Young Pitcher Velocity

Boston15 · 10-28-2013, 05:57 PM

So with a lot of players in the international free agent pool, I'll get about 3-4 starting pitching prospects with 70-80 potential overall, but I look at their stats and some of these guys only throw 86 mph, tops. Does that velocity increase as they get older? Because I don't often see IFA starters have listed velocities any higher than that.

snepp · 10-28-2013, 06:31 PM

Yes, their velocities will more than likely increase over time (assuming they progress positively).

injury log · 10-28-2013, 06:33 PM

I see occasional guys who scrape 90 or even higher, but in real life it's extremely rare for a 16 year old to throw 91+, which is why you don't see 16 year old guys who do that in OOTP very often either. And yes, velo changes a ton for young pitchers, and most of those guys will throw a bit or a lot harder when they get older.

tejdog1 · 10-28-2013, 11:41 PM

IIRC average 16 year old velo IRL is low 80s? 82-84?

Boston15 · 10-29-2013, 10:29 PM

Thanks, that makes a ton of sense. I wasn't sure how velocities progressed in the same way as stuff/movement/control did.

Curve Ball Dave · 10-30-2013, 02:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tejdog1

IIRC average 16 year old velo IRL is low 80s? 82-84?

Not even. Most high school kids that age throw in the 70s. They may get into the low 80s by the time they're 17-18 and have grown a little more. If they go on to pitch in college, most will top out in the mid-upper 80s.

We think guys who throw 90+ are common because that's all we see at the pro level, but for every one guy who can throw more than 90 there's a few hundred who can barely hit 87.

10-28-2013, 05:57 PM	#1
Boston15 Minors (Rookie Ball) Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 47	Young Pitcher Velocity So with a lot of players in the international free agent pool, I'll get about 3-4 starting pitching prospects with 70-80 potential overall, but I look at their stats and some of these guys only throw 86 mph, tops. Does that velocity increase as they get older? Because I don't often see IFA starters have listed velocities any higher than that.

10-28-2013, 11:41 PM	#4
tejdog1 All Star Starter Join Date: Nov 2010 Location: Danbury, CT Posts: 1,654	IIRC average 16 year old velo IRL is low 80s? 82-84? __________________ It's amazing How you make your face just like a wall How you take your heart and turn it off How I turn my head and lose it all And it's unnerving How just one move puts me by myself There you go just trusting someone else Now I know I put us both through hell ~Matchbox 20, "Leave" Everyone knows it's spelled "TRAID", not trade

10-28-2013, 06:31 PM	#2
snepp All Star Starter Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 1,812	Yes, their velocities will more than likely increase over time (assuming they progress positively).

10-28-2013, 06:33 PM	#3
injury log Hall Of Famer Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Toronto Posts: 9,162	I see occasional guys who scrape 90 or even higher, but in real life it's extremely rare for a 16 year old to throw 91+, which is why you don't see 16 year old guys who do that in OOTP very often either. And yes, velo changes a ton for young pitchers, and most of those guys will throw a bit or a lot harder when they get older.

10-29-2013, 10:29 PM	#5
Boston15 Minors (Rookie Ball) Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 47	Thanks, that makes a ton of sense. I wasn't sure how velocities progressed in the same way as stuff/movement/control did.