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Old 06-16-2023, 11:13 AM   #181
Syd Thrift
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Minnesota Twins





1971 Recap: Following a rough start, everything felt like it was humming along in July. Then an absolutely brutal August dropped the Twins out of first place and a mediocre September didn't let them get back in.

1972 Outlook: The AL West is closer than the 9 1/2 games the Twins finished behind the A's but it seems like a lot of improvements this team needs involve turning back the clock. If they could just get their infield healthy that would be a start.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Ramos, Angelo            36   SR  13  19    .406     3.96  41  41   0  11   2   0  302.1  331  138  133   18   69    2  199   1.323 100.0   0.5   2.1   5.9
Benavides, Chris         29   RR  19  17    .528     3.26  41  41   0   8   4   0  295.2  309  119  107   10   87    4  178   1.339 100.0   0.3   2.6   5.4
Larsen, Mike             31   RR  14  12    .538     4.02  34  34   0   8   4   0  239.2  283  116  107    7   69    1   96   1.469 100.0   0.3   2.6   3.6
Whetzel, Rich            26   RR   8   5    .615     3.40  22  22   0   1   1   0  135.0  126   56   51    5   62    0   57   1.393 100.0   0.3   4.1   3.8

Lynn, Pete               25   RR   6   9    .400     3.32  69   0  53   0   0  19  100.1   93   49   37    4   29    4   92   1.216 100.0   0.4   2.6   8.3
Ruiz, Victor             33   SR   9   8    .529     3.46  43  10  19   2   0   2  117.0  104   51   45    7   60    5   90   1.402 100.0   0.5   4.6   6.9
Lewis, Bryan             26   RR   1   1    .500     4.79  26   1   8   0   0   0   41.1   44   24   22    3   22    1   27   1.597 100.0   0.7   4.8   5.9
Melena, Melvin           38   RR   3   1    .750     5.28  23   0  14   0   0   1   29.0   38   19   17    2   11    0   11   1.690 100.0   0.6   3.4   3.4
Magdaleno, Ricardo       33   LL   0   2    .000     5.59  21   1   8   0   0   0   29.0   34   21   18    2   10    0   19   1.517 100.0   0.6   3.1   5.9

Murry, Cameron           26   RR   2   0   1.000     4.70   6   4   0   0   0   0   30.2   32   20   16    4   15    0   19   1.533 100.0   1.2   4.4   5.6
Cosme, Jesus             30   RR   1   1    .500     3.80  14   1   7   0   0   1   21.1   19   13    9    1   18    0   23   1.734 100.0   0.4   7.6   9.7
Howard, Caleb            25   LL   0   0    .000     3.10  16   1   4   0   0   0   20.1   18    7    7    1    8    0   24   1.279 100.0   0.4   3.5  10.6
Theisen, Todd            31   RR   0   0    .000     5.84  14   0   0   0   0   0   12.1   11    8    8    1    1    0    9   0.973 100.0   0.7   0.7   6.6
Estrada, Ruben           24   RR   1   1    .500     2.57   2   2   0   0   0   0   14.0    7    4    4    0    8    0   13   1.071 100.0   0.0   5.1   8.4
Serrano, Santiago        24   LL   0   0    .000     2.84   3   1   1   0   0   0   12.2    8    4    4    1    7    0   10   1.184 100.0   0.7   5.0   7.1
Gurganus, Walt           27   LL   2   0   1.000     1.08   9   0   0   0   0   0    8.1    5    1    1    0    6    0    4   1.320 100.0   0.0   6.5   4.3
Christensen, Justin      27   RR   0   0    .000     5.19   6   0   1   0   0   0    8.2    9    5    5    3    7    0    5   1.846 100.0   3.1   7.3   5.2
Zamora, Manny            27   RR   0   1    .000     4.50   1   1   0   0   0   0    6.0    5    3    3    2    4    0    3   1.500 100.0   3.0   6.0   4.5
Eason, Pete              31   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   2   0   2   0   0   1    3.0    0    0    0    0    1    0    2   0.333 100.0   0.0   3.0   6.0
Davidson, Jimmy          26   LR   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   1   0   0   0    1.0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   0.000 100.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Ramos, Angelo            41   13   19    9    1    5   17   24   0.415   11    2   22    54%   53   88   14   31    2  3.1  3.8    7.4    108       1       8      25       7     140
Benavides, Chris         41   19   17    5    2   11   20   21   0.488    8    4   31    76%   54   84   12   31    3  3.2  4.0    7.2    111       1       7      22      11     147
Larsen, Mike             34   14   12    8    1    2   20   14   0.588    8    4   18    53%   48   83   12   19   10  4.3  5.4    7.0    106       4       9      13       8     160
Whetzel, Rich            22    8    5    9    2    4   13    9   0.591    1    1   14    64%   51   76   27   10   10  3.1  4.5    6.1     94       5       2      13       2     136
Ruiz, Victor             10    3    5    2    0    2    5    5   0.500    2    0    6    60%   51   71   30    5    4  2.4  3.1    7.0    113       0       3       3       4     131
Murry, Cameron            4    2    0    2    0    0    3    1   0.750    0    0    2    50%   47   60   37    0    4  4.0  5.5    6.5    109       0       2       1       1     138
Estrada, Ruben            2    1    1    0    0    1    1    1   0.500    0    0    2   100%   64   71   58    1    1  2.0  2.6    7.0    113       0       0       2       0     118
Magdaleno, Ricardo        1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   32   32   32    1    0  1.0  1.5    6.0    111       0       0       1       0     111
Cosme, Jesus              1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   20   20   20    0    0  4.0  8.3    4.3    112       0       0       1       0     112
Zamora, Manny             1    0    1    0    0    1    0    1   0.000    0    0    1   100%   49   49   49    0    1  0.0  0.0    6.0     93       0       1       0       0      93
Serrano, Santiago         1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    1   100%   51   51   51    0    0  3.0  4.5    6.0    123       0       0       0       1     123
Lewis, Bryan              1    1    0    0    0    0    1    0   1.000    0    0    1   100%   63   63   63    1    0  5.0  7.5    6.0     88       0       1       0       0      88
Howard, Caleb             1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   52   52   52    0    1  5.0  7.1    6.3    110       0       0       1       0     110
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Lynn, Pete               69    6    9   26   19    7    73%     27    1   27   10    27%   1.811    35    22    22   14   55    9   29   21   16   14   18    4.4     23
Ruiz, Victor             33    6    3    3    2    1    67%      5    2   14    3    18%   1.322     9    18    18   10   23    4   14    3    8    9   13    4.3     24
Lewis, Bryan             25    0    1    1    0    1     0%      3    2   25    5    17%   0.840     6    14    14   13   12    6   12    3    7    2   13    4.2     23
Melena, Melvin           23    3    1    2    1    1    50%      5    3    8    3    27%   1.143     6    12    12    6   17    6    8    3    6    3   11    3.8     23
Magdaleno, Ricardo       20    0    1    1    0    1     0%      5    4    8    3    27%   0.744     4    11    11    4   16    7    7    5    1    3   11    3.5     18
Howard, Caleb            15    0    0    0    0    0     0%      5    5   10    3    23%   1.167     5     6     5    5   10    7    5    4    3    2    6    2.8     17
Theisen, Todd            14    1    3    6    5    1    83%      6    0    7    2    22%   1.508     4     5     5    5    9    2    7    2    5    4    3    4.1     24
Cosme, Jesus             13    1    0    2    1    1    50%      3    1   13    2    13%   0.775     3     9     9    8    5    4    6    0    4    2    7    3.9     20
Gurganus, Walt            9    2    0    1    0    1     0%      3    2    5    4    44%   1.514     4     5     5    3    6    4    2    2    2    1    4    2.8     15
Christensen, Justin       6    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    1    33%   0.556     1     4     4    2    4    0    4    0    0    2    4    4.3     27
Eason, Pete               2    0    0    1    1    0   100%      1    0    0    0     0%   2.140     1     1     1    0    2    0    1    0    0    1    1    4.5     21
Murry, Cameron            2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    1    33%   0.292     0     2     2    1    1    0    2    0    0    0    2    7.0     48
Serrano, Santiago         2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.800     0     0     0    0    2    0    2    0    0    0    2   10.0     49
Davidson, Jimmy           1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.467     0     1     1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     12
After the tumult of last season, Chris Benavides is the Twins' new ace. Workhorse, at least. The Twins went at their top starters early and often last year. It didn't always work out for this team. You'd hope that Minnesota can get Benavides back to a sub-3.00 ERA but it's also possible that 3 years of 260+ innings have turned him into a merely good player. At the same time, a return to "merely good" would be great news for Angelo Ramos. To be faiiiir, he led the league in losses last year because the Twins needed him game in and game out. On the other hand, the 9 time All-Star and 1970 ERA champion missed the Midsummer Classic this year: he was just 6-11 heading into July, then after a 4-1, 3.43 performance that month, slipped to 1-5, 4.71 and 2-2, 4.31 when the team needed him the most. Opposing hitters hit .282 against him last year vs. .248 in 1970. Mike Larsen also had his ERA climb by almost a run this year from an 11-10, 3.04 record. He's a finesse guy who's big drop in whiffs (4.8 Ks/9 in 1970, 3.6 last year) is very concerning.

I wouldn't be surprised if this team dips to a 5 man rotation for extended stretches this year; Benavides and Ramos co-led the league with 41 starts and looked gassed in the late summer. To that end, they'll really need Rich Whetzel to step it up for a full season. He was fine for a back of the rotation guy but has issues with stamina and walked more men than he struck out. They'll also give long looks to Justin Christensen, a 28 year old minor league vet who was 10-5, 2.95 in AAA Portland last year, and 24 year old Ruben Estrada, who struck out 13 guys in 14 innings following a kind of meh year in the minors (7-11, 3.52 in AAA Portland). He's the #75 prospect in all of baseball and if he can tie down his control he could be the #2 starter this team needs.

Pete Lynn felt very volatile with 7 blown saves in 26 opportunities but he's still the best reliever the Twins have. It'd be nice to see them rely on him just a little less often. One possible key to this is converted starter Victor Ruiz. He started poorly - 0-3, 5.19 through 4 April starts - and then was moved into the bullpen, where he was pretty effective all season long. That effectiveness led the Twins to spot start him a bunch, where he was never really all that great, finishing the year 3-5, 4.26 as a starter but 6-3, 2.28 out of the 'pen.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Reed, Brad               30   RR  118  398   41   95   18    2   12   54   55   85    0    0    9    .239    .330    .384       2*
Theroff, Matt            30   RR   55  145   15   31    4    0    2   16   21   34    1    0    3    .214    .310    .283        2
Another year ticked by for Brad Reed, with the veteran earning his 3rd All-Star berth in 3 years as a starter. Nevertheless 1971 was his worst season yet; his average was the same as in '70 but he fell from 18 HRs to 12 and got used in the 8 hole more and more as the season went on. Matt Theroff was his defensive replacement and backup all last year, a role he fits well in. It's always good to know about the farm system here, especially with a guy who's now over 30 and isn't getting any better, but there's nobody anywhere near Reed just yet.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Martinez, Angelo         35   LL  154  616   86  165   24    2   23   91   74   90    1    0   19    .268    .348    .425       3*
Buskey, Sam              41   LL   17   17    2    7    0    0    1    4    0    3    0    0    0    .412    .412    .588       /2

Gilmet, Daniel           33   RR   84  333   38  100   16    2    2   19   24   25   14    7    8    .300    .334    .378      4/6
Palmarocchi, Pietro      28   RR   86  260   33   71   10    1    3   26   23   41    4    0    8    .273    .333    .354        4
Park, Dong-hak           30   LR   10   27    3    6    4    0    0    0    4    5    0    0    1    .222    .323    .370      /46

Brookes, Mike            32   SR  112  400   73  110   22    2   27   72   73   61    1    2    7    .275    .396    .543       5*
Pellot, Danny            36   RR   71  200   20   57    9    3    2   12   20   30    1    2    3    .285    .344    .390      546
Franks, Jeff             25   RR   46  162   20   57   11    3    6   28   12   17    9    5    4    .352    .399    .568       57
Agnew, Coleman           35   RR    1    4    0    4    1    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    0   1.000   1.000   1.250       /5

Mendel, Marty            28   RR   94  275   28   67    8    0    2   34   32   37    1    1    3    .244    .324    .295      6/4
Ramey, Justin            32   RR   32   99   11   26    3    2    0    4   20   17    1    1    1    .263    .397    .333        6
Baek, Jun-ho             32   RR   63   98   16   17    6    0    3   11   21   25    1    0    0    .173    .311    .327        6
Avalos, Gene             34   RR    8    3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2    0    0    0    .000    .000    .000       /6
Angelo Martinez has gotten a little worse every year since he won his 2nd MVP in 1969. He's still an excellent offensive contributor and it would not be surprising to see him get back up to 30 HRs and 100 RBIs. That's also probably about the level of production the Twins need from the 10 time All-Star in order to get back into real contention. It's also just possible that he's in the twilight of his career and what we see is what we're going to get from him. He's currently at 2,259 hits and 377 HRs; 3,000 and 500 seem ambitious but just barely possible.

When healthy, Daniel Gilmet is still one of the best second basemen in the game. People will say that his .300 is an empty .300 but it's still a .300 so come on. That said, he hasn't had more than 400 at-bats since 1966 and the Twins have long gone past considering him as an every day player. Last year they used former Pirates prospect Pietro Palmarrocchi as that guy. He looked about like he looked in Pittsburgh: fine, sure, a great glove, but nothing you'd want to use day in, day out. The aging Danny Pellot is also available as a Swiss Army knife type player.

Mike Brookes is another guy who did well when he was around but who missed a bunch of time - 48 games in fact. He doesn't get hurt every single year the way Gilmet does but it happens often enough that you can't just go in and write his name in as MVP each season (I guess in fairness even if he'd have played in 150 games he wouldn't have won that trophy this year anyway). In 1971 he missed the first 4 weeks of the season with a strained abdominal muscle and then called it a year a week early due to a strained PCL. Those absences did have the positive effect of making the team notice Jeff Franks, who'd been stuck in the minors before he hit .349 in 58 games in Portland this year and practically demanded a call-up. His future looks like it's more in left though; he's got a good arm but has poor range even for a third baseman.

The Twins look like they've finally found a replacement for Marty Mendel, who was considered a weak spot in the lineup even when the Twins were the World Champs a season ago. Mendel isn't the worst hitter in the world as a shortstop but his range has gotten really, really bad, culminating in a -12.5 ZR last season that had the effect of making all the Twins pitchers look worse than they really are. His replacement is 4 years older but a guy who really should have been starting anyway: Justin Ramey Ramey was cut loose by Washington in a salary-cutting move, signed by Milwaukee, and following 13 games there, acquired by the Twins in exchange for "18" year old ageless prospect James "Lo Pan" Hong. That move will probably wind up biting the Twins, who were able to sign Hong in the first place because he's a Minnesota native, but for now Ramey's their guy.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Cortes, Alejandro        34   LL   83  266   34   58   15    3    9   32   31   39    8    3    7    .218    .303    .398        7
Grigg, Mike              37   RR  127  262   30   75   11    1    4   22   17   46    0    2    9    .286    .332    .382      7/9
Ship, Kyle               28   SR   70  110   14   25    6    0    0   10    8   17    1    2    4    .227    .283    .282     /739
Bump, Darrel             26   RR   23   85   11   22    4    0    3    9    6   13    0    0    4    .259    .319    .412        7

Villasenor, Jose         25   LL  153  654   78  200   30    3   16   65   47   87    7    6    3    .306    .348    .434     8*/7
Dempsey, Zach            27   LL   29   53    8   12    4    0    1   15   11   16    1    0    0    .226    .354    .358      /89
Dees, Brian              32   LR   26   24    3    5    3    0    0    2    2    4    0    0    1    .208    .269    .333       /8
Menke, Ben               30   RR    1    4    1    1    0    0    0    1    0    1    0    0    0    .250    .200    .250       /8

Morgenstern, Lou         32   RR  149  559   73  138   24   12   19   69   74  100    3    4   14    .247    .332    .435       9*
Sometimes aging hits you like a big stack of bricks. That seems to be the case with Alejandro Cortes, whose power has dwindled from 30 HRs in '69 to 24 in '70 to just 9 last year. With that loss of power came a loss of clutch hitting and, eventually, a loss of his job as the emergence of Jeff Franks meant he had to go somewhere. Speaking of aging vets, Mike Grigg was not as singularly awesome as a 4th OFer as he'd been in 1970 but was still pretty OK. He's maybe no threat to hit .300 anymore but a .280s hitter still has a lot of value as a right-handed pinch hitter who can fill in across the outfield. Kyle Shipp had been Grigg's partner in backup OF crime in 1970; in 1971 he was just not all that effective, especially as a pinch-hitter: he hit just .173 as a sub. He's also reportedly wildly unhappy and believes he should start somewhere. That feels like the kind of thing that can only be cured by reality therapy.

Jose Villasenor led the AL in at-bats and hits in his first full season as a starter. With seemingly everyone else in the lineup getting old and losing steam, Villasenor is the only young and established star. He even made his very first All-Star Game in 1971. I'd be surprised if the Twins are still using him in center field in 5 years but he's got the bat to survive a move to an easier spot in the field.

Pardon me if this sounds like a broken record but Lou Morgenstern is on the wrong side of 30 and has seen his numbers tumble for the 3rd straight year. He wasn't way worse in 1971 than 1970 but the league hit a lot better and he was left in the dust. He still has that 20ish HR power that nobody in the organization does so chances are he'll run it back for another year.
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Old 06-18-2023, 01:48 PM   #182
Syd Thrift
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1971 Recap: A terrible July really only underscored the fate of this team: a year removed from 95 victories and a playoff berth, the Yankees' dynasty is over.

1972 Outlook: For a team only a year away from glory, these guys look very, very far away from contention. The pitching staff, which used to be a strength, devolved into the 3rd worst in the American League, and the hitting is old and in no position to step up.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Mosher, Tracy            32   LL  19  17    .528     3.40  39  39   0  14   6   0  291.1  287  127  110   29   64    0  209   1.205 100.0   0.9   2.0   6.5
Olthof, Obke             26   RR  12  13    .480     3.85  37  37   0   8   2   0  252.1  273  119  108   17   63    4  169   1.332 100.0   0.6   2.2   6.0
Caneas, Danilo           35   RR   8  13    .381     4.48  26  25   0   4   1   0  178.2  178   96   89   21   51    4   76   1.282 100.0   1.1   2.6   3.8
Holm, Roy                35   LL  10  11    .476     4.08  40  22   5   3   0   0  174.1  142   88   79   24   79    0  158   1.268 100.0   1.2   4.1   8.2

Kelly, Jesse             33   LL   8   7    .533     4.90  48   0  37   0   0  12   68.0   75   38   37   14   10    0   50   1.250 100.0   1.9   1.3   6.6
Wright, Will             25   SR   4   0   1.000     3.55  47   0  23   0   0   2   58.1   46   24   23    2   34    1   54   1.371 100.0   0.3   5.2   8.3
Overmann, Mike           33   RR   5   6    .455     4.37  42   0  33   0   0   7   57.2   65   31   28    5   19    3   35   1.457 100.0   0.8   3.0   5.5
Lueders, Gene            25   LL   6   6    .500     3.49  35  17   6   5   3   0  136.2  141   58   53   12   43    0   60   1.346 100.0   0.8   2.8   4.0
Carbajal, Manny          28   RR   2   1    .667     3.28  23   3   9   1   0   0   57.2   50   25   21    5   12    0   46   1.075 100.0   0.8   1.9   7.2

Mankell, Henning         23   RR   1   4    .200     3.88  10  10   0   1   0   0   72.0   78   32   31    6   23    0   35   1.403 100.0   0.7   2.9   4.4
Carpenter, John          22   LL   2   1    .667     2.58   5   5   0   1   1   0   38.1   34   11   11    2   14    0   32   1.252 100.0   0.5   3.3   7.5
Escabar, Nick            27   LL   1   0   1.000     5.82   8   1   1   0   0   0   17.0   20   11   11    0    6    0    9   1.529 100.0   0.0   3.2   4.8
Herod, Nate              36   LL   0   0    .000     8.49  12   0   0   0   0   0   11.2   15   11   11    5    6    1    1   1.800 100.0   3.9   4.6   0.8
Foster, Josh             27   RR   0   1    .000     6.00   2   2   0   0   0   0    9.0   12    7    6    1    4    0    7   1.778 100.0   1.0   4.0   7.0
Musquiz, Jordan          24   SR   1   0   1.000     0.00   1   1   0   1   1   0    9.0    3    0    0    0    4    0    6   0.778 100.0   0.0   4.0   6.0
Covarrubias, Gabriel     24   LR   0   0    .000     1.80   5   0   2   0   0   0    5.0    4    1    1    0    1    0    5   1.000 100.0   0.0   1.8   9.0
Williams, Michael        24   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   3   0   0   0   0   0    2.1    1    0    0    0    1    1    1   0.857 100.0   0.0   3.9   3.9
Manning, Archie          22   SR   0   1    .000    18.00   2   0   1   0   0   1    1.0    3    2    2    0    1    0    2   4.000 100.0   0.0   9.0  18.0
Ramirez, Oscar           32   LR   0   0    .000     0.00   2   0   0   0   0   0    1.2    0    0    0    0    1    0    3   0.600 100.0   0.0   5.4  16.2
Rathmann, Jeremy         27   RR   1   0   1.000     0.00   2   0   0   0   0   0    1.1    0    0    0    0    0    0    2   0.000 100.0   0.0   0.0  13.5
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Mosher, Tracy            39   19   17    3    3    7   21   18   0.538   14    6   24    62%   56   91   17   29    6  3.7  4.5    7.5    110       2       7      19      11     137
Olthof, Obke             37   12   13   12    0    1   20   17   0.541    8    2   20    54%   52   84    6   25    6  3.6  4.7    6.8    103       4       9      17       7     139
Caneas, Danilo           25    8   13    4    2    5   11   14   0.440    4    1   15    60%   50   86    5   15    6  3.0  3.9    7.0     99       4       5      15       1     127
Holm, Roy                22    9   11    2    1    4    9   13   0.409    3    0   12    55%   52   79   22   14    3  3.5  4.5    7.0    116       1       2       9      10     152
Lueders, Gene            17    6    6    5    0    2    8    9   0.471    5    3   10    59%   52   83   24    4    8  3.9  5.0    7.0    100       2       6       7       2     124
Mankell, Henning         10    1    4    5    0    2    4    6   0.400    1    0    6    60%   51   73   37    1    6  3.0  3.8    7.2    110       0       4       2       4     138
Carpenter, John           5    2    1    2    0    0    3    2   0.600    1    1    4    80%   61   80   46    2    3  3.0  3.5    7.7    116       0       0       3       2     137
Carbajal, Manny           3    2    1    0    0    0    2    1   0.667    1    0    2    67%   74   87   59    1    2  2.0  2.0    9.2    119       0       2       0       1     163
Foster, Josh              2    0    1    1    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    0    00%   41   59   23    0    2  4.5  9.0    4.5     84       1       0       0       1     122
Musquiz, Jordan           1    1    0    0    0    0    1    0   1.000    1    1    1   100%   83   83   83    0    1  4.0  4.0    9.0    127       0       0       0       1     127
Escabar, Nick             1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    1   100%   44   44   44    0    1  1.0  1.5    6.0     96       0       1       0       0      96
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Kelly, Jesse             48    8    7   19   12    7    63%     20    1   16    7    30%   1.658    19    15    15   10   38    6   17    9   10    6   23    4.3     21
Wright, Will             47    4    0    3    2    1    67%      7    4   20    6    23%   0.938    10    27    27   12   35    5   17    7   13    5   22    3.7     21
Overmann, Mike           42    5    6   12    7    5    58%     14    2   18    8    31%   1.678    19    13    13    9   33    4   17    8   14    7   13    4.1     21
Carbajal, Manny          20    0    0    1    0    1     0%      3    2   19    6    24%   0.629     3    16    16   11    9    5   12    1    2    4   13    4.5     25
Holm, Roy                18    1    0    0    0    0     0%      2    2    7    0     0%   0.735     4     9     9    5   13    2    5    1    4    5    8    3.6     16
Lueders, Gene            18    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1   11    7    39%   0.582     1    10    10    6   12    5    3    3    4    2    9    2.8     14
Herod, Nate              12    0    1    1    0    1     0%      1    0    7    6    46%   0.779     1     8     8    4    8    1    2    1    2    2    7    3.8     17
Escabar, Nick             7    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    4    0     0%   0.653     0     5     5    4    3    1    4    1    1    0    5    4.7     25
Covarrubias, Gabriel      5    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    3    0     0%   0.456     0     3     3    2    3    1    1    1    0    0    4    3.0     13
Williams, Michael         3    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.686     0     2     2    0    3    0    3    0    0    0    3    5.7     27
Ramirez, Oscar            2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    1    0     0%   0.650     0     1     1    1    1    1    1    0    0    0    2    2.5      9
Rathmann, Jeremy          2    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.750     0     0     0    1    1    1    0    0    0    0    2    2.0     10
Manning, Archie           2    0    1    2    1    1    50%      2    0    0    0     0%   2.150     1     0     0    0    2    1    0    0    0    0    2    1.5     19
Caneas, Danilo            1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    3    0     0%   0.292     0     1     1    1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1    8.0     51
All the heavy lifting the Yanks made [b]Tracy Mosher do over the last 3 seasons came back to haunt them this year, as the 6-time All-Star and 2-time Cy Young Award winner was barely above average in 1971. The good news, we guess, is that his K rate didn't fall down a hole; his biggest issue this past season was a league-leading 29 HRs allowed. His #2 man, The Flying Dutchman Obke Olthof also suffered a dramatic decline, although with him the stat nerds will say that he was basically the same guy he was in his 21 win 1970 but his fielders didn't help him out as much. Still only 26, he's young enough to where if he needs to bounce back he could.

This team's pitching is not in a good shape beyond the first two starters. Right now former White Sox prospect Gene Lueders looks like he might be the #3 starter thanks to a decent end of the year (4-2, 3.26 in August and September). He's a lefty, which should help him out a lot in Yankee Stadium. Henning Mankell is a studious guy who writes children's books in the offseason; he also went 17-4 in AAA Syracuse before having mixed results in the major leagues. Internally, people wish he'd approach the game of baseball as smartly as he approaches his offseason hobby. Guess we can't have everything. Another prospect, John Carpenter, seems to fit right in with the Yankees inasmuch as he's an aspiring director of horror movies. He also enjoyed a gaudy season in Syracuse (8-3, 2.86, although he was 4-4, 2.41 with AAA Iowa) following a trade out of Oakland. For now the last guy in the mix is Jordan Musquiz, who's also young but in spite of an 11-6 record in AAA he had just barely more strikeouts (113) than walks (106). He only threw 134 innings so his reputation right now is as a wild man.

The Yanks look committed to at least trying out prospect/football player Archie Manning in the closer role. Some might wonder what they do when football season starts, to which my answer is, don't think about it too hard. He moved up three levels last year and throws a wicked slider that should get outs even in the big leagues. New York used Will Wright heavily in 1971 and figure to use him just as much this coming season. I don't *think* I deliberately named this man after the creator of Sim City but I'd still like to think that it's him (note: definitely not; the real Will Wright was born in 1960). Last year's stopper Jesse Kelly will duke it out with Roy Holm to see who will be their lefty specialist in 1972. Chances are both will wind up on the Opening Day roster though. Kelly suffered through a really bad season that saw him allow 14 HRs in just 68 innings, whereas Holm was a real Jekyll and Hyde with regards to starting (9-11, 4.53) and relieving (1-0, 0.84).

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Tabb, Khalil             26   RR  124  438   50  124   20    5    3   49   43   70    1    2   19    .283    .348    .372       2*
Paige, Josh              27   RR   50  136   16   39    6    0    3   16   10   13    0    0    8    .287    .333    .397        2
Lennon, John             22   RR    7   25    1    4    0    0    1    3    2    4    0    0    1    .160    .222    .280       /2
Whatever issues the rest of the team had, NY got good production out of their catchers last year. Khalil Tabb made his first All-Star Game in his 2nd season as a starter and is beginning to make the New York faithful forget about the now-retired Jason Mooneyhan. The lone knock on him is that his arm is considered substandard; he threw out only 27.2% of attempted base-stealers last season. Josh Paige's arm isn't any better but last year he served as a nice caddy in terms of hitting. The age of these guys would make it look like there's no place for the former Beatle John Lennon but he's a nice prospect himself and will surely find playing time somewhere.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Cardenas, Alex           38   LL   96  342   37   82   15    2    9   40   35   48    0    0   20    .240    .312    .374        3
Rickman, Alan            25   LL   74  279   40   76   13    0    8   45   25   65    0    1   11    .272    .330    .405        3
Berg, Bobby              31   RR   13   28    4   11    4    0    1    6    0    6    0    0    0    .393    .414    .643       /3

Stover, Ty               38   RR  108  332   36   68   14    1   11   31   71   75    0    0   13    .205    .350    .352      4/6
Banks, Jonathan          24   RR   56  211   25   66   15    2    0   20   13   21    0    0    9    .313    .352    .403      4/6
Jones, Pat               34   LR   43   84    8   23    7    0    1    9    6    8    1    1    1    .274    .312    .393     4/36
Pang, Su-Kyung           33   RR    5   17    0    4    0    0    0    0    0    3    0    0    0    .235    .235    .235       /4
Samora, Jose             35   RR    3    2    0    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    .000    .333    .000         

Weiss, Tom               32   RR  152  567   87  174   26    4   27   99  101   64    0    0   13    .307    .416    .510     5*/3
Hodzic, Nick             24   LR    7   12    7    6    1    1    0    0    3    1    0    0    0    .500    .600    .750       /5

Ybarra, German           24   RR  137  435   50  108   30    1    5   35   59   89    1    1   10    .248    .337    .356       6*
Cardenas, Luis           29   RR   40  105   16   27    3    0    2    7   14   18    0    2    4    .257    .339    .343     65/4
Armand, Mike             31   RR   14   23    5    5    1    1    0    4    5    5    1    0    0    .217    .379    .348        6
Sanchez, Alex            25   RR    8   21    1    4    2    0    0    0    0    6    0    1    1    .190    .190    .286       /6
One year removed from playing in the All-Star Game, Alex Cardenas played his way off the roster last season and officially hung up his spikes. He ends his career, spent mostly with the Kansas City and Oakland Athletics, with 2,540 hits (2nd all-time among 1B), 319 HRs (4th), 443 doubles (1st), 1,195 RBIs (4th), and a career OBP of .388 (4th). As you can see, playing so much in the 60s makes those career numbers look low but he does seem like a future HOFer to me, if not on the regular ballots than as a Veterans' Committee add (although as a side note, the way the AI values career WAR for the voting, my guess is he'll be voted in). Alan Rickman took over the job midseason and was... fine. He was basically league average, which probably isn't enough production for a contending team, but a. the Yankees are not a contending team, and b. he's young enough that he might improve the raw power and make scouts who think he's a .250 hitter waiting to happen eat their words.

Ty Stover picked the wrong time to see his offensive game tumble. I mean, it's never a good time to fall apart on offense, not even if you're a future Hall of Fame middle infielder. Stover increasingly looked like it's time to move him down to first base but last year he hit more like a second baseman, which is a bad combination. If he can get his average back up to his .252 career mark, perhaps he has a couple years left. If not, the 11-time All-Star might not make it a full season. Jonathan Banks looks like the Yankees' 2B of the future; he hit a rather empty .313 and accompanied that with Gold Glove level play at the position - in fact, scouts point to his Grade A arm and surmise he could be a great 3B or SS. He's also a very crafty guy who, depending on who you ask, is either an actor or a corrupt cop in Albuquerque in the offseason.

"Tiptoe" Tommy Weiss was clearly the team MVP last season and one wonders what his career might have looked like if he was handed the starting job at a reasonable age instead of the ripe old age of 29. As it stands, he made his 2nd All-Star Game in his 4th season as a starter for New York and found heretofore untapped reservoirs of power (22 HRs was his previous career high) and clutch hitting (just missing the century mark for RBI; his previous career best was 80).

German Ybarra was a big question mark heading into the season but by all accounts he answered that question with a big "yes". The 24 year old with just 16 games played above AA ball heading into the season was the Yankees' starter the entire season, providing surprising plate discipline and 30 HRs in 435 at-bats. He's suited for the bottom of the order but given the sudden aging of this team he might find himself in the 2 hole a lot. Luis Cardenas was picked up last October from the Pirates as a "just in case" at the position. He was an adequate backup for the Bucs and continued in that role for NY. He can play all 3 positions on the right side of the infield, although you probably wouldn't want to start him anywhere regularly. Alex Sanchez hit a solid .261/6/47 in the minor leagues but has a tendency to make big lapses in concentration in the field. He fielded just .930 at AAA Syracuse and he'll need to solve that if he wants to remain in the big leagues.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Levario, Matthew         38   SR   82  243   28   52   14    0    5   19   34   44    2    3    4    .214    .318    .333        7
Marsden, John            28   LL   30   92    9   18    5    1    1   13    6   13    0    1    3    .196    .250    .304        7
Poynor, Ross             28   LR   40   91   10   20    2    0    4    9    5   18    0    1    1    .220    .253    .374     7/89
Sullivan, Aaron          37   LL   58   63    9   10    1    0    4    9    8   11    0    0    0    .159    .260    .365      /79
Field, Dan               27   RR   21   48    4    8    2    0    0    6    4    5    0    0    1    .167    .231    .208     /792
Dwyer, Jonathan          28   LL   10   28    4    8    0    0    1    3    0    8    0    0    1    .286    .286    .393       /7

MacMillan, Micah         27   LR  121  521   66  126   24    6   14   56   38   70    8    3    8    .242    .294    .392       8*
Murphy, Jeff             27   SL   56  170   22   51    5    1    2   18    8   17    7    5    2    .300    .333    .376     8/79

Hartman, Phil            23   LL   82  292   53   80   21    1   10   40   64   64    0    0   12    .274    .407    .455      9/7
Meneses, Frank           34   LL  101  328   46   82    8    5   17   57   62   72    7    6    2    .250    .368    .460       97
Green, Eric              28   RR   60  162   23   46    2    1    2   18    3   25    4    0    3    .284    .301    .346     97/8
Ash, Marc                28   RR   27   20    2    5    1    1    1    4    6    6    0    0    0    .250    .407    .550       /9
Right now it's looking like Frank Meneses is set to pull yet another resurrection job and will begin the season as the team's left fielder. The position was a pure, unadulterated mess for NY in 1971. Matt Levario was acquired from the A's on the 4th day of the season. He was coming off of a .238/24/71 year that the Yankees took at face value instead of being too worried about the fact that it constituted a big drop-off from the previous .270/28/81 seasons spent in Atlanta. As it turned out, he proved to be completely out of power in New York and was cut in August. He's still out there in the off chance someone wants to take one last look at him. John Marsden was expected to be a good stopgap, coming off of an All-Star year where he hit .308/10/47 with the A's and Brewers. Instead, he couldn't even break the Timonen Line and now his career, too, is in jeopardy. Enter Meneses, who the Yankees perhaps do not appreciate enough because he's from their own organization. He hit 32 HRs in 1970 and had he been given the entire season, might have cracked 30 last year as well.

Micah MacMillan completed his 4th season as the Yankees' starting CF last year but concerns about his range are leading them to try Jeff Murphy out in 1972 instead. MacMillan's ZR dipped from 7.0 in 1968 and 4.0 in 1970 to -2.8 in 1971. There are definitely worse CFs in the league but it's probably best to get out in front of this situation. Murphy is a former starter with the White Sox, for whom he led the AL in at-bats in 1967. He also hit just .252 with a .293 OBP that season, which is probably why he's never gotten more than 331 at-bats since. He showed signs of maturing as a hitter last year and if nothing else should be an above average defender.

Phil Hartman perhaps doesn't have the eye-popping stats of Matt Levario or even John Marsden had in their recent past but early returns are that he gets the job done, loves to get on base, and has at least middling power. The one thing he lacks is range afield, although he's been put into right because of a good arm that led to a combined 12 baserunner kills between AAA and the major leagues last year. He's also a bit of a jokester, although so much of what he does is in deadpan so teammates do not consider him a prankster.
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Oakland A's





1971 Recap: The A's capped off their first winning season since 1964 with a 20-7 September that put them in the playoffs for the first time in team history, a history that spans 3 cities. Sadly, the wheels came off in the playoffs. This is what happens when you play a 102 win team.

