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[Charlatan]

Hampton Roads in a Rush for season to end with them on top

With one month to go, Hampton Roads has all but wrapped up the OL Gold title. The Redmond Crusaders haven't been mathematically eliminated, but they've a big hill to climb, and they need everything to break their way.

According to the abacus: Hampton Roads has 20 OL games left to play. Redmond has 10. They do not play each other. Hampton Roads' magic number is 4

Non-OL Playoff News

• Annandale has a comfortable lead in the AC West
• Ozark leads the AC wildcard standings
• Harbour Town has a slim lead in the NC Central
• Hampton Roads has a commanding lead in the NC West
• Redmond is currently tied for the second NC wildcard spot

So we could have up to 5 OL teams in the Gold playoffs

Texas and CliffMarkle are close to the relegation line but are safe for now.

Our League Standings - G327 - Aug 30, 2037			
			 W	 L	Pct
Hampton Roads Rush	36	21	.632
Redmond Crusaders	31	23	.574
Annandale Atom Smashers	24	18	.571
Harbour Town Falcons	29	27	.518
Janesville Onyx		32	32	.500
CliffMarkle Roadrunners	19	21	.475
Tacoma Aroma		25	29	.463
Ozark Bobcats		20	25	.444
Sanguine Classics	16	20	.444
Texas Strangers		18	34	.346


x

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

Yogi's famous quote sums up the conflagration that is the chase for the crown in OL S296. Just 3 1/2 games separate the top eight teams, as the top four played middling ball yesterday, allowing Blitzkrieg, 6-0, and Pablo, 10-4, to really close the gap. Even Arkham, which went 11-5 to get to .500, and Terra Incognita, also .500, have enough schedule left to make a miracle run, much like Yogi's '73 Mets, which sparked his famous words. More on the remaining schedule in the post immediately follow. We've got a helluva race here.

[Edster007]

Antique is heading into the homestretch with a commanding lead with 93 OL clashes left on the schedule. Even if Antique loses all three of their OL games in September the only teams not eliminated would be Wheatland (who would need to go 13-2 in their final 15), New Zealand (who would have to win all 19 of their OL games) and Redmond just based on the fact they play 26 games today. Given that I can't see the Bulldogs not being fitted for a crown this time tomorrow.

In B200 things aren't so cut and dry

In the AC:

Wheatland is holding a 2 game lead in the east with Birmingham 2 GB and the pesky Birds 5.5 back. The Birds don't play Birmingham and have 3 vs Wheatland in September. Wheatland has 3 with Birmingham late in September. (side note this is why the + is helpful both Birmingham and the Birds use BIR as their abbreviation)

In the Central New Zealand trails Marinette by 4.5 as to date NZ has stumbled to a 9-17 record in August. Scullytown is 6 back

San Pedro and West Michigan are in a dead heat out west but the Mets are lurking at 3.5 back. The Mets and Cerrano meet 7 times in September while the Mets have 6 vs West Michigan and Cerrano 4.

In the NC we have Everett and Antique seperated by .5 games. The teams meet for a 3 game set in Everett in September.

The Robins are rockin a 7 game lead in the Central-the only OL team in the division

An 18-8 August has moved Southside within 2 games of Northborough in the West. Southside just completed a sweep of Northborough in their final head to head of the season.

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

Of the top eight teams, only Blitzkrieg plays less than 15 games, so this one could go down to the wire. The remaining schedule, in no particular order:


Blitzkrieg - 6 home (H), 3 away (A), 3 vs. top 8 (T8)
Boogie - 14 H, 9 A, 7 T8
Chi-Town - 13 H, 11 A, 4 T8
Philadelphia - 8 H, 16 A, 15 T8
Frankenthal - 10 H, 13 A, 14 T8
Corinth - 13 H, 6 A, 6 T8
Pablo - 7 H, 8 A, 9 T8
Port Ruppert - 10 H, 5 A, 6 T8
Arkham - 8 H, 12 A, 7 T8
Terra Incognita - 6 H, 13 A, all against T8 teams


I included the Horrors and Rustlers because, though they are both 7 1/2 back, they each have enough games to make a miracle run. With all 19 games against the top contenders, the road to the crown could go through Terra Incognita.

