Short Historical Test

scott1964 · 03-24-2016, 11:18 PM

I am in a quandary. I started with the Beta Release with my rebooted dynasty. I felt the start was a little off as the runs scored each game was too out of wack, some like football scores. So fired another game up with me now not controlling a team. Simmed to around the same point in time as my current game. See the attached pic. So what does anyone think?

swampdragon · 03-24-2016, 11:38 PM

You have to remember the low sample sizes you get with the early years, which leads to things like a .305 BABIP. All it takes is for McMullen to go nuts one game and give up 47 runs (which actually happened in real life) to screw up the stats. Are you using the model with the two subleagues and eight teams? If so, I wouldn't pay any attention at all to the totals until 1876. But there are going to be some football scores in those National Association games. They actually happened, and the fact that you're getting them shows that the game is doing pretty well.

Markus Heinsohn · 03-25-2016, 07:27 AM

Yeah, early years are very volatile because of the small sample size and the different schedules we use.

03-24-2016, 11:18 PM	#1
scott1964 Hall Of Famer Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Denver Posts: 5,626	Short Historical Test I am in a quandary. I started with the Beta Release with my rebooted dynasty. I felt the start was a little off as the runs scored each game was too out of wack, some like football scores. So fired another game up with me now not controlling a team. Simmed to around the same point in time as my current game. See the attached pic. So what does anyone think? __________________ This just feels more like waiting in line at the Department of Motor Vehicles. PETA.....People Eating Tasty Animals.

03-24-2016, 11:38 PM	#2
swampdragon Hall Of Famer Join Date: May 2002 Location: The Lonely Mountain Posts: 2,506	You have to remember the low sample sizes you get with the early years, which leads to things like a .305 BABIP. All it takes is for McMullen to go nuts one game and give up 47 runs (which actually happened in real life) to screw up the stats. Are you using the model with the two subleagues and eight teams? If so, I wouldn't pay any attention at all to the totals until 1876. But there are going to be some football scores in those National Association games. They actually happened, and the fact that you're getting them shows that the game is doing pretty well. __________________ “Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies." -- C.S. Lewis

03-25-2016, 07:27 AM	#3
Markus Heinsohn Developer OOTP Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: Germany Posts: 24,803	Yeah, early years are very volatile because of the small sample size and the different schedules we use. __________________ Buy Out of the Park Baseball 25 now! Download OOTP Go 25 for iOS Download OOTP Go 25 for Android