1972 Outlook: One big, big word of caution with this team is that in spite of being 19 games over .500, they were actually outscored last year. A 33-22 record in one-run games can carry you pretty far. It's also probably not a thing you can rely on. What you can rely on is that the AL West is a pretty weak division; arguably their biggest competitor will be the team coming in from the East.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Ortiz, Roberto           25   RR  13  17    .433     3.71  36  36   0   5   1   0  242.2  197  111  100   19  164   11  260   1.488 100.0   0.7   6.1   9.6
Shelton, Rick            30   LR  15  15    .500     3.71  36  36   0   6   2   0  259.1  227  125  107   22  144   11  174   1.431 100.0   0.8   5.0   6.0
Barnard, Lee             27   LL  11  13    .458     3.46  35  35   0   8   1   0  250.0  240  112   96   15   80   14  150   1.280 100.0   0.5   2.9   5.4
Harris, Mike             23   LL  14   9    .609     3.04  29  29   0  12   1   0  213.0  188   79   72    7   74   10  128   1.230 100.0   0.3   3.1   5.4

Chavez, Willis           32   LL  10   5    .667     2.34  56   0  44   0   0  18   77.0   70   27   20    1   36    5   34   1.377 100.0   0.1   4.2   4.0
Howard, Josh             28   RR   2   4    .333     5.00  55   0  39   0   0  14   63.0   65   37   35   17   29    8   67   1.492 100.0   2.4   4.1   9.6
Wilson, Chris            34   RR   6   0   1.000     1.69  43   4  20   0   0   4   85.0   54   18   16    8   40    4   68   1.106 100.0   0.8   4.2   7.2
Lancaster, Nate          29   LL  11   3    .786     3.05  27  13   5   2   1   1  112.0   96   43   38   11   31    1   97   1.134 100.0   0.9   2.5   7.8
Allen, Chris             27   RL   1   1    .500     4.35  16   2   2   0   0   0   31.0   40   15   15    2   10    1   14   1.613 100.0   0.6   2.9   4.1

McCourt, Aaron           33   RR   1   0   1.000     4.91  14   0   5   0   0   0   22.0   24   15   12    3   12    1    9   1.636 100.0   1.2   4.9   3.7
Torres, Carlos           33   LL   3   0   1.000     4.50  13   1   1   0   0   0   18.0   23   13    9    2    4    1   11   1.500 100.0   1.0   2.0   5.5
Duckett, Jake            26   LL   0   0    .000     2.08  10   0   0   0   0   0    4.1    3    1    1    0    4    0    4   1.615 100.0   0.0   8.3   8.3
Crystal, Billy           22   LR   0   1    .000     6.89   4   2   1   0   0   0   15.2   17   14   12    3   11    2   12   1.787 100.0   1.7   6.3   6.9
Decker, King             24   RR   1   1    .500     5.40   3   2   1   0   0   0   13.1   15    8    8    1    9    0   11   1.800 100.0   0.7   6.1   7.4
Covarrubias, Gabriel     24   LR   1   1    .500     2.25   4   1   1   0   0   0   12.0    7    3    3    1    3    0    5   0.833 100.0   0.7   2.3   3.8
Krug, Niklas             30   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   2   0   1   0   0   0    3.0    2    0    0    0    1    0    2   1.000 100.0   0.0   3.0   6.0
Ellis, Doug              26   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   0   0   0   0    2.1    2    0    0    0    0    0    1   0.857 100.0   0.0   0.0   3.9
Trapasso, Philip         27   LL   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   0   0   0   0    1.0    0    0    0    0    1    0    2   1.000 100.0   0.0   9.0  18.0
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Ortiz, Roberto           36   13   17    6    2   11   19   17   0.528    5    1   26    72%   56   89    4   16   10  2.6  3.4    6.7    114       3       3      15      15     156
Shelton, Rick            36   15   15    6    4    8   19   17   0.528    6    2   23    64%   53   89   22   14    8  3.3  4.1    7.2    116       0       4      20      12     145
Barnard, Lee             35   11   13   11    1    5   18   17   0.514    8    1   21    60%   54   83   19   15   12  3.2  4.1    7.1    104       2      13      15       5     137
Harris, Mike             29   14    9    6    2    4   16   13   0.552   12    1   18    62%   57   87   14   10    9  3.7  4.5    7.3    106       2       8      11       8     132
Lancaster, Nate          13    9    3    1    0    0    9    4   0.692    2    1    9    69%   59   86   28    5    7  3.6  4.4    7.4    109       0       2       9       2     145
Wilson, Chris             4    3    0    1    0    0    4    0   1.000    0    0    4   100%   67   77   55    1    1  2.5  3.0    7.5    110       0       1       2       1     124
Allen, Chris              2    1    0    1    0    0    2    0   1.000    0    0    2   100%   60   63   57    2    0  2.5  3.6    6.3    108       0       0       2       0     114
Decker, King              2    1    1    0    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    1    50%   43   52   34    0    2  2.0  2.9    6.2    107       0       1       1       0     115
Crystal, Billy            2    0    1    1    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    0    00%   41   46   36    0    1  3.0  4.5    6.0    101       0       1       1       0     107
Torres, Carlos            1    1    0    0    0    0    1    0   1.000    0    0    1   100%   71   71   71    0    1  4.0  5.1    7.0    101       0       0       1       0     101
Covarrubias, Gabriel      1    0    1    0    0    1    0    1   0.000    0    0    1   100%   56   56   56    1    0  2.0  2.6    7.0    105       0       0       1       0     105
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Chavez, Willis           56   10    5   24   18    6    75%     27    3   25   11    31%   1.983    31    20    19   11   45    2   23   14   17    9   16    4.1     22
Howard, Josh             55    2    4   21   14    7    67%     22    1   32   20    38%   1.353    25    26    26   16   39    9   13   12   14   12   17    3.4     20
Wilson, Chris            39    3    0    5    4    1    80%      9    4   30    4    12%   0.848     6    22    21   17   22    4   20    7   12    4   16    4.2     21
McCourt, Aaron           14    1    0    0    0    0     0%      2    2    3    1    25%   0.673     4     9     9    3   11    2    8    0    3    2    9    4.7     24
Lancaster, Nate          14    2    0    1    1    0   100%      4    3    4    0     0%   1.066     5     7     7    3   11    1    3    4    4    1    5    3.4     17
Allen, Chris             14    0    1    1    0    1     0%      3    2   12    4    25%   0.764     3     8     7    9    5    7    3    2    2    3    7    3.9     23
Torres, Carlos           12    2    0    1    0    1     0%      2    1    4    2    33%   0.928     3     6     6    3    9    4    1    3    4    1    4    2.8     17
Duckett, Jake            11    1    1    4    3    1    75%      6    2    2    1    33%   1.832     5     3     3    2    9    2    5    4    2    3    2    4.1     20
Covarrubias, Gabriel      3    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.433     0     3     3    0    3    0    2    0    0    0    3    5.0     23
Krug, Niklas              2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.418     0     2     2    0    2    0    1    0    1    0    1    4.5     22
Crystal, Billy            2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.361     0     1     1    0    2    0    2    0    0    0    2    5.5     33
Trapasso, Philip          1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    2    1    33%   3.325     1     0     0    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     21
Ellis, Doug               1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   1.556     1     0     0    0    1    0    1    0    0    0    1    7.0     30
Decker, King              1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    1    50%   0.100     0     1     1    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     15
Roberto Ortiz was not just the staff ace, he was emblematic of the A's pitching staff. Nobody in the league is more stingy about allowing balls to be put in play, and if that stinginess means he's going to allow guys to get on base with walks, so be it. It was more effective than he's given credit for; Ortiz suffered 11 tough losses and the A's were 6-0 in games Ortiz started but didn't get the decision for. Rick Shelton is the cagey vet of this rotation at the ripe old age of 30. The original Seattle Pilot has tasted lots of losing in his 3 year major league career due at least in part to his own issues with bases on balls. He's settled into a rate of 5 per 9 innings which needless to say is pretty high. Lee "Batty" Barnard rounded out the rotation in the playoffs and was very ineffective: 0-2, 8.44 in 2 starts. He's the token control/finesse guy for this club and the Red Sox absolutely feasted on him. In the regular season he was the team's most consistent starter.

In the back end of the rotation, right now the last guy looks like he'll probably be Nate Lancaster, who was 9-2, 3.19 for the team as a starter and 6-0, 2.03 in that 20-win September. He hasn't been able to stick in the majors yet in 3 tries but the overall numbers look pretty OK: 19-14, a 3.41 ERA, and 218 Ks in 279.2 career innings. They've also got a couple of prospects who probably aren't quiiite ready but hey, anything can happen in March. Billy Crystal insists that he "looks mahvelous" but neither his major league nor his minor league (9-17, 3.36) numbers agree. He's also the #2 overall pick from 1970 and was named the #49 overall prospect at the end of the season so there's a lot to go on. King Decker probably could also use another year of seasoning in the minors. He had a good K rate in his September call-up but has those same control issues that seemingly everyone else on the team has.

Willis Chavez travelled from Washington to Oakland last year and was only expected to be the left half of a righty/lefty closer combination. Instead, Josh Howard just completely blew up last year and by season's end Chavez was the #1 guy. I'm not the biggest fan of that walk to strikeout ratio but it's hard to argue with success - and it's sustained success, too, as Chavez saved 20 games with a 2.48 ERA for the Senators in 1970. Howard allowed 17 HRs in 63 innings pitched, which needless to say is baaad. He's still only 28 and when he's not allowing dingers he strikes out more than a batter per inning so there's still a lot to like, potentially. The A's wound up relying on 35 year old Chris Wilson, who was practically a throw-in in the Matthew Levario trade. I find it highly doubtful he can replicate his 1971 performance but even if he doesn't, he alone won the A's that trade.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Lewis, Josh              23   SR  128  508   62  149   31    1   14   66   35   49    0    1   18    .293    .335    .441    2*7/3
Escobar, Jonathan        29   RR   19   61    6   11    2    0    1    4    9   13    0    0    3    .180    .282    .262        2
Gonzalez, Ramiro         31   SR   20   57    8   12    1    1    1    2   13   11    0    0    5    .211    .357    .316        2
Kane, Derek              25   RR   13   42    3   11    5    1    0    9    5    6    0    0    3    .262    .354    .429        2
Culliton, Jeff           28   LR    5    5    0    1    0    0    0    1    0    2    0    0    0    .200    .200    .200       /2
A .198 average in his 1970 call-up raised some questions as to whether or not the first overall pick of 1969 would live up to the hype, but Josh Lewis did everything asked of him and more last season. He flirted with .300 and won the Rookie of the Year - that's the "everything", and on top of that he won an unexpected Gold Glove on the strength of a league-leading 44.9% RTO rate. Allen was not expected to be a defensive wizard and that may still be the only Gold Glove of his career but the arm at least is for real. The A's went through a series of not-super-great backups last season. Derek Kane seems like the best bet moving forward, as he's a plus defender himself, is still only 25, and had an OBP of .360 in AAA last year.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Hawkinson, Ray           29   LR   51  179   28   66   11    5    7   33   11   24    3    1    1    .369    .385    .603        3
Kelver, Kyle             32   RR   87  294   27   71   12    0    6   34   27   48    0    0    5    .241    .302    .344       37
Skelton, Jon             42   LL   87  154   10   36    7    1    4   19   20   18    0    0    7    .234    .330    .370        3
Decker, David            43   RR   27  100   15   20    3    0    3    9   17   11    0    0    4    .200    .316    .320        3
Bueno, Raul              33   RR   67   90   19   25    3    4    3   21    4    9    6    1    4    .278    .290    .500    3/794
Vallin, Jose             37   RR   47   41    3   10    0    0    0    5    3    4    1    0    0    .244    .283    .244      /35

Gaytan, Israel           24   RR  147  602   67  175   34    2    6   51   15   56    1    2   12    .291    .315    .384       4*
Molina, Ruben            24   RR   33  106   13   30    4    1    1    7    9   11    4    0    1    .283    .331    .368    4/985

Jones, Chase             29   RR  153  567   80  152   15    2   31   83   66  102    0    2   13    .268    .342    .466       5*

Evenson, Matt            25   RR  125  381   23   98   17    0    5   44   41   76    0    0    7    .257    .324    .341       6*
Wilson, Gil              29   LR   67  155   15   42    6    0    2   15    8   24    0    0    1    .271    .299    .348     65/4
Potter, Rich             28   RR   14   25    3    8    0    1    0    2    0    3    0    0    1    .320    .346    .400      /64
Serrano, Angelo          25   RR    6   13    2    4    2    0    0    3    0    2    0    0    0    .308    .308    .462       /6
Flannery, Matt           25   RR    6    5    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    .200    .200    .200       /6
The A's purchased Kyle Kelver expecting him to handle the lion's share of duties at first base. He'd just come off of a .291/16/73 year that included playing the final 2 months of the season for Cleveland after their main man Ernesto Garcia exited stage right with a season-ending injury. Kelver never quite hit in Oakland and when both John Skelton and David Decker looked like the over-40 guys that they are, the stage was set for 29 year old career minor leaguer Ray Hawkinson to do what he did. There is, of course, absolutely no way he'll repeat that performance for a full season. Nevertheless, Hawkinson did hit .295 in extended time as a pinch-hitter for the 1968 Braves; he might just be a legitimate .300 hitter. If the A's are going to repeat, that will need to be the case.

Israel Gaytan put together a fine season of his own that might have been worth a Rookie of the Year award of its own in a weaker class. He was left off the Red Sox' 40 man roster last December for pure depth reasons, allowing the A's to snap him up in the Rule V draft. Gaytan doesn't have the greatest range in the world, which was of course a big part of why the Sox exposed him. He did pretty OK for them last year - there were far worse defenders out there than that -1.4 ZR suggests. Should Gaytan falter or get hurt, the A's do have homegrown prospect-ish Ruben Molina, who did, it should be said, hit .347 in AAA Iowa in 1970 and was the odd man out last year mostly because of a .241 showing in August and September of that season.

Chase Jones really came into his own last season, finishing 2nd - a distant second but second nevertheless - in HRs, 8th in RBIs, and 6th in the AL in slugging percentage. Also, not to imply that he's nothing but an offensive guy, he won his first Gold Glove as well as the perennial winner Marco Perez of the Orioles missed time and might have lost a step afield. Jones doesn't necessarily look fancy out there but he's got some of the best hands in the game for a 3rd baseman, as evidenced by a .981 FA (just 7 errors in 366 chances) and a plus-plus arm.

Matt Evenson is young and not necessarily the greatest fielder in the game, lacking the arm that you need from a shortstop. He's also merely adequate as a hitter. Suffice it to say, in spite of being 25 he's probably a short-term starter on this team. Nevertheless he is their guy for now and probably through the 1972 season at least. Gil Wilson was an OK foil for him; he's no great shakes as a fielder either but hit a solid .273 against right-handed pitching. The A's do have a couple of prospects in AAA - Tokugawa Tanimoto, who played for 5 different minor league teams in 2 organizations last season, and Ethan Dunbar (name subject to change), who hit only .226 in his first trial in AAA but who is a legitimately above average defenseman at the position.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Field, Dan               27   RR   83  315   33   79   16    2    8   41   22   46    0    0    8    .251    .298    .390        7
Groves, Adam             31   RR   26   95   20   31    7    0    5   18   14   19    1    0    1    .326    .405    .558      7/9
Levario, Matthew         38   SR    3   11    1    2    0    0    0    0    1    1    0    0    0    .182    .250    .182       /7
Wright, Elijah           25   LL    5    9    3    4    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    .444    .500    .444       /7

Vallejo, Alex            28   LL   66  249   40   75    9    1    5   23   27   25   10    7    8    .301    .381    .406      8/9
Mesa, David              23   LL   67  252   32   71   18    2    1   25   16   45    9    3    4    .282    .324    .381     8/97
Schurke, Mike            24   SR   54  189   19   53    9    2    1   21   13   23    3    1    3    .280    .319    .365     8/97

Berman, Richard          25   RR  137  527   72  150   36    5    2   39   38   42   17    3   11    .285    .336    .383       9*
Montoya, Carlos          24   RR    7   15    0    1    0    0    0    1    1    2    0    0    0    .067    .125    .067       /9
Left field was another spot where the A's went disappointed by one guy for most of the year - former Yankee Dan Field, acquired in a late May trade - but then saved things with a late-season find - Adam Groves, who'd been shuffled out of a starting job in Wrigley Field. Groves proved to be every bit the player he'd been in Chicago down the stretch. He actually hit for a lot more average than usual but the power and the walks are exactly what the doctor ordered for the A's. Field is still on this team as of this writing but the 1970 All-Star has to be considered a 4th outfielder now.

Alex Vallejo was expected to man centerfield last year. He was fine when he was healthy but that wound up being less than half the season. The good news is, he was still very effective when he did get to play. The A's also uncovered a nice find in David "Aperture Science" Mesa, a 2nd round pick in the 1971 draft who played in all of 7 minor league games before getting the call-up. If he's still a little raw, that's kind of great news because he was a more than adequate fill-in. Mike Schurke was surplus to the A's plans and in fact was the man the Cubs decided they wanted back for Adam Groves. Good luck in Chicago!

In right field, Richard Berman was... fine but not quite the .300 hitter he'd been between Milwaukee and Oakland in 1970. He still had a lot of gap power (36 doubles, good for 2nd in the AL) and good speed. It's hard to see an outfield where he plays a lot with all of Groves, Vallejo, and Mesa healthy.
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Old 06-19-2023, 04:58 PM   #184
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1971 Recap: The 2nd coming Senators took until their final season in Washington to have a year as competitive as they were in their first (1961, when they went 87-74). They were never really all that close to Boston after May or so but it's always nice to follow a team that wins more than they lose.

1972 Outlook: And now they're headed to a new city - well, in between two cities, Dallas and Fort Worth - with a new ballpark, a new fanbase, and even a new division. It's that last bit that might give them their best hope of the playoffs in 1972.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Akright, Vince           28   SR  18  13    .581     2.26  37  37   0  13   5   0  295.1  234   88   74   16   86    8  195   1.084 100.0   0.5   2.6   5.9
Daugharty, Chad          26   RR  16  14    .533     3.46  36  36   0   8   2   0  273.0  245  112  105   16   88    8  164   1.220 100.0   0.5   2.9   5.4
Mendoza, Raul            28   RR  16  11    .593     3.45  34  33   0  13   3   0  242.2  216  116   93   27   55    3  165   1.117 100.0   1.0   2.0   6.1
Freeman, Kevin           28   LL  11  15    .423     3.27  33  32   0  10   2   0  239.2  221  102   87   25   63    5  126   1.185 100.0   0.9   2.4   4.7

Duckett, Jake            26   LL   4   6    .400     3.31  47   0  36   0   0  15   65.1   63   26   24    6   34    5   46   1.485 100.0   0.8   4.7   6.3
Slaughter, Gabe          25   RR   4   5    .444     4.17  40   0  29   0   0   8   54.0   55   27   25    7   26    5   22   1.500 100.0   1.2   4.3   3.7
Rivera, Andres           30   RR   2   2    .500     4.61  36   3  15   0   0   1   52.2   59   32   27   11    8    1   30   1.272 100.0   1.9   1.4   5.1
Shepherd, Ron            28   LL   2   2    .500     3.03  31   0  10   0   0   0   32.2   34   14   11    2   12    1   20   1.408 100.0   0.6   3.3   5.5
Kenner, Jim              30   SL   3   2    .600     1.88  24   7   5   1   0   0   76.2   47   20   16    3   43    0   37   1.174 100.0   0.4   5.0   4.3

Evans, Lee               23   RR   1   1    .500     3.50   4   4   0   1   1   0   18.0   14    7    7    0    3    1   17   0.944 100.0   0.0   1.5   8.5
Pulido, Richard          25   RL   2   0   1.000     3.38   2   2   0   1   0   0   16.0   14    6    6    2    5    0    6   1.188 100.0   1.1   2.8   3.4
Munoz, Danny             21   LL   0   2    .000     5.14   2   2   0   0   0   0   14.0    8    8    8    1    8    1   13   1.143 100.0   0.6   5.1   8.4
Kemp, Nate               22   LL   1   0   1.000     1.93   2   2   0   0   0   0   14.0   15    4    3    1    1    0    6   1.143 100.0   0.6   0.6   3.9
Chavez, Willis           32   LL   0   0    .000     0.00   7   0   0   0   0   0    7.2    5    1    0    0    3    0    6   1.043 100.0   0.0   3.5   7.0
Ortiz, Raul              29   RR   1   1    .500     6.75  11   0   9   0   0   2    8.0   11    8    6    2    6    1   10   2.125 100.0   2.3   6.8  11.3
Morales, Ramon           23   RR   1   1    .500     8.31   2   1   0   0   0   0    8.2   17    9    8    3    3    0    4   2.308 100.0   3.1   3.1   4.2
Richard, Rocky           26   RR   0   0    .000     1.93   4   0   0   0   0   0    4.2    5    1    1    0    1    0    2   1.286 100.0   0.0   1.9   3.9
Terrell, Jaden           25   SR   0   1    .000    11.57   3   0   0   0   0   0    4.2    6    6    6    3    2    0    4   1.714 100.0   5.8   3.9   7.7
Terry, Tyler             27   RR   0   0    .000     2.45   2   0   0   0   0   0    3.2    4    2    1    0    5    0    0   2.455 100.0   0.0  12.3   0.0
Marrone, D.J.            25   LL   0   0    .000     0.00   2   0   1   0   0   0    2.0    1    0    0    0    1    0    2   1.000 100.0   0.0   4.5   9.0
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Akright, Vince           37   18   13    6    0    9   20   17   0.541   13    5   31    84%   63   85   31   15    9  3.3  3.7    8.0    113       0       8      20       9     179
Daugharty, Chad          36   16   14    6    3    6   19   17   0.528    8    2   23    64%   56   86    9   18   13  3.9  4.6    7.6    111       2       6      17      11     146
Mendoza, Raul            33   16   11    6    4    5   21   12   0.636   13    3   20    61%   56   91   13   14    9  3.9  4.8    7.3    105       3       7      14       9     131
Freeman, Kevin           32   11   15    6    3    8   14   18   0.438   10    2   22    69%   55   88    4   12    9  3.2  3.9    7.4    106       3       8      14       7     157
Kenner, Jim               7    3    2    2    0    2    3    4   0.429    1    0    7   100%   63   71   57    2    4  3.1  3.8    7.4    102       0       4       2       1     132
Evans, Lee                4    1    1    2    0    0    2    2   0.500    1    1    1    25%   56   90   22    1    2  2.0  4.0    4.5     63       3       0       0       1     134
Rivera, Andres            3    0    2    1    0    0    1    2   0.333    0    0    1    33%   33   59   15    0    2  0.7  1.5    4.1     63       3       0       0       0      68
Munoz, Danny              2    0    2    0    0    0    0    2   0.000    0    0    0    00%   56   58   53    0    2  0.5  0.6    7.0    106       0       0       2       0     109
Pulido, Richard           2    2    0    0    1    0    2    0   1.000    1    0    1    50%   56   70   43    0    2  4.5  5.1    8.0    104       0       1       1       0     110
Kemp, Nate                2    1    0    1    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    2   100%   58   58   57    0    2  2.5  3.2    7.0     95       0       1       1       0     109
Morales, Ramon            1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%    8    8    8    0    1  0.0  0.0    5.7    109       0       0       1       0     109
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Duckett, Jake            47    4    6   20   15    5    75%     21    1   23   14    38%   1.834    26    15    15   12   35    3   16   11   14    6   16    4.2     21
Slaughter, Gabe          40    4    5   10    8    2    80%     15    5    7    3    30%   1.660    17    12    12    4   36    5   16    6   10   10   14    4.1     22
Rivera, Andres           33    2    0    3    1    2    33%      5    2   15    7    32%   0.795     5    23    23    8   25    5   11    4    7    5   17    3.7     17
Shepherd, Ron            31    2    2    0    0    0     0%      4    4   15    3    17%   0.890    11    17    17    8   23    8    8    5    4    3   19    3.2     16
Kenner, Jim              17    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1   10    5    33%   0.466     2    12    12    8    9    3    8    0    2    0   15    4.4     24
Ortiz, Raul              11    1    1    4    2    2    50%      4    0    8    5    38%   2.093     4     4     4    6    5    5    1    2    4    1    4    2.2     15
Chavez, Willis            7    1    0    3    3    0   100%      3    0    5    0     0%   1.537     3     3     3    3    4    0    4    0    1    1    5    4.3     23
Richard, Rocky            4    0    0    0    0    0     0%      2    2    3    2    40%   0.905     1     1     1    1    3    1    1    0    0    1    3    3.5     18
Terrell, Jaden            3    0    1    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   1.171     0     2     2    0    3    1    1    1    0    0    2    4.7     31
Marrone, D.J.             2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.063     0     2     2    0    2    0    0    0    0    0    2    3.0     17
Terry, Tyler              2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.590     0     1     1    1    1    0    1    0    0    0    2    5.5     39
Morales, Ramon            1    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   1.325     0     0     0    0    1    0    1    0    0    0    1    9.0     41
Mendoza, Raul             1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.833     0     0     0    0    1    1    0    0    0    0    1    1.0     11
Freeman, Kevin            1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.300     0     1     1    1    0    0    1    0    0    1    0   10.0     28
How much of the Senators' top-notch pitching came from spacious RFK Stadium and how much was from actual talent is a thing we'll find out next season. I haven't bothered to look up Arlington Stadium but I'm 100% positive it's nowhere near the pitcher's park that RFK was. In fact, my memory of it is that it's a pretty big-time hitter's park, being in the middle of Texas and all. Either way, Vince Akright, this league's version of Denny McClain (only without the 30 win season or the drug issues) will lead this team into Opening Day. Akright returned to the All-Star Game after a one-year layoff and set career highs in strikeouts and innings pitched while setting a career low in ERA. 5 shutouts is nothing to sneeze at either but somehow he got 8 in 1969. He's a finesse guy who forces hitters to drive the ball into the ground and who earned 29 GIDPs last year as a result. The #2 man - #1 before Akright entered the fray - is Chad Daugherty who's got a somewhat similar MO to Akright and whose legacy of effectiveness is pretty similar, too. His 8 CGs were a little bit off his high water mark of 10 in each of the previous years; this was due to the Senators employing the 4 man rotation a bit more than they have in the past. Lefty Kevin Freeman rounds out the front of the order; this Hard Luck Harry has had identical 11-15 records in each of the last 2 seasons and this year he finished 2nd on the team in tough losses to Akright. Freeman also is the man who tossed the no-no in 1970 and came close twice in '71. He's got this issue where he thinks he's better than he is but to be fair he's pretty good.

Now that Raul Mendoza is gone, presumably to provide the St. Louis Cardinals with the ace they never had in '71, the back part of the rotation is kind of thin. The #1 choice for 4th starter looks like Jim Kenner. The fact that Kenner finished 5th on the team with 7 starts is a mark of how healthy the front four were but also a sign that they need to come up with new blood. Kenner, who somehow made the All-Star Game this year - he played in just 11 games prior to the Midsummer Classic - is an 11 year major league vet who is, I guess to be fair, still pretty decent when he's on the field. He didn't even really get hurt last year per se; he was just stuck in the back of the bullpen. Robert McHugh is a guy who came back from St. Louis in the Mendoza deal. He struck out 25 men in 27.1 major league innings, so the raw stuff is there to see. He also walked 14 guys and wound up with an ERA of 4.61. If he doesn't improve his control, the team's got a potential control artist in Nate Kemp, the 9th overall pick in the 1970 draft. Kemp walked just 44 men in 179.2 innings in AAA Denver last season. He lacks the high velocity or wicked movement you'd normally expect from a guy drafted so high but he sure looks to me like he could be effective.

I just feel like if we're going to see some ERAs blow up, it's going to be out of the bullpen. Jake Duckett and Gabe Slaughter were more or less the lefty/righty closer squad all last year. Slaughter missed a bit of time due to injury and fell out of favor for late pressure for a while. The Norfolk, VA native is going to have to figure out how to get things together several thousand miles away from his family now. Duckett, on the other hand, is coming home: he's a native of Castle Hills, Texas who went to school at the old A&M (go Aggies! note: I don't really care about the Aggies). He's also the guy with the better peripherals. One guy who will probably be back to round out the bullpen is Andres Rivera, who recovered from true awfulness in 1969 and 1970 to only be sort of bad last season. He's in the majors at this point pretty much solely because of the 3-4, 2.68, 9 Sv turn with San Diego at the beginning of 1969.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Flores, Armando          29   RR  120  497   47  144   23    2    7   65   15   68    0    0   32    .290    .310    .386       2*
Escobar, Jonathan        29   RR   29   96   14   23    5    0    1    9   14   25    0    0    6    .240    .330    .323        2
Bieler, Veit             25   RR   14   48    0   11    2    0    0    1    2   16    0    0    1    .229    .250    .271        2
Gonzalez, Ramiro         31   SR    5   16    0    4    2    0    0    2    3    2    0    0    0    .250    .368    .375       /2
Armando Flores missed the All-Star Game because scouts don't particularly care for his arm - he threw out 35.7% of attempted baserunners but they think that could have been better, I guess - and also because RFK tends to depress offense and made this excellent season look only semi-excellent. Accolades or no, Flores has established himself as a high-average hitter with decent power for a catcher hitting in the biggest stadium in the league. How many HRs will he hit next year? It's kind of looking like the backup's going to be the Austrian Veit Bieler, who... I guess is just a guy. The game doesn't really create Austrians so I could have sworn I assigned him the name but I guess not? Bieler also doesn't have the finest arm in the land. He also doesn't profile as a .290 hitter the way Flores does, which is why he's being considered as a backup. Jonathan Escobar is still there as the defensive specialist, so hey, maybe he's got a job after all. The man won 2 Gold Gloves for the A's before being rather unceremoniously dumped on the Senators this year with the emergence of Josh Lewis. He's also a man who feels that he still deserves to start and he might have a point... just not in Texas.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Bush, George W.          25   LL   74  253   47   71   24    1   13   40   47   38    2    1    2    .281    .403    .538        3
Decker, David            43   RR   60  194   24   49    7    3    9   29   16   25    0    0    9    .253    .318    .459        3
DeBoer, Nick             39   RR   56  123    9   23    6    2    1   11   12   19    0    0    2    .187    .255    .293        3
Cardenas, Danny          32   RR   45   55   10   12    4    0    2    7   11   12    0    1    1    .218    .348    .400        3
Skelton, Jon             42   LL    7   22    1    8    0    0    0    1    3    0    0    0    1    .364    .440    .364       /3

Hernandez, Jose          24   RR  153  582   74  133   28    1   25   86   55  126    4    1   16    .229    .295    .409     4*/6

Salinas, David           36   RR   88  312   41   91   12    3    3   32   26   37    6    8    7    .292    .344    .378        5
Dominguez, Omar          30   RR   58  169   20   32    4    0    7   20   20   44    0    0    4    .189    .272    .337     5/43
Jackson, Reggie          24   RR   16   33    4    7    1    0    0    2    5   13    0    0    0    .212    .333    .242      5/4
Zuniga, German           30   RR    3    2    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    .000    .000    .000       /5

Knight, Tyler            30   RR  149  482   53  128   21    0    6   69   57   89    4    4    9    .266    .338    .346    6*5/4
Luna, Michael            23   RR   25   74    6   15    5    0    0    8   10   16    0    1    2    .203    .298    .270        6
Rodriguez, Henry         23   RR   41   55    7   14    4    1    1   10    3   10    0    0    1    .255    .295    .418        6
Ramey, Justin            32   RR    9    9    1    2    0    1    0    1    1    0    1    0    1    .222    .300    .444      /64
If it seems like this team is getting itself pre-prepared for the move to Texas... some of this was coincidental, I promise. George W. Bush, the son of the CIA Director who was born and raised in the Houston area, wants you to believe that he's a good old boy. The Senators/Rangers probably don't care so long as he can keep walking and the power shows up in the hot air of the Lone Star State. He was installed after the team tried several aging stars, including the now-retired David Decker, the now free agent Nick DeBoer, and the now Athletic Jon Skelton. Of those guys who pushed Bush (um), only Danny Cardenas. a right-handed pinch-hitter who will probably be used as a caddy for "Dubya", remains.

Jose Hernandez is, for the Senators/Rangers, a riddle wrapped up in an enigma. He hit for a looooot of power - actually, considering RFK, an absolute ton of it - but it's hard to drop a guy with a .229 average and sub-.300 OBP into the cleanup spot. One thing that helps is that he fields well enough that if the power turns out to be a fluke - and we're not saying it is - he'd still be a plus player at the position. The top players behind him are still at least a year away so the... Rangers will have some time to figure out what to do with the guy.

David Salinas is pretty well liked around the league and his work ethic has led to him retaining his hitting into his late 30s, so it's a bit of a wonder why he's on his 3rd team in 4 years, not to mention why, as of this writing, he's not expected to start the year. He's beginning to lose some range, which is to be expected from a 36 year old, and that career .298 average has always meant a lot of singles. Right now it's looking like the Rangers will look to Tyler Knight, who's still very serviceable as a shortstop, at the position. He's a little bit of an offensive downgrade but honestly, not too much of one once you take the extra power into account. Reggie Jackson, a Hall of Fame level homerun hitter in another universe, is a good-field, no-hit third baseman in this one.

If Knight does stick at third, it'll be because Michael Luna is ready to go at shortstop. Luna was a low 2nd round pick in 1970 who's risen through the ranks really quickly. His game screams "empty .250", even once he reaches his prime. The counter argument is putting two high quality defenders on the right side of the infield might just be the secret sauce. They also have Henry Rodriguez, who looks like kind of the polar opposite of Luna: iffy hands, only OK range, but a man who hit .295 at Denver in 1971.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Kaplan, Bobby            24   RR  137  512   61  155   21    2    2   55   37   60   10    9   14    .303    .356    .363     7*/9
Goyco, Ramon             27   LL   57  110   21   24    2    0    1   10   12   24    2    0    1    .218    .295    .264        7
Iverson, Bill            26   RR    4   12    1    2    0    0    0    0    1    3    0    1    0    .167    .231    .167      /78

Schaben, Joel            34   LR  127  502   73  153   27    9    6   65   36   31   12    6    5    .305    .348    .430     8*/9
Bucciarelli, Devin       25   RR   49  162   23   33    6    1    1   12   12   37    5    0    3    .204    .251    .272      8/9
Conners, Roy             30   SR    1    2    0    1    0    0    0    1    1    0    0    0    0    .500    .667    .500       /8

Wilson, Bubba            26   LR  150  603   78  176   26    7    3   45   53   91   11    7   10    .292    .339    .373    9*/78
Brown, Kyle              25   LL  104  119   18   35    4    0    7   19   21   18    0    0    0    .294    .397    .504     9/78
Bobby Kaplan went from being a cheap purchase by the Senators last October to hitting .300 and turning into the club's #3 hitter by season's end. He may not have enough power to stick in that slot but he's got the speed and the bat control to hit 2nd and occasionally even 1st in the order. He also had a ZR of 15.2, which for sure would have won him a Gold Glove if the AI did the choosing (I tend to take the top 2 CFs by range unless someone's got crazy numbers - Kaplan was close - and then the #3 guy I put in based on their arm/OF assists). The backup corners are just plain nothing special, zero things at all special.

In center, Joel Schaben had another low-mistake season and managed to break the .300 mark for the 7th time in his career. At 34 years of age, he's still got the range to play the position and he was lowkey one of the top offensive players on the team. The Rangers hope that having the guys behind him hitting for more power will help improve on his 73 runs scored - all but 6 of his at-bats in 1971 came as a leadoff hitter.

Bubba Wilson also enjoyed a nice year at the top of the order for the Senators and figures to do more of the same in Texas. I think one thing this club will need to do in the longer term is rebuild the offense; right now they've got a bunch .290ish hitters with iffy power. That was fine and even preferred in RFK; I think that in Arlington, a guy like Wilson might be a liability. One potential source of power in Kyle Brown has flown the coop, sold to Kansas City.
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Old 06-20-2023, 11:55 AM   #185
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Atlanta braves (93-69)





1971 Recap: Atlanta rode a hot start all the way into the playoffs, although they were straight up average from July 1st forward (40-39). As you might expect from a team that did all its good action early, they faltered in the playoffs to an 88 win team.

