 percent per year.

Revenue (and consequently player salaries) have averaged a growth rate closer to that latter figure since 1996 (though of course there is year-to-year variation).

When I get back onto my regular computer I can post some numbers, and folks can then extrapolate from there based on what they think will happen in the years ahead.

Le Grande Orange · 11-11-2016, 01:33 AM

Here is the average MLB team revenue from 1996-2015, according to the annual Forbes club valuation report.

1996: $65,971,429
1997: $79,139,286
1998: $88,776,667
1999: $94,596,667
2000: $105,920,000
2001: $119,480,667
2002: $121,733,333
2003: $129,266,667
2004: $142,300,000
2005: $157,766,667
2006: $170,366,667
2007: $182,966,667
2008: $193,966,667
2009: $196,600,000
2010: $204,566,667
2011: $211,966,667
2012: $226,933,333
2013: $236,600,000
2014: $262,133,333
2015: $279,800,000

Take these values, plug them into your preferred spreadsheet app, and extrapolate the trend from these twenty seasons out as far into the future as you like.

jpeters1734 · 11-11-2016, 12:55 PM

Jeez, how high can it really go?

Le Grande Orange · 11-11-2016, 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Le Grande Orange

Take these values, plug them into your preferred spreadsheet app, and extrapolate the trend from these twenty seasons out as far into the future as you like.

According to my attempt in Excel, if the trend line of those twenty years continues, in 2026 average MLB club revenue would be about $387 million.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jpeters1734

Jeez, how high can it really go?

Who can say? As impossible as that revenue growth since 1996 may seem, that's what's actually happened.

11-10-2016, 05:08 AM	#1
The Game Hall Of Famer Join Date: Feb 2012 Location: Inside The Game Posts: 30,937	What Should I Set MLB inflation for in 2026? Not sure of a good # to use. Attached Images __________________ Go today don't wait for tomorrow It isn't promised, all the time you get borrowed Don't live your life for other people Don't bottle your emotions till they crack and fill a couple just sorrows Take your mind and refocus go get a paper write your goals out Throw your middle fingers to all your haters "Stay Strong"

11-10-2016, 07:26 AM	#2
Pineywoods OOTPer All Star Reserve Join Date: Jun 2010 Location: White Oak, Texas Posts: 725	I would say set it at about 4 to 8 percent per year. __________________ The Pineywoods OOTPer Senior Office Manager, 18th Circle of Heck. (YES, I am falling and I hear the meows)

11-11-2016, 12:55 PM	#7
jpeters1734 Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jun 2014 Location: Juust a bit outside... Posts: 6,315	Jeez, how high can it really go? __________________ "Cannonball Coming!" Go Bucs!! Founder and League Caretaker of the Professional Baseball Circuit, www.probaseballcircuit.com An Un-Official Guide to Minor League Management in OOTP 21 Ratings Scale Conversion Cross-Reference Cheat Sheet

11-10-2016, 03:32 PM	#4
Raidergoo Hall Of Famer Join Date: Mar 2003 Posts: 9,005	ESPN lost close to 10% of their subscribers in the last three years. The regional sports networks are next. Revenue growth for the MLB may take a surprising downward direction due to cord cutters, or at least be more modest than in the past.

11-11-2016, 01:33 AM	#6
Le Grande Orange Hall Of Famer Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Up There Posts: 15,642	Here is the average MLB team revenue from 1996-2015, according to the annual Forbes club valuation report. 1996: $65,971,429 1997: $79,139,286 1998: $88,776,667 1999: $94,596,667 2000: $105,920,000 2001: $119,480,667 2002: $121,733,333 2003: $129,266,667 2004: $142,300,000 2005: $157,766,667 2006: $170,366,667 2007: $182,966,667 2008: $193,966,667 2009: $196,600,000 2010: $204,566,667 2011: $211,966,667 2012: $226,933,333 2013: $236,600,000 2014: $262,133,333 2015: $279,800,000 Take these values, plug them into your preferred spreadsheet app, and extrapolate the trend from these twenty seasons out as far into the future as you like.