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

In the first game of the month, on August 2nd, Cy Young, who has had three 1-hitters in his 5 3/4 season Port Ruppert career, finished the job, albeit against the non-OL New York Hybrids, the team with the worst record in S296. I probably would have missed it, if not for the big bump in PP. I never check the box scores for non OL games. In the words of Casey Stengel, "Amazing, amazing, amazing, amazing..."

[BigRed75]

Any updates from Perfect? I’d do it myself but I am literally in Nowheresville, Australia...

[Edster007]

Originally Posted by BigRed75

Any updates from Perfect? I’d do it myself but I am literally in Nowheresville, Australia...

I'm not in 402 but maybe you can open this in your browser. It is current as we are on sim day 155

https://pt20reports.cachefly.net/sea...gue_stats.html

[revmcgator]

Originally Posted by Edster007

I'm not in 402 but maybe you can open this in your browser. It is current as we are on sim day 155

https://pt20reports.cachefly.net/sea...gue_stats.html

And here are the OL standings. Southern and Cigar City are neck-and-neck.

[stl jason]

Diamond league update:

Cooper brought summer to an end in Seattle with a 4 game sweep of the Endless Summer to build a potentially insurmountable lead in the OL standings.


in the overall picture... in the AC East, Cooper sits 6.5 games back of the division lead and 5.5 games off the 2nd wild card spot. In the AC Central, Motown is in 2nd place, 7 games back of the lead, but holds down the top wild card position. In the AC West, Roncalli is hoping for a late season push to stay clear of relegation territory.

In the NC, it's an all-OL affair (with all 8 OL teams ranking in the top 9 in the conference). NC East - Luckenbach surges to the top of the division with a solid 18-9 month of August. The Seattle Pilots drop back to 2nd place, 1.5 games off the lead and a half game out of the 2nd wild card spot. The Seattle Endless Summer has fallen to 4th place, 9.5 games back of the lead and 8.5 games off the pace for the 2nd wild card spot. In the NC Central, Waffletown sits atop the division with a league-best 80-53 record. Redmond is 7 games back in 2nd place and holds down the top wild card spot. In the NC West, Shasta is riding an 8 game winning streak to put them 1.5 games ahead of 2nd place Transylvania. The Impalers also hold the 2nd wild card spot. Not far behind them, Chippewa sits in 3rd place just 5 games off the division lead and 3.5 games back of the 2nd wild card spot.

[BigRed75]

Originally Posted by Edster007

I'm not in 402 but maybe you can open this in your browser. It is current as we are on sim day 155

https://pt20reports.cachefly.net/sea...gue_stats.html

That’s pretty awesome, how did you do that if you’re not in .402?

[stl jason]

Originally Posted by BigRed75

That’s pretty awesome, how did you do that if you’re not in .402?

just go to the perfect team universe page and click on any league.... it'll bring up a web page with the standings/etc.... usually only updates overnight so won't keep up with live games through the day

[Edster007]

Originally Posted by BigRed75

That’s pretty awesome, how did you do that if you’re not in .402?

You can go to Perfect Team Universe and click on any league and open it in your browser. I thought while I wait for OOTP Go I could there and keep up on my team but unless something has changed it only updates twice a day.

[allenciox]

Playoff-wise, these OL teams are listed as 100% probability of making playoffs:

1. Cigar City Lagers will win AC West (they are currently ahead of all others by 19 1/2 games!)
2. Southern Southpaws will win the NC East (12 game margin over 2nd place)
3. California Quantum Condors will almost certainly win the AC East with a 10 game margin over the Green Lake Cowboys.

The remaining team's probabilities of making playoffs:

4. Kaneohe Mokes will most likely win the NC West with their 9 game margin over Victoria Vikings, but are 99.9% likely to be in playoffs

5. The Gauchos have an 85% playoff probability --- either as wild card team or as winner of AC Central (one game behind).