1972 Outlook: Atlanta's got the same issue - aging - as the Twins and Yankees do. However, they still managed to pace the National League in wins and so can't be truly counted out until they are out.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
House, George            28   RR  23   9    .719     3.11  38  38   0   9   3   0  277.2  259  114   96   16   69    5  195   1.181 100.0   0.5   2.2   6.3
Sandoval, Julio          29   RR  13  15    .464     3.88  37  37   0   7   2   0  253.0  289  127  109   18   72    0  101   1.427 100.0   0.6   2.6   3.6
Carranza, Felix          27   RR  16   9    .640     3.92  35  32   2   8   1   0  238.2  247  108  104   28   75    4  138   1.349 100.0   1.1   2.8   5.2
Cari, Jake               26   RR  11  12    .478     3.56  29  29   0   3   2   0  197.1  200   88   78   17   71    1  105   1.373 100.0   0.8   3.2   4.8

Winn, John               28   SR  10   4    .714     1.32  62   0  55   0   0  31  102.0   73   18   15    3   21    2   98   0.922 100.0   0.3   1.9   8.6
Hollopeter, Steve        25   RR   4   6    .400     5.26  53   2  30   1   0   3   78.2  101   49   46   22   21    3   67   1.551 100.0   2.5   2.4   7.7
Evans, Roger             27   SL   3   1    .750     2.65  49   1  10   0   0   0   54.1   56   18   16    5   24    3   31   1.472 100.0   0.8   4.0   5.1
Lee, Sung-jin            34   RR   0   5    .000     4.50  37   0  21   0   0   5   48.0   47   27   24    3   12    1   27   1.229 100.0   0.6   2.3   5.1
Dean, Trevon             29   LR   0   0    .000     5.04  29  19   0   0   0   0   64.1   56   38   36    7   30    1   31   1.337 100.0   1.0   4.2   4.3

Rose, Colin              27   RR   2   1    .667     4.94   6   3   1   0   0   0   23.2   27   14   13    4   11    1    6   1.606 100.0   1.5   4.2   2.3
Baryshnikov, Mikhail     22   SR   2   0   1.000     3.00   6   1   4   0   0   1   12.0    8    5    4    2    6    0    8   1.167 100.0   1.5   4.5   6.0
Cokely, Seth             30   RR   0   0    .000     7.15   8   0   3   0   0   0   11.1    9   10    9    4    9    0    6   1.588 100.0   3.2   7.1   4.8
Morales, Tony            23   RR   0   0    .000     1.42   3   0   1   0   0   0    6.1    3    1    1    0    2    0    9   0.789 100.0   0.0   2.8  12.8
Diot, Mickael            34   RR   1   0   1.000     0.00   3   0   1   0   0   0    3.2    1    0    0    0    0    0    0   0.273 100.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
House, George            38   23    9    6    1    2   25   13   0.658    9    3   26    68%   57   88   11   23    6  4.5  5.6    7.3    108       3       5      22       8     142
Sandoval, Julio          37   13   15    9    2    6   19   18   0.514    7    2   20    54%   49   83   18   21    8  3.7  4.9    6.8    102       3       7      23       4     130
Carranza, Felix          32   15    9    8    2    3   20   12   0.625    8    1   20    63%   52   80    9   16   10  4.1  5.1    7.3    113       0       8      13      11     152
Cari, Jake               29   11   12    6    2    8   13   16   0.448    3    2   20    69%   52   83   12   10   13  2.6  3.5    6.8    103       0      15      10       4     135
Dean, Trevon             19    8    7    4    1    1   10    9   0.526    2    0   11    58%   47   72   10    7    9  3.6  4.7    6.8    105       1       6       8       4     130
Rose, Colin               3    2    1    0    1    0    2    1   0.667    0    0    1    33%   44   64   32    1    2  5.0  6.4    7.0    109       0       1       0       2     122
Hollopeter, Steve         2    1    0    1    0    0    2    0   1.000    1    0    2   100%   60   68   51    1    1  5.5  6.2    8.0    125       0       0       1       1     136
Baryshnikov, Mikhail      1    1    0    0    0    0    1    0   1.000    0    0    1   100%   67   67   67    0    1  2.0  2.6    7.0    117       0       0       1       0     117
Evans, Roger              1    1    0    0    0    0    1    0   1.000    0    0    1   100%   53   53   53    0    1  7.0  9.0    7.0     96       0       1       0       0      96
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Winn, John               62   10    4   35   31    4    89%     36    1   37   10    21%   2.111    37    11    11   18   44    8   33   14   16   12   20    4.9     24
Hollopeter, Steve        51    3    6    5    3    2    60%      7    2   15    6    29%   1.046    11    26    26    9   42    9   18    6   13   12   20    3.7     19
Evans, Roger             48    2    1    4    0    4     0%     12    8   22    8    27%   0.905    13    24    24   14   34   14    7   13   12    7   16    3.0     16
Lee, Sung-jin            37    0    5    8    5    3    63%     10    2   19    9    32%   1.049     9    21    21   12   25    3   15    7    6    5   19    3.9     20
Dean, Trevon             13    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    9    2    18%   0.634     1     8     8    6    7    1    6    2    4    1    6    4.4     21
Cokely, Seth              8    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    5    2    29%   0.374     0     8     8    4    4    2    4    2    1    1    4    4.3     24
Baryshnikov, Mikhail      5    1    0    1    1    0   100%      1    0    3    0     0%   1.555     2     3     3    3    2    2    2    1    0    1    3    3.0     16
Diot, Mickael             3    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.758     0     2     1    1    2    1    1    0    0    0    3    3.7     17
Carranza, Felix           3    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.878     0     1     1    0    3    0    1    1    0    0    2    5.7     32
Morales, Tony             3    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.617     0     2     2    0    3    0    3    0    0    0    3    6.3     32
Rose, Colin               3    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.291     0     3     3    0    3    1    0    1    1    0    1    2.7     11
George House returning to form after a year away was the single largest reason why the Braves were able to shoot back into contention a year after finishing 82-80. House was basically 100% the player he was in his 21-8, 2.70 season in 1969 that ended on September 12th with a torn flexor tendon. A lot of guys never come back from those but House did more than come back. He probably deserved a better look at the Cy Young; then again, he wilted in September, finishing the year 1-4 with a 6.03 ERA. Felix Carranza turned in a career year with 16 wins. He doesn't get as many Ks as you'd expect from a man who throws that hard (his fastball regularly gets into the low to mid 90s). Julio Sandoval, I guess, rounds out the trio of guys who are guaranteed a job in 1972. Coming off of a real Jekyll-and-Hyde year in 1970 (2-9, 5.68 with the Mets, 8-4, 2.48 with Atlanta), Sandoval looked like the Atlanta guy in the first half (9-8, 3.01 through the end of July) and the Mets guy in the 2nd (4-7, 5.59 from August 1 on). If the Braves can find that guy who led the league in ERA in '69, look out.

Jake Cari played well enough that he will probably be in the rotation as well to start the season. He didn't do much to affect the team's late-season swoon in large part because he missed most of September with a sore elbow. Cari wound up with just 1 start and 5 IP the entire month. He's not exactly the greatest pitcher ever assembled but the Braves really could have used his combination of mediocre stuff, OK control, and (for a guy who has to play so much in Atlanta) something of an ability to avoid dingers. He'll be pushed by Colin Rose, who is a knuckleballer - in fact, I believe I imported Phil Niekro and changed his name. Since then I may have goosed his abilities a bit because look, the 1970s need knuckleballs. He still hasn't been very good, sadly.

More than anything else, the Braves were saved in 1971 by their bullpen and especially their ace John Winn. Winn could have won the Cy Young Award if there weren't multiple players with 24, 25 win seasons this year. Basically every time he pitched was a high leverage situation, as noted by that 2.11 average leverage index and that 37 of his 62 appearances were in that category, and virtually every time he pitched he shut opponents down. My only regret is that I maybe didn't use him enough, but with so many supposed stoppers around the league wearing out, I decided to use him more like Bruce Sutter than Mike Marshall. Steve Hollopeter was supposed to be his big setup man but to be honest an awful lot of the fires Winn put out were lit by the former Met. He's still only 25 so one would hope that his sudden proclivity to give up dingers - 22 in 78 innings, an absolutely insane rate - will go away and he'll be an effective guy again. The Braves ended the season with 22 year old ballet artist Mikhail "White Night" Barishnikov as their setup guy after spending the season in AAA Richmond as a starter. He may not have the stamina to start and the short relief stints allow him to unleash that devastating circle change.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Coyle, Danny             35   RR  121  354   43   77   24    1   10   46   68   79    1    0   12    .218    .347    .376       2*
Gamez, Andres            23   RR   81  173   22   55    6    1    5   32   15   30    1    1    8    .318    .372    .451        2
Guest, Christopher       23   RR    2    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    .000    .000    .000       /2
The Braves made a bizarre move last September, leaving themselves with no real catchers to speak of, and then got a little on the lucky side in finding Danny Coyle on the scrap heap for 1971. Coyle is no longer the All-Star level catcher he was in the 60s and definitely is not the same guy who won a Gold Glove in 1966 but he worked decently well with the pitching staff, inserting some levity into the situation you don't normally see from a backstop, and hit well enough to not be a drain. Going forward you'll probably see either Andres Gamez or prospect Christopher Guest taking over. Gamez was so solid with the hitting that the Braves saw fit to use him as a pinch-hitter somewhere around 20 times (I only see substitutions and he subbed for Coyle a bunch too). Neither he nor Guest are anything special on defense, although between the two Gamez probably has the stronger arm. Guest hit .300 over 2 levels in the minors last year and wants you to know that he is Spinal Tap.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Chairez, Dante           27   LR  158  589   89  157   25    3   25   92   72  110    1    2   18    .267    .345    .447       3*
Martinez, Franklin       36   RR   94  104   12   26    5    1    4   15    3   20    0    1    1    .250    .279    .433       /3
Holden, Jeremy           26   RR   34   36    4   14    3    0    1    7    3    7    3    2    2    .389    .436    .556       /3

Dwyer, Kevin             32   RR  125  509   89  160   29    5   19   77   44   47    1    1   15    .314    .366    .503       4*
Villegas, Roberto        30   RR   16   41    3    8    3    0    1    2    1    7    0    0    1    .195    .214    .341     /465
Oddsson, David           23   RR    3    5    2    2    1    0    0    1    0    1    0    0    0    .400    .400    .600      /47

Luna, Vicente            35   RR  119  504   64  131   17    3   12   58   34   62    6    1   12    .260    .306    .377     5*/3
Medford, Mike            29   RR   45  123   13   25    3    1    4   14   17   30    1    0    1    .203    .317    .341     5/76
Clinton, Bill            25   RR   28   60    4   15    4    0    0    7    3    5    0    2    2    .250    .277    .317     5/46
Vallin, Jose             37   RR    7    8    3    3    0    0    1    4    2    2    0    0    1    .375    .455    .750      /53

Reid, Jon                26   RR  145  559   62  149   27    1    6   63   35   99    0    2   15    .267    .311    .351      6*4
Dietrich, Ryan           32   RR   57  129    9   23    2    1    0    8    9   23    1    2    5    .178    .243    .209        6
Dante Chairez is, unlike the rest of this team, just entering his own as a hitter. His HR total was off the pace from 1970 - only 25 vs 35 the year before - but 1971 was more about securing his position as one of the top sluggers in the league in his 2nd full season. That's pretty much exactly what Coyle did. He's no longer sitting games out against lefties so it seems unlikely that he'll hit in the .290s again but, well, there are tradeoffs. The two guys listed as backups to Chairez are pretty much exclusively pinch-hitters: "Cranklin" Martinez, still a guy you can count on for clutch hits at the ripe old age of 36, and Jeremy "Grab 'Em And" Holden, a man who was somehow drafted as a second baseman once upon a time. I say "somehow" because there's no way he could return there. He's got really, really good speed for a 1B/future DH though.

Kevin Dwyer lost a bunch of his power - from a career high 30 HRs in '70 to 19 last year - and didn't lead the league in hitting (.333 average in '70), but a second baseman who can hit well over .300 with 20 HR pop is still quite the asset to have. If anything, the Braves' biggest issues came when he was out of the lineup with a concussion for most of May. His replacements in Roberto Villegas and Ryan Dietrich (I guess technically Jon Reid, with Dietrich manning shortstop) were... not good. That's one reason why the Iceland national David Oddson is so intriguing, not necessarily as a replacement for Dwyer but as a caddy.

Vicente Luna returned from a season that saw him play in just 70 games and seemed to age all at once. He simply doesn't look like the .300 hitting hot corner specialist he was before that 1970 injury. A .260 guy with average power is still... OK but the this is definitely a position where the Braves could stand to upgrade. One option is William Jefferson Clinton, a native Southerner (from Little Rock, AR) who attended college at Oxford and who's much more of a defensive guy than someone who can really fill in with the bat. Perhaps his future is more of a utility guy.

At shortstop, Jon Reid is... just fine. He's no real threat to win a Gold Glove, although he does have terrific range, and while he hits well for a shortstop, it's only for a shortstop. None of that is bad at all and for 1971 at least it meant one position they didn't have to worry about so much. Right now both of the guys listed below him on the organizational depth chart are nursing injuries suffered late in the season so even if they could technically be ready in 1972 they won't be in April.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Ward, Chris              25   LL  124  456   86  135   13    7   12   47   50   67   56   21    1    .296    .369    .434    7*/93
LePera, Andy             25   RR   76  253   37   74   11    5    2   19   22   18    0    0    4    .292    .348    .399       79
Augspurger, Kenny        29   LL   37   57    5    9    1    0    4   12    9   11    0    0    2    .158    .269    .386        7
Baugher, Bill            26   LL   22   22    1    2    1    0    1    2    1    6    0    0    0    .091    .130    .273       /7

Damon, Josh              30   RR  122  459   61  119   18    1   18   61   44   67    3    0   12    .259    .327    .420       8*
Gomez, Jose              30   RR   59  162   29   40    7    1   10   19   18   22    5    0    0    .247    .319    .488     8/97
Aday, Michael Lee        23   LL    7    7    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    2    0    0    0    .000    .000    .000      /87

Riggs, Henry             36   LL  149  559  112  167   35    1   43  119   93   78    0    1    9    .299    .398    .596       9*
The Braves found themselves a bona fide leadoff man in Chris Ward. In fact, the 25 year old 1st round pick in 1969 led the NL in steals, finished 9th in triples, and scored 86 runs in just 456 at-bats. He also grounded into just one double play all season long. That's pretty good! If there's a knock on his game, it's that in spite of all that speed he doesn't seem to take good paths to balls hit into the outfield and as such he might be a career corner outfielder. Speaking of guys who will always be corner outfielders, Andy LePera debuted in the majors last year as a useful 4th outfielder and right-handed pinch-hitter. He doesn't have Ward's blazing speed and his power doesn't really profile as a starter but he's got some very useful tools for a bench guy.

Josh Damon has been circling around the Braves' CF spot for years but never really got the opportunity to play there full time until 1971. He really took advantage of his opportunity. He obviously won't be a decade-long starter the way former guy Ed Salyer was but then, when all is said and done Salyer finished with a .215 career average and Damon will almost certainly eclipse that. Jose Gomez came over from the Cubs in June of 1970 and now basically fills the role that Damon filled previously. He's a former All-Star who's shown pop whenever he's been given a chance to play but otherwise he's really a 2nd-best type guy to Damon.

Time ticks on and yet Henry Riggs continues to excel. He won his 4th MVP this season, made his 16th career All-Star Game, and became the first player in modern history to crack the 500 HR barrier (he currently has 523). He also has 2,753 hits, so don't be surprised to see him breaking the 3,000 mark over the next 3-4 years as well. Lest I sound like I'm making the case for a future HOFer who's past his prime, I should note here that he set career highs in runs scored (a league-leading 112), led the NL in slugging (.596), and was one off of his career best in HRs (43, which also led the league). The Gold Glove he won last year was more of a lifetime achievement / acknowledgement of his great arm; voters went back to normal this year with that.
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The Great American Baseball Thrift Book - Like reading the Sporting News from back in the day, only with fake players. REAL LIFE DRAMA THOUGH maybe not
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Old 06-21-2023, 05:19 AM   #186
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My favorite dynasty / sim chronicle. As someone with a keen interest in and encyclopedic knowledge of rosters from 1-26+, these team beat reports are great flashbacks to reading the “Sporting News”.
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Old 06-21-2023, 11:23 AM   #187
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My favorite dynasty / sim chronicle. As someone with a keen interest in and encyclopedic knowledge of rosters from 1-26+, these team beat reports are great flashbacks to reading the “Sporting News”.
Thanks!

Yeah, those annuals and also stuff like Athlon Reports (hence the name!) and the Street and Smith annuals are exactly the feel I'm trying to get with these. I, too, remember reading those as a kid and gaining that big-time knowledge of the league over the course of a couple/few weekends, including the league I never got to see except on TV (the NL, since I lived in an AL city growing up).

In previous dynasties I literally pulled up old copies of SN and copied/transposed articles from them into leaguewide storylines. Now that, that was too much work even for me (although part of me still wants to go back and do a deadball-era save that incorporates that from time to time).
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Old 06-21-2023, 11:24 AM   #188
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Chicago Cubs





1971 Recap: The Cubbies struggled out of the gate and were never in the mix in a surprisingly wide open NL West. Last year seemed like it could be their chance; instead if was a lost season.

1972 Outlook: It's tough to quantify... this is a team that won 95 and 91 games in '69 and '70 and they aren't super old. But how do they improve by ten games? It feels like doing so would mean a lot of players reversing course.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Sanders, Jason           31   RR  16  11    .593     3.45  32  32   0   9   0   0  240.1  221  105   92    8   95   11  154   1.315 100.0   0.3   3.6   5.8
Lucas, Bill              33   LR   8  15    .348     5.17  31  31   0   4   1   0  196.2  216  129  113   31   94   16  104   1.576 100.0   1.4   4.3   4.8
Tidwell, Steve           30   LR  14  11    .560     4.19  31  31   0   9   4   0  212.2  232  108   99   25   89   14  139   1.509 100.0   1.1   3.8   5.9
Obregon, Javy            31   RR   5   9    .357     5.66  22  19   0   0   0   0  130.1  155   86   82   14   51    3   58   1.581 100.0   1.0   3.5   4.0

Uscanga, Freddy          25   LL   5   8    .385     4.09  61   0  49   0   0  13   92.1   93   47   42    9   51    7   72   1.560 100.0   0.9   5.0   7.0
Martinez, Antonio        35   SR   4   5    .444     3.36  52   0  36   0   0  10   67.0   65   27   25    8   22    8   49   1.299 100.0   1.1   3.0   6.6
Moon, Suk-min            35   SR   4   3    .571     2.33  51   0  25   0   0   2   73.1   59   21   19    5   34    6   54   1.268 100.0   0.6   4.2   6.6
Marin, Victor            30   RR   5  10    .333     4.19  36  15   4   3   0   0  150.1  161   83   70   11   53   10   93   1.424 100.0   0.7   3.2   5.6
Zarate, Jose             22   LL   3   6    .333     5.25  18  12   0   2   1   0   85.2  111   53   50   10   23    6   46   1.564 100.0   1.1   2.4   4.8

Coffey, Scott            28   LL   7   5    .583     3.99  16  16   0   4   1   0  112.2  111   53   50   10   36    1   76   1.305 100.0   0.8   2.9   6.1
Wilbers, Mike            32   RR   0   2    .000     4.30  10   4   3   0   0   1   23.0   21   15   11    3   15    0   11   1.565 100.0   1.2   5.9   4.3
Jones, Kenny             29   SR   0   0    .000     6.00  12   0   5   0   0   0   21.0   20   14   14    4    7    0    7   1.286 100.0   1.7   3.0   3.0
Tessler, Steve           23   RR   2   0   1.000     5.40   3   2   0   0   0   0   15.0   20    9    9    1    3    0    7   1.533 100.0   0.6   1.8   4.2
Grant, Eddy              22   RR   1   0   1.000    13.89  10   0   1   0   0   0   11.2   19   18   18    1    9    3   11   2.400 100.0   0.8   6.9   8.5
Murakami, Haruki         22   RR   3   0   1.000     5.59   8   0   4   0   0   0    9.2    8    6    6    1    5    0    8   1.345 100.0   0.9   4.7   7.4
Foster, Dan              29   LR   0   0    .000    14.21   5   0   2   0   0   0    6.1   13   10   10    1    5    1    3   2.842 100.0   1.4   7.1   4.3
Castro, Frank            30   RR   0   0    .000     2.70   4   0   2   0   0   0    3.1    3    1    1    0    2    0    1   1.500 100.0   0.0   5.4   2.7
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Sanders, Jason           32   16   11    5    3    4   19   13   0.594    9    0   20    63%   55   82   18    6   12  3.8  4.5    7.5    117       0       4      16      12     151
Lucas, Bill              31    8   15    8    1    5   14   17   0.452    4    1   19    61%   44   80    7    7   14  3.2  4.5    6.3    100       4       9      14       4     140
Tidwell, Steve           31   14   11    6    0    2   16   15   0.516    9    4   18    58%   50   84   11    8   14  4.2  5.5    6.9    108       4       1      19       7     135
Obregon, Javy            19    4    9    6    0    4    7   12   0.368    0    0   11    58%   42   68   11    2   10  3.2  4.6    6.2    101       2       8       4       5     133
Coffey, Scott            16    7    5    4    0    2    8    8   0.500    4    1   10    63%   53   83   10    3    8  3.6  4.6    7.0    106       1       4       7       4     127
Marin, Victor            15    4    9    2    0    5    4   11   0.267    3    0   10    67%   46   77    3    5    5  3.1  4.2    6.6    106       2       1       9       3     135
Zarate, Jose             12    3    6    3    0    1    5    7   0.417    2    1    4    33%   40   84   16    2    8  3.5  5.3    5.9     92       2       4       5       1     122
Wilbers, Mike             4    0    1    3    0    1    2    2   0.500    0    0    2    50%   52   56   46    0    3  2.0  4.6    3.9     63       2       0       2       0     119
Tessler, Steve            2    2    0    0    1    0    2    0   1.000    0    0    1    50%   48   57   38    1    1  7.5 11.3    6.0    103       0       0       2       0     105
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Uscanga, Freddy          61    5    8   20   13    7    65%     23    3   14    8    36%   1.755    22    25    25    9   52    7   27   15   17    7   22    4.5     25
Martinez, Antonio        52    4    5   13   10    3    77%     15    2   28   11    28%   1.424    20    25    25   16   36    8   22    8   10   12   22    3.9     19
Moon, Suk-min            51    4    3    5    2    3    40%     10    5   35   11    24%   1.208    10    28    28   19   32    7   22    9   13    9   20    4.3     21
Marin, Victor            21    1    1    1    0    1     0%      2    1   11    6    35%   0.764     4    12    12    7   14    0   17    0    7    4   10    7.3     35
Jones, Kenny             12    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    8    4    33%   0.366     0    11    11    6    6    0    8    4    0    2    6    5.3     24
Grant, Eddy              10    1    0    0    0    0     0%      3    3    1    0     0%   0.938     3     6     6    1    9    1    4    2    2    2    4    3.5     24
Murakami, Haruki          8    3    0    1    0    1     0%      1    0    2    0     0%   0.829     3     5     5    1    7    0    2    0    3    0    5    3.6     22
Wilbers, Mike             6    0    1    2    1    1    50%      2    0    3    3    50%   1.561     1     2     2    2    4    1    1    0    1    1    4    3.7     24
Zarate, Jose              6    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    3    0     0%   0.428     0     5     5    3    3    0    5    0    3    1    2    7.2     35
Foster, Dan               5    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.381     0     3     3    0    5    2    3    0    0    1    4    3.8     25
Castro, Frank             4    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    5    1    17%   0.320     0     3     3    3    1    2    1    0    0    1    3    2.5     14
Obregon, Javy             3    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    1    50%   0.537     0     2     2    1    2    0    3    0    1    0    2   12.0     62
Tessler, Steve            1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    1    50%   0.369     0     1     1    1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1    9.0     39
Even though they were dead last in ERA, I'm not completely convinced that Chicago was actually the worst pitching staff in the NL last year. I wouldn't necessarily call Jason Sanders a true ace in terms of being a top 5 type pitcher or Triple Crown threat, but he's a highly decent front of the rotation guy. He's a solid 24-15, 3.35 since arriving from San Francisco (for closer Chad Nies, who went from winning the Rolaids Relief Award in 1969 to suffering a career-ending torn labrum in the fall of 1970). He was shut down by shoulder inflammation in his last start of the season but by all accounts he should be ready to go by spring training. The #2 man heading in, Steve Tidwell, might be an example of a guy where you want to look at the wins and losses over and above the ERA. The latter climbed above 4 but included in that is a 5-8, 4.95 record at Wrigley. Away from home he was 9-3, 3.36 and completed 7 of his 14 non-Wrigley games.

For now Scott Coffey is listed as the #3 but pretty much after the first two everything is up in the air. Coffey was really bad in AAA Tacoma (2-7, 4.58) before injuries and ineffective play forced the Cubs to call him up anyway and he delivered pretty well, all things said. He's nothing super special but I mean the man did have an ERA under 4 last year. Man. Remember how I started by saying that maybe the Cubs aren't the worst pitching staff in the league? I'm beginning to see the light here. Behind him I've got Bill Lucas at this point for no reason except that he's been there for Chicago forever at this point. They used him heavily in '69 and '70 - 77 starts, a league leading 289 IP in 1969 followed by 266.2 in '70 - and seemed to completely come undone last season. Most disconcerting is his K rate: he's never been a strikeout artist but it's fallen for 4 years straight now and last year was an unacceptable 4.8/9 innings. I also have Jose Zarate in there. The 1970 Rookie of the Year was also very, very bad last season, even getting sent down to AAA for a while (where, to be fair, he went 5-4 with a very un-Cubs like 2.11 ERA). In the minors he seemed to recapture the extreme control/finesse stuff with no gophers that led him to the sub-2.00 ERA in 1970. If the 10 HRs in 85.2 IP turns out to be a fluke, you could see him maybe getting this done for a full season. And in the very back going into the year is Javy Obregon, the Cuban national signed out of that country in 1967 who dropped a 9-2, 3.21 record down the stretch for this team in 1969. Since then he's never quite fulfilled that. He's another guy who seems great at avoiding HRs in the minors but the second he has to play in Wrigley he can't deal with it. He allowed 12 of his 14 HRs at home last year.

The bullpen certainly didn't help things, although by the end of the year it feels like they alighted on a guy to be their closer, the 36 year old Antonio Martinez. Martinez even has above-average stuff, which is kind of rare for this team. He's also not a young man, although, being a guy who also arrived in the US from Cuba via boat in 1965, he doesn't necessarily have the beat-up arm that American pitchers tend to have by that age. Another foreign national, South Korea's Suk-Min Moon, ended the year as a highly effective caddy for Martinez. It's been almost a decade now since he arrived in the States and he had to kind of resurrect his career in '69 with an awesome 16 game stint with the Pilots (6-1, 0.39, 3 Sv). At this point he, too, is fighting Father Time. Freddy Uscanga was set to be the team's starter, then got demoted into a platoon role, then got demoted even further into a lefty specialist. A 1.61 ERA over 17 appearances in August and September indicate that maybe this is the best spot for him going forward. And I'd be remiss to not mention Victor Marin, who I'm mostly not including in the rotation mix because he was so, so much better in relief last year (1-1, 3.33 as a reliever, 4-9, 4.64 as a starter). Even then, he performed better than most of the guys I'm trying out so I won't be surprised if the 30 year old winds up starting a few games in 1972.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Darrow, Greg             27   RR  130  507   42  130   32    0   13   75   23   71    0    0   18    .256    .289    .396       2*
Kohut, John              32   LR   19   60    3    8    3    0    1    6    9    6    0    0    1    .133    .236    .233        2
Rosales, Juan            35   RR   16   57    6   15    1    1    3    8    6    9    0    1    2    .263    .333    .474        2
Greg Darrow might have been forced to play too often in 1971. He did play in a career high 130 games but the second year man saw his average fall more than 70 points from the .329 mark he put up the season before. To some extent that average kind of came out of the blue; still, Chicago has to think about nurturing him a bit more if they want something like a return to that form. A .209 September sure looks like a guy who was playing tired. He still played well enough to reach his 2nd All-Star Game in 2 years. A big part of the issue here is that the Cubs don't really have much of a backup. At season's end it was Giants castoff Juan Rosales, who's a decent defensive guy but is starting to show his age. Their top 3 catching prospects are a guy they're trying to convert into a pitcher, a 16 year old international, and a 15th round pick in 1970 who's spent the past 2 seasons in rookie ball.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Lopez, Antonio           25   LL  161  631  105  197   34    2   42  125   67   92    0    1   12    .312    .378    .572       3*

Perez, Juan              33   LR   67  202   20   50    4    1    6   27   22   30    0    1    7    .248    .328    .366      4/6
Holcombe, David          24   LR   35  116   14   31    5    1    2   15   19   21    0    1    1    .267    .380    .379        4
Lozano, Manuel           25   LR   32  107   16   35    6    2    1   12   14   27    0    0    0    .327    .408    .449        4
Owen, Kellen             30   RR   48  113   15   28    4    0    3    9    6   14    0    0    7    .248    .289    .363    45/63
Potter, Rich             28   RR   46  105   12   33    3    3    1   13    5    9    1    0    0    .314    .360    .429     4/65

Gabel, Sean              27   RR  144  601   80  174   26   10    0   46   19   61   30   16   11    .290    .313    .366     5*/3
Salgado, Hélio           34   RR   13   35    2    6    1    0    2    4    3    7    0    0    1    .171    .237    .371      5/3

Taylor, Jeremy           27   RR  145  537   82  144   13   16   29   85   51   99    9    6    8    .268    .334    .514       6*
Timonen, John            28   RR   36   90   11   17    4    1    1    5    2   16    1    0    4    .189    .204    .289      6/4
The fact that Antonio Lopez was not named to the All-Star Game in 1971 was a high crime. He'll make many, many more before his career is done but the man is arguably a top 5 hitter in all of baseball. Isn't this who the fans want to see? Instead of publicly sulking about the snub the man from the Dominican Republic (San Francisco de Macoris as opposed to the classic big league farm city, San Pedro de Macoris) simply turned in a monster 2nd half and finished 2nd in NL MVP voting to Atlanta's Henry Riggs. He even picked up his very first Gold Glove, though that particular award might not be one he sees regularly.

For the 2nd straight season Juan Perez was unable to play in the majority of games for his team (okay, he started 85 in 1970 but close enough). To make matters worse, the 5 time All-Star just plain hasn't hit like he used to the past couple seasons either. It's probably well past time the Cubs start entertaining replacements. The man for them in September and perhaps going forward is Manuel Lozano. The .327 average came kind of out of nowhere, although farm pundits will be quick to point out that he hit a combined .295 between AA and AAA in 1969. He's also not the finest fielder at the position, which is a bit of an issue given that they also live with below average play at shortstop. That could open the door for David Holcombe, whom I wouldn't classify as a defensive whiz - he's definitely got the arm of a second baseman - but can make plays and isn't a terrible hitter himself. The Cubs also have the veteran Kellen Owen for give them a bit of sock against left-handed pitching when the need arises.

For the first time in his 4 year career Sean Gabel didn't crack .300, although .290 is nothing to sneeze at. He's also the best 3rd baseman in the NL and took home his 4th Gold Glove. There are warning signs there with his complete lack of power - the former league leader in doubles (39 in 1969) failed to crack 30 2-base hits last season. It's clear that he needs to hit for a high average to be truly effective.

Gabel's work at third is made all the more important because their shortstop is Jeremy Taylor. I'm probably being too hard on the guy - there are undoubtedly worse shortstops in the league - but he had a -10.8 ZR that screams "move me to left field" last year. The good news is that he did cut his Ks way down from 157 in 1970 to 99 last year, and his average rebounded from .235 to .268 as a result. He also led the league in triples for the 2nd time in his career. Taylor's got good speed, he's just never in a position to use it in the middle of the order. His defensive replacement is one of the best in the game at that, John Timonen. Of course, Timonen is a famously bad hitter, which is why he's a backup. He's still a 5-time Gold Glover, including a win in 1970 in spite of starting just 89 games for Houston; he had a +19.6 ZR in that time.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Workman, Jason           34   LL  147  565   75  140   18    1   26   84   38   57    0    1    9    .248    .294    .421     7*/9
Brettell, Matt           34   LL   18   18    3    5    1    0    1    1    2    2    0    0    0    .278    .350    .500       /7
Jung, Hee-gon            34   LL    9    8    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    .125    .125    .125       /7

Johnston, Ryan           29   LL  110  430   67  109   20    5   12   39   55   99   20    4    4    .253    .342    .407        8
Cooper, Chance           24   LR   59  153   24   38    2    1    8   22   31   35    3    3    0    .248    .373    .431     89/7
Fenney, Steve            30   RR   43   78   10   21    1    0    2    5    8   11    1    2    2    .269    .341    .359     8/79
Pratchett, Terry         23   RR   11   41    5   11    3    1    1    7    7    8    3    0    0    .268    .375    .463        8
Schurke, Mike            24   SR   10   38    6   14    4    0    0    4    2    2    1    1    1    .368    .400    .474      /87
Crozier, Nick            26   RR   14   28    4    6    0    0    1    2    3   11    0    0    0    .214    .281    .321     /879
Clements, Ryan           28   RR    1    1    0    1    1    0    0    2    0    0    0    0    0   1.000   1.000   2.000       /8

Groves, Adam             31   RR   93  277   50   73   11    3   11   39   48   60   10    2    2    .264    .378    .444     9/78
Hernandez, Nelson        28   RR   66  245   39   73   13    2   10   34   28   38    2    2    3    .298    .370    .490     9/87
Casio, Steve             34   LL  106  145   27   43    7    0    6   20   19   32    0    0    3    .297    .369    .469     97/3
Littleton, Sincere       28   RR    1    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    .000    .000    .000
The Cubs traded for Jason Workman thinking he'd be a rock in the middle of the order. In '69 and '70 he more than fulfilled that promise but last season his average fell way off, more than 60 points from the .312 mark he put up in 1970. As a result, his RBI totals also imploded from a league-leading 135 in '70 to barely half that last year. Workman still has more than enough power to carry this position but he's also not getting any younger and it's a huge question as to whether or not the former Dodgers star can hit .300 again.

The Cubs settled on Ryan Johnson following several years of dealing with an increasingly less rangey Mark Tooley (who just retired). Johnston, a 4 year starter and one time All-Star for the Red Sox prior to coming to the North Side, is purely a stopgap solution. The long-term fix will likely come from prospect Terry Pratchett, an author in the offseason who's got the range to stick in center if he can hit well enough or William Warner (not his real name), a 2nd round pick this past June who moved up 3 levels in 3 months and who'll start '72 as the Tacoma Cubs' starter.

Nelson Hernandez wound up being a really solid pickup for Chicago, so solid in fact that they felt they could let Adam Groves go off to Oakland to pursue starting. Hernandez did not come close to his 27 HR output from 1970 but came close to .300 and got on base a lot, too, basically playing the role they thought Jason Workman was going to give them in the final couple months. Incidentally, between him and Taylor the Cubs have all the NL league leaders in triples since 1969. His backup/"backup", Steve Casio is really more of the team's #1 pinch hitter. He was arguably the best player in the league in this role in 1971.
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Old 06-22-2023, 11:56 AM   #189
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1971 Recap: No team in baseball experienced a bigger fall from grace than the Reds. They started out slow, then fell apart in May, continued that trend for most of the summer, and then, just in case the fanbase thought they might be good to go for 1972 after an 18-11 August, they suffered their worst month of all in September and just missed 90 losses.

1972 Outlook: The fall seemed to be based on the complete collapse of the pitching staff, but if that wasn't bad enough the Reds' offense fell from 2nd in the league to 9th - and dead last in average, too. One year removed from 98 wins, I'd be very surprised if this team wins 80 games next year.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Waiters, Steve           27   LL  21  12    .636     2.75  38  38   0  12   2   0  294.2  261  101   90   16   83    4  200   1.167 100.0   0.5   2.5   6.1
Hagan, Joe               30   RR   9  17    .346     3.86  35  33   0   7   2   0  249.2  252  123  107   39   79    2  155   1.326 100.0   1.4   2.8   5.6
Vanover, Bill            30   SR  13  14    .481     3.77  32  32   0   6   1   0  231.1  250  110   97   18   48    6   94   1.288 100.0   0.7   1.9   3.7
Bertan, Tom              28   RR   2  10    .167     7.51  29  14   7   1   0   0  109.0  124   94   91   23   49    2   79   1.587 100.0   1.9   4.0   6.5

Olmos, Edward James      23   SR   3   5    .375     2.51  39   0  33   0   0  14   64.2   61   22   18    3   21    5   43   1.268 100.0   0.4   2.9   6.0
Rosas, Ricky             28   RR   7  13    .350     4.93  47   9  32   0   0   9  107.2  106   62   59   17   55    3   80   1.495 100.0   1.4   4.6   6.7
Panarello, Graham        26   RR   1   5    .167     3.82  34   6  11   2   1   1   75.1   69   32   32    4   39    1   47   1.434 100.0   0.5   4.7   5.6
Shrewsbury, Greg         29   RR   3   4    .429     4.63  31   3  17   0   0   1   58.1   69   31   30    6   17    2   41   1.474 100.0   0.9   2.6   6.3
Bryant, Terrance         33   LL   3   0   1.000     1.35  29   0  12   0   0   2   26.2   19    4    4    0   11    2    9   1.125 100.0   0.0   3.7   3.0

Johnston, Mike           34   RR   5   3    .625     3.52  18  12   3   1   0   0   92.0   95   36   36    1   51    4   55   1.587 100.0   0.1   5.0   5.4
Maurice, Bastien         26   RL   3   2    .600     4.66  14   6   3   0   0   0   46.1   42   26   24    5   18    0   23   1.295 100.0   1.0   3.5   4.5
Rivera, Manny            25   RR   2   2    .500     3.66  21   2  10   0   0   2   32.0   24   13   13    7    5    0   11   0.906 100.0   2.0   1.4   3.1
Williams, David          30   RR   0   1    .000     5.30   3   3   0   0   0   0   18.2   21   13   11    3    6    0    7   1.446 100.0   1.4   2.9   3.4
Bell, Dave               25   RR   0   1    .000     5.25   2   2   0   0   0   0   12.0   14    7    7    4    3    0    6   1.417 100.0   3.0   2.3   4.5
Hale, Zach               25   LL   0   0    .000    18.69   7   0   0   0   0   0    4.1    9    9    9    3    4    0    5   3.000 100.0   6.2   8.3  10.4
Elser, Garrett           28   RR   0   0    .000    13.50   5   0   0   0   0   0    3.1    2    5    5    0    2    0    4   1.200 100.0   0.0   5.4  10.8
Reyes, Hugo              25   RR   1   0   1.000     5.40   2   2   0   0   0   0    6.2    8    4    4    0    2    0    3   1.500 100.0   0.0   2.7   4.1
Pierson, Pat             25   LL   0   0    .000     1.59   4   0   1   0   0   0    5.2    8    3    1    1    0    0    0   1.412 100.0   1.6   0.0   0.0
Yates, Brian             26   SR   0   0    .000    13.50   2   0   0   0   0   0    1.1    3    2    2    1    2    0    2   3.750 100.0   6.8  13.5  13.5
Lopez, Pete              28   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   2   0   0   0   0   0    1.1    0    0    0    0    4    1    1   3.000 100.0   0.0  27.0   6.8
Stephens, Geoff          26   RR   0   0    .000     9.00   1   0   0   0   0   0    1.0    2    1    1    0    0    0    0   2.000 100.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
Vogel, Justin            26   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   1   0   0   0    1.0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1   0.000 100.0   0.0   0.0   9.0
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Waiters, Steve           38   21   12    5    0    7   23   15   0.605   12    2   31    82%   60   86   25   21    8  3.9  4.6    7.8    118       0       3      18      17     151
Hagan, Joe               33    9   16    8    1    6   14   19   0.424    7    2   18    55%   52   87   28   17   10  3.2  3.9    7.4    112       1       3      20       9     161
Vanover, Bill            32   13   14    5    3    9   15   17   0.469    6    1   22    69%   51   78   16    9   11  3.4  4.2    7.2    104       2      10      16       4     138
Bertan, Tom              14    1   10    3    1    2    3   11   0.214    1    0    4    29%   40   69   12   10    2  1.9  2.7    6.3    109       1       5       4       4     175
Johnston, Mike           12    4    2    6    0    0    6    6   0.500    1    0    9    75%   54   75   38    0    4  4.5  5.8    6.9    107       0       4       6       2     127
Rosas, Ricky              9    4    4    1    0    2    4    5   0.444    0    0    6    67%   45   71    8    0    2  2.8  4.2    5.9     97       2       3       3       1     123
Panarello, Graham         6    1    3    2    0    2    2    4   0.333    2    1    5    83%   49   79   15    1    3  1.7  2.3    6.6    104       1       1       2       2     132
Maurice, Bastien          6    3    2    1    0    0    3    3   0.500    0    0    3    50%   43   67    7    4    2  4.0  5.8    6.2    102       0       3       3       0     119
Shrewsbury, Greg          3    1    2    0    0    1    1    2   0.333    0    0    2    67%   41   74    6    1    1  2.3  3.8    5.6     88       1       1       1       0     110
Williams, David           3    0    1    2    0    0    1    2   0.333    0    0    2    67%   43   56   28    0    2  2.7  3.9    6.2    105       0       1       2       0     108
Reyes, Hugo               2    1    0    1    1    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    0    00%   46   51   42    0    2  2.5  6.8    3.3     59       1       0       1       0     115
Rivera, Manny             2    0    2    0    0    0    0    2   0.000    0    0    0    00%   27   39   15    0    2  0.0  0.0    5.3     79       1       1       0       0      83
Bell, Dave                2    0    1    1    0    0    0    2   0.000    0    0    1    50%   46   57   34    0    2  2.5  3.8    6.0    103       0       1       1       0     110
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Olmos, Edward James      39    3    5   19   14    5    74%     19    0    6    0     0%   1.660    18    16    16    3   36    1   18    7   12    9   11    5.0     24
Rosas, Ricky             38    3    9   13    9    4    69%     13    0   13    4    24%   1.637    17    15    15    6   32    5   16    9   11    6   12    4.3     24
Bryant, Terrance         29    3    0    2    2    0   100%      7    5   16    1     6%   1.190     9    13    13   10   19    9    2    8    6    7    8    2.8     14
Shrewsbury, Greg         28    2    2    1    1    0   100%      4    3   12    3    20%   0.844     7    19    19    6   22    2   13    4    3    6   15    4.5     24
Panarello, Graham        28    0    2    1    1    0   100%      4    3    9    5    36%   0.810     5    19    19    7   21    4    8    5    3    7   13    3.8     20
Rivera, Manny            19    2    0    2    2    0   100%      5    3   11    1     8%   1.077     5     8     8    7   12    4    5    7    4    2    6    3.4     13
Bertan, Tom              15    1    0    0    0    0     0%      2    2    8    2    20%   0.645     3    10    10    6    9    4    5    2    5    2    6    4.2     24
Maurice, Bastien          8    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    2    0     0%   0.389     0     6     6    2    6    1    2    3    0    3    2    3.4     11
Hale, Zach                7    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    7    7    50%   0.598     1     4     4    4    3    2    1    1    0    2    4    3.6     32
Johnston, Mike            6    1    1    0    0    0     0%      0    0    3    1    25%   0.669     2     4     4    2    4    0    2    1    0    1    4    4.3     29
Elser, Garrett            5    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    2    50%   0.265     0     5     5    1    4    0    2    0    1    0    4    3.8     24
Pierson, Pat              4    0    0    1    0    1     0%      1    0    2    2    50%   1.991     2     2     2    1    3    1    1    0    0    1    3    4.3     16
Hagan, Joe                2    0    1    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.583     0     2     2    1    1    0    2    0    0    0    2   10.5     50
Yates, Brian              2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    1    50%   0.444     0     1     1    1    1    1    0    0    0    0    2    2.0     17
Lopez, Pete               2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    1    0     0%   1.025     1     1     1    1    1    1    0    0    0    0    2    2.0     18
Stephens, Geoff           1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.260     0     1     1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     14
Vogel, Justin             1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.033     0     1     1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0      8
All things considered, Steve Waiters turned in a hell of a season. From start to finish he was practically the only functional member of this highly dysfunctional pitching staff and, I have to add, team. Any kind of run support would have for surely gotten him some support for the Cy Young Award; as it stood he had 7 tough losses and had to work for every single victory he got (0 cheap wins, meaning that every one of them was a quality start). His #2 guy, at least as the season progressed, wound up being "Bullet" Bill Vanover a man who, in spite of the nickname and in spite of a fastball that is occasionally known to trip the mid-90s, is about as pure a finesse pitcher as you can get. Although his ERA was slightly above his career mark of 3.64, he was incredibly consistent throughout the season and finished with the 2nd highest Quality Start total of his career with 22 (in 1967, a year he went to the All-Star Game, Vanover was 11-13, 2.79 with the Senators and had 23 QSes). The other guy who finished out the year in the rotation (I mean, I tried out a lot of guys in September; this guy's last start came on the 18th) was Joe Hagan, who dropped his ERA by 40 points compared to the season prior but almost completely flipped his won-llst record from 20-12 to 9-17. Hagan also led the entire National League in HRs allowed with 39. Dingers have plagued him - some would call this his Waterloo - his entire career.

The back of that rotation... man. Tom Bertan has to get at least one more chance. The 28 year old from the tiny but booming suburb of St. Louis called Bethalto, Illinois went from being a back-end Cy Young Award candidate in 1970 (20-9, 3.69) to one of the worst pitchers in baseball in 1971. What happened? He lost a big chunk of the control that made him effective - his BB/9 ballooned from 2.4 to 4.0 - and to make matters worse, he missed over the plate with his curveball as often as he missed outside of it. He'd already led the league in HRs allowed in '70 with 36 but last year's 23 allowed in 109 innings represented a 50% increase in the rates. I went so far as to shut him down with a Miguel Batista style "he can't pitch" injury; his last game came on July 23rd. Given the very high chance Bertan can't come back, the Reds enjoyed what Hugo Reyes did in the minor leagues enough that he could get a chance. We're not so sure. He was 12-8 with a sparkling 2.08 ERA but allowed 109 walks vs just 72 Ks in 160 innings spent in AAA Indianapolis. That feels unsustainable. Scouts do like his low to mid 90s 4 seamer but that may not be enough. Danny Alejo (watch this space) was 12-14 in AA Trois-Rivieres but completed 19 of his 29 starts there and might be ready to skip a level. Nothing to lose so I'll give him a look.

The bullpen was arguably the source of panic in 1971. Edward James Olmos eventually emerged as the stopper with all right results as he told his teammates to "stand and deliver" for him (movie joke!). I'm really, really not sure that he has the stuff to survive as a top-of-the-line short reliever if I'm being honest. The fact that he likes to keep the ball on the ground helps - his GB% was actually only 44% but he only allowed 0.4 HR/9 - in the minors he'd consistently been in the high 50s to 60s so expect there to not be a lot of dingers going forward either. He had to take over for Ricky Rosas who led the NL in saves in 1970 but completely fell apart last year. Stop me if you've heard this one before: Rosas allowed 17 HRs in 107.2 IP, so the longball was a huge factor. Another one though was that his electric stuff that got him 10.8 Ks per 9 innings in 1970 sort of evaporated last season. In an attempt to make some use of him as well as the rotation, Rosas got 9 starts last season, which were not great: 4-4, 5.61 and just 5.8 K/9. Even as a reliever though he only averaged 7.6/9, which is well above average but not good enough when whiffs is all you rely on. Mike Johnston is an interesting piece that's still on the roster somehow. He was actually pretty decent last year when he played. He missed half of 1969 and half of 1970 so the bullpen might mean less wear and tear on his arm going forward. On the other hand, he's a former 18 game winner for the Cardinals, a team for whom he won 4 World Series for in his youth, so maybe the rotation is where he belongs after all.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Williams, Oliver         27   RR  124  422   30  102   12    0    7   44   37   61    0    0   10    .242    .303    .320       2*
Day, Jarrod              27   LR   61  159   28   41   11    1    7   32   29   29    0    0    1    .258    .364    .472        2
Oliver Williams followed up an All-Star selection in his first year as a starter with a campaign tha puts his future with the Reds in doubt. He's always been considered a hitting-first catcher, riding among other things a great 1966 in A ball when he went .310/11/83 with a an OPS over 800. Last year he slumped across the board on offense but especially in terms of power; his .320 slugging percentage was the 2nd lowest in all of baseball among catchers with at least 350 PAs (Montreal's Roberto Carranco was the only guy worse). A season like that only makes a team like Cincinnati more critical of defensive liabilities, especially with an up the middle position, and Williams has never had more than an adequate arm. Jarrod Day is nobody's idea of a long term guy but moved into the lefty half of a platoon in the last couple of months and performed very well. He looks like a guy who might get a lot more PT. They also have Everton Fallas (name change imminent) ready in AAA, although he only had 86 at-bats last season at that level and might still be a year away.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Miller, Nick             26   LL  106  301   37   81   11    3    6   33   33   50   16    3    5    .269    .346    .385     39/7
Flores, John             26   SR   39  102   12   22    1    2    4   12   11   23    0    0    2    .216    .287    .382     34/6
Clark, Stephen           33   LL   32   84   10   21    4    1    2    4    7    5    0    0    3    .250    .313    .393        3
Rivera, Alonzo           23   LL   21   62    7   25    6    0    3    6    3    5    0    0    1    .403    .424    .645        3
Schweitzer, Todd         23   LL   24   57    1   11    2    0    0    3    3   15    1    0    1    .193    .242    .228        3
Magoni, Mauro            32   RR   26   51    5    8    2    0    0    2    3   13    0    0    1    .157    .200    .196      3/5
Hopkins, Robert          26   RR    1    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    .000    .000    .000         

Ortiz, Pedro             28   RR  148  622   77  165   31    6    6   43   68   79   28   16    5    .265    .338    .363       4*

Kraljevic, Bobby         28   LR  143  497   58  120   20    2   12   58   87   67    1    3   11    .241    .351    .362     5*/3
Guerrero, Fidelio        25   LR   44   83    9   25    4    2    4   15   11   18    1    2    1    .301    .385    .542      5/3

Wendt, Mike              27   RR  143  471   44  111   14    6   10   54   26   83   17    6   13    .236    .273    .355       6*
Dorman, Scott            26   RR   74  136   11   30    4    5    1   14   10   28    2    2    5    .221    .275    .346       65
Downing, Matt            37   RR   13   20    6    5    3    0    0    1    2    4    0    0    0    .250    .348    .400     /645
First base was turmoil central, with longtime starter Stephen Clark mouthing his way off the team and into Japan. For what it's worth he hit .306/4/23 for the Taiyo Whales last year; as rough of a campaign as he had in 1970 (.252/16/84), perhaps he's found his stroke overseas. Losing him caused the Reds to look a few different directions, from dropping Junior Cannon down there for a while and then, when it was established that Cannon was not really having a good enough season to carry the bat there, turning to former Cleveland Indians pinch-hitter Nick Miller. Something something the 3rd best first baseman in Cleveland is still pretty good? Well, he kind of wasn't. The team really likes Alonzo Rivera though and likes him even more after he hit over .400 in September. You'd think from the age and the lack of at-bats that Rivera was a pure prospect call-up but no: he was a big-time pinch-hitter for the Reds in the 2nd half of 1970 and was expected to compete with Stephen Clark in '71. Then he fractured his knee on April 14th and didn't play again until September 25th. The Reds are crossing their fingers that that huge loss was just a fluke.

Pedro Ortiz lost 40 points off of his average last season and went from a top flight leadoff man, one who flirted with 100 runs scored in '70 (he finished with 98, good for 9th in the NL) to an average hitter. His reputation carried him into his 5th All-Star berth and a combination of good range and great hands (.988 FA last season) got him his 2nd Gold Glove. It's very, very unlikely the Reds are going to pull the plug on Ortiz so quickly.

Bobby Kraljevic was teeeeerrible for the entire first half of the year. As of July 30th he was hitting just .203 with a slugging average of .309, a far, far cry from the .297 he hit the year before as a cornerstone of a powerful Reds lineup. Then he had a fantastic August - .387/2/12, possibly Player of the Month levels of good if he'd have started the whole time - and a decent enough September (.261/2/5) to pull the numbers back to near respectable levels. Despite the strong finish he faces a crossroads this season. Fidelio Guerrero filled in for Bobby K a lot when he was hurt or just being benched for ineffectiveness but probably isn't the future at the position. That said, a quick look at the farm indicates that 2 of the potential replacements struggled to hit and the third one is going to start the season in short season A ball.

Mike Wendt is a guy you put up with at shortstop when he's an above average hitter because good men are hard to find at that position. He was not above average last year, not even close. Who to replace him with, though? Scott Forman is the obvious answer but the 2nd round pick in 1967 hit the way he's hit throughout his minor league career, which is to say not much. He's a marginally better fielder than Wendt, with only average range for a shortstop but a cannon for an arm and hands that might be the best in the business. Is that enough?

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Gomez, Carlos            29   RL  102  317   54   91   19    3   19   66   45   65    0    1    3    .287    .373    .546        7
Cannon, Junior           27   LL  137  469   65  104   14    1   18   72   74   88    4    1    8    .222    .325    .371      739
Martinez, Jerry          38   RL   46   50    8   10    1    0    5   11    3    5    0    0    2    .200    .236    .520       /7

Burwell, Sonny           23   LR  109  432   64  129   24    4    4   42   52  101   33    8    1    .299    .368    .400      8/9
Tooley, Mark             35   RR   58  193   26   40    6    2    4   16   18   41    3    3    3    .207    .269    .321      8/9
Wilkes, Chris            28   RR   13   18    1    2    0    0    1    1    0    3    0    2    1    .111    .100    .278      /87

Beaulieu, Bobby          24   SR   83  278   46   74   15    8    8   44   38   55    6    4    2    .266    .360    .464     9/85
Alvarez, Manuel          37   RR   30   97   12   22    5    0    2    6    6   12    0    0    3    .227    .269    .340        9
bin Naim, Dennis         24   LL   27   67    8   18    2    0    0    5    4   12    0    0    1    .269    .319    .299     /987
Cowan, Greg              30   LL   20   42    6   10    3    0    3    3    3   13    0    1    0    .238    .289    .524      /97
Penn, John               29   RL   22   37    4   11    1    1    1    4    1    4    0    0    0    .297    .316    .459     /987
Menke, Ben               30   RR    9   14    1    2    0    0    0    0    2    5    1    0    0    .143    .250    .143      /98
Carlos Gomez was acquired from the Padres on May 13 and went from hitting .172 with just 2 HRs in 116 AB with the California club to .287/19/66 with the Reds. Given the way everything else went wrong last year, this was very positive. In fact, speaking of "wrong", Junior Cannon was so bad in his 3rd year in the big leagues that his entire career is now in doubt. Remember, this is the guy who won the NL ROY in '69 thanks to hitting .354 with 25 HRs in 73 games. His average has fallen precipitously since that monster half-season and last year he didn't even hit for all that much power. Going forward, it's hard to even see where he'll be given a chance to bounce back on this roster. His game isn't really even built for pinch-hitting, where you want balls put in play and high average. Cannon is also reportedly very unhappy with the composition of the team and his lack of a role. Good. Be unhappy.

Actually, centerfield was another spot where the Reds' overall storyline was circumvented, because Sonny Burwell did great. In spite of not sticking in the major leagues until the Reds acquired him on May 29, the rookie won a trip to the All-Star Game - this in spite of not yet even clearing the threshold for prospect ABs; he was named the #74 prospect the week before the Midsummer Classic - and surely could have won the ROY if it wasn't for Paul McCartney. He also finished 3rd in the league in steals with 34. One thing he'll want to work on going forward is that K rate; Burwell still gets on base a lot because of his pure speed, but it's hard to see a world where he strikes out 100+ times a year and flirts with .300 every season.

Right field was a minus overall but if everything breaks right it'll be a huge, huge plus. That's because the Reds figure to have slugger Justin Jensen back. Jensen suffered a broken ankle in spring training and then landed on it wrong while recovering in June and wound up missing the whole season because of it. Jensen hit 42 HRs for Cincinnati in 1970 so needless to say, this was a massive loss. The Reds tried using Cannon and Bobby Beaulieu in his stead but only with limited success. Beaulieu at least looks like he should fit in as a 4th OFer and pinch-hitter. Jensen, it should be noted, is 36 years old and so the Reds probably can't count on him to play 150 games in the best of circumstances.
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Old 06-22-2023, 01:02 PM   #190
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Houston Astros





1971 Recap: Following a red-hot start, the Braves passed the Astros in mid-May and never really looked back the rest of the way. I guess their September struggles sort of opened the door but Houston was never in a position to take advantage.

1972 Outlook: Their pitching staff was grim last year and to be honest does not look like it's going to be much better in '72. To a great extent the Astros, in spite of playing in the actual Astrodome, are here to show how far you can go on hitting alone.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Rivera, Tony             27   LL  25   9    .735     3.20  42  42   0  13   4   0  328.2  307  124  117    9  128   24  207   1.324 100.0   0.2   3.5   5.7
McDonald, Caleb          30   SR  16  10    .615     4.07  37  37   0   8   3   0  243.1  241  120  110   20  106   10  103   1.426 100.0   0.7   3.9   3.8
Mullett, Josh            27   RR  15  14    .517     4.45  39  30   3   4   1   0  220.2  242  124  109   24  111   16  107   1.600 100.0   1.0   4.5   4.4
Rodriguez, Herman        27   RR   4   6    .400     5.19  34  17   3   1   0   0  130.0  144   81   75   11   64    3   62   1.600 100.0   0.8   4.4   4.3

Douglas, Jon             29   RR   5  11    .313     3.25  62   0  54   0   0  28   91.1   68   39   33   10   33    5   78   1.106 100.0   1.0   3.3   7.7
Graton, Jeff             31   RR   6   5    .545     4.03  46   8  28   2   1   4  109.1  114   56   49   10   45    7   64   1.454 100.0   0.8   3.7   5.3
Escobar, Roberto         24   RL   3   2    .600     3.00  45   0  12   0   0   0   51.0   45   20   17    6   26    5   59   1.392 100.0   1.1   4.6  10.4
Shepard, Aaron           27   LR   4   3    .571     3.56  31   8   9   1   1   1   78.1   73   33   31    7   25    4   63   1.251 100.0   0.8   2.9   7.2
Tyler, Steven            22   SR   2   3    .400     3.35  23   2   6   0   0   0   40.1   54   19   15    2   22    3   22   1.884 100.0   0.4   4.9   4.9

Lara, Juan               33   RR   3   4    .429     6.06  16   8   4   1   0   0   62.1   67   45   42    7   48    4   35   1.845 100.0   1.0   6.9   5.1
Henley, Don              23   LL   3   3    .500     4.44  10   7   3   0   0   0   48.2   49   26   24    4   18    3   26   1.377 100.0   0.7   3.3   4.8
Ochoa, Alex              25   RL   4   0   1.000     1.26   6   3   2   1   1   1   28.2   23    4    4    1   11    0   22   1.186 100.0   0.3   3.5   6.9
Eastin, Adam             31   RR   1   1    .500     4.82   7   0   6   0   0   1    9.1   11    5    5    3    2    0    4   1.393 100.0   2.9   1.9   3.9
Garcia, Carlos           27   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   3   0   0   0   0   0    6.2    2    0    0    0    3    0    7   0.750 100.0   0.0   4.1   9.5
Bryant, Mike             25   LR   0   0    .000    10.13   5   0   1   0   0   0    5.1    7    6    6    0    4    0    2   2.063 100.0   0.0   6.8   3.4
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Rivera, Tony             42   25    9    8    5    4   30   12   0.714   13    4   28    67%   57   86   20   32    4  4.0  4.6    7.8    120       1       3      17      21     159
McDonald, Caleb          37   16   10   11    3    2   21   16   0.568    8    3   19    51%   49   84    9   24    6  3.1  4.3    6.6    102       4      12      15       6     147
Mullett, Josh            30   14   14    2    3    4   14   16   0.467    4    1   16    53%   46   90   10   15   10  3.6  4.7    6.8    107       1      10      11       8     158
Rodriguez, Herman        17    3    6    8    1    1    6   11   0.353    1    0    6    35%   43   68    7    6    7  3.4  5.0    6.0    101       3       2      10       2     126
Lara, Juan                8    2    4    2    0    0    4    4   0.500    1    0    3    38%   44   72   24    2    5  2.6  3.7    6.5    115       0       1       4       3     142
Graton, Jeff              8    3    1    4    0    0    6    2   0.750    2    1    6    75%   56   79   36    3    3  3.0  3.6    7.5    121       0       0       4       4     141
Shepard, Aaron            8    3    3    2    0    0    4    4   0.500    1    1    4    50%   47   87   13    5    2  1.9  3.0    5.7     99       1       2       4       1     128
Henley, Don               7    3    3    1    1    0    3    4   0.429    0    0    3    43%   47   68   30    2    3  3.9  5.4    6.4    103       0       3       3       1     122
Ochoa, Alex               3    3    0    0    0    0    3    0   1.000    1    1    3   100%   68   78   63    1    2  7.3  8.0    8.2    115       0       1       0       2     131
Tyler, Steven             2    0    2    0    0    2    0    2   0.000    0    0    2   100%   40   52   27    1    1  2.5  3.8    6.0    112       0       1       0       1     132
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Douglas, Jon             62    5   11   32   28    4    88%     33    1   37   12    24%   1.805    32    19    18   19   43    4   32   14   18   10   20    4.4     22
Escobar, Roberto         45    3    2    2    0    2     0%     10    8   20    4    17%   0.768     6    25    25   13   32    9   13   12    5    7   21    3.4     19
Graton, Jeff             38    3    4    6    4    2    67%     10    4   12    6    33%   1.024    11    20    20    7   31    5   14    2   11    9   16    3.9     21
Shepard, Aaron           23    1    0    1    1    0   100%      2    1    2    0     0%   0.550     2    17    17    1   22    2    7    3    8    1   11    4.3     18
Tyler, Steven            21    2    1    0    0    0     0%      4    4   20    8    29%   0.855     3    13    12   11   10    7    8    7    5    2    7    4.0     23
Rodriguez, Herman        17    1    0    2    0    2     0%      4    2   11    4    27%   0.832     3    10    10    7   10    4    9    1    3    4    9    4.9     28
Mullett, Josh             9    1    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    3    1    25%   0.871     2     5     5    2    7    1    5    2    2    2    3    5.8     31
Lara, Juan                8    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    6    1    14%   0.375     0     7     7    3    5    2    4    3    2    0    3    4.0     23
Eastin, Adam              7    1    1    1    1    0   100%      1    0    1    1    50%   0.943     0     4     4    1    6    1    3    1    0    2    4    4.0     21
Bryant, Mike              5    0    0    1    0    1     0%      2    1    3    1    25%   1.657     2     1     1    2    3    3    2    2    0    0    3    3.2     21
Ochoa, Alex               3    1    0    1    1    0   100%      2    1    2    0     0%   1.287     0     0     0    1    2    0    1    0    0    0    3    4.0     17
Garcia, Carlos            3    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    2    50%   0.392     0     3     3    1    2    1    1    0    0    0    3    6.7     33
Henley, Don               3    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.125     0     3     3    0    3    0    1    0    0    0    3    4.0     16
If you gave a pitcher a win if their team won the game that he started, Tony Rivera would have won 30 last year. That's what being a top-notch pitcher in front of a great lineup will do for you, and it's a huge part of why voters put him down as the #2 choice for the Cy Young Award. Rivera's most striking feature as a pitcher is that he forces opponents to hit the ball into the ground and never allows HRs: in over 600 innings in the last 2 seasons he's given up just 17 and has led the league in HR/9 with a mark of 0.2 in each of those seasons. Yeah, he gives up more of them on the road but even there he allowed all of 6 of them in 169.2 road IP in 1971. Caleb McDonald was the team's clear #2 man in '71. The former member of the Cardinals' organization has clearly taken advantage of expansion to carve out a bit of a career for himself. He's now officially over 30 so what you see is probably what you get, and that's a guy who is kind of "meh" but consistently "meh" enough to allow a team who scores a lot of runs to pitch him into a winning record.

The rest of that rotation though... how is Josh Mullett still around? He's been pretty much a replacement level starter the past two years but nevertheless has thrown more than 220 innings in each of the last 3. The Astros even took him out of the rotation for a while, only to have to stick him right back in there again. He's just not good but I guess like McDonald he's consistently mediocre enough that Houston can rely on him to give up like 4 runs in 7 innings and keep them in games. It goes without saying that the'll want more than that. One guy they hope will provide it is Eagles frontman Don Henley, who got an extended look in 1971. He honestly didn't look like anything much. In spite of that he was still named the #42 prospect in all of baseball at season's end. I guess there's a chance he'll develop strikeout stuff in the major leagues. The Astros will go into spring training trying out a couple of 24 year old prospects whose names will surely be changed to protect the innocent. Both of these players had kind of low K rates though so the issue persists.

Jon Douglas led a bullpen that, frankly, could have been better. Douglas in particular is a guy whose up-and-down pitching was hidden by his home park - he was 5-5, 2.60 with 18 saves in the Astrodome but 0-6, 4.12 with only 10 saves elsewhere. And he was clearly the best the team had to offer. Well, okay, there was lefty specialist Roberto Escobar (who, again, I need to use more), but that's barely 51 innings of good work. Adam Eastin returned at the very, very end of the season after missing more than a calendar year with a torn flexor tendon in his elbow. He looked rusty; a return to form for the 1965 Rolaids Relief Award winner and AL saves leader in '66 and '67 would be just plain huge for this team.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Rigdon, Dan              28   RR  128  496   58  133   36    3    6   52   33   81    0    0   20    .268    .312    .389       2*
Copeland, Bobby          27   SR   34  113    9   24    4    0    1    5    6   11    0    0    2    .212    .248    .274        2
Williams, Nate           25   SR    6   15    2    4    1    0    0    2    2    0    0    0    0    .267    .333    .333       /2
Dan Rigdon split the difference between 1969, when he hit .293, and 1970, when he fell to .247. The result was, he was more or less a league average hitter as a catcher but one whose gap power is well suited for his home park. He's also a good, solid defensive backstop, perhaps not the kind of guy who's going to win Gold Gloves for his efforts but definitely a guy who can stay in the lineup. Bobby Copeland at one point in time was seen as this team's catcher of the future but he's since slide into a role as a backup. He also hit for the lowest average of his career in 1971 and is reportedly unhappy about this (although not unhappy enough to really raise a big stink about it). The lack of hitting, though, is one big factor as to why Houston chose to trade for Jose Medina just after the season ended. Medina is not blessed with the best arm in the world and lacks HR power but, well, the latter is not really a thing in Houston anyway and he's hit .281 and .262 over the past 2 years in Busch.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Richens, Justin          39   LL   91  287   45   78   18    0    9   48   27   54    0    0    2    .272    .343    .429        3

Chairez, Alejandro       32   RR   88  314   38   66    8    3    6   25   20   46    8    4   12    .210    .252    .312      4/6
Blake, Adam              25   RR   28  100   19   25    6    0    3    9    5   14    0    0    6    .250    .299    .400      4/3
Sherron, Jon             28   RR   36   98   12   28    2    1    1   12    3   13    0    0    2    .286    .295    .357      4/3
Ryan, Nolan              24   RR    2    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    .000    .000    .000         

Little, Pete             26   RR  138  499   64  115   19    1   15   69   58   92    1    1   18    .230    .313    .363       5*
Ringstad, Nate           35   RR  112  195   24   57   15    0    3   42   15   14    0    0    7    .292    .341    .415       53

Green, Jordan            25   RR  140  527   64  146   23    1    9   60   48   87    0    0   19    .277    .333    .376    6*4/3
Patton, Elijah           33   RR   40   80    7   18    3    1    0    5    5   16    0    1    1    .225    .267    .288       64
Weber, Nick              25   SR   11   41    7   13    5    0    0    6    2    9    0    0    0    .317    .349    .439        6
Reiner, Rob              24   RR   10   17    2    2    1    0    0    0    3    4    1    0    1    .118    .250    .176    /6745
It looks like Justin Richens' time in the big leagues is drawing to a close. He opened last year as the team's Opening Day first baseman but was merely average at the position and, as season progressed and the Astros became more and more worried about Jaden Weaver missing time by hurting himself in right field, they shifted him down. That's probably where things stand going into 1972. Richens can still hit well enough to be a good pinch-hitter for this club but that's probably the extent of his role now and it's unlikely that he'll crack anything bigger than 2,500 hits so long as the 10-time All Star is still donning Astros orange (he has 2,462 as of this writing).

The bottom dropped out of Alejandro Chairez's game last year and, at age 32, it looks like Houston's going to try to kill two birds with one stone at this position. Jordan Green wound up playing 26 games at second base, most of it later in the season, and while there were signs of growing pains he figures to be better than... the only way to describe his play at shortstop is bad. Second base does unfortunately hide his greatest asset, which is his A++ arm, but it's also a place where you can kind of hide not-great infielders so there he goes. He was more than able to carry the position on offense. Adam Blake could fill in at the position if someone gets hurt. The less that is said about career minor leaguer Jon Sherron's 23 games played at the position, the better.

[p]Pete Little[/b] is - I feel like I just said this about a player 2 teams ago but here goes - at a crossroads in his career. The 1969 All-Star saw his average tumble for the 2nd straight year and last season it hit new lows, as he wasn't even average at the plate. He's still a positive fielder, as the 3.5 ZR will attest to, but even a team playing where they play needs more production than this. That production will not, of course, come from Nate Ringstad; he's pretty well set in his role as the team's pinch-hitter. Jordan Green would probably excel at third but probably doesn't have the bat for it himself.

Masanori Hattori played every position in the field last year except for catcher and pitcher. Right now he's penciled in as the starting shortstop. There's only one issue with this: he might not be able to stick there defensively. He's definitely got the arm for it and his range is OK but his concentration sometimes wanes and leads to dumb errors. That actually didn't affect him too much at short last year - just 1 error in 14 apperances for a .971 FA - but it really, really showed out at 2nd - 16 appearances, 5 errors, a .930 FA - and the law of averages says that'll carry over. As a hitter, he profiles as somewhere in between a middle infielder and a corner outfielder, which is great if he does manage to catch on at short.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Lockhart, Jesse          27   RR  105  416   52  122   27    0    6   47   31   56    3    0   12    .293    .345    .401        7
Rohrbough, John          24   LR   86  257   38   72   16    5    2   35   30   39    4    7    4    .280    .358    .405    73/89
Crozier, Nick            26   RR   16   36    3    5    2    0    0    2    2    8    1    0    0    .139    .184    .194      /78
Scott, Tommy             31   LR   32   28    4   10    1    0    1    5    2    7    1    0    1    .357    .387    .500       /7
Clark, Blake             25   LL    5    4    1    2    1    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    .500    .600    .750       /7

Lopez, John              31   LL  148  605   89  163   15    3    8   57   66   52   31   10    4    .269    .343    .344       89
Hattori, Masanori        26   RR   78  252   31   73    9    1    7   41   20   34    3    3    3    .290    .338    .417 8463/579
Foreman, George          22   SR   56  208   42   79   16    5    9   39   24   27    8    5    0    .380    .447    .635      8/7

Weaver, Jaden            29   LL  131  501   77  152   27    2   37  104   52   85    1    2    8    .303    .368    .587     93/8
Perez, Javy              31   LL   58   93   20   26    2    1    5    8   12   16    0    3    1    .280    .358    .484      9/7
Jesse Lockhart missed 57 games with injuries, including a broken hand that knocked him out for the season in mid-August. When he played he was the prototypical #3 hitter. There's no reason to think he won't come right back and do that all over again. John Rohrbought filled in decently for him down the stretch, earning him a free trip to St. Louis when the Astros traded him to the Cardinals for backup catcher Jose Medina. If he does get hurt, probably one of the Astros' pinch-hitting specialists, Tommy Scott and Javy Perez, would need to fill in there.

"Little John" Lopez was a little off at the plate but the Astros could have lived with that. What they couldn't bear was that his fielding, while never super terrific, took a nosedive in 1971. He wound up playing 90 games in center and posted a ZR of -9.8 during that time. Given the way the pitching staff was faltering, a change had to be made and through that the team thinks they've solved everything in the form of Marshall, Texas native "Big George" Foreman. He played good, solid defense, which everyone expected. What nobody expected was for the heavyweight boxer to hit nearly .400 in 55 starts. Even if his average is 50 points lower, sustaining that would make him an easy choice for All-Star. Masanori Hattori is also of course available here should somethign happen.

All that means that Lopez is set as the starter in right field. In order to carry that position he'll need to hit more like he did in '69 and '70, when he broke the 100 run mark both times (including a league-high 116 in 1970) and hit .316 and .290 respectively. He was average to mediocre as a fielder in 59 games in right (-0.2 ZR) which is obviously a huge upswing.
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Los Angeles Dodgers





1971 Recap: The Dodgers spent most of the year looking like a mediocre-to-bad team, fighting rivals San Francisco for the "staying out of the cellar" award. Then a monster end of the season almost landed them at .500 and gave fans lots of hope for the future.

1972 Outlook: Since the giant surge came after the team by and large moved away from their older players and started looking at the new guys, there's good reason for optimism. Maybe, just maybe they can contend in a West division that's in transition?