6. The Washington Senators cling to a slender 1 game margin in the NC Central (and 3 games ahead of 3rd place team). Playoff probs: 52.2%

7. Green Lake Cowboys "might" be a wild card team in the AC (36.3% playoff probability)

8. Ewa Beach and Victoria Vikings have possibilities for wild card in the NC (58.3% and 11.2% respectively)

No other OL teams have as much as a 1% chance of making playoffs.

So there could be up to nine of the ten playoff spots going to OL teams. More realistically, it will probably be six or seven.

On the relegation side, the Parakeets, Redlegs, and Freeloaders would be relegated if league ended "today". The Parakeets and Redlegs could perhaps escape relegation, but the Bold Strategy Cottons are only 2 games above the highest relegation spot, and could take the place of either of them.

[Argonaut]

At one point the Vikings were a playoff lock at the top of the wildcard standings. Then they had a .370 record in August.

It's the Curse of the Bambino, only in reverse.

[Charlatan]

Originally Posted by Argonaut

At one point the Vikings were a playoff lock at the top of the wildcard standings. Then they had a .370 record in August.

It's the Curse of the Bambino, only in reverse.

The Bambino of the Curse?

[OMGPuppies]

If the Parakeets are relegated a retooling is in order.

[QuantaCondor]

Originally Posted by Argonaut

At one point the Vikings were a playoff lock at the top of the wildcard standings. Then they had a .370 record in August.

It's the Curse of the Bambino, only in reverse.

In fairness, it was a kind of regression to the mean, since your run differential (and especially team ERA) was way out of line with your record.

[QuantaCondor]

Originally Posted by OMGPuppies

If the Parakeets are relegated a retooling is in order.

This upcoming series between the Cottons and the Parakeets will be crucial to see who has to take on the task of climbing back to Perfect. Both teams need a heavy retooling, but retooling can be good; my Quantum Condors took a week off in Diamond, rethought the strategy, then with a couple cheap-ish acquisitions turned it around and is now one of the more competitive teams in Perfect.

[QuantaCondor]

After a nailbiter, the Cottons slipped in the final 2 games of the season and the Parakeets held on, narrowly averting relegation. That means the Bold Strategy Cottons, Virginia Freeloaders, and Cincinnati Redlegs are headed back to the Diamond OL leagues. On a personal note, I think the Cottons haven't been, well, bold enough in recent games, so I've come up with a truly off the wall team comp that I hope will beat the meta once they return. Time for a fire sale!

In playoff news, the OL claimed 5 of 6 divisional titles (California Quantum Condors, Cigar City Lagers, Southern Southpaws, Washington Senators, Kaneohe Mokes) and 2 wildcard spots (Minneapolis Gauchos WC1, Ewa Beach Fighting Chickens WC2). This means that, of the 10 playoff teams, 7 of them are OL. An incredible achievement at the Perfect level.

[OMGPuppies]

Originally Posted by QuantaCondor

After a nailbiter, the Cottons slipped in the final 2 games of the season and the Parakeets held on, narrowly averting relegation. That means the Bold Strategy Cottons, Virginia Freeloaders, and Cincinnati Redlegs are headed back to the Diamond OL leagues. On a personal note, I think the Cottons haven't been, well, bold enough in recent games, so I've come up with a truly off the wall team comp that I hope will beat the meta once they return. Time for a fire sale!

In playoff news, the OL claimed 5 of 6 divisional titles (California Quantum Condors, Cigar City Lagers, Southern Southpaws, Washington Senators, Kaneohe Mokes) and 2 wildcard spots (Minneapolis Gauchos WC1, Ewa Beach Fighting Chickens WC2). This means that, of the 10 playoff teams, 7 of them are OL. An incredible achievement at the Perfect level.

Wth. Aina Haina survived by the skin of their teeth, and Ewa Beach somehow snuck into the playoffs.