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Apolonio, Fernando       30   LL  18  11    .621     3.00  33  33   0  11   2   0  263.2  211  106   88   18   77    1  132   1.092 100.0   0.6   2.6   4.5
Castillo, Andres         34   RL  15  12    .556     3.02  33  30   1  12   2   0  232.2  229  101   78   14   68    4  176   1.277 100.0   0.5   2.6   6.8
Salinas, Rogelio         28   LL   9  14    .391     3.86  32  30   0   7   2   0  224.0  199  104   96   37   76    3  190   1.228 100.0   1.5   3.1   7.6
Figueroa, Carlos         25   RR  11  14    .440     4.69  31  29   0   3   0   0  201.1  219  112  105   26   97    2  168   1.570 100.0   1.2   4.3   7.5

Cosby, Alec              26   RR   6   7    .462     2.63  62   0  54   0   0  23   99.1   76   35   29    9   33    2   81   1.097 100.0   0.8   3.0   7.3
Wilson, Rich             33   RR   2   5    .286     2.56  46   0  29   0   0   5   59.2   59   23   17    4   22    1   59   1.358 100.0   0.6   3.3   8.9
Rodriguez, Santos        22   LL   8  11    .421     3.65  32  25   2   6   0   0  187.1  176   92   76   14   63    4  126   1.276 100.0   0.7   3.0   6.1
Wood, Arthur             35   SR   1   1    .500     2.72  30   0  13   0   0   1   39.2   38   15   12    2   15    0   13   1.336 100.0   0.5   3.4   2.9
Parsley, Jason           33   RR   2   1    .667     4.25  24   0  11   0   0   1   29.2   22   15   14    2   16    0   18   1.281 100.0   0.6   4.9   5.5

Juarez, Mario            26   LR   3   2    .600     4.15  24   5   5   0   0   0   52.0   57   26   24    3   16    0   35   1.404 100.0   0.5   2.8   6.1
Reiner, Rob              24   LL   1   2    .333     3.29   5   5   0   2   1   0   38.1   37   14   14    2    5    0   16   1.096 100.0   0.5   1.2   3.8
Mincher, Dylan           28   SL   2   1    .667     2.70  17   3   3   0   0   1   30.0   25   14    9    2    6    1   12   1.033 100.0   0.6   1.8   3.6
Lee, Dan                 26   LL   1   1    .500     6.00   2   2   0   0   0   0   12.0   18    9    8    0    8    0    4   2.167 100.0   0.0   6.0   3.0
Entwistle, Josh          36   RL   0   1    .000    11.25   5   0   3   0   0   0    4.0    6    6    5    2    3    0    2   2.250 100.0   4.5   6.8   4.5
Flores, Orlando          24   SL   0   0    .000     0.00   2   0   0   0   0   0    2.0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1   0.000 100.0   0.0   0.0   4.5
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Apolonio, Fernando       33   18   11    4    5    6   19   14   0.576   11    2   20    61%   59   84   32    4   16  4.0  4.5    8.0    116       0       6      17      10     232
Castillo, Andres         30   14   12    4    2    6   14   16   0.467   12    2   22    73%   57   84   15    3   16  3.6  4.2    7.7    118       2       2      12      14     148
Salinas, Rogelio         30    9   14    7    3    7   12   18   0.400    7    2   16    53%   56   89   17    4   16  3.4  4.2    7.4    114       0       6      11      13     139
Figueroa, Carlos         29   11   14    4    1    6   12   17   0.414    3    0   18    62%   49   84   16    5   15  3.6  4.7    6.8    115       2       5      10      12     146
Rodriguez, Santos        25    8   11    6    0    5   13   12   0.520    6    0   16    64%   53   86   20    0   16  3.1  3.9    7.1    113       2       4       9      10     152
Juarez, Mario             5    2    2    1    1    0    3    2   0.600    0    0    2    40%   44   53   38    2    1  3.0  4.5    6.0     97       0       3       2       0     103
Reiner, Rob               5    1    2    2    0    1    3    2   0.600    2    1    2    40%   56   83   42    1    3  1.8  2.1    7.7    100       0       3       2       0     117
Mincher, Dylan            3    2    1    0    1    1    2    1   0.667    0    0    2    67%   46   51   41    1    2  3.3  4.9    6.1     94       0       2       1       0     101
Lee, Dan                  2    1    1    0    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    1    50%   35   50   20    0    2  3.0  4.5    6.0    106       0       0       2       0     106
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Cosby, Alec              62    6    7   32   23    9    72%     33    1   20    5    20%   2.080    33    15    15   13   49    1   30   12   19   11   20    4.8     25
Wilson, Rich             46    2    5    7    5    2    71%     15    8   35   17    33%   1.466    19    17    17   17   29   11   16    6   10   10   20    3.9     21
Wood, Arthur             30    1    1    2    1    1    50%      6    4    8    2    20%   0.576     2    23    23    6   24    3   12    3    5    3   19    4.0     20
Parsley, Jason           24    2    1    1    1    0   100%      2    1   11    2    15%   0.585     3    19    19    8   16    3    9    1    3    4   16    3.7     20
Juarez, Mario            19    1    0    0    0    0     0%      5    5   16    3    16%   0.745     4    10    10    9   10    5    7    3    5    2    9    3.5     18
Mincher, Dylan           14    0    0    1    1    0   100%      4    3    7    0     0%   0.879     4    10     9    4   10    5    2    4    3    2    5    2.5     10
Rodriguez, Santos         7    0    0    0    0    0     0%      2    2    1    0     0%   0.630     1     3     3    1    6    2    3    3    0    0    4    3.9     21
Entwistle, Josh           5    0    1    1    0    1     0%      2    1    3    1    25%   1.073     2     3     3    2    3    2    0    0    0    0    5    2.4     19
Castillo, Andres          3    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.600     0     1     1    0    3    1    0    0    1    0    2    2.0      7
Salinas, Rogelio          2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    0    0     0%   0.586     0     1     1    0    2    0    0    0    0    0    2    3.0     18
Figueroa, Carlos          2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.350     0     2     2    0    2    0    1    0    0    0    2    4.5     20
Flores, Orlando           2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.250     0     2     2    0    2    0    0    0    0    0    2    3.0     12
Fernando Apolonio quietly had a career year last season, finishing 8th in the league in wins and ERA. He still missed the All-Star Game because he saved a lot of the winning for the last 2 months: from August 1 onwards he was 8-1, 3.52. He's always been a guy who likes to complete games - last year was the 3rd time in his career he had 10 or more of them - and the hope is that the improved control and the ability to induce weak groundouts is sustainable (note: the latter is probably not). Andres Castillo also finished the season on a roll - 3-1, 1.20 in September - and made a decent season look really good. This happened, too, right when the Dodgers brass was thinking about trading him off to a winner in favor of a youth movement. Looks like that's going to be held off for a bit. Carlos Figueroa, meanwhile, was not very good last year but as he's still only 25 and projects as the only RHP in the rotation, he's still a virtual lock (and a .321 BABIP tells me he should be moving in the opposite direction of Fernando Apolonio next year).

For the rest of the rotation, this is the Dodgers so they'll go with the good old Dodgers 5 man setup. That means that 22 year old Santos Rodriguez is also a near lock to open the year. He had a pretty damn good rookie season, starting the year as the 12th ranked prospect in the game and winning the June NL Rookie of the Month with a 2.70 ERA in spite of a 1-1 record (he was doing some long relief that month; only 3 starts). Unlike the rest of the staff he had a rough August (2-3, 4.57) but he turned it around in limited time in September (2-0, 2.70 in 3 starts). Rogelio Salinas should also find a spot in there; dude struck out 7.6 batters per 9 innings so he might have been another guy who experienced plain old bad luck in arriving at his record. If not him (or if LA decides to use one of these 5 thousand lefties in a bigger relief role), Rob "Meathead' Reiner is a guy who won 19 games with a 2.65 ERA at AAA Spokane and largely followed up that good performance in 5 September appearances. He's definitely a control guy, with a hard slider he hopes to use to get more swinging strikes in the majors.

LA was supported by a nice bullpen all year, led by stopper Alec Cosby. Cosby, a former starter who's nevertheless still only 27, set a career high with 23 saves in '71. Those 9 blown saves isn't so hot but those constituted 9 out of 10 of the meltdowns he had all season long vs 35 shutdown appearances. He's a definite positive heading into next season. His setup man for most of the year was Rich Wilson, who at 33 years of age still manages to get strikeouts off of a bunch of junk (which to be fair includes a devastating change of pace). For right now they've got another guy sitting in the lefty specialist role who started a bunch last year in Dylan Mincher. Rebuilding or otherwise, this does seem like a team that could stand to replace some of these lefties with similar righties.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Davis, Jason             26   RR  121  337   32   85   14    0    4   30   37   56    0    0   12    .252    .321    .329       2*
Zimmerman, Jason         29   RR   72  192   20   31    7    0    3   14   29   37    0    0    6    .161    .274    .245        2
The Dodgers intended to run a 50/50 split of Jason Davis and Jason Zimmerman but only one of those two catchers managed to hit well enough to play regularly. Zimmerman still wound up playing a lot because Davis has a below average arm (he did throw out 32.9% of would-be basestealers but scouts insist he's not that good) and sometimes you need a gun back there. He also hit for the lowest average of his career, which is saying a lot, considering "Zim" has a career average of .183. LA considers that they've got a great replacement who might even push Davis for the starting job at AAA Spokane in the form of Jacob Marshall (probably not his name), who, at the age of 24, won the PCL Platinum Stick at catcher with a .287/2/34 season with a .376 OBP. The one thing keeping him from going further, potentially, is that he's an even worse defensive backstop than Davis.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Stone, Justin            32   LL  152  564   94  165   20    1   38  112   92   82   10    6    3    .293    .396    .534       3*

Pena, Francisco          27   RR  122  411   54  107   20    1   10   49   43   68    4    1   13    .260    .329    .387       4*
Tristan, Billy           41   RR   87  188   19   51    4    1    1   20   25   27    1    1    6    .271    .355    .319      4/3
Sego, Nick               27   LR    9   28    1    6    3    1    0    3    3    4    0    0    1    .214    .281    .393      /43
Toscano, Ben             27   RR    7   25    3    6    0    1    0    4    1    5    0    0    0    .240    .269    .320       /4

Maccioli, Brian          26   RR  151  584   68  165   30    1   16   61   47   74    0    3   17    .283    .335    .420       5*
Schwartz, Jeremy         29   RR   43   65    6   14    2    0    0    5    4   11    0    0    4    .215    .261    .246        5

Solis, Luis              22   LR  140  554   79  157   20    4   12   54   28   51   19   14    5    .283    .315    .399       6*
Lander, Brian            32   SR   42   94   10   18    4    0    1    3   14   22    0    0    3    .191    .300    .266      6/4
Curtis, Matthew          30   RR    2    2    1    2    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   1.000   1.000   1.000      /67
LA acquired Justin Stone, giving up an All-Star in Rafael Disla in return, to give them some much-needed power at the heart of the order. His first season with the Dodgers, he did absolutely everything that was asked of him. Yes, moving out of Busch and into the more HR happy (although still very much a pitchers' park) Dodgers Stadium didn't result in the huge power burst that some pundits thought it would, but the man still finished 3rd in the NL in HRs and RBIs, finished 4th in slugging following leading the league in that category in 3 of the previous 4 years, and reached the 10th All-Star Game of his career. He even collected his 2000th hit in late September (he's sitting at 2,007 right now) Oh yeah, and also he hit .351/14/29 in the month of September. Stone is currently 4th in round-trippers among active players with 432, at least to the extent that you can say that Matthew Levario (2nd with 445 HRs) is currently in the league.

1971 was finally the season that Billy Tristan was unable to plah second base. The man is 41 years old, let's be honest here. Unfortunately, this also came at a time when his power completely left him and so he's now a .270ish singles man: still useful as a pinch-hitter if he wants to play that role but that's about it. His replacement Francisco Pena doesn't look like any kind of a budding superstar or anything but he got the job done, with a .230 September pulling his yearly numbers down. Technically they also have Nick Sego except that he can neither field nor hit at a major league level.

Brian Maccioli made the forward progress that scouts were expecting out of him in his 3rd season in the league. He set career highs in average, hits, doubles, HRs, RBIs, and also hit the only triple of his career on May 1st against the Braves. He does not have good speed but he does have a gun and that should serve him well enough.

Luis Solis might not have hit .324 as he did in 1969 but a shortop who can hit in the .280s with 12 HR power is still one hell of an asset to have. One thing the Dodgers hope Solis can solve - and now that I look into this, this is kind of a big thing - are his iron-hard hands. Last year Solis led the league in errors with 30 and fielded just .949 at the position. As good of a hitter as he is, that might take the Venezuelan right out of the lineup. LA is kind of thin at the position, though, with the main competition to Solis being organizational soldier Matthew Curtis, who went .240/12/42 in AAA and had the same kinds of ball-handling issues that Solis did in the majors, with 20 errors and a .950 FA of his own in Spokane.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Griffin, Ernie           33   LL  133  484   61  119    9    7   18   61   44   60   16    7    2    .246    .309    .405    7*/98
Rhone, Jamal             39   RR  100  148   16   39    5    3    2   24   23   14    1    2    3    .264    .355    .378       79
Winchell, Dusty          29   LL   59  112    7   25    0    0    2   10    8   21    1    1    1    .223    .262    .277    7/389

Ernst, Ben               25   LL  103  412   46  110   13    7    5   45   43   56    8    7    3    .267    .330    .369       87
Heil, J.D.               26   RR   47  153   23   44    4    2    7   21   11   25    4    3    2    .288    .333    .477       87
Magana, Butch            25   LL   38  117    8   24    2    0    0    1    6   22    3    3    4    .205    .244    .222     8/79
Hohman, Danny            27   LL   26  106   15   30    4    2    2   11    7   16    2    2    0    .283    .327    .415        8

Costa, Ray               25   RR  149  548   69  125   24    3   20   75   68  103    6    4   11    .228    .316    .392       9*
Vergara, Omar            25   LL    8   23    3    4    0    0    3    6    4    7    0    0    1    .174    .296    .565     /987
With Ernie Griffin shipped out to Minnesota and Dusty Winchell long gone to the Mets, the left field job is Paul Stewart's to lose. Stewart had a fine year with the Phillies in 1970 - .298/14/62 - but got hurt early on and struggled heavily when he returned, finishing the year .238/0/8. A return to form would really help bring the Dodgers back into contention. If not... this team is a little bare in the high minors. By the way, Jamal Rhone is still putting in good whacks as the team's primary pinch hitter as he approaches his 40th birthday.

Ben Ernst was in and out of the lineup with an assortment of injuries and went from being an obvious choice for Rookie of the Year to really being just another guy in that mix. He was the April Rookie of the Month with a .315/2/13 record but hit only .254 the rest of the way. The hope here is that a full, healthy year will see him return closer to that April record. If not, Danny "The Phantom" Hohman has played in just 26 games since 1969 but is still theoretically there or in left.

Ray Costa had a really rough season and fins himself in a situation where maybe he's a reverse-splits guy. He hit only .158 against left-handed pitchers last season, absolutely terrible. That also, I have to think, is unsustainable. By and large he's got good speed but, obviously, needs to cut down on the strikeouts. He's a man who hit .307 in AA Bakersfield in 1969 and .309 in 47 appearances in AAA last year so there is some hope this will happen.
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Old 06-23-2023, 12:01 PM   #192
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Montreal Expos



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1971 Recap: Montreal set a team record for wins and avoided 100 losses for the first time in their history. In fact, they even enjoyed a winning month of September!

1972 Outlook: I don't want to ride too high here; they're still pretty bad, and they haven't found a guy like a Dave Corona or a Paul McCartney like some of the other 1969 expansion teams have. Still, mediocre / low 90s losses is definitely better than well over 100.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Fletcher, D.J.           23   RR  12  11    .522     2.90  32  32   0   7   3   0  232.2  197   89   75   19   72    4  139   1.156 100.0   0.7   2.8   5.4
Olvera, Javier           22   RR  16   9    .640     3.27  35  27   4   3   1   0  195.2  196   83   71   16   79    2  137   1.405 100.0   0.7   3.6   6.3
Terrell, Aaron           25   RL  11   8    .579     4.18  26  25   0   3   0   0  178.2  158   93   83   27   84    2  124   1.354 100.0   1.4   4.2   6.2
Navarro, Melvin          27   RR   3  11    .214     5.40  34  18   7   2   0   0  133.1  130   83   80   15  103    5  102   1.748 100.0   1.0   7.0   6.9

Hernandez, Ernesto       26   RR   5  13    .278     3.66  63   0  54   0   0  22  105.2   95   45   43   11   41    5   61   1.287 100.0   0.9   3.5   5.2
Owens, Tom               39   LL   2   5    .286     4.17  60   2  20   0   0   0   69.0   72   33   32    7   21    1   26   1.348 100.0   0.9   2.7   3.4
Munro, Trevor            30   RR   2   3    .400     6.60  31   1  21   0   0   5   45.0   54   33   33   17   14    1   17   1.511 100.0   3.4   2.8   3.4
Acosta, Carlos           27   RR   1   4    .200     3.96  29   9   6   0   0   1   86.1   88   44   38    8   43    3   75   1.517 100.0   0.8   4.5   7.8
Loggins, Kenny           22   LR   0   0    .000     0.70  20   0  11   0   0   3   25.2   11    2    2    0   10    1   18   0.818 100.0   0.0   3.5   6.3

Young, Josh              36   RR   1   8    .111     4.98  12  12   0   2   0   0   85.0   93   49   47   21   16    0   14   1.282 100.0   2.2   1.7   1.5
Evans, Frank             23   RR   3   4    .429     3.90   9   9   0   1   0   0   62.1   61   33   27    6   21    1   29   1.316 100.0   0.9   3.0   4.2
Matson, T.J.             24   RR   3   4    .429     6.34  12   9   0   0   0   0   49.2   46   36   35   12   24    1   32   1.409 100.0   2.2   4.3   5.8
Pinkney, Armani          27   LR   3   2    .600     3.12   9   5   1   0   0   0   40.1   38   18   14    0   17    1   22   1.364 100.0   0.0   3.8   4.9
Medrano, Franklin        23   LL   1   2    .333     4.63   5   5   0   1   0   0   35.0   34   18   18   12    9    0   33   1.229 100.0   3.1   2.3   8.5
Garcia, Salvatore        38   LL   0   2    .000     6.94  10   1   1   0   0   0   23.1   25   23   18    8   16    0   21   1.757 100.0   3.1   6.2   8.1
Webb, Josh               32   RR   2   0   1.000     7.65  15   0   6   0   0   0   20.0   18   17   17    4    9    1   17   1.350 100.0   1.8   4.1   7.7
Tudor, Andy              29   LL   2   0   1.000     3.77   2   2   0   0   0   0   14.1   10    6    6    1   10    0   11   1.395 100.0   0.6   6.3   6.9
Agudo, Jose              26   RR   0   0    .000    15.88   3   3   0   0   0   0    5.2   11   10   10    1    8    0    3   3.353 100.0   1.6  12.7   4.8
Farr, Phil               35   RR   1   4    .200     6.94  10   0   6   0   0   1   11.2   19    9    9    3    4    1    5   1.971 100.0   2.3   3.1   3.9
Zavala, Fernando         29   LL   0   1    .000    11.74   3   1   1   0   0   0    7.2   13   10   10    1    4    0    4   2.217 100.0   1.2   4.7   4.7
Roman, Henry             28   LL   0   0    .000     9.64   5   0   3   0   0   1    4.2    6    5    5    0    6    0    2   2.571 100.0   0.0  11.6   3.9
Figueiredo, Brian        28   RR   0   0    .000     6.75   2   0   1   0   0   0    1.1    2    2    1    0    2    0    1   3.000 100.0   0.0  13.5   6.8
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Fletcher, D.J.           32   12   11    9    1    5   16   16   0.500    7    3   25    78%   58   84   28    8   15  3.0  3.7    7.3    109       0       5      23       4     139
Olvera, Javier           27   16    8    3    2    3   16   11   0.593    3    1   18    67%   52   79    8    6   14  3.4  4.6    6.6    104       2       5      18       2     136
Terrell, Aaron           25   11    8    6    4    5   13   12   0.520    3    0   16    64%   52   78   22    8    9  3.8  4.9    7.1    113       2       3      10      10     159
Navarro, Melvin          18    3   10    5    1    3    5   13   0.278    2    0    8    44%   44   85    9    3   10  2.6  3.8    6.2    107       2       3       8       5     140
Young, Josh              12    1    8    3    1    3    2   10   0.167    2    0    5    42%   46   64   14    1    7  2.3  2.9    7.1    102       1       4       5       2     127
Acosta, Carlos            9    1    4    4    0    1    3    6   0.333    0    0    6    67%   51   74   14    1    5  1.9  2.6    6.4    111       0       2       6       1     133
Matson, T.J.              9    3    4    2    0    0    3    6   0.333    0    0    5    56%   44   65   17    3    4  3.1  5.5    5.1     82       4       2       2       1     129
Evans, Frank              9    3    4    2    0    1    3    6   0.333    1    0    5    56%   51   72   33    1    3  3.4  4.5    6.9    112       0       2       4       3     130
Medrano, Franklin         5    1    2    2    0    1    1    4   0.200    1    0    3    60%   53   63   42    0    5  3.0  3.9    7.0    107       0       2       2       1     126
Pinkney, Armani           5    3    2    0    0    1    3    2   0.600    0    0    4    80%   53   70   30    1    3  2.8  3.7    6.9    102       1       1       1       2     131
Agudo, Jose               3    0    2    1    0    0    0    3   0.000    0    0    0    00%   23   40    9    2    1  1.0  2.1    4.3     94       1       1       0       1     122
Owens, Tom                2    1    1    0    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    1    50%   42   47   36    2    0  2.5  4.0    5.7    110       0       1       0       1     124
Tudor, Andy               2    2    0    0    1    0    2    0   1.000    0    0    1    50%   56   68   44    0    2  4.0  5.0    7.2    114       0       0       1       1     120
Garcia, Salvatore         1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   45   45   45    1    0  2.0  2.6    7.0    115       0       0       1       0     115
Zavala, Fernando          1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   22   22   22    0    1  0.0  0.0    5.7    100       0       0       1       0     100
Munro, Trevor             1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   18   18   18    0    1  2.0  4.9    3.7     60       1       0       0       0      60
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Hernandez, Ernesto       63    5   13   33   22   11    67%     33    0   30   11    27%   2.028    32    14    14   15   48    3   30   14   14   15   20    5.0     25
Owens, Tom               58    1    4    2    0    2     0%     11    9   28   14    33%   0.721    12    37    37   18   40   12    9   21   15    7   15    3.0     14
Munro, Trevor            30    2    2    6    5    1    83%     10    4   10    1     9%   1.150    10    13    13    5   25    3   11    8    6    8    8    4.1     21
Acosta, Carlos           20    0    0    1    1    0   100%      4    3   10    4    29%   0.446     0    15    15    7   13    4   10    1    3    4   12    4.3     24
Loggins, Kenny           20    0    0    3    3    0   100%      6    3   10    1     9%   1.247     6    12    12    4   16    2    7    1    9    5    5    3.9     18
Navarro, Melvin          16    0    1    1    0    1     0%      2    1    8    5    38%   0.713     3    12    12    5   11    3    7    2    3    3    8    4.1     26
Webb, Josh               15    2    0    0    0    0     0%      2    2    6    3    33%   0.582     3    11    11    4   11    2    7    3    5    2    5    4.0     20
Farr, Phil               10    1    4    2    1    1    50%      3    1    6    1    14%   1.678     5     2     2    3    7    2    4    1    2    0    7    3.5     20
Garcia, Salvatore         9    0    1    1    0    1     0%      2    1    5    1    17%   0.599     1     6     6    2    7    0    4    3    1    1    4    5.4     34
Olvera, Javier            8    0    1    0    0    0     0%      0    0    5    1    17%   0.574     2     5     5    4    4    1    5    1    1    3    3    7.0     40
Roman, Henry              5    0    0    1    1    0   100%      1    0    4    2    33%   1.274     2     1     1    3    2    2    1    0    1    0    4    2.8     22
Pinkney, Armani           4    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    0     0%   0.385     0     4     4    1    3    1    2    1    0    0    3    4.5     25
Matson, T.J.              3    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.418     0     2     2    1    2    0    1    0    1    0    2    4.0     23
Zavala, Fernando          2    0    0    1    0    1     0%      1    0    0    0     0%   1.300     1     1     1    0    2    0    0    0    0    0    2    3.0     20
Figueiredo, Brian         2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.133     0     2     2    1    1    1    0    0    0    0    2    2.0     16
Terrell, Aaron            1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.100     0     1     1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     12
You know, the top two guys in the rotation were actually pretty good. I wouldn't put either of them into the "ace" category but they were solid performances and, at their age, they should only get better. 23 year old Javier Olvera won 16 games for this club and not in a flukey way either. It's not hard to see the growth potential here; Olvera was rated the 50th best prospects in the game going into the 1970 season and the Expos stuck with him through a rough 9-15, 4.99 campaign. Last year he started slow, moved into a bullpen/spot starter role for a bit in June and July, then got red hot down the stretch with a 10-4 record and a 2.13 from July 1 onwards. His K rate climbed into the high 6es during that period. He's not blessed with the best stamina ever and will need to build that out if he wants to continue his road to being a top rated starter. DJ Fletcher didn't have the gaudy W-L record but turned in a sub-3.00 ERA for a team that didn't give their pitchers a lot of defensive support. He's a finesse guy who doesn't have the velocity you'd expect out of a young top prospect but the man loves to induce ground-outs and that is a skill that can keep you in this league. The Expos #3 man, Aaron Terrell, isn't anything great but he ate innings for them and would be a decent starter himself if he could just locate his pitches down in the zone a bit more often.

After those 3, yeah, it's a mess. It's the Expos, what did you expect? Right now it's looking like recent acquisition Jeff Graton is going to fight for a rotation slot. Graton had an up and down year for the Astros in '71 and, I'll be honest, a 4.03 ERA playing half your games at the Astrodome is some cause for alarm. Graton was actually not all that much better at home (2-2, 3.88) than on the road last year (4-3, 4.21) and Montreal hopes that his tenure as a starter (3-1, 2.98 over 8 starts, compared to 3-4, 5.33 as a reliever) will translate. Also, veteran leadership and all that. Frank Evans had 9 OK enough starts in his 2nd call-up with Montreal (he had a 2-start cup of coffee in '70). He's also quite young but best of all, the man throws the knuckleball. Rounding out the guys expected to compete for a rotation spot is Melvin Navarro. Navarro was all kinds of awful last season but he's been the Expos' awful: he is currently the team record-holder for games started and is also 3rd on the all-time roster for wins (with 12, so let's not go crazy here).

After a season of turmoil under Ernesto Hernandez, early returns are that Montreal is expected to look elsewhere for their stopper in 1972. Hernandez was just... not great: 11 blown saves, 13 relief losses... he did have 31 shutdowns compared to 16 meltdowns so there's that. He should stil play a lot in the 'pen, just not as the #1 guy. For now, that looks to be Erik Schnipke, who played in 35 games last year for the Mets. I don't know, he doesn't look like anything super-great himself, although Schnipke does have some previous experience as a closer, having led the Giants in saves in 1969 with 15 of them. I'd be remiss if I didn't mention their setup guy, singer Kenny "Danger Zone" Loggins. He has to become their stopper eventually, you have to think. As it is, fans stand up and start singing this weird, futuristic sounding song that sounds like it could be from an airplane movie whenever he enters the game.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Carranco, Roberto        29   SR  109  342   25   69    6    1   10   35   25   74    0    0   12    .202    .265    .313       2*
Putnam, Brent            35   RR   43  127   10   25    5    0    3   15   12   27    0    0    2    .197    .262    .307        2
Villegas, Omar           23   RR   37   79   11   15    3    1    4   11    6   24    0    0    0    .190    .244    .405        2
Roberto Carranco was the worst offensive catcher in the major leagues among all guys with 350+ PAs. Congratulations! He's really not even that great of a defensive guy and is mostly just keeping the seat warm for when the Expos finally find their catcher of the future. It's possible that that's Omar Villegas, who took over as the backup after Brent Putnam was released at the All-Star Break (he's since retired). He was also bad but he's 6 years younger too.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Munoz, Armando           36   LL  129  514   64  135   25    0   18   68   29   82    0    1   13    .263    .302    .416       3*
Porter, Jaime            27   RL   23   29    6   11    3    0    2    7    2    6    0    0    0    .379    .419    .690       /3
Baldwin, Bob             36   RR    8    8    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    1    .125    .125    .125         
Burkett, Jorge           33   RR    1    1    1    1    0    0    1    4    0    0    0    0    0   1.000   1.000   4.000         

Heyen, Bill              28   RR  148  616   72  173   26   15    2   55   35   95   11    8    7    .281    .324    .381       4*

Owens, Adam              24   RR  128  498   60  151   31    3   12   54   45   74    0    0   12    .303    .363    .450       5*
Hunter, Brian            31   RR   31   96    9   19    2    0    2   10    1    8    3    0    8    .198    .210    .281      5/6
Carreon, Heath           25   RR   15   37    4    6    0    2    0    2    5   10    0    0    2    .162    .262    .270        5

Yarbor, George           25   SR  124  438   51  109   18    2    6   41   48   70    7    9   11    .249    .321    .340    6/475
Watts, Hudson            24   RR   51  174   14   40   10    4    1   11   16   34    6    1    4    .230    .295    .351        6
Meine, Klaus             23   RR    9   23    5    3    0    0    0    0    9    5    0    0    0    .130    .364    .130       /6
Mueller, Brian           29   RR    6   14    1    5    1    0    0    0    2    3    0    1    0    .357    .389    .429     /645
After a 2 season stint that saw him as one of the more fun stories in baseball, the 36 year old Armando Munoz took a big step backwards at the plate and at this point, if he still has a role with the team, it's as a backup and a pinch-hitter. Munoz, who hit 29 and 33 HRs in his first 2 years as a starter, getting broken out of backup jail in Baltimore, slumped to 18 last season and by the end of the year the team had elected to use another man with the potential to hit 30 HRs there in Willie Morales. Morales is a surprisingly sure-footed first-baseman for a converted corner outfielder and is yet another player freed from what used to be a very deep Yankees organization.

Bill Heyen was a good, solid, no-frills second baseman for the San Francisco Giants for 5 seasons prior to 1971 and he continued to be that guy for Montreal last year. In fact, '71 was arguably his best season: he didn't make it to the AS Game as he had in 1967 but he set career highs in hits and doubles and was one RBI off his best (56 in '67). He's a fine fielder, good enough to win a GG in an off year, and the kind of player every team should have a few of.

Adam Owens matured into an All-Star last season and has to be considered one of the top third basemen in the National League now. His power declined just a bit (from 17 HRs in '70) but he more than made up for this by improving his average by 40 points from the season before. Owens was the very first person selected in the 1969 expansion draft (from Baltimore, who I guess did have Marco Perez looking like a guy who'd be their man at 3rd for the next decade plus) and we're beginning to see why.

Shortstop was and probably will still be a position in transition. George Yarbor did a solid job there for the past two seasons but he's nothing super special either at the plate or with his glove (a -3.0 ZR although scouts say he's more or less average as a SS and point to his excellent range). Hudson Watts hit well in the minors the past 2 years but isn't a super great fielder and I for one applaud the Expos' conviction to try and keep the defense working even as they're trying things out. That might leave Klaus Meine, who, like Kenny Loggins, is a singer in the offseason; in the pros he didn't hit at all in 8 starts but profiles as a .270ish hitter with good range and who has a knack for following the Moskva down to Gorky Park.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Morales, Willie          27   LL  142  533   62  143   32    1   27   89   34   94    0    0   10    .268    .313    .484     73/9
Ortega, Willie           27   RL   27   76    5   13    3    0    2    4    3   13    0    0    2    .171    .198    .289      7/9
Maldonado, Jose          27   RR   12   36    6    6    1    0    1    2    6    5    1    0    0    .167    .286    .278        7
Aldridge, Ben            27   RR    4    8    4    5    1    0    2    2    2    0    1    0    0    .625    .700   1.500       /7

Ash, Marc                28   RR   87  320   55   98   19    3    6   27   62   63   12    7    1    .306    .414    .441     89/7
Mendoza, Anton           26   RL  103  386   41  111   17    4    7   40   14   29    4    2    6    .288    .314    .407      897
Byce, Jeff               31   RR   51  189   16   37    6    1    1   12   11   32    6    2    3    .196    .243    .254      8/7
Owens, Andy              31   RR   12   24    3    2    0    0    0    1    3    9    0    0    1    .083    .179    .083       /8

Williams, Matt           32   RR   98  313   47   88    8    4   19   48   45   59    7    7   10    .281    .379    .514      9/7
Martinez, Gabe           29   SR  101  170   16   48   10    2    1   16   14   24    2    0    4    .282    .333    .382    9/347
Vargas, Johnny           23   LL   36   54    4   11    2    0    0    5    3    9    0    1    0    .204    .246    .241     /978
Sullivan, Aaron          37   LL   39   40    7   15    1    0    3    9    4    5    0    0    0    .375    .413    .625       /9
Moving Morales down to first means that at least on paper, at least for now, the Expos intend to use two centerfielders in the outfield. Anton Mendoza was maybe a bit out of place when he played there in 1971 (a -0.8 ZR in 52 games) but, I mean, even a mediocre converted CF is bound to be pretty great in left, right? The biggest knock on him longterm is that maybe he doesn't hit well enough to play there. If he hits .314 like he did in 440 at-bats in 1970, he's good enough; as a .288 hitter, it's a bit closer.

Marc Ash is yet another former Yankee outfielder, although Ash, to be fair, was not a product of NY's farm, having arrived there in a 1968 trade with the Minnesota Twins. Still, he went from pinch-hitter in the Bronx to full-time outfielder in the City of Fraunce of Canadia. Ash also does not strike me as a pure CF and like Mendoza he has to hit well in order to justify a move to an outfield corner. He definitely deserved a bigger role than what he got in NYC though and now he's getting it.

[b]Matt Williams[b] got shut down with a looot of minor, assorted injuries last year and the Expos seemed reticent to hand him the RF job. Sure, they've got plenty of young guys to give a shot to. Williams is a 2 time All-Star, including a 1970 berth that, sadly, ended with him breaking his kneecap right after the AS break, who has hit as many as 39 HRs in a season. He's always deserved more playing time than what he's gotten. Perhaps this will be the year he gets it. If he's hurt again, the Expos do have Gabe Martinez, who otherwise does a fine job as the team's primary pinch hitter. There's also a couple guys on the farm WHO WILL REMAIN NAMELESS BECAUSE I WILL PROBABLY CHANGE THEIR NAMES.
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Old 06-23-2023, 02:30 PM   #193
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New York Mets





1971 Recap: Now 2 years removed from a magical 104 win season, the Mets had another up and down year where they just couldn't get it right for any extended period of time.

1972 Outlook: This is a team that really looks like they're stuck in the middle - not bad enough to rebuild, not good enough to contend (although they did finish only 5 games back in a weak NL East). They also lack organizational depth.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Carrillo, Ernesto        27   RR  21  10    .677     3.17  39  39   0   8   2   0  289.2  219  109  102   23  156    2  252   1.295 100.0   0.7   4.8   7.8
Mash, John               34   SR   9  18    .333     3.94  36  36   0  10   1   0  253.2  258  116  111   20   86    6  136   1.356 100.0   0.7   3.1   4.8
Camacho, David           29   RL  12  10    .545     3.82  34  31   1   4   2   0  217.0  222  104   92   21   58    2  141   1.290 100.0   0.9   2.4   5.8
Beane, Joe               29   LL  10  13    .435     4.82  35  30   0   5   2   0  203.1  229  115  109   31   90    1   92   1.569 100.0   1.4   4.0   4.1

Saus, Geoff              29   RR  11  12    .478     2.91  75   1  69   0   0  34  117.1  102   44   38    7   43    1  112   1.236 100.0   0.5   3.3   8.6
Bechtel, Charlie         24   RR   5   3    .625     2.89  55   0  35   0   0   6   74.2   66   26   24    3   14    2   56   1.071 100.0   0.4   1.7   6.8
Hilbert, Larry           28   RR   3   2    .600     3.62  38   0  13   0   0   0   49.2   36   24   20    6   19    2   23   1.107 100.0   1.1   3.4   4.2
Schnipke, Erik           28   LR   6   5    .545     3.43  35   7   7   0   0   0   84.0   80   33   32    5   35    1   66   1.369 100.0   0.5   3.8   7.1
Marin, Roberto           31   RR   0   0    .000     4.00  18   0   5   0   0   0   27.0   30   12   12    3   12    0   20   1.556 100.0   1.0   4.0   6.7

Ratzenberger, John       24   RR   5   5    .500     4.58  16  15   1   1   0   0   98.1   94   50   50    7   37    0   67   1.332 100.0   0.6   3.4   6.1
Navarro, Eduardo         25   LR   1   1    .500     3.74   5   3   0   0   0   0   21.2   18    9    9    4    6    0   14   1.108 100.0   1.7   2.5   5.8
Seitz, Mark              24   RR   0   0    .000     4.11  12   0   3   0   0   0   15.1   13    7    7    1    7    0    8   1.304 100.0   0.6   4.1   4.7
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Carrillo, Ernesto        39   21   10    8    4    6   27   12   0.692    8    2   29    74%   59   88   24   21    6  3.4  4.1    7.4    122       1       3       9      26     147
Mash, John               36    9   18    9    1   11   14   22   0.389   10    1   24    67%   52   79   18   15    9  2.7  3.5    7.0    108       2       9      13      12     138
Camacho, David           31   11   10   10    0    3   16   15   0.516    4    2   20    65%   52   83   17   13   10  3.6  4.8    6.9    105       3      10      14       4     156
Beane, Joe               30   10   13    7    1    4   14   16   0.467    5    2   13    43%   46   79   21    9    9  2.8  3.9    6.6    106       3       4      15       8     142
Ratzenberger, John       15    5    5    5    0    2    8    7   0.533    1    0    9    60%   51   77   10    5    6  2.6  3.6    6.4     97       1       8       4       2     124
Schnipke, Erik            7    1    5    1    0    2    2    5   0.286    0    0    4    57%   50   63   37    6    1  1.7  2.4    6.5    111       0       3       1       3     133
Navarro, Eduardo          3    1    1    1    0    1    2    1   0.667    0    0    2    67%   53   60   41    0    3  2.7  3.8    6.3     97       0       2       1       0     106
Saus, Geoff               1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   43   43   43    0    1  0.0  0.0    6.0     98       0       1       0       0      98
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Saus, Geoff              74   11   11   41   34    7    83%     42    1   40   15    27%   2.061    43    17    17   20   54    6   34   24   25    9   16    4.5     25
Bechtel, Charlie         55    5    3    7    6    1    86%     13    6   14    6    30%   0.882    14    36    36    8   47    5   24    9   15   11   20    4.1     20
Hilbert, Larry           38    3    2    0    0    0     0%      4    4   12    4    25%   0.719     5    25    25    7   31    5   11    5    7    9   17    3.9     20
Schnipke, Erik           28    5    0    1    0    1     0%      4    3   11    4    27%   0.856     4    15    15    9   19    6    8    3    6    1   18    4.1     22
Marin, Roberto           18    0    0    0    0    0     0%      2    2    6    3    33%   0.531     3    15    15    5   13    1    7    2    3    4    9    4.5     24
Seitz, Mark              12    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    0    0     0%   0.770     3     7     7    0   12    1    3    2    3    1    6    3.8     19
Beane, Joe                5    0    0    0    0    0     0%      3    3    1    1    50%   1.121     2     2     2    1    4    2    2    2    0    1    2    3.0     16
Camacho, David            3    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.460     0     3     3    0    3    0    0    1    0    0    2    3.0     11
Navarro, Eduardo          2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.310     0     2     2    1    1    1    1    0    0    0    2    4.0     17
Ratzenberger, John        1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.071     0     1     1    0    1    0    1    0    0    0    1    6.0     30
Ernesto Carillo won 20 for the second straight season and in 1971 he seemed to do more to deserve it. His K rate was down from 9.0 in 1970 but still good enough to lead the league, which also meant his hits allowed per 9 - 6.8 (my program has a glitch) led the NL as well. He's still a guy who will not allow you to beat him, which means he gives up a ton of walks - he led the NL in both BBs and Ks - but in 1971 it was a legitimately great combination. David "Macho" Camacho should return as the #2 man after rebounding from a rough 7-12 year in 1970 to win 12. He's the control/finesse foil to Carillo's power and wildness. At 30, it's unlikely he's suddenly going to become something new, so what you see is what you get. John Mash will seek to rebound from a really rough 1971 himself. He did lead the league in groundball rate (60%) but his usually pinpoint control was not so pinpoint; the 3.1 BB/9 were his highest rate of his career. He did, to be fair, have 11 tough losses and only received 2.7 runs per game in support.

Joe Beane rounds out the top 4 guys in a pitching staff that managed to stay pretty healthy, all things considered. Beane simply just wasn't very good: his Ks have fallen the last 3 years now, from 193 to 122 to just 92 in 203.1 innings, and while he's only 30 that has to be a huge red flag. That's one reason why John Ratzenberger, a 24 year old who has the look and feel of a mailman even at his young age, got a long look. He seemed inconsistent - 9 QS over 15 appearances - and doesn't have a lot of stamina right now, but as the Mets' first overall pick in 1966 and a guy who was named the #20 prospect in all of baseball as recently as Opening Day 1970, he's a guy who deserves even more chances to show what he can do.

Meanwhile, in the bullpen Geoff Saus was used early and often all season long and as a result kind of fell apart in September (0-1, 4.82, although still 9 saves). He even had a pretty useful caddy in Charlie Bechtel; the Mets just didn't trust the setup guy nearly as much as they trusted the stopper. Going forward, look for both of these guys to get a ton of usage, along with newcomer Rick Legere, acquired from the Cardinals as the cornerstone of an 8 player trade. Legere has saved 18 games over the past 2 seasons and so has what it takes to play short relief when Saus's wing is a bit too tired to continue. Last year the Mets were already 3rd from the bottom in complete games wuth just 28; look for that number to get even lower in 1972.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Bushon, Jason            28   RR  124  416   57   91   15    2   14   57   70   77    1    3   12    .219    .339    .365       2*
Romero, Ricardo          26   RR   21   62    1    8    1    0    1    5    2    6    0    0    3    .129    .154    .194        2
Adams, Gerry             22   RR   17   53    7   16    3    0    1   10    3    5    0    0    3    .302    .317    .415        2
Munger, Randy            36   RR   12   27    1    2    1    0    0    2    8   13    0    0    0    .074    .297    .111        2
Going forward the Mets are going to need to figure out what happened to Jason Bushon. Was it just a one year blip, brought on by a terrible August (.197/3/8)? Or is this his true level? He was still good enough to make the All-Star Game last year and is to be fair a solid receiver but that's something to watch out for. His backup heading into 1972 is Gerry Adams, a man some call a freedom fighter and others, the mouthpiece of a terrorist organization. What the Mets care about is that he's potentially a .300 hitter at catcher. Is that callous? Hey, this is a New York team we're talking about.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Waltenbery, Joshua       31   LL  154  588  112  184   41    4   25   99   91   75    0    0   18    .313    .403    .524       3*
Hirano, Tatsuzo          36   SR    3    6    0    3    2    0    0    5    0    0    0    0    0    .500    .500    .833       /3

van Zanten, Adri         26   RR  139  494   46  129   24    1    6   57   47   78    0    2   19    .261    .323    .350       4*
Alvarez, Luis            27   RR    6   18    1    6    2    0    0    2    3    3    0    0    1    .333    .429    .444       /4

Hawkinson, Nick          42   RR   80  265   28   64   15    0    2   23   28   46    4    1   12    .242    .317    .321        5
Waters, Danny            25   LR   92  254   34   57   16    2    5   25   34   56    1    1    5    .224    .318    .362    574/6
Hamill, Mark             22   RR   67  268   30   67   17    3    1   15   16   36    0    2    8    .250    .295    .347     5/39
Maroney, John            34   RR   22   49    7   10    1    1    1    9   11   10    0    0    1    .204    .344    .327      5/3

Wilcox, Brian            29   RR  110  365   36   84    8    2    8   31   31   67    5    1    4    .230    .288    .329       6*
Ortega, Lorenzo          25   LR   70  175   20   49    9    0    5   15    9   36    0    0    3    .280    .320    .417        6
Mueller, Brian           29   RR   19   50    4    8    2    1    0    4    4   11    1    1    1    .160    .222    .240      6/4
Williams, Robert         32   RR   27   36    6   12    2    1    1    6    5    8    0    0    0    .333    .405    .528     /645
Joshua "Superman" Waltenbery was as good as he's ever been but increasingly the supporting staff around him hasn't... supported so much, and as such some of the local sportswriters have begun to decry his own "flaws". The chief one - and we're not saying we agree, just bringing it up - is that he walks too much on a team that desperately needs his power. On a properly functional team this would be a feature, not a bug, and it's not like the man they call "Superman" has only recently had a very discerning strike zone - he led the NL in walks in both '67 and '69 - but New York writers gotta New York write. Realistically, he's set in place as a perennial All-Star and sure #3 hitter.

Adri van Zanten traveled to New York by way of Montreal and at the age of 26 looks like neither the long-term solution they thought he could be nor a huge problem. He's got poor range and is only average as a hitter. The team has worse problems. One of those, in fact, is the guy who was supposed to challenge van Zanten for this job, Danny Waters. Waters really looked like a star in the making with a .295 average in 36 games in 1970. However, the man the fans call "Mr. Nice Guy" was a little bit too nice at the plate last season, allowing pitchers to throw an awful lot of strikes past him and seeing his average tumble more than 70 points to .224. Can he right that issue? Given the Mets' lack of depth, he'll almost certainly get a chance to find out.

Young Mark Hamill was given the 3rd base job at the end of the season and while his Jedi mind trick powers are the talk of the city, they didn't quite translate into major league success. A .289/0/5 August with 10 doubles in 114 at-bats gives the Mets hope for the future. That said, 42 year old Nick Hawkinson is back to play as his caddy and maybe impart some good old-fashioned veteran know-how. He's sitting at 2,410 hits and I'm going to guess he won't reach 2,500. Is he a Hall of Famer? He got into just 5 All-Star Games, has no black ink to speak of, and even the red ink (top 10 finishes in major offensive categories) is kind of low. On the other hand, the man was essentially a starter in this league from 1952 to halfway through last year and that has to count for something. I guess we'll see in approximately 6 years.

New York looks pretty set on Luis Ortega to be their starter for 1971, so much so that they already shipped Brian Wilcox off to St. Louis. Ortega's only 25 and so the fact that he had a job and then lost it last year doesn't necessarily mean he's not worth watching. His main issue is that he's not a super great fielder at the position (whereas Wilcox was and still is one of the top defensive shortstops in all of baseball). If he winds up not being the guy, the Mets have a couple of intriguing, weirdly unnamed prospects who project to start the season in AAA right now.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Yebra, Ruberto           29   RR  106  379   47  102   13    5    3   32   33   40   19    8    7    .269    .327    .354      7/3
Wagner, Brad             22   LL   33  109   15   23    1    2    5   13   18   22    0    0    2    .211    .326    .394        7
Winchell, Dusty          29   LL   57   96   10   28    5    0    1   10    9   19    2    0    2    .292    .343    .375     /789
Damian, Kyle             31   RR   26   58    7   12    0    0    3   10    2    7    0    0    3    .207    .233    .362     /789
Diaz, Mario              38   LL   28   36   10   10    2    0    2    3    5    0    2    0    0    .278    .366    .500      /79
Palencia, Ramiro         40   RR   21   24    2    4    0    0    0    1    2    7    0    0    0    .167    .231    .167       /7
Patterson, Matayahu      35   LL    9    8    1    1    1    0    0    1    2    0    0    0    0    .125    .300    .250       /7

Hope, Curtis             26   LR  152  565   80  162   33    8   22   85   67  109   11   11    4    .287    .363    .490       8*
Allen, Mike              33   RR    8   13    0    2    1    0    0    1    2    4    0    0    0    .154    .267    .231      /89

Washington, Jimmy        28   LL  119  456   62  116   22    1   17   66   29   69    0    0   12    .254    .302    .419     9*/7
Tooley, Mark             35   RR   39  106    9   19    1    0    4   13    8   11    2    0    0    .179    .235    .302     9/78
Fath, Jon                34   LR   26   64    6   14    2    0    1    5    4   11    0    0    0    .219    .265    .297      9/3
Arriaga, Edgar           35   RR   18   34    1    6    0    0    0    2    5    9    0    0    0    .176    .282    .176      /93
Greenlee, Adam           35   LL   12   10    1    2    2    0    0    1    1    0    0    0    0    .200    .273    .400       /9
After kind of dealing with Braves castoff Ruberto Yebra for most of last season, the Mets look committed to LF prospect Ethan Keesee, newly arrived from St. Louis and fresh off of his first ever World Series. Keesee probably isn't a .358 hitter, as he was in the regular season - that came after a .261/2/19 showing in AAA Tulsa - but he's a good fielder and more of a building block to grow on than Yebra, who, for a guy with plus speed, is surprisingly bad at getting a jump on the ball. This is one position where the team has lot of people to try, if not necessarily a lot of talent, from failed Dodgers prospect Dusty Winchell to the 22 year old Brad Wagner, who stunk in the big leagues but hit .271/14/34 in 91 games at AA Memphis last year.

Curtis Hope took a nice and relatively unexpected step forward in his 4th season as a starter to finish 2nd on the team in HRs and RBIs and, by season's end, take over the cleanup spot from longtime incumbent Jimmy Washington. Hope still strikes out an awful lot for a person with his speed but the Mets seem to be pretty content with his development as a power hitter rather than the customary leadoff role a CF will often fill. Hope did miss out on winning a 3rd Gold Glove and from what the scouts say he probably won't get a lot of hardware in the future; he's fine in center, just not GG quality anymore.

The aforementioned Jimmy Washington missed more than 40 games due to injury and when he did play he was relatively ineffective for the 2nd consecutive year. This means that 1972 has to be a watershed season for the man the fans refer to as "Jimmy Olsen" for his services as a right-hand man to Joshua Waltenbery or else he could find himself out of a job. Of course, for the latter to happen, the Mets would need a replacement; they had absolutely nothing last year when Washington missed a month with a broken finger to the point that they had to sign several old men off the street, and even now there's nobody in the minor leagues who looks closer than a late-season 1972 debut at the earliest.
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Old 06-23-2023, 03:34 PM   #194
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Philadelphia Phillies





1971 Recap: Philadelphia fought the Cardinals for most of the season (with the Pirates also popping into the conversation at times), only to fall off with a 10-17 August and a 14-14 September.

1972 Outlook: This was the second straight season this franchise, who's experienced some highs (2 WS championships, most recently in 1966) and lows (a 9th place finish in 1964 with a 64-98 record and as recently as 1969 a finish 24 1/2 games out of first place) finished "in the money", and they'd love for this to be the year that they cash in. For that to happen, they'll need to reverse some of the regression in their rotation and get more out of their lineup than a lot of walks.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Gaddi, Marius            28   RR  16  20    .444     3.47  40  40   0  12   1   0  298.1  286  125  115   21   92    8  233   1.267 100.0   0.6   2.8   7.0
Quintana, Roger          23   LL  17  14    .548     3.39  39  39   0  11   2   0  287.0  271  121  108   30   85    7  223   1.240 100.0   0.9   2.7   7.0
Starkey, Richard         22   LL  19   8    .704     3.52  36  36   0  10   2   0  258.1  237  111  101   19   68    1  139   1.181 100.0   0.7   2.4   4.8
Ording, Billy            27   RR  10  15    .400     4.22  33  33   0   4   0   0  213.1  208  105  100   14   87    6  121   1.383 100.0   0.6   3.7   5.1

Grohs, Tom               28   LL   9   7    .563     3.54  67   0  55   0   0  20   86.1   84   41   34   11   25    5   60   1.263 100.0   1.1   2.6   6.3
Sherritt, Joe            30   RR   4   2    .667     2.97  45   0  33   0   0   4   60.2   56   20   20    0   18    3   24   1.220 100.0   0.0   2.7   3.6
Sanchez, Omar            29   LR   4   1    .800     2.70  42   0  17   0   0   1   56.2   46   20   17    3   10    2   40   0.988 100.0   0.5   1.6   6.4
Wille, Josh              27   LL   2   3    .400     2.37  41   3  14   0   0   2   60.2   41   20   16    8    9    0   49   0.824 100.0   1.2   1.3   7.3
de la Cruz, Luis         33   RR   1   4    .200     6.98  16   2   3   0   0   0   29.2   38   23   23    5   12    1   15   1.685 100.0   1.5   3.6   4.6

Parks, Dale              33   LL   0   1    .000     3.74   9   4   0   0   0   0   33.2   31   15   14    2   13    0   17   1.307 100.0   0.5   3.5   4.5
Natalie, Tim             25   LL   2   1    .667     2.81   5   3   0   0   0   0   25.2   22   10    8    1    6    0   11   1.091 100.0   0.4   2.1   3.9
Fernandez, Hector        27   LR   0   0    .000     7.02   4   1   0   0   0   0   16.2   22   13   13    3    7    0   14   1.740 100.0   1.6   3.8   7.6
Mounier, Robby           35   RR   1   0   1.000     1.42   6   0   3   0   0   0    6.1    4    1    1    0    2    0    5   0.947 100.0   0.0   2.8   7.1
Agudo, Jose              26   RR   0   1    .000     7.50   1   1   0   0   0   0    6.0    8    5    5    0    9    0    4   2.833 100.0   0.0  13.5   6.0
Sweetapple, Douglas      32   LL   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   0   0   0   0    1.0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3   0.000 100.0   0.0   0.0  27.0
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Gaddi, Marius            40   16   20    4    1   10   19   21   0.475   12    1   27    68%   56   86   12   26    4  3.2  3.8    7.5    113       1       8      20      11     172
Quintana, Roger          39   17   14    8    0    8   23   16   0.590   11    2   31    79%   56   98   22   24    5  3.7  4.5    7.4    112       0       5      26       8     146
Starkey, Richard         36   19    8    9    2    2   24   12   0.667   10    2   25    69%   55   90   12   17    9  4.9  6.1    7.2    105       2      10      17       7     139
Ording, Billy            33   10   15    8    3    5   14   19   0.424    4    0   18    55%   50   80    8   16    9  2.8  4.0    6.5     99       3      13      13       4     129
Parks, Dale               4    0    1    3    0    1    1    3   0.250    0    0    3    75%   48   61   27    1    3  2.5  3.4    6.7    111       0       1       2       1     127
Wille, Josh               3    2    1    0    0    1    2    1   0.667    0    0    3   100%   63   68   59    2    0  4.3  5.5    7.1    107       0       0       3       0     110
Natalie, Tim              3    1    1    1    0    1    1    2   0.333    0    0    3   100%   57   64   51    1    2  2.0  2.5    7.1     99       1       0       2       0     118
de la Cruz, Luis          2    1    1    0    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    1    50%   30   44   16    0    0  2.0  4.3    4.2     73       1       1       0       0      94
Fernandez, Hector         1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    1   100%   51   51   51    0    1  2.0  3.0    6.0    101       0       0       1       0     101
Agudo, Jose               1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   31   31   31    0    1  2.0  3.0    6.0    128       0       0       0       1     128
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Grohs, Tom               67    9    7   33   20   13    61%     33    0   26   15    37%   1.826    33    22    21   15   52   13   26   16   24    9   18    3.9     20
Sherritt, Joe            45    4    2    6    4    2    67%      7    1    4    1    20%   1.039     8    32    31    3   42    0   15   10    7    4   24    4.0     20
Sanchez, Omar            42    4    1    2    1    1    50%      8    6   23   10    30%   0.942    10    23    23   14   28   11   15    8    5    3   26    4.0     19
Wille, Josh              38    0    2    3    2    1    67%     11    8   20    5    20%   0.876     6    23    23   10   28    6    7    8    4    7   19    3.1     14
de la Cruz, Luis         14    0    3    0    0    0     0%      1    1    6    2    25%   0.580     1    10    10    4   10    2    6    2    2    1    9    4.6     22
Mounier, Robby            6    1    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    3    2    40%   0.546     0     4     4    2    4    2    2    1    1    1    3    3.2     15
Parks, Dale               5    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    1    33%   0.412     0     5     5    2    3    0    2    1    1    0    3    4.2     15
Fernandez, Hector         3    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    0     0%   0.613     0     2     2    2    1    0    3    0    1    0    2   10.7     61
Natalie, Tim              2    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   1.121     0     1     1    0    2    1    1    0    0    0    2    6.5     33
Sweetapple, Douglas       1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.167     0     1     1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     15
Make no bones about it, Marus Gaddi wilted in the summer heat last year and overall maybe got used a bit too often. He actually improved on his K rate in a season where Ks as a whole were way down but thanks in large part to a record of 5-8, 4.72 record from August 1 onwards, he led the league in losses - one year removed from setting the modern record for wins - and saw his ERA balloon by more than a run from his league-leading 2.31 mark in 1970. He also had a disturbing penchant for allowing runners on base to advance: Gaddi led the league in wild pitches with 21 and baserunners were 22/30 on him in terms of stealing. He is not blessed with the best of pickoff moves and so his catchers have to put in double duty. I would still be quite surprised if he doens't bounce right back in 1972. His #2 guy going in looks like the former Beatle, "22" year old Richard "Ringo Starr" Starkey, who was so good with Philly that if it wasn't for his former bandmate in San Diego he'd have been the ROY for sure. Starkey's more of a control guy and was kind of a rock down the stretch, with a 7-3 record in 13 starts while Gaddi was floundering. Roger Quintana is also very much still there and is quite young himself. The Dominican set career highs in innings pitched and wins - also losses but who's counting? - and throws bullets that bely his small, 5'11" frame. He also had basically the same K rate as in '70, which, like Gaddi, might mean he got better given the overall performance of the league.

With a top 3 like that, what else do you need? The Phillies will probably start the year with Billy Ording in their rotation. The 28 year old Ording did not fare well in his first full season in Philadelphia but he's still useful as a guy who can keep teams from loading up on right-handed hitters with lefties Starkey and Quintana ahead of him. He's a guy who saw a precipitous decline in his K rate from a solid 6.8 to 5.1 last season. Should the team decide to take their licks with soutpaws, former White Sox prospect Tim Natalie is a possible guy they can use. Speaking of K rates, though, his was reeeeeeeally low in AAA Eugene - 2.7/9 - although he was otherwise very effective (10-10, 2.85 ERA, 15 CGs in 27 starts). This is also still a guy who was, as recently as October of last year, rated as a top-50 prospect. For right now the team is also seeking to take a flier on lifelong Oklahoman Travis "Sooner" McConnell, who had 196 Ks in 221.1 innings at AAA Eugene last year. He's also got iffy control - 116 walks - and is at a point where you can't really call him a year away - at 25 years of age he's either got it or he doesn't - but as a potential #5 guy and long reliever, that's honestly not bad at all.

The Phillies finished in a big tie for 6th in the major leagues in complete games last season in large part because they fell out of trust with the stopper Tom "Hippie" Grohs. Was this simple discrimination against a young leftist or was it other factors? The numbers indicate that the Phillies were right to be wary: Grohs blew 13 out of 33 opportunities and allowed more than half of his inherited runners to score - 15 of 26 (yeah, my math above is wrong). He also is the target of complaints for being lackadaisical in the clubhouse and the field, although that part could just be people clashing with his, ahem, unique approach to baseball. He's the team's closer going into 1972 but they'll likely have a short leash on him. Joe Sherritt was his setup guy. He throws from a weird, sidearm, almost submarine location and doesn't get very many strikeouts, not even against other right-handers. He's also less of a groundball expert than you'd think he'd be given all this. Despite that, he had a sub-3.00 ERA last year and has a career 2.98. You can understand why Philadelphia wouldn't want to close with him but maybe he can be used a lot more often. Another guy who could possibly see more use is one of the few lefty specialists I seem to trust: Josh Willie. This was an era where these guys often did play like 75 games with 75 IP (this basically describes Jim Bouton in 1969, although Bouton was a righty).

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Rahn, Sam                30   RR  125  448   47  117   19    2    5   52   34   79    0    0   17    .261    .316    .346       2*
Citro, Lee               33   RR   49  134    9   34    7    0    0   12   17   25    0    0    5    .254    .336    .306        2
The Phillies' catching tandem of Sam Rahn and Lee Citro is pretty well established now as, if not the best in the business, a source of solid production and good defense that Philadelphia can just kind of set and forget. Rahn was quite a bit off from his rookie numbers of .288/8/37 last season but you know what? .261/5/52 is just fine. His arm is average to above average although he has to deal with some pitchers who don't care overly much about steals so his catch rate of 32.9% doesn't stand out. Citro's basically just Rahn, only a little worse. Last year his arm did seem to take a step backwards - he only threw out 28.1% of would-be stealers - and the former starter with St. Louis is reportedly complaining he should be used more often, so a replacement may be inbound. For that to happen, the Phillies would need to first come up with someone, and they have nobody in the organization that's particularly close at the position.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Coffey, Josh             28   RR  156  632   85  191   26    0   18   76   59   67    1    0   25    .302    .363    .429       3*
Serrano, Juan            30   LL    5    4    0    0    0    0    0    0    1    1    0    0    0    .000    .200    .000         

Serna, Victor            31   RR  142  509   66  102   19    3   22   71   73  115    4    3    9    .200    .303    .379     4*/6
Carrasco, Francisco      26   RR   45   59   15   18    5    1    1    6   11   18    0    2    0    .305    .411    .475      4/5

Becerra, Alex            32   RR  120  391   63   97   16    0   30   72   78   90    0    1    6    .248    .373    .519       5*
Rowe, Nate               26   RR   80  276   39   93   13    3   11   54   20   35    1    2    6    .337    .380    .525     5467
Ramos, Cris              33   LR   49  130   19   34    7    0    6   20    9   15    0    0    5    .262    .310    .454        5
King, Joel               26   RR    4   10    2    2    1    0    1    4    0    2    0    0    0    .200    .200    .600       /5

Shannon, Tony            26   RR  150  575  100  190   30    4   14   76   92   79   39    7   11    .330    .419    .470     6*/3
Josh Coffey cashed in his 3rd .300 season in 3 years with the team into his very first All-Star nod. Coffey has good but not amazing power and isn't the fastest man on the basepaths but all that can be accepted when you hit like a prototypical #3 hitter. Coffey actually led the league in at-bats last year. I have it in mind to write a program that uses Bill James Similarity Scores to compare players to their major league counterparts and I am like 99% sure that Coffey's #1 comp would be Bill Buckner. He's got some of that Bucknerian lack of range, too, although Buckner's biggest gaffe - the "GROUND BALL TO FIRST BASE... IT'S BEHIND THE BAG" play in the 1986 World Series - came in his late 30s, and OOTP doesn't have a special lever where some 1B refuse to do finish 3U groundballs and make the pitcher cover instead.

Victor Serna has found himself right on the line of striking out too much and last year it looks like he might have played his way out of a job. The power, at least most of it, is still there, although if I'm beign honest the low average is a lot easier to stomach when a guy is hitting 37 HRs (as he did in 1970) than last year's 22. And he does, in fairness, walk a lot (note: I personally love me some guys who walk but I also try to filter that through early 70s sensibilities in this save). Still, .200 is unacceptable for a second baseman and Serna needed to hit .255 in August to even get to that level (I'd say "and September" but he was back to his normal ways with a .202/7/16 month). Nate Rowe is pretty much the opposite kind of player to Serna: not only did he hit .337 in half a year last year, the Cape Coral, FL native hit .360 in AAA Eugene in 1970. He doesn't strike out a huge amount and all in all just finds ways to get on base. Serna's only possible saving grace is that Rowe is a pure utility guy and might need to fill in elsewhere at times.

For instance, third base, where Alex Becerra kept the wolves off of him for a season by setting a career high with 30 HRs. He'd have surely done the same with runs and RBIs but he missed a bunch of time over the summer with recurring knee tendinitis and then had to pack it in for the year with a broken collarbone suffered on September 15. Becerra has the rep of being a terrible fielder at third base, an absolute butcher. Last season he only committed 14 errors afield for a relatively OK fielding average of .948 and a "this isn't killing us" ZR of -2.9. This is probably where Rowe would have to play if Becerra regresses to the .907 FA with 31 errors he put up in 1970.

Tony Shannon, like Becerra, is also more of an offensive-minded player at a defensive position. He did have a positive ZR although that came with 23 errors and a .965 FA. When you hit .330 (2nd in the NL) and lead the league in on-base percentage, you can get a bit of leeway there. Rowe played here a bit when Shannon experienced some neck stiffness in August but is too valuable elsewhere.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Anderson, Brandon        23   RR  112  368   52  101   19    4    8   46   57   71   10   12    5    .274    .366    .413      798
Ashbaker, Ryan           28   RR   69  185   22   47    9    1    1   15   11   30    1    2    4    .254    .298    .330     79/8
Stewart, Paul            28   LL   39  143   13   34    2    1    0    8    6   25    1    0    5    .238    .267    .266        7
Valencia, Antonio        25   LL   30   97   10   25    3    0    1   10    8   15    2    0    2    .258    .327    .320        7
Powell, Andrew           27   LL   10   31    6    9    3    0    1    5    0    5    0    0    0    .290    .281    .484       /7
McCarty, Paul            26   LR   10   16    1    4    0    0    0    1    0    3    0    0    2    .250    .250    .250       /7

Tarala, Bryant           29   LR  123  446   81  100   13    4   17   58   87   96   24   15    2    .224    .359    .386       8*
O'Connor, Mark           27   LL   33   81    8   16    3    0    1    4    8   27    2    0    0    .198    .267    .272      8/7

Harpst, Corey            29   RR   46  173   11   39    5    3    0   11    9   26    2    4    6    .225    .268    .289        9
Carrasco, Pedro          28   LL   89  134   17   27    0    0    2   18   25   25    3    1    1    .201    .319    .246      9/7
Jeanty, Scott            26   LR   23   88    7   16    1    2    1    3    2   17    1    1    1    .182    .196    .273      9/8
Belushi, John            22   LL   21   66   16   22    4    3    2    5    7    9    0    0    0    .333    .405    .576     9/73
Granneman, Chris         36   LR   12   28    1    4    2    0    0    5    2    6    0    0    0    .143    .226    .214       /9
Corley, Bobby            28   RR   12   24    4    4    2    0    0    1    3   10    0    0    0    .167    .259    .250      /97
Brandon Anderson as a left fielder is a guy the Phillies would be OK with if he just repeats his 1971 performance for a full season. However, the 11th overall pick in the 1970 draft seems capable of so much more: he earned the call-up last year after hitting .344 in 43 games at AAA Eugene. He's also got plus range, good enough to play center field in fact if it weren't for the existence of Bryant Tarala (frankly, even with his existence he'll probably have to fill in for large chunks of the season). The scouts think he's a Gold Glove quality outfielder but the scouts don't score GGs the way I do. He'd be a speed threat on the bases if he could learn to be a bit more discerning. Ryan Ashbaker didn't really do anything special last year but wasn't blatantly horrible and so returns, probably, as a 4th/5th outfielder and right-handed pinch-hitter.

Bryant Tarala did exactly what he'd done in Baltimore, which is to say he hit for a frustratingly low average that was balanced somewhat by good power and great plate discipline, he was the best centerfielder in the league, winning his 2nd Gold Glove and first in the Senior Circuit... and he got hurt a lot, including missing the final month of the season with a sprained knee. What you see is what you get out of Tarala. He's never going to hit .270, let alone .300, and as fun as it is to ride along with him when he gets on a hot streak, you just have to accept that those will balance each other out.

The Phillies are looking to enter the season with prospect and Chicago native John Belushi in right field. Belushi doesn't have the best range in the world but is a surprisingly spry person for a man of his size. He hit so well at AA Reading - .316/7/38 with a .396 OBP in 81 games - that the Phillies decided to skip a level with him and give him the job in September. He played well enough to take it away in '72. It doesn't hurt for his cause that Philadelphia has basically nothing else there right now.
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Old 06-23-2023, 04:36 PM   #195
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Pittsburgh Pirates





1971 Recap: A 20-6 May put the Pirates into the NL East conversation and they stayed competitive for most of the year. They were just a game and a half back of the Phillies in 2nd place as late as July 31st. Unfortunately, a 23-33 record from then to the end of the season spelled doom. They got hurt again and unlike in 1970 they weren't able to find enough production from the scrubs to tide them over.

1972 Outlook: The Pirates definitely have the frontline pitching to compete and, should things break right for them, go deep into the playoffs. It's hard to see their bad injury-luck getting any better with an aging lineup and you wonder if maybe it's time to knock it all down (knowing how the Pirates were IRL, I'm guessing not).



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Arango, Santos           28   LL  24   8    .750     2.50  41  40   1  16   5   1  316.1  255   96   88   22   75    4  227   1.043 100.0   0.6   2.1   6.5
Battaglia, Jeremy        28   LL  22  14    .611     2.61  39  39   0  14   5   0  316.2  293  104   92   22   61    6  164   1.118 100.0   0.6   1.7   4.7
Cheeves, D.J.            31   RR   7  16    .304     3.72  31  31   0   8   5   0  218.0  207  100   90   17   77    1  143   1.303 100.0   0.7   3.2   5.9
Vargas, Octavio          39   SR   5  12    .294     4.08  29  29   0   3   0   0  194.1  200  100   88   22   54    2   90   1.307 100.0   1.0   2.5   4.2

Lemus, Paz               28   RR  11  12    .478     3.70  75   0  69   0   0  25  114.1  115   56   47    8   49    8   83   1.434 100.0   0.6   3.9   6.5
Ramirez, Carlos          28   SR   0   3    .000     2.98  34   0  19   0   0   3   45.1   49   21   15    5   14    2   31   1.390 100.0   1.0   2.8   6.2
Bruno, Brian             28   RR   7   7    .500     3.43  31   9  10   0   0   0  102.1  102   44   39    9   20    1   68   1.192 100.0   0.8   1.8   6.0
Kessler, Dustin          32   RR   1   0   1.000     5.11  18   0  10   0   0   1   24.2   20   14   14    1   13    0   15   1.338 100.0   0.4   4.7   5.5
Torres, Carlos           33   LL   0   0    .000     1.00  17   0   0   0   0   0    9.0    8    1    1    0    4    0    6   1.333 100.0   0.0   4.0   6.0

Perez, Danny             25   RR   3   3    .500     3.70  11   7   1   2   1   0   56.0   62   25   23    2   23    0   38   1.518 100.0   0.3   3.7   6.1
Jones, Clyde             24   RL   2   3    .400     3.31   5   5   0   1   1   0   35.1   29   13   13    4    7    0   32   1.019 100.0   1.0   1.8   8.2
Urbina, Miguel           30   LL   0   0    .000     1.37  16   0   3   0   0   0   19.2   11    3    3    2    7    1   12   0.915 100.0   0.9   3.2   5.5
Hernandez, Carlos        25   RR   0   0    .000     5.68   1   1   0   0   0   0    6.1   10    4    4    2    1    0    2   1.737 100.0   2.8   1.4   2.8
Castillo, Bill           24   RR   0   0    .000     6.00   1   1   0   0   0   0    6.0    8    4    4    1    4    0    2   2.000 100.0   1.5   6.0   3.0
Tekulve, Kent            24   RR   0   1    .000    13.50   2   0   1   0   0   1    2.0    5    3    3    0    1    0    1   3.000 100.0   0.0   4.5   4.5
Whitacre, Jim            24   LL   0   0    .000     5.40   2   0   1   0   0   0    1.2    0    1    1    0    2    0    2   1.200 100.0   0.0  10.8  10.8
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Arango, Santos           40   24    8    8    2    4   27   13   0.675   16    5   31    78%   63   87   24   30    3  4.0  4.6    7.9    116       0       6      16      18     148
Battaglia, Jeremy        39   22   14    3    2    8   25   14   0.641   14    5   30    77%   60   87   32   26    2  3.3  3.6    8.1    114       1       5      20      13     152
Cheeves, D.J.            31    7   16    8    0    5   11   20   0.355    8    5   17    55%   54   90    6   16    6  2.2  2.8    7.0    109       2       7      15       7     187
Vargas, Octavio          29    5   12   12    1    5   10   19   0.345    3    0   16    55%   50   77   19   15    9  2.7  3.7    6.7     99       4      10      12       3     148
Bruno, Brian              9    2    5    2    1    3    3    6   0.333    0    0    6    67%   54   68   38    7    2  2.8  3.6    7.0    102       1       3       4       1     120
Perez, Danny              7    2    3    2    0    0    3    4   0.429    2    1    3    43%   49   80   25    5    1  3.6  4.4    7.2    118       0       0       6       1     138
Jones, Clyde              5    2    3    0    1    3    2    3   0.400    1    1    4    80%   60   84   48    1    4  2.8  3.6    7.1     99       0       4       0       1     127
Hernandez, Carlos         1    0    0    1    0    0    1    0   1.000    0    0    0    00%   38   38   38    0    1  4.0  5.7    6.3    103       0       0       1       0     103
Castillo, Bill            1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   38   38   38    0    1  4.0  6.0    6.0     97       0       1       0       0      97
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Lemus, Paz               75   11   12   39   25   14    64%     39    0   31   14    31%   2.006    39    26    25   18   57    6   35   22   24   15   14    4.6     24
Ramirez, Carlos          34    0    3    4    3    1    75%      6    2   21   11    34%   1.335    11    19    18   12   22    8   13    3    4    7   20    4.0     22
Bruno, Brian             22    5    2    0    0    0     0%      4    4   12    5    29%   0.970     4    12    12    7   15    6    9    2    2    2   16    5.4     27
Kessler, Dustin          18    1    0    2    1    1    50%      2    0   16    7    30%   0.736     2    10    10    9    9    1    8    1    3    3   11    4.1     21
Torres, Carlos           17    0    1    1    1    0   100%      2    1    4    1    20%   0.889     3    10    10    3   14    4    5    3    1    2   11    3.1     18
Urbina, Miguel           16    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    6    3    33%   0.820     3     9     8    5   11    4    5    2    5    3    6    3.7     17
Perez, Danny              4    1    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    1    0     0%   1.568     1     2     2    1    3    1    1    0    0    0    4    4.0     15
Whitacre, Jim             2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.163     0     2     2    0    2    1    0    0    0    0    2    2.5     22
Tekulve, Kent             2    0    1    1    1    0   100%      2    1    0    0     0%   2.955     2     0     0    0    2    1    1    1    0    0    1    3.0     24
Arango, Santos            1    0    0    1    1    0   100%      1    0    0    0     0%   2.767     1     0     0    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     13
On August 4, Santos Arango was 22-3 with a 1.97 ERA and looked like a virtual lock to not only win the Cy Young Award but break Marius Gaddi's year-old wins record. Instead he went just 2-5 the rest of the way with a 3.91 ERA. Fortunately for him, my Cy Young algorithm doesn't take into account turning into crap when the game counts and so he still took home that Cy. It should be noted that in spite of things falling apart, Arango put matters into his own hands in September, striking out a season-high 8.5 batters per game in the final month. He also allowed 8 HRs in 44.2 IP so probably might have challenged guys less. Jeremy Battaglia was the #2 man and it was an absolute travesty that he was left off of the AS Game roster (note: I let the AI pick this for better or for worse). I guess the selectors were less than enthused by a 2-4, 4.13 June. Battaglia wound up going 12-7 with a 2.39 ERA, becoming the ace that Arango was supposed to be. He also wound up tied with teammates Arango and DJ Cheeves for the NL league in shutouts. SO yeah, what about Cheeves? How do you get 5 shutouts but still finish with a 7-16 record and roughly league average ERA? Terrible run support - 2.2 runs per game - explains some of the first part; a maddening lack of consistency - just 17 QS in 31 starts - begins to get at the second.

The Pirates could go with either of a 4 or 5 man rotation, it's hard to say. Clyde Jones pitched his way into an inside track for the back of it either way. The 24 year old Aruban throws nothing but absolute gas, to the point that he might eventually be better off as a stopper, and those 32 Ks in 35.1 innings is not merely a product of a good September. There are rumours that he's working on bulking up over the offseason so as to last a bit longer in games. Octavio "Papa" Vargas could come back in spite of a 5-12 record at the age of 39. He's not exactly the picture of a steady vet - he has the reputation as a clubhouse lawyer and true to form is demanding to start - but his presence alone as a guy who won't beat himself with easy walks calms the rest of this staff down. His 4.2 K rate was the lowest of his career so the end may be near for this 232 game winner. 26 year old Danny Perez will fight him for that final rotation slot if it exists. His thing is that he's an extreme groundball artist with an easy rocking-chair motion that allows him to stay out there practically forever. He's another guy who might profile well as a reliever.

Nobody is likely to displace Paz Lemus though, although Pittsburgh probably needs to work harder on introducing other guys into the bullpen. Lemus has led the NL in appearances in 3 of the past 4 seasons and really started to look tired at the end of last season, with an 8.47 ERA in August (1-4, 4 saves). He did improve to 3.57 in September but with all of this came a lot more blown saves - 14 in all - than he's ever had in the past. Lemus struck out 8.2 batters per 9 innings and was back down to his more customary 6.5 last season; that's not necessarily a red flag, just a sign that he can't do literally everything. One guy that I at least hope will pick things up a bit is sidearmer Kent Tekulve (yep, that's an import -- the 70s need rubber-armed sidearm specialists, too, especially ones named Kent Tekulve!). He barely played last year for some reason but is in the major leagues now. Former Senators starter Brian Bruno is also a guy Pitt can/should rely on. He's not a shutdown reliever - more of a good control guy with decent enough bite to his cut fastball that he gets his share of Ks - but, as noted, when you overuse Lemus neither is he.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Connally, Doug           27   RR   87  314   39   83   15    2    8   34   53   54    1    0   11    .264    .376    .401        2
Spiner, Brent            22   SR   35  111   13   27    8    0    1   13    8   28    0    0    2    .243    .293    .342        2
Flores, Chris            31   RR   27   81    4   15    2    0    0    5    5   16    0    0    5    .185    .220    .210        2
Woodcock, Scott          37   RR   16   56    2    8    2    0    0    4    7   13    0    0    6    .143    .238    .179        2
Fenley, Mike             25   LR    9   29    1    5    1    0    0    3    3   10    0    0    0    .172    .235    .207       /2
Doug Connally was having a career year, including his first All-Star appearance, when he missed almost all of August with a strained back and then, right after recovering from that, was shut down for the year with an oblique strain. Connally is not a guy with a big history of back problems but it's still worrisome, and it's no coincidence that the Pirates fell apart when he stopped playing. The robot-like Brent "Data" Spiner filled in for him for much of the time he was out, especially in September, but doesn't look completely ready and is not the best defensive player either. He is studious about the game, however, to an android-like degree. It's possible that the Pirates will either carry 3 catchers or cut loose the 31-year old vet Chris Flores if they like him enough. Flores is the best defensive catcher on the team, though, so maybe not...

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Valdivia, Abílio         39   RL  101  302   32   90   13    2    5   27   34   37    1    0    8    .298    .371    .404        3
Holman, Jack             29   LL  121  307   43   84   16    0    8   32   40   64    1    0   10    .274    .360    .404        3
Ganzalez, Arturo         26   RR   45  109   10   26    8    0    0    8   10   13    0    1    3    .239    .300    .312      3/4
Lynch, David             24   RL    6    3    2    2    0    1    0    1    2    0    0    0    0    .667    .667   1.333         
Ryun, Jim                24   LL    2    2    0    1    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    .500    .500    .500         

Villar, Henry            28   LR  151  580   74  159   20    4    3   34   59   84    4    9   11    .274    .328    .338     46/5
Wolcott, Marty           33   RR   31   80   11   21    7    3    2   12   12    6    0    2    5    .263    .351    .500        4
Cando, Sergio            28   SR   25   59    6   10    1    0    2    9   11   14    1    0    1    .169    .301    .288        4

Prieto, Roberto          38   RR  126  457   57  109   19    2    9   44   58   82   10    6   12    .239    .324    .348       5*
Flores, Alex             27   RR   46  133   18   36    6    1    4   14   12   25    1    1    5    .271    .322    .421        5

Webster, Tyler           27   LR   69  217   17   52    6    3    6   27   32   40    0    0    2    .240    .340    .378       64
Dunnahoe, Luke           29   RR   69  180   24   49   10    1    3   25   21   20    0    2    1    .272    .341    .389     64/5
Kirkland, Jeremy         24   LR   21   52    2    9    1    1    1    4    3    7    0    0    1    .173    .218    .288        6
Martinez, Arturo         27   RR   10   29    2   12    2    0    0    2    4    6    0    0    1    .414    .471    .483      /64
The Pirates figured out a pretty decent platoon / platoon-like situation between Jack Holman and Albilio Valdivia. Holman, a pure pull hitter who'd always been held back by an inability to hit lefties in the past, had just 20 at-bats against them all season and rewarded the Bucs with a fine half-season. Valdivia at 39 is no longer a guy you can count on to play 150 games a year, and losing him in '70 really, really hurt, but while the 4 time All-Star didn't exactly avoid injury, the presence of Holman meant that those aches and pains didn't hurt so much. Arturo Ganzalez was Holman's platoon mate when Valdivia was out; going forward they'll need more production than what he gives.

Henry Villar recovered from a bad concussion that left him in the hospital for several weeks and caused him to miss all but 12 games of the 1970 season to be the same guy the Pirates had trusted in before. More than that, perhaps, as he was called upon to play 65 games at shortstop last year and looked pretty damn good out there. I'd go so far as to say he should be moved there except that the Pirates don't really have a hot bat to use at the position. Tyler Webster, the de facto starter at short last year, could be that guy; it's easy to look at the 30 HRs he hit between 1969 and 1970 and think about what might be. He doesn't hit for a lot of average though; his .240 average last year was a career high.

The Pirates really, really need to find a replacment for Roberto Prieto, who hasn't been even a league average hitter in 2 years and at this point just doesn't have the range to be a good defensive third baseman. Alex Florex was passable out there last year and as of this writing looks like their guy for 1972 but he's a stopgap solution at best and a return to Prieto waiting to happen at worst. I have an as yet unnamed prospect too, who's played in just 22 games in AAA but hey, spring training is when you figure out if guys like this are ready to go.

1970's incumbent Webster has kind of bad range for a shortstop, although he committed just 3 errors in 268 chances over 60 games at the position (a .989 FA), and for that reason the Pirates are leaning towards using journeyman Luke Dunnahoe there to open the year. Dunnahoe himself doesn't have the best arm in the world. He's also a safe bet to outhit Webster, although probably unlikely to hit .272 again.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Lawson, Justin           30   RR  147  576   59  144   24    1   24   98   43   71    0    0   21    .250    .299    .420       7*

Hearl, Justin            28   LL  150  578   62  151   13    8    3   49   66   84   31   13    3    .261    .332    .327       8*
Menner, Frank            28   RR   15   37    2    7    0    0    1    4    6   10    0    0    0    .189    .295    .270      8/9
Macchia, George          25   RR    6    9    2    3    0    1    2    4    2    1    0    0    1    .333    .417   1.222       /8

Jackson, Brian           27   RR  114  473   59  135   20    6   10   50   35   43    8    6   16    .285    .339    .416       9*
Kaku, Michio             24   RR   56  221   25   62   10    2    5   17   18   48    6    4    3    .281    .333    .412     9/78
Carrera, Carlos          25   RR   35   67    7   19    4    1    1    7    7    9    0    1    1    .284    .351    .418     /987
Herring, Ray             28   RR   40   61    8   17    3    1    1    7    4    6    2    0    5    .279    .309    .410      /97
It'd be nice if Justin Lawson hit for a little better average but what he does is enough. The lone true power hitter on a Pirates' team that had been configured to play in the spacious Forbes Field (and so far, to be fair, 3 Rivers has also been a pretty bad park for HR hitters), he's their cleanup man and a 100 RBI threat. At that, he actually doesn't K all that much for a man who loves the dingers; he's got a career BA of .283 and should rebound well for his career-low .250 from last year. He fields about the way you'd expect a slow power hitter to field, which is to say not well. I guess that's unfair; he's probably about average for a left fielder, not a complete minus by any means.

In center, right now the plan is for prospect / nuclear physicist Michio Kaku to start the year in center. Justin Hearl is considered at least a mildly better fielder but even for a CF he hit for no power last year and there's only so much you can do with pure speed. Kaku, meanwhile, is a potential .300 threat - as he hit .312 for the AAA Charleston Charlies before the call-up - who almost out-XBH'ed Hearl in a little over a third of the games played. 25 year old AAA guy George Macchia also exists as a potential man who can be used, although a .222 BA in AAA Charleston last year makes me think otherwise (.404 OBP though! .295 SLG on the third hand).

Right fielder Brian Jackson missed almost 50 games with injuries and was clearly playing hurt when he came back in late August, which is why his average tumbled from .324 in 1970 to .285 last year. Jackson hit .260 and .275 in the final two months and, a bigger sign he wasn't all the way back, he hit just 7 doubles and 3 HRs in 35 games. On the other hand, the man they call "Headhunter" for his ability to gun down runners had 10 baserunner kills last season in just 114 games and won his first ever Gold Glove.
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Old 06-24-2023, 04:09 PM   #196
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1971 Recap: The Pads flirted with .500 the whole season, even holding a 56-55 record as late as August 2nd, before a poor August sent them into high-70s win territory.

1972 Outlook: This is a team with some real holes but also, like the Royals, an expansion squad that already has a couple pieces of a potential contender down the road. That contention won't happen in 1972.



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Gilmer, Jason            29   RR  14  16    .467     3.69  31  31   0  13   2   0  231.2  233  104   95   19   93    4  116   1.407 100.0   0.7   3.6   4.5
Aguilar, Rodrigo         29   LL  11  10    .524     3.48  27  27   0   5   1   0  196.2  198   83   76   12   68    4   59   1.353 100.0   0.5   3.1   2.7
Feldhusen, Ben           32   LL  10   6    .625     2.96  24  24   0   4   1   0  167.1  166   60   55    7   47    6   99   1.273 100.0   0.4   2.5   5.3
Gordon, Shane            22   RR   7   9    .438     4.79  23  19   2   0   0   0  129.2  122   77   69   19   82    2   98   1.573 100.0   1.3   5.7   6.8

Parchman, Darius         28   RR   6   7    .462     2.46  61   0  48   0   0  17   84.0   63   26   23    7   22    3   75   1.012 100.0   0.7   2.4   8.0
Urbina, Miguel           30   LL   1   0   1.000     3.30  35   0  14   0   0   2   43.2   30   18   16    4   16    1   29   1.053 100.0   0.8   3.3   6.0
Kahl, Paul               27   RR   4   6    .400     4.26  34  11  14   1   0   0  112.0  130   55   53   13   42    4   34   1.536 100.0   1.0   3.4   2.7
Andrade, Raul            33   RR   0   1    .000     2.84  30   0  10   0   0   1   50.2   46   18   16    1   30    0   31   1.500 100.0   0.2   5.3   5.5
Hannon, Jerry            30   RR   2   6    .250     5.63  29   1  22   0   0  10   48.0   61   32   30    8   18    2   18   1.646 100.0   1.5   3.4   3.4

Lopez, Alfredo           37   RR   9   4    .692     2.99  16  16   0   5   1   0  111.1  107   42   37    6   28    1   48   1.213 100.0   0.5   2.3   3.9
Beaulieu, Dustin         34   LL   4   5    .444     4.34  10  10   0   0   0   0   64.1   66   38   31    5   26    1   35   1.430 100.0   0.7   3.6   4.9
Barreras, Cesar          25   RR   2   6    .250     7.91  12   9   0   0   0   0   58.0   78   59   51    6   30    2   29   1.862 100.0   0.9   4.7   4.5
Johnson, Brian           26   RR   3   1    .750     1.18   5   5   0   2   1   0   38.0   23    5    5    2   15    1   28   1.000 100.0   0.5   3.6   6.6
Golden, Mark             23   SR   2   2    .500     3.77   5   5   0   1   1   0   28.2   34   12   12    1   13    1   18   1.640 100.0   0.3   4.1   5.7
Schoner, Dan             31   LR   0   0    .000     1.74  15   0   0   0   0   0   10.1   11    2    2    0    6    1    4   1.645 100.0   0.0   5.2   3.5
Teague, Jon              25   LR   0   3    .000     2.33  14   0   6   0   0   1   19.1   15    6    5    0    7    1   11   1.138 100.0   0.0   3.3   5.1
Pineau, Dan              27   SL   2   0   1.000     1.93  14   0   4   0   0   0   14.0    8    3    3    1    5    0   10   0.929 100.0   0.6   3.2   6.4
Bowie, David             24   LR   0   2    .000     9.20   4   3   1   0   0   0   14.2   22   15   15    2    4    0    5   1.773 100.0   1.2   2.5   3.1
Fix, Pat                 29   LL   0   0    .000     1.35   4   0   0   0   0   0    6.2    3    1    1    1    3    0    5   0.900 100.0   1.4   4.1   6.8
Moore, Roy               23   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   1   0   0   0    2.0    1    0    0    0    1    0    1   1.000 100.0   0.0   4.5   4.5
Im, Ji-man               29   LL   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   0   0   0   0    1.1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   0.000 100.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
Chacon, Frank            27   RR   0   0    .000    10.80   1   0   0   0   0   0    1.2    4    2    2    0    1    0    0   3.000 100.0   0.0   5.4   0.0
Richey, Scott            28   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   1   0   0   0    0.2    0    0    0    0    0    0    1   0.000 100.0   0.0   0.0  13.5
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Gilmer, Jason            31   14   16    1    3    4   14   17   0.452   13    2   16    52%   52   83   17    4   14  3.9  4.7    7.5    117       1       3      13      14     149
Aguilar, Rodrigo         27   11   10    6    2    5   14   13   0.519    5    1   18    67%   52   79   19    4   16  3.5  4.3    7.3    108       0      10       8       9     132
Feldhusen, Ben           24   10    6    8    0    4   12   12   0.500    4    1   19    79%   56   82   22    4   11  3.0  3.8    7.0    104       3       4      10       7     178
Gordon, Shane            19    6    9    4    0    2    8   11   0.421    0    0   10    53%   48   74    9    1   11  3.7  5.4    6.3    107       0       5      12       2     127
Lopez, Alfredo           16    9    4    3    2    1   10    6   0.625    5    1    9    56%   55   81   33    2    6  4.3  5.5    7.0    102       2       2       6       6     134
Kahl, Paul               11    3    5    3    0    2    5    6   0.455    1    0    7    64%   44   65    4    3    4  3.0  4.0    6.8    105       1       4       4       2     136
Beaulieu, Dustin         10    4    5    1    1    3    4    6   0.400    0    0    7    70%   48   69   15    2    6  3.4  4.8    6.4    106       1       2       5       2     126
Barreras, Cesar           9    2    6    1    1    1    3    6   0.333    0    0    2    22%   32   50   14    1    6  3.0  4.9    5.5     93       1       5       3       0     113
Johnson, Brian            5    3    1    1    0    1    4    1   0.800    2    1    5   100%   69   81   60    0    4  2.2  2.6    7.6    115       0       0       3       2     141
Golden, Mark              5    2    2    1    0    0    3    2   0.600    1    1    2    40%   49   81   33    0    3  2.4  3.8    5.7     92       1       1       2       1     121
Bowie, David              3    0    2    1    0    0    0    3   0.000    0    0    1    33%   32   55   16    0    3  1.7  3.3    4.6     81       1       2       0       0      89
Hannon, Jerry             1    0    1    0    0    1    0    1   0.000    0    0    1   100%   46   46   46    0    0  1.0  1.5    6.0     92       0       1       0       0      92
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Parchman, Darius         61    6    7   19   17    2    89%     21    2   19    8    30%   1.589    27    23    22   10   51    6   26   16   16    8   21    4.1     20
Urbina, Miguel           35    1    0    3    2    1    67%      8    5    6    3    33%   1.009     8    20    20    5   30    4   10    7    9    9   10    3.7     18
Andrade, Raul            30    0    1    1    1    0   100%      1    0   17    4    19%   0.603     4    20    20   11   19    3   16    5    9    2   14    5.1     29
Hannon, Jerry            28    2    5   14   10    4    71%     14    0   11    3    21%   2.063    16     8     8    5   23    4   12    7    6    6    9    4.5     23
Kahl, Paul               23    1    1    1    0    1     0%      5    4   10    2    17%   0.819     6    15    15    4   19    0   13    2    6    2   13    4.9     24
Schoner, Dan             15    0    0    1    0    1     0%      4    3   11    7    39%   0.965     3     7     7    4   11    2    5    2    3    3    7    3.9     19
Teague, Jon              14    0    3    1    1    0   100%      2    1    6    3    33%   1.196     4     7     7    2   12    1    7    2    5    1    6    4.1     19
Pineau, Dan              14    2    0    0    0    0     0%      4    4    2    0     0%   1.223     4     8     8    2   12    2    1    4    1    2    7    3.0     15
Gordon, Shane             4    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   1.049     1     2     2    1    3    0    3    0    0    0    4    8.0     42
Fix, Pat                  4    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    1    1    50%   1.360     1     0     0    1    3    0    2    0    0    1    3    5.0     23
Barreras, Cesar           3    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    1    33%   0.695     0     2     2    1    2    0    3    0    0    1    2    8.3     47
Richey, Scott             1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    0     0%   0.100     0     1     1    1    0    1    0    0    0    0    1    2.0      6
Bowie, David              1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.180     0     1     1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     20
Im, Ji-man                1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    0     0%   1.020     0     0     0    1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1    4.0     14
Chacon, Frank             1    0    0    1    0    1     0%      1    0    1    1    50%   1.856     1     0     0    1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1    5.0     25
Moore, Roy                1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.214     0     1     1    0    1    0    1    0    0    0    1    6.0     30
For a team who went through so many pitchers, the Padres actually enjoyed a decent season on the mound. For now, I'm going to put Ben Feldhusen in as the #1 and therefore projected Opening Day starter. Does he deserve this honor? I don't know. Deserve's got nothing to do with it. Feldhusen was once one of the top pitchers in the American League, a 3 time All-Star who led the league in games started (34) and ERA (2.16) in 1965. In recent years he's been all but completely shut down with injuries, with just 1 major league start since Opening Day 1969 (a 3 inning outing when, guess what, Feldhusen got hurt). This year he was managed pretty heavily, still missed a total of around 2 months with elbow tendinitis, but when he was able to pitch he was as effective as ever. If he can't make it through spring training, Jason Gilmer is right there. Gilmer's the guy who is arguably the more deserving party; although his knuckle curve wasn't as able to miss bats as much as in seasons past, Gilmer still carved out a season as a finesse guy who kept the Pads in games. The other man on this roster who started 25+ games is Rodrigo Aguilar, who came off of a 16-13, 3.19 season to be another .500ish pitcher, albeit one who missed almost a month with a herniated disc in his back.

The front half of the rotation is surprisingly... veteran for a third year expansion team. The Padres would be great if they had a young ace in front of all of that. They've got 3 guys all under 26 who will try to fill in the last 2 slots and maybe, just maybe prove to be that guy. First up is Shane Gordon, who has the most experience of the trio but probably the lowest chances of becoming the staff ace. Gordon's a guy who can get strikeouts with a hard split-finger fastball and a solid change, but he misses a *lot* and what's maybe worse, he misses over the plate a lot too, to the tune of 19 HRs allowed in 129.2 innings. He throws too many pitches to consistently get out of the 7th inning at this point in his career. Brian Johnson flashed in 5 appearances in September, including 2 complete games. His out pitch is also one with a lot of natural dip - in his case a forkball - and unlike Gordon, Johnson is a guy with a track record of avoiding easy homeruns, a talent which will serve him well in San Diego's stadium. Finally there's Mark Golden, who's the wild cardest of all wild cards, having been drafted in the 15th round following an absolutely horrendous senior year at tiny St. Mary's College of California. I've got no idea what the scouts saw in him (and no, I don't run feeder leagues - those are computer-generated stats) but he's turned into a potential player with a hard, biting curveball that delivered whiffs for him in the major leagues last year in spite of a 4-seamer that gets into the high 80s on a good day and an ability to keep the ball down. This isn't the guy you'd expect to be on a minor league, let alone a major league roster, but hey, expansion.

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
DeBose, Michael          25   SR  103  323   34   78   21    2    6   51   24   73    0    1    7    .241    .291    .375        2
Bakke, Adam              31   RR   52  159   13   36    5    0    0   10    7   21    0    0   10    .226    .260    .258        2
Gabriel, Peter           20   LR   18   62    5   19    3    0    0    7    4    7    0    1    3    .306    .329    .355        2
Culliton, Jeff           28   LR   16   43    0    6    0    0    0    3    5    9    0    0    0    .140    .224    .140        2
Michael DeBose is also not a guy you'd immediately look at as a starter in this league. Following a season in which the then-24 year old struggled terribly in AAA Tulsa - a .182 average but, to be fair, 16 HRs and 65 RBIs in 124 games and 396 at-bats - the Cardinals left him unprotected in the Rule V draft and were a little shocked when San Diego picked him. He spent the whole season with the team, taking over as the starter when incumbent Adam Bakke proved ineffective. That said, going into 1972 the team's plans seem to be coalesced around the 20 year old Peter Gabriel, who's in a band with Montreal Expos SS prospect Phil Collins. Gabriel already has better defensive tools than either DeBose or Bakke and if last year's a good indication, he's got the offensive tools to stick even though the man won't turn 21 until next month.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Palacios, Carlos         25   LL  115  436   52  145   38    1    4   65   37   28    0    1   14    .333    .378    .452       3*
Dimond, Zach             25   RR    3    3    0    1    0    0    0    1    0    2    0    0    0    .333    .333    .333         

McCartney, Paul          22   RR  151  568   88  164   24    7   26   87   62   84    4    3   10    .289    .356    .493    4*9/7
Honesto, Roberto         29   RR   51  143   13   32    6    1    4   10   14   22    3    0    3    .224    .296    .364        4

Landry, Kevin            39   RR  118  437   66  121   21    8   12   58   37   44   13    4    9    .277    .331    .444       5*
Ware, Eli                31   RR   83  205   30   43    8    2    5   23   35   36    1    0    3    .210    .325    .341       53

Troncoso, Armando        24   RR  129  511   59  137   24    6    4   43   30   67    8   10   10    .268    .308    .362       6*
Dowler, Ben              33   RR   40  120    8   28    4    0    1   13    9   20    1    0    3    .233    .285    .292      6/4
Littrell, Dan            33   SR   16   47    6    5    1    0    0    2    8    8    0    0    1    .106    .232    .128      /64
Last year first base was mostly shared between Carlos Palacios and Alex Canales; this year, the 25 year old Palacios should have the position all to himself. He's not a pure power hitter, blah blah blah, but does anyone care when a man hits .333 and finishes 2nd in the NL in doubles in spite of starting the season in AAA Tacoma and only coming up roughly 40 games in? The answer to that rhetorical question is "no", and also the definition of a rhetorical question is that you don't need an answer to it. Palacios is slotted in as the 3-hole hitter and, if he keeps up that production, should approach 100 RBIs.

The 1971 Rookie of the Year Paul McCartney has very few holes in his game or, if we're being honest, his life. Maybe, and I mean maaaaaybe, you can criticize him for insisting that his photographer wife can sing - we've heard bootlegs of concerts where this is clearly not the case - but that has very, very little to do with baseball. As a baseballist, McCartney can hit for both power and some average, has above average speed (though you won't see him steal a lot), and has solid range and hands for a second baseman. He even played a fair chunk in right field (36 games) last season, recording 6 baserunner kills. The sky is the limit for him, so long as he doesn't put out another horrifically terrible single like that "hands across the water" medley (the "hands" half wasn't the bad part, I should note) this coming summer.

Kevin Landry put together a fine 1971 season in spite of his age. That makes it 3 years now that he's provided above average production for San Diego after the Dodgers decided that he was done in April of 1969 and traded him here for relief pitcher Jesse Marshall (who, by the way, put in one kind of bad season for LA - 4-3 but a 4.79 ERA over 34 games and 47 IP before defecting to the Mexican League). He's still 39 and as such the Pads really, really need to find a replacement for him. Last year showed that Eli Ware, not a spring chicken himself, is not that guy, although he remains on the roster out of sheer necessity. Right now the idea is to give prospect / racecar driver Dale Earnhardt a long look in spring training but truth be told the #3 overall pick in last year's draft is probably at least a year away.

Shortstop represents another hole that needs to be filled, although young Armando Troncoso at least provided some good hitting from the 2 hole for most of the year. The problem is, he's kind of a bad fielder, and while he has the arm to play third (and there, his lack of range won't kill him the way it does at shortstop), I'm not sure he hits well enough to justify playing there. Still, assuming Earnhardt isn't ready, that's a potential landing spot... of course, then you just have to fill the hole here, and with what? Ben Dowler is a grade A fielder but there's a reason why the 33 year old has never gotten a real shot to start in the bigs and it rhymes with "a career .211 splatting average". 27 year old minor leaguer Andy Johnston is also not a very good fielder - for him, it's a subpar arm that keeps him from being a decent player - but seems to have about the same bat as Troncoso does, so he'll get a look in March as well.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Canales, Alex            26   SR  144  572   73  149   24    0   14   72   43   79    0    2   10    .260    .313    .376    73/54
Cowan, Greg              30   LL   69  162   28   47   11    3    9   29   24   31    5    2    3    .290    .393    .562       79
Gomez, Carlos            29   RL   31  116   15   20    6    0    2   13   21   23    0    0    3    .172    .297    .276        7

Hadley, Zackery          32   RR   95  362   47   92    8    3    1   25   27   62   30    9    3    .254    .308    .301      8/9
Leone, Jake              25   LL   68  269   42   67   10    4    5   29   33   55   12    5    1    .249    .324    .372      8/7
Slater, Cody             30   LL   24   46    3    8    0    0    1   10    1    9    0    0    0    .174    .188    .239      8/9
Mitchell, Tyler          25   LL    8   21    0    1    0    0    0    0    2    5    0    0    1    .048    .167    .048       /8

O'Neill, Ed              25   LL   67  186   24   54   10    3    0   21   30   24    5    0    3    .290    .379    .376      9/8
Hernandez, Nelson        28   RR   37  152   18   34    9    1    3   18    5   35    2    2    2    .224    .268    .355        9
Kelly, Bryce             31   LL   79  133    8   32    3    3    0   17    7   15    0    0    2    .241    .281    .308      9/7
Herring, Ray             28   RR   21   26    0    2    0    0    0    0    1    5    0    0    1    .077    .111    .077      /97
Alex Canales is a former 3 time Gold Glove award winner at first base but the Padres aren't super happy with his offensive output so they've begun to train him up as a left fielder. He should be OK once he figures it out but last year was a real growing period for him: 10 errors in 100 games for a .961 FA. The former Atlanta Brave is pretty much league average as a hitter, which could be good enough in left, I guess. If not him, San Diego's got Cincinnati castoff Greg Cowan, who's not a great hitter in terms of his career but showed signs that maybe he can pick it a little bit in 1971 with a .290 average and a slugging average just off of the career high he set in 1965.

It's easy to see why Paul McCartney played so much in the outfield last year; after San Diego traded Nelson Hernandez away, both right and center field were a mess. The long-term solution is probably to use former high school superstar Ed O'Neill (we know he was one because he won't stop talking about it - give it up, dude, it was 7 years ago) but for right now they'll probably have to live with O'Neill in right and Jake Leone in center. San Diego acquired Leone last June in exchange for relief pitcher Dan Schoner (who promptly tore his rotator cuff 6 games in with his new team) and doesn't really provide a lot that makes you want to use him regularly. He did finish in the top 10 in the NL in triples (11) and steals (20) when he played in 94 games in 1970 so he's got speed, I guess.

O'Neill really doesn't hit like a right fielder should and is almost certainly destined to move once they figure out how to fill this position. That may not happen until 1972. In the meantime, he's as patient at the plate as he is sarcastic, with plus speed and plus-plus range. The .290 average was way higher than what he'd done at any point in the minor leagues but he's still only 25 so perhaps he gained a new skill, who knows?
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Old 06-25-2023, 12:10 PM   #197
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San Francisco Giants





1971 Recap: It was a lost season for the Giants, who opened the year 6-17 and never got out of the bottom half of the NL West. They were only 1 game under .500 from May 1 onward, which I'm not sure is a good or a bad sign.

1972 Outlook: The Giants had something of a run in the mid-60s but that's clearly petered out now and it should be time for a rebuild. The question is, will this be a task the proud Bay Areans take up?



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Rivera, Robert           31   LL  14  15    .483     2.92  32  32   0  14   3   0  246.2  223   86   80   17   43    1  173   1.078 100.0   0.6   1.6   6.3
Melendez, Moises         23   RR  14  10    .583     2.84  32  32   0   6   2   0  234.1  215   86   74   16   52    4  102   1.139 100.0   0.6   2.0   3.9
Stuckey, Mike            30   RR  13  11    .542     3.19  31  30   0   7   2   0  228.2  230   96   81   14   81    2  156   1.360 100.0   0.6   3.2   6.1
Williams, Sam            27   LL   9  12    .429     3.81  30  23   2   4   1   1  172.1  166   87   73   11   77    1  115   1.410 100.0   0.6   4.0   6.0

Booth, John              35   LL   7   8    .467     3.30  64   0  56   0   0  23   90.0   88   35   33    9   36    6   42   1.378 100.0   0.9   3.6   4.2
Bailey, Matt             25   RR   2   2    .500     2.80  40   2  18   0   0   4   64.1   50   22   20    3   42    2   32   1.430 100.0   0.4   5.9   4.5
Ballard, Dan             36   LL   7   8    .467     4.05  38  11   8   4   0   1  117.2  114   57   53   13   40    2   64   1.309 100.0   1.0   3.1   4.9
Hinkson, David           30   LR   0   0    .000     4.41  24   0  14   0   0   1   34.2   33   18   17    7   11    1   25   1.269 100.0   1.8   2.9   6.5
Goltry, Mike             29   RR   2   0   1.000     2.63  22   0   8   0   0   1   24.0   24    9    7    2   13    0   15   1.542 100.0   0.7   4.9   5.6

Osbourne, Ozzy           23   RR   3   6    .333     5.60  12   9   1   0   0   0   64.1   79   41   40    9   18    0   39   1.508 100.0   1.3   2.5   5.5
Thompson, A.J.           22   RR   1   3    .250     4.35   6   6   0   0   0   0   39.1   40   24   19    3   18    0   17   1.475 100.0   0.7   4.1   3.9
Nixon, Randy             24   RR   0   3    .000     5.08   5   5   0   1   0   0   33.2   32   22   19    6   18    1   16   1.485 100.0   1.6   4.8   4.3
Cummings, Andy           27   RR   0   3    .000     6.07  12   4   4   0   0   1   29.2   35   22   20    9    7    0   14   1.416 100.0   2.7   2.1   4.2
Abdul-Jabbar, Kareem     23   RR   1   2    .333     2.43  12   4   4   1   0   0   29.2   25    8    8    1    9    0   13   1.146 100.0   0.3   2.7   3.9
Mader, Justin            24   SR   1   3    .250     7.83   5   4   1   0   0   0   23.0   23   21   20    8   15    0   19   1.652 100.0   3.1   5.9   7.4
Roman, Henry             28   LL   0   0    .000     9.00  18   0   5   0   0   1   20.0   27   21   20    3   10    1    7   1.850 100.0   1.4   4.5   3.2
Jordan, David            25   LL   0   0    .000     0.00   2   0   0   0   0   0    3.0    2    0    0    0    0    0    1   0.667 100.0   0.0   0.0   3.0
Morelli, Scott           26   RR   0   1    .000     9.00   3   0   2   0   0   0    4.0    5    4    4    2    0    0    4   1.250 100.0   4.5   0.0   9.0
Cohen, Cale              21   RR   0   0    .000     0.00   1   0   0   0   0   0    1.0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3   0.000 100.0   0.0   0.0  27.0
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Rivera, Robert           32   14   15    3    2   11   16   16   0.500   14    3   25    78%   60   86   19    8   17  3.0  3.5    7.7    110       3       1      22       6     151
Melendez, Moises         32   14   10    8    1    5   19   13   0.594    6    2   23    72%   57   81   20    3   15  2.8  3.4    7.3    105       3       7      14       8     131
Stuckey, Mike            30   13   11    6    3    7   16   14   0.533    7    2   21    70%   55   88    6    5   16  3.1  3.7    7.5    119       1       4      13      12     202
Williams, Sam            23    8   12    3    2    6    9   14   0.391    4    1   13    57%   52   84   12    3   12  4.0  5.0    7.2    113       0       3      13       7     146
Ballard, Dan             11    2    8    1    0    2    3    8   0.273    4    0    4    36%   50   75   23    1    7  2.2  2.6    7.6    120       0       0       7       4     158
Osbourne, Ozzy            9    3    4    2    1    1    5    4   0.556    0    0    5    56%   44   64    7    1    5  3.1  4.7    5.9     98       1       5       3       0     117
Thompson, A.J.            6    1    3    2    0    1    2    4   0.333    0    0    4    67%   47   63   35    0    4  3.0  4.1    6.6    111       0       2       2       2     131
Nixon, Randy              5    0    3    2    0    1    1    4   0.200    1    0    2    40%   46   58   28    1    3  2.2  2.9    6.7    110       1       0       2       2     126
Mader, Justin             4    1    3    0    1    0    1    3   0.250    0    0    0    00%   38   45   21    0    1  1.8  2.9    5.5     99       0       3       1       0     110
Cummings, Andy            4    0    3    1    0    0    1    3   0.250    0    0    0    00%   37   57   11    2    2  1.5  2.6    5.2     84       1       2       1       0     103
Abdul-Jabbar, Kareem      4    1    1    2    0    0    1    3   0.250    1    0    1    25%   54   75   39    0    3  1.5  3.2    4.2     53       2       1       1       0     115
Bailey, Matt              2    1    1    0    1    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    0    00%   48   55   40    1    1  2.0  3.1    5.8    119       0       0       1       1     122
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Booth, John              64    7    8   29   23    6    79%     30    1   27    3    10%   2.054    34    17    17   14   50   11   26   16   17   13   18    4.2     21
Bailey, Matt             38    1    1    4    4    0   100%      9    5   17    8    32%   0.787     8    22    22   11   27    7   13    5    4    6   23    4.2     22
Ballard, Dan             27    5    0    3    1    2    33%      9    6    7    2    22%   1.275     6    12    12    4   23    6    5    8    4    3   12    3.8     19
Hinkson, David           24    0    0    1    1    0   100%      2    1    9    5    36%   0.500     1    20    20    4   20    3   12    3    4    4   13    4.3     23
Goltry, Mike             22    2    0    2    1    1    50%      3    1   15    8    35%   0.683     2    16    16   10   12    5    7    3    7    2   10    3.3     17
Roman, Henry             18    0    0    1    1    0   100%      2    1    5    2    29%   0.483     1    15    14    3   15    3    4    1    1    4   12    3.3     20
Cummings, Andy            8    0    0    1    1    0   100%      1    0    9    8    47%   0.587     0     5     5    5    3    2    3    1    0    1    6    3.4     16
Abdul-Jabbar, Kareem      8    0    1    0    0    0     0%      1    1    2    0     0%   1.033     2     4     4    2    6    1    5    1    0    2    5    4.9     23
Williams, Sam             7    1    0    1    1    0   100%      1    0    2    1    33%   1.196     2     3     3    1    6    3    0    4    0    0    3    2.4     15
Morelli, Scott            3    0    1    0    0    0     0%      0    0    3    1    25%   0.988     1     2     2    1    2    0    2    0    0    1    2    4.0     23
Osbourne, Ozzy            3    0    2    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.927     0     1     1    0    3    0    3    0    0    0    3   11.0     52
Jordan, David             2    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   1.638     1     1     1    0    2    0    1    0    0    0    2   10.5     35
Stuckey, Mike             1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   1.900     1     0     0    0    1    0    1    0    0    0    1   15.0     68
Mader, Justin             1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.033     0     1     1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0      6
Cohen, Cale               1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.133     0     1     1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    3.0     10
The fact that the Giants have a solid veteran rotation just seems to add insult to injury to this team. Robert Rivera led the way last year, if not in winning percentage then in both durability and effectiveness. He was robbed of a 5th career All-Star appearance but rebounded nicely from a 19-loss 1970 to finish 6th in the NL in ERA and 10th in strikeouts. This guy, career 101-101 record and all, feels like he'd be prime material for a team who is one step away from contention. Likewise, [b]Mike Stuckey[b] is better than good and recovered well from a big-loss season of his own (18 Ls in '70). He's more of a control guy than Rivera but isn't exactly bereft of stuff; his circle change is considered one of the best in the game. The third Giant to top 30 starts in 1971, Moises Melendez, is the young phenom of the group. He's a pitch-to-contact expert who, more than anything else, needs to build up stamina (well, being able to convert a mid-90s fastball and highly regarded forkball into strikeouts would be nice as well).

Behind them, I mean, San Francisco's not doing so bad with the pitching. Sam Williams started 23 of his 30 games last season and the lefty will almost certainly begin the year in the rotation. Like Melendez he doesn't get as many Ks as you'd expect for someone who throws so hard (Williams is known to hit the upper 90s with his 4-seamer). Unlike Melendez, he's already 27 and entering "what you see is what you get" territory. Tall, lanky, huge, whatever you want to call him Kareem Abdul-Jabbar also has to figure in the mix somehow after 12 nice outings in August and September last year. He wasn't a big K guy either and you'd think all that leverage he gets would lead to more groundouts but hey, effective is effective. AJ "Chicken" Thompson is still another younger pitch-to-contact guy. I guess one thing about the back of this rotation: you won't know who's who. Going in a different direction is the English "heavy metal" man Ozzy Osbourne, who is accused of lacing his pitches with bat blood. It's a weird charge and we see no merit to it. He's got the stuff more in line with what you'd expect from a future front-line starter although a propensity to give up the longball really hurt him last year.

John "The Assassin" Booth had a real up and down year as the team's stopper and at 35 it's probably time for the Jints to start auditioning other people for the role. He's never been a really huge strikeout guy, again in spite of a lot of velocity but in recent years his pinpoint control has begun to abandon him and last year he hung his signature 12-to-6 curve a little too often. Matt Bailey was good, at least superficially so, in 1970, but fans demanding that he close out games need to look at that 42/32 BB/K ratio and think twice. Former Yankees starter Dan Ballard seems to be well set in a lefty specialist role; he went 5-0, 3.18 in 27 relief apperances and held batters to a .235 average from innings 7-9 (opponents were also 7-34 in extra innings against him).

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Campbell, Chris          32   RR   97  270   24   62   10    0    1   31   48   62    0    0    7    .230    .349    .278        2
Pop, Iggy                24   LR   39  101   11   28    7    1    1   18   15   23    0    0    1    .277    .358    .396        2
Ronchetti, Felipe        27   RR   30   70   12   11    1    0    1    3   10   14    0    0    6    .157    .271    .214        2
Molina, Pat              40   RR   31   71    7   18    1    1    1   13    8   12    0    0    3    .254    .329    .338        2
No offense to Chris Campbell but the Giants feel like they've found their future backstop in Iggy Pop. Pop is not a perfect player - he lacks a great arm (although it was good enough to throw out 58% of runners in AAA last year) and outside of a 93 game stint in A-ball San Jose in 1970 he hasn't shown signs of ever being a power hitter - but the young rock star can rake and isn't afraid to take a pitch to get on base. Campbell, who was more or less a career minor leaguer before expansion happened, has to consider himself a backup anyway. Last year they also made use of former Braves star Pat Molina, though he's since retired. Molina was a 9-time All-Star who is realy going to force voters to think about how you feel about raw numbers when it comes time to determine whether or not he's a Hall of Famer in 5 years. He retired with just 1,409 hits and a .257 career average (and 95 OPS+) but, well, catching takes a lot out of you and I personally would point to the 9 appearances in the Midsummer Classic as proof tht he was considered the best catcher in the NL in the 60s.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Seek, Chris              27   RR  134  439   49  118   23    2    2   47   35   42    0    0   16    .269    .322    .344        3
Everhart, John           36   RR   59  191   18   29   11    0    2   13   29   32    0    0    5    .152    .267    .241       37
van Velthoven, Kelsey    34   RR   13   11    2    1    1    0    0    0    1    2    0    0    0    .091    .231    .182         

Juarez, Rodrigo          24   RR  126  459   67  109   18    4   17   69   54   75    2    1   13    .237    .317    .405       4*
Luper, Jimmy             28   RR   19   55    4   11    3    0    0    4    6   10    0    0    6    .200    .270    .255        4

Mock, Tim                30   RR  109  407   39  100   12    4    7   43   26   45    4    2    8    .246    .287    .346        5
Harrison, George         23   LR   33  121   15   47   14    2    2   13    5   12    0    1    0    .388    .394    .587      5/4
Jersey, Ryan             26   RR   47   99   17   27    2    1    5   13   16   17    0    0    1    .273    .371    .465        5
Krupenski, Armando       26   RR   13   25    2    6    0    0    0    0    3    4    0    0    0    .240    .310    .240     /564

Fujimoto, Akiho          33   RR  131  500   46  127   18    2    3   41   42   44    2    0   14    .254    .306    .316       6*
Sanchez, Mario           23   RR   65  208   25   48    8    3    1   23   24   46    0    1    2    .231    .308    .313       64
Nobody got less production out of first base than the Giants did last year. For the first third or so they put John Everhart out there. In 1970 he hit .261 and led the team in homeruns but the bottom seemed to fall completely out of his game, both in terms of average and in raw power. He was finally released in August and as of this writing nobody has picked the 37 year old up. From that point on they settled on Bobby Turner and Chris Seek, two high-average, low-power types who both neglected to hit for average. By season's end they were trying out former Red Sox right fielder Jon Berry out there. Needless to say, this is still a position that's very much in flux.

Rodrigo Juarez was handed the second base job out of spring training and as a 24 year old it was a positive just that he held onto it all year. He's got nice power for a middle infielder and scouts say he could walk 70 times a season if he gets the opportunity. If he wants to stick around he'll need to raise his average, possibly by cutting down on the whiffs. As a defender, he's nothing special and is pretty much confined to second by a below average arm. The Giants do have another guy sitting in AA, <name redacted>, who hit .281 in A ball and who looks like an elite defensive second baseman (like Juarez, he's got a poor arm, so no shortstop for him). He's probably at best a September call-up.

After dealing with the mediocrity of Tim Mock for 2 seasons the Giants tried something new for September and that new thing - prospect George Harrison - looks like the best thing that's happened to this team in a long time. Harrison did nothing but rake from the day he was called up in early August. Hey, he won't hit .388 but .288, even, would be a huge step up from what Mock was giving them. As a fielder, too, he's got the kind of arm that boys dream about and girls get their mind set on.

Akiho "The Truth" Fujimoto is a fine defensive shortstop who hits, for the most part, like a fine defensive shortstop. This is an obvious place where SF will do well to find a replacement before the 33 year old Fujimoto's range falls off, but for now it's... a position. Mario Sanchez exists here and is 10 years younger, not nearly as good defensively, and similarly poor on offense. The best bets for long-term replacements are still more than a year away.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Walker, Jimmy            23   RR  107  399   50  110   22    3   14   56   30   88   10    4    4    .276    .328    .451       79
Turner, Bobby            25   LL   82  186   20   47   12    1    4   22   12   32    0    0    1    .253    .307    .392       73
Berry, Jon               31   LL   60  166   24   40    6    1    3   17   20   18    5    3    1    .241    .323    .343     73/9
Hartmann, Will           25   RR   38  143   12   33    4    0    1   12    5   13    2    3    1    .231    .257    .280     7/98

Seligman, Danny          30   RR  115  489   59  163   15    2    6   44   27   67   30   13    7    .333    .363    .409       8*
Park, Chae-hwi           27   RR   33  123   17   26    3    1    7   17   11   17    3    2    1    .211    .275    .423      8/7
Piper, Pat               25   RL   36  116   14   27    6    1    1   11    7   11   10    1    1    .233    .280    .328     8/79
Burwell, Sonny           23   LR    2    5    1    3    1    0    0    2    0    1    1    0    0    .600    .500    .800       /8

Cooper, Barry            28   LR  109  445   44  115   14    2    3   34   27   59   20    2   12    .258    .299    .319       9*
Stephens, Joel           26   RR   23   46    5   10    0    0    2   10    5    6    0    0    0    .217    .283    .348     /973
Weathers, Carl           23   RR   18   32    4    8    1    0    3    7    1    6    0    0    0    .250    .273    .563     /978
Like the Beatles' guitarist, Jimmy "JJ" Walker sort of transformed the hopes of this team. He got his start much, much earlier and didn't make everyone go "WOW" with his average, but he did show the potential for 20 HR power and a solid enough average, especially if he can be a good youngster and cut down on the Ks. Walker has neither great range nor a particularly good arm but catches everything he can get to. There's also Carl Weathers to consider here; Weathers, who has the physique of a boxer but is an actor in the offseason, also profiles to good power if he can put everything together.

Danny "The Phantom" Seligman (I realize that I called Danny Hohman "The Phantom" in the Dodgers writeup; he is not the Phantom, this is) was healthy more than he usually is and actually led the NL in hitting with a .333 average. That's precisely why the team keeps turning to him even though he seems to be a lock to miss at least 50 games a season. Somehow last year was his first All-Star appearance; he also won a Gold Glove and if he can somehow find a way to stay healthy as he gets into his 30s - usually players go the opposite direction - he could win several more.

"The Ritz" Barry Cooper missed a bunch of time a season after playing in a career high 158 games and wasn't very effective when he did play. He got out the gate poorly, hitting .243 through April and was still only at .231 on May 8 when he went down with a sports hernia that took him out until late June. After returning he hit .333 in July, making people think he was back... and then finished the year with a .220 August and a .229 September. The career .315 hitter needs to demonstrate that last season was just a really bad lost year or else Cooper, an All-Star in 1970, may be out of a job.
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Old 06-26-2023, 12:28 PM   #198
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1971 Recap: In spite of only outscoring their opponents by 13 runs in the regular season, the Cardinals hung around a weak NL East all season long and catapulted into the division title with a 17-9 September and a 7-1 record to finish the year. Then they knocked off a reeling Braves team in the NLCS and even took a 102-win Red Sox club to 7 games. It was a real Cinderella season for these overachievers.

1972 Outlook: St. Louis has some huge, huge holes that they desperately need to address if they want to compete again - there's no front-line starting to speak of, the lineup is aging and finished dead last in speed scores and near the bottom in defense. They also get hits and a relatively large amount of dingers considering big Busch Stadium. Just when the world thought the 1963-67 Cardinals dynasty was kaput, it shows up again!



Pitching
---------------------
Code:
Pitching                Age   BT   W   L    WL %      ERA   G  GS  GF  CG SHO  SV     IP    H    R   ER   HR   BB  IBB   SO    WHIP    H9   HR9   BB9   SO9
Alvarez, Ernie           26   LR  16  18    .471     4.40  39  38   0   6   1   0  263.2  286  140  129   27   81    5  139   1.392 100.0   0.9   2.8   4.7
Bachler, Vince           24   RR  14  15    .483     3.44  35  35   0   7   0   0  233.0  218  110   89   15  102    6  148   1.373 100.0   0.6   3.9   5.7
McCauley, Jimmy          35   RR  12  12    .500     3.91  35  33   0   6   2   0  237.0  245  127  103   16  108    5  143   1.489 100.0   0.6   4.1   5.4
Garcia, Mario            24   RR   6   5    .545     4.03  19  19   0   2   1   0  116.0  106   57   52   10   42    4   80   1.276 100.0   0.8   3.3   6.2

Munoz, Billy             30   RR   0   0    .000     3.76  59   0   0   0   0   0   40.2   42   16   17    4   17    3   40   1.451 100.0   0.9   3.8   8.9
Legere, Rick             26   RR   7   4    .636     2.55  57   0  40   0   0   8   77.2   76   25   22    4   25    4   45   1.300 100.0   0.5   2.9   5.2
Kading, Kevin            35   LL   2   1    .667     5.00  45   0  19   0   0   0   45.0   48   26   25    4   20    3   40   1.511 100.0   0.8   4.0   8.0
Sandoval, Jordan         30   RR   1   1    .500     5.29  23   0   7   0   0   0   32.1   31   19   19    6   17    0   19   1.485 100.0   1.7   4.7   5.3
Qiu, Valentin            27   RR   6   5    .545     4.28  22  15   3   1   0   0  109.1  104   56   52   10   40    2   51   1.317 100.0   0.8   3.3   4.2

Gomez, Ricardo           30   RR   0   0    .000     2.79  11  11   0   0   0   0   42.0   33   14   13    1    5    0   19   0.905 100.0   0.2   1.1   4.1
Hernandez, Miguel        28   RR   1   2    .333     5.21  16   3   3   0   0   0   38.0   46   23   22    3   12    1   23   1.526 100.0   0.7   2.8   5.4
Mchugh, Robert           24   RR   0   2    .000     4.61   9   2   3   0   0   0   27.1   24   14   14    2   14    0   25   1.390 100.0   0.7   4.6   8.2
O'Leary, Mike            28   LL   1   0   1.000     5.48   5   3   0   0   0   0   21.1   19   13   13    7   13    0   24   1.500 100.0   3.0   5.5  10.1
Fix, Pat                 29   LL   1   0   1.000     5.93   9   1   1   0   0   1   13.2   17    9    9    1    1    0    5   1.317 100.0   0.7   0.7   3.3
Ellis, Doug              26   RR   1   0   1.000     2.19  11   0   0   0   0   0   12.1   10    3    3    0    1    0   12   0.892 100.0   0.0   0.7   8.8
Theisen, Todd            31   RR   2   0   1.000     5.59   7   0   1   0   0   1    9.2    7    6    6    2    1    0    5   0.828 100.0   1.9   0.9   4.7
Schoner, Dan             31   LR   0   0    .000     1.04   6   0   3   0   0   0    8.2    6    1    1    0    1    0    3   0.808 100.0   0.0   1.0   3.1
Youngblood, Jonas        29   SR   0   0    .000     6.75   2   0   0   0   0   0    5.1    7    4    4    0    3    0    4   1.875 100.0   0.0   5.1   6.8
Mojica, Danny            36   LL   1   0   1.000     0.00   2   0   0   0   0   0    3.0    1    0    0    0    0    0    5   0.333 100.0   0.0   0.0  15.0
Medrano, Franklin        23   LL   0   0    .000     3.38   2   2   0   0   0   0    2.2    4    1    1    0    0    0    4   1.500 100.0   0.0   0.0  13.5
Lopez, Ramon             26   LR   0   0    .000    13.50   2   0   1   0   0   0    2.0    3    3    3    0    2    0    1   2.500 100.0   0.0   9.0   4.5
Code:
Starting Pitching        GS  Wgs  Lgs   ND Wchp LTuf  WTm  LTm  tmW-L%   CG  SHO   QS    QS% GmScA Best Wrst  sDR  lDR RS/GS RS/9  IP/GS Pit/GS     <80   80-99 100-119   >=120     Max
Alvarez, Ernie           38   16   18    4    2    5   20   18   0.526    6    1   21    55%   49   78    3   25    6  3.8  4.9    6.9    110       1       7      21       9     146
Bachler, Vince           35   14   15    6    3    7   19   16   0.543    7    0   21    60%   53   81    6   23    8  3.2  4.3    6.7    107       3       5      21       6     151
McCauley, Jimmy          33   11   12   10    1    3   17   16   0.515    6    2   17    52%   50   91    6   22    6  3.5  4.5    7.1    120       1       2      12      18     163
Garcia, Mario            19    6    5    8    2    1    9   10   0.474    2    1    8    42%   52   81    6    7    9  3.0  4.4    6.1     96       3       6       6       4     135
Qiu, Valentin            15    5    5    5    1    2    9    6   0.600    1    0   10    67%   50   68   15    8    5  3.3  4.6    6.4    101       1       4       8       2     128
Gomez, Ricardo           11    7    3    1    0    2    7    4   0.636    2    1   10    91%   60   79   43    5    5  3.3  3.7    7.9    112       0       2       6       3     130
Hernandez, Miguel         3    1    1    1    0    0    2    1   0.667    0    0    2    67%   43   61   19    3    0  3.3  4.8    6.2    103       0       1       1       1     124
O'Leary, Mike             3    1    0    2    0    0    3    0   1.000    0    0    1    33%   49   70   29    1    1  5.7  8.1    6.3    113       0       0       2       1     120
Medrano, Franklin         2    0    0    2    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    0    00%   50   54   46    0    2  0.5  3.4    1.3     23       2       0       0       0      34
Mchugh, Robert            2    0    1    1    0    0    1    1   0.500    0    0    1    50%   56   60   52    2    0  2.0  3.0    6.0     83       1       1       0       0      89
Fix, Pat                  1    0    0    1    0    0    0    1   0.000    0    0    0    00%   35   35   35    1    0  0.0  0.0    6.0     82       0       1       0       0      82
Code:
Relief Pitching          GR  Wgr  Lgr SVOpp   Sv  BSv    SV%  SvSit  Hld   IR  IRS   IRS%     ALi LevHi LevMd LevLo  Run  Emp  <3O  >3O  0DR  1DR  2DR 3+DR Out/GR Pit/GR
Munoz, Billy             67   10    6   29   24    5    83%     30    1   34   16    32%   1.858    29    24    22   16   51    5   34   18   20   12   17    4.5     23
Legere, Rick             57    7    4   11    8    3    73%     15    4   19    8    30%   1.314    21    30    30   11   46    7   23    7   26    4   20    4.1     20
Kading, Kevin            45    2    1    0    0    0     0%      5    5   24   11    31%   0.634     7    28    28   13   32   13   10   13   11    7   14    3.0     17
Sandoval, Jordan         23    1    1    0    0    0     0%      1    1   12    3    20%   0.621     2    17    17    9   14    4    9    5    4    3   11    4.2     23
Hernandez, Miguel        13    0    1    0    0    0     0%      1    1    5    3    38%   0.595     1     8     8    3   10    3    8    1    2    0   10    4.5     23
Ellis, Doug              11    1    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1   12    0     0%   1.130     2     5     5    6    5    5    3    2    5    2    2    3.4     15
Fix, Pat                  8    1    0    1    1    0   100%      4    3    2    0     0%   1.028     3     3     3    2    6    1    0    1    2    0    5    2.9     12
Mchugh, Robert            7    0    1    0    0    0     0%      0    0    4    0     0%   0.773     0     4     4    3    4    0    4    0    1    1    5    6.6     34
Theisen, Todd             7    2    0    2    1    1    50%      2    0    1    1    50%   0.638     0     5     5    1    6    1    3    1    0    0    6    4.1     19
Qiu, Valentin             7    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    6    3    33%   0.739     2     4     4    3    4    1    5    1    1    1    4    5.9     27
Schoner, Dan              6    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    3    1    25%   0.488     0     3     3    2    4    2    3    1    3    0    2    4.3     23
Mojica, Danny             2    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.850     0     0     0    0    2    0    1    1    0    0    1    4.5     21
McCauley, Jimmy           2    1    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    2    2    50%   0.446     0     1     1    1    1    1    1    0    0    0    2    4.0     27
Lopez, Ramon              2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.370     0     1     1    0    2    0    0    0    0    0    2    3.0     20
Youngblood, Jonas         2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    1    1    50%   0.352     0     2     2    1    1    1    1    0    0    0    2    8.0     45
O'Leary, Mike             2    0    0    0    0    0     0%      1    1    0    0     0%   0.600     0     2     2    0    2    0    1    0    0    0    2    3.5     12
Alvarez, Ernie            1    0    0    0    0    0     0%      0    0    0    0     0%   0.600     0     1     1    0    1    1    0    0    0    0    1    2.0      7
Just after the World Series the Cardinals traded for a man in Raul Mendoza whom they hope will be that #1 guy they looked for in vain last year. Mendoza as 16-11, 3.45 with a good Washington Senators team; he's maybe not a guy with the outstanding stuff you want out of a prototypical ace - his K rate also dropped from a 1st starter-esque 7.2 to just 6.1 last year - but at 28 he's already a 2 time All-Star who won the AL Cy Young in 1967 (it looks like a rough year for top of the line pitchers, I guess - Raul went a good but hardly inspiring 15-7, 2.26). Ricardo Gomez returns to show if that 7-3 run after the Cards acquired him from Milwaukee was all smoke and mirrors or not. At first glance he seems like a super bad fit for this team - a full-on finesse, pitch-to-contact guy - and yet he was far and away the most effective Cards pitcher down the stretch last year. 25 year old Vince "Biscuit" Bachler rounds out the top 3. He was solid in his 2nd year as a starter and set new career highs in wins but also losses as his ERA stayed basically the same (3.38 in '70). He was the 9th overall pick in 1969 but the hype around that has subsided and he kind of does look best suited for a mid-rotation role.

I could see St. Louis going with either a 4 or a 5 man rotation; if anything decides this, it might not be so much trying to give 6 or 7 extra starts to the top guys and more the fact that the St. Louis cupboard is bare in terms of younger players who can jump in and start. Jimmy McCauley started throughout the postseason and so seems to have the edge for the #4 job heading into spring training. He's already 36 but on the other hand was a late bloomer, having not played significantly in the major leagues until age 27, so might have more miles left on his arm than you'd expect for a guy his age. Ernie Alvarez came back from a torn meniscus that forced him to miss most of the 1970 season, which is nice, but he came back with a K rate of just 4.7. Honestly, he seems like the epitome of a guy who could probably do well outside of Busch or, more accurately, the men St. Louis likes to place behind the pitcher at Busch.

The bullpen was the real strength of the team last year but this season stopper Billy Munoz is going to have to carry out more of it on his own, given that the Cards traded away his versatile setup man Rick Legere. Frankly, the rest of this staff is... iffy. Perhaps one man to step up will be now-former starter Mario Garcia, still recovering from a torn rotator cuff but expected to be ready to pitch again in spring training. He went 23-24 as a starter for the Phillies and Cardinals between 1969 and 1970 and before he got hurt last year he at least looked like a guy who can strike people out. St. Louis also acquired former AL saves leader Todd Theisen down the stretch, although Thiesen barely played. He has a career record that's rather up and down but hey, the guy does have experience pitching late and close...

Batting
-----------------------
Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Stuart, John             30   RR  104  384   50  113   17    2   12   59   38   65    0    0    9    .294    .362    .443        2
Medina, Jose             27   RR   53  187   20   49   11    1    0   17   15   31    0    0    6    .262    .317    .332        2
Hall, Lance              25   RR    7   18    1    5    2    0    1    4    3    1    0    0    0    .278    .348    .556       /2
John Stuart recovered from an injury-riddled and mostly ineffective 1970 (.222/2/15) to re-establish himself as the premier hitting catcher in the National League. It seems unlikely that he'll hit 20 HRs again (as he did twice in Philadelphia) given the deep alleys at Busch Stadium, but an average in the .290s with even mid-teens pop is just great to get from your backstop. Stuart's also got a better arm than he's sometimes given credit for, although he only threw out 25% of opposing base stealers last year. 25 year old Lance Hall got a cup of coffee last September but now figures to be the Cardinals' primary backup with Jose Medina gone to Houston in exchange for LF John Rohrbough. He's a better defender than Stuart but honestly not by much; clearly the gameplan here is for Stuart to set career highs in games played.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Martinez, Lorenzo        33   LR  145  498   99  132   14    1   37  100  113   78    0    0   11    .265    .405    .520      3*7
Tortorella, T.J.         28   RR   10   15    3    5    1    0    0    2    2    1    0    0    0    .333    .474    .400       /3
Hirano, Tatsuzo          36   SR    8    6    1    1    0    0    1    1    1    2    0    0    0    .167    .250    .667         

Depew, Tom               26   LR  139  562   72  175   23    8    2   46   30   41    7   13    6    .311    .337    .391     4*/6
Johnston, Chris          37   RR   50  157   13   42    7    1    2   16    7   16    3    2    5    .268    .292    .363     4/36
Argumedo, Jeronimo       32   RR   15   33    3    7    0    0    0    1    2    7    0    0    1    .212    .250    .212        4

Galeana, Mike            27   RR  122  382   63   91    9    2   30   80   66   77    0    1    8    .238    .344    .508       53
Morrison, Mike           30   RR   59  215   21   56    6    3    0   25   20   20    0    1    8    .260    .322    .316        5
Webb, Jeremy             25   RR   18   55    3   11    4    1    0   10    4    6    2    0    0    .200    .246    .309        5
Street, J.D.             30   RR   22   22    4    4    1    0    0    1    2    4    0    1    0    .182    .250    .227       /5
Pope, Aaron              31   RR    9   15    2    3    0    0    0    0    0    2    0    0    2    .200    .294    .200       /5

McCully, Dusty           25   RR  149  549   53  139   19    3    9   58   35   73    0    0   23    .253    .296    .348       6*
Wicker, Joe              26   RR   29   52    4   11    1    0    0    3    3    8    0    1    1    .212    .255    .231      6/4
Lorenzo Martinez successfully moved from left field to first base last season, a move that will both undoubtedly extend his career and improve team defense. Martinez led the league in walks for the second consecutive year and broke 30 HRs and 100 RBIs for the 8th time. Only 33, he's got a (very) outside chance of reaching 500 HRs next year (he has 443).

Tom Depew finally kicked the long-time Cardinals man Chris Johnston off the caddy role he'd been playing for the last 3 years. In fact, he hit .365 in April and .359 in May and it was looking like the Cards had a brand new batting champion on their hands. After falling way down to earth with a .210 mark in July, he did hit .303 and .337 over the final two months, indicating that his status as a .300 man is legit. As for Johnston, the Cardinals traded him to Milwaukee along with Mike Morrison, the Brewers cut him in August, and he is now retired from baseball.

At third, Mike Galeana kind of came out of nowhere to force the Cardinals to call him up at the end of April and then he just took the starting job away from the incumbent Mike Morrison by hitting dinger after dinger after dinger - 30 in all, good for 2nd on the team, in just 382 at-bats. Morrison, as noted above, is no longer on the team anymore so it'll be up to Galeana to prove the power is legit. Personally, I think it is - he also hit 37 HRs in AAA Tulsa in 1970. As with second, if he gets hurt, the fact that the team traded away the old incumbent coupled with St. Louis's very bereft farm system would mean that they'd be in a situation similar to where the Mets got in their outfield last year, that is, signing guys off the street.

Dusty McCully gets some unfair press because he's not a top defender at shortstop. He's definitely got the arm for it but lacks great hands and finesse on the double play pivot. As a hitter, he made great strides from a .213/3/19 performance in 53 games after being traded from Houston in 1970. Joe Wicker was purely a later-season defensive replacement after the Cardinals stopped trying to use Johnston and Depew on the field at the same time. He could play a bigger role in 1971. Oh right! The Cardinals traded for McCully's probable replacement in the classically good-field, no-hit Brian Wilcox. Completely forgot about that move and there he is, on the roster. Yeah... Wilcox might be the best starting SS in terms of defense in the NL, which would be a gigantic step up from McCully. He's also a guy who provides absolutely nothing on offense.

Code:
Batting                 Age   BT    G   AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR  RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   DP      BA     OBP     SLG      Pos
Disla, Rafael            27   LL  131  525   76  165   32    2    9   58   38   55    0    0   15    .314    .366    .434       7*
Vasquez, Hector          29   RR   38   74    6   18    4    0    0    3    8    8    0    0    2    .243    .317    .297      7/9

James, Jim               25   LL   82  332   40   95   17    6    9   29    9   51    3    6    1    .286    .307    .455      8/7
Johnson, Elijah          37   SL  122  388   44   92    9    3    4   32   26   67    8    7    4    .237    .286    .307      897
Keesee, Ethan            24   LL   43  106   15   38    3    2    0    8    6    6    9    1    2    .358    .393    .425    8/397
Dockery, Dylan           28   RR   32   62   15   22    4    2    1   14   10    7    3    1    1    .355    .444    .532        8
Leone, Jake              25   LL   14   45    5    7    1    1    1    3    2   13    2    1    0    .156    .208    .289      8/9

Satterfield, Casey       25   RR  144  526   72  159   30    4   13   70   71   80    2    0   15    .302    .386    .449       9*
Rafael Disla didn't lead the league in hitting like he did in 1969 or just straight up hits as he did in '69 and '70 with the Dodgers - missing 3 weeks with a broken foot will make that hard - but he was nevertheless a real unsung hero. He's by no means a great left fielder but does pick it a level better than Lorenzo Martinez, and he supplied plenty of hits and on-base opportunities for Martinez and Mike Galeana from the 3 spot in the order. Going forward it'd be nice to see him get more RBIs but that may have been due as much to a lack of opportunities than anything else. The team just traded for John Rohrbough to back up the corners and pinch-hit a little bit. Rohrbough is only 24 but seems kind of slotted in as a .280s, low power guy, which probably doesn't win you a lot of starts.

Jim James is kind of an enigma. He's got great speed that he doesn't really take advantage of on the basepaths, he'd seem like a great leadoff guy with a nice average (that .286 comes on the heels of a .348 in AAA Tulsa in 1970) except that he seems morally opposed to taking pitches (only 8 unintentional walks last year). He'd be a good defensive centerfielder except that he sometimes loses concentration in the field and can commit stupid errors (only 2 of them in 75 games though). In spite of all that, he's still the best the Cards have and, barring injury, should play in most of the games. Elijah Johnson is an 11 time Gold Glove Award winner but now at age 37 he doesn't even look like an average CF anymore. Time waits for no man! Johnson also saw his hitting regress but the Cardinals still used him as a Swiss Army Knife throughout the year and they seem committed to doing more of the same going forward.

Casey Satterfield went from being in danger of losing his job in right to being considered a mainstay of this team and, since July, an All-Star. Hitting .300 will do that for you. Otherwise, his power was about the same - fewer HRs but he's increasingly shown signs of working with the large Busch Stadium outfield and set new career highs in doubles and triples - and while his defense is still suspect he did record 8 baserunner kills by runners dumb enough to move on his above average arm. It's very hard to see anyone coming from the farm to oust him so the Cards will cross their fingers that the 40 point jump in average is a new skill.
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Originally Posted by Markus Heinsohn
You bastard....
The Great American Baseball Thrift Book - Like reading the Sporting News from back in the day, only with fake players. REAL LIFE DRAMA THOUGH maybe not
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Old 06-27-2023, 02:53 PM   #199
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1971-72 Offseason

## Standings / Recap / Comments

Just churnin' through the offseason! I haven't set up winter leagues, as BBRef data on them are pretty scarce, but I may bite the bullet on this in the next preseason, assuming I remember to do so.

## Major Transactions
The first BIG ENCHILADA following my write-ups is the Rule V Draft. There was basically no movement from the beginning of November until then so that's where we are...

1. Milwaukee: 23 year old LF Jacquot Mazzucato (.259, 25, 72 at AAA Denver) out of WAS.
2. Montreal: 27 year old C Norman Engelman (.258, 6, 49 at AAA Toledo) out of DET.
3. Chicago (A): 22 year old P Jeremy Huizenga (11-11, 2.63 at AAA Amarillo) out of SF.
4. Cleveland: skip
5. Cincinnati: 24 year old P Dan Tripp (12-10, 2.99 with 271 Ks in 223 IP at AA Jacksonville) out of CLE.
6. San Francisco: 26 year old 1B Ian Swerdlove (.286, 15, 61 at AAA Charlotte) out of PIT.
7. Kansas City: 23 year old P Jon Gutierrez (12-7, 3.11 at A Clinton) out of DET.
8. Chicago (N): 24 year old P Jose Torres (16-3, 1.70 at AAA Charlotte) out of PIT.
9. San Diego: 27 year old 3B Jeremy Currie (.249, 1, 29 at AAA Richmond) out of ATL.
10. Baltimore: 24 year old RP Dave Bly (4-2, 1.79, 10 Sv at AA/AAA) out of BOS.
11. Los Angeles: 24 year old SS Tommy Martin (.228, 2, 42 and a +27.0 ZR at AAA Richmond) out of ATL.
12. New York (A): skip
13. California: 22 year old 3B Ricky Vigueras (.253, 11, 44 at AA Dallas/Fort Worth) out of BAL.
14. Minnesota: skip
15. Pittsburgh: 23 year old P Alberto Alvarez (5-4, 3.82, and 86 Ks in 68.1 IP for AA Asheville) out of CHW.
16. New York (N): 27 year old OF Josh Phillips (.257, 5, 47 at AAA Syracuse) out of NYY.
17. "Washington": 25 year old SS Jesus Rodriguez (.255, 11, 51 at AAA Reading) out of PHI.

There were also a couple of big moves though...

November 30: The Cubs traded P Steve Tidwell (14-11, 4.19) to the A's for CF Alex Vallejo (.301, 5, 23). Chicago's giving up a pretty penny for the oft-injured Vallejo but if he can stay healthy he turns a minus position into a positive one. For the A's, they consider that, as talented as Vallejo is, they still stuck in with David Mesa out there for half the year - Mesa's still just 23 and now they have a top veteran pitcher for their troubles.

November 30: The Reds traded RF Justin Jensen (no statline in 1971), 1B Nick Miller (.269, 6, 33), and RF Bobby Beaulieu (.266, 8, 44) to the Astros for RF Jaden Weaver (.303, 37, 104), P Josh Mullett (15-14, 4.45), 1B Justin Richens (.272, 9, 48), OF/PH Javy Perez (.280, 5, 8) and OF prospect Joe Dean (.270, 0, 9 at AA OKC). This is the big one (the real life version was the Joe Morgan deal). Jaden Weaver is one of the great power hitters in the National League but his swing was never tailored well for Houston and now he'll try to ply his trade in more cozy confines. The Astros managed to unload a couple of big salaries in this deal, too, in Richens and Mullett, and get back Jensen, who hit 42 HRs in 1970 before missing all of last year, Nick Miller, who the scouts think can be a premier first baseman (I don't know about that but hey, what do I know, I'm just the player), and a guy in Beaulieu who might just be their new center fielder.

November 30: The Indians traded P Josh Matthews (13-17, 3.57) to the Giants for P Robert Rivera (14-15, 2.92) and LF Bobby Turner (.253, 4, 22). Cleveland ships off their own troubled right-hander and picks up a guy who'd be a Cy Young candidate with better support. The original deal included Frank Duffy, who eventually became Cleveland's starting SS, as a throw in; I went with Turner here because scouts think highly of him and they also really, really do not like their incumbent LF Alonzo Huanosta.

November 30: The Angels traded CL Travis Livingston (7-4, 2.18, 14 Sv) to the Twins for OF Lou Morgenstern (.247, 19, 69). The Twins kill two birds with one stone here, clearing up a crowded outfield (after the trade for Ernie Griffin) and acquiring a guy to shore up their beleaguered bullpen in the young Livingston. Morgenstern is not young but also not suuuper old at 32 and himself shores up a rough-looking position for California (and also in the offing becomes their top power hitter).

December 2: The Tigers traded minor league P Jason Olson (3-0, 2.45) to the Dodgers for OF Danny Hohman (.283, 2, 11). This was originally a PTBNL trade but OOTP don't do that. Olson is a low-minors guy who has missed a lot of time via injury already. He did look good in 6 starts but this is mainly about LA dropping a guy who didn't fit into their plans in Danny Hohman, who's played in just 26 games in the last 2 years because of a variety of injuries. If Hohman can stay healthy he gives Detroit the fastest outfield in all of baseball.

December 2: The Expos traded OF/PH Gabe Martinez (.282, 1, 16) to the Mets for C Ricardo Romero (.129, 1, 5), minor league 2B Luis Alvarez (.273, 1, 34 at AAA Tidewater), minor league P Matt Shaver (7-16, 4.70 at AAA Tidewater), and minor league OF Alekaneko Binda (.263, 2, 6 at A Visalia). Your classic "let's exploit the expansion team and give them a bunch of minor league depth" move. Granted that the Mets don't exactly have a huge amount of minor league depth to spare... in any case, Martinez will probably play quite a lot in that hole-filled Mets outfield.

December 2: The Reds traded RP Ricky Rosas (7-13, 4.93, 9 Sv) to the Twins for RP Pete Lynn (6-9, 3.32, 19 Sv). Two stoppers who had bad years for their teams get moved here. Rosas certainly had the worse year but then again, Pete Lynn is 3 years younger. Call it even and by even I mean this is a steal for Cincy.

December 2: The Astros traded P Don Henley (3-3, 4.44), P Steven Tyler (2-3, 3.35), and minor league P Mark Courtway (11-5, 2.83 at AAA OKC) to the Padres for P Jason Gilmer (14-16, 3.69). You can't say that the Astros aren't trying to do something this offseason, that's for sure. They paid dearly to pick up Gilmer but the former Tigers star is ready and Henley and Tyler are not. San Diego is now the musical team of music; Tyler is already discussing plans to create a "future villains band"...

December 6: The Indians purchased minor league OF Mike Starratt (.319, 5, 27) from the Expos for $1,500. Starratt is a 35 year old minor leaguer and is pretty much nothing but organizational depth. But hey, free money!

December 6: The Reds traded P Manny Rivera (2-2, 3.66) to the Indians for LF Alonzo Huanosta (.261, 13, 57). Rivera put together a decent enough 1971 for the Reds although he's an extreme pitch to contact guy. Cincy is taking a big, big chance in return in the form of Huanosta, whose average fell more than 80 points from .347 in 1970. The Reds can add him to their collection of underachieving corner outfielders.

December 7: The Tigers traded P Benito Diaz (9-5, 4.12, 5 Sv at AAA Toledo) to the Cardinals for P Todd Thiesen (3-3, 5.59, 6 Sv). The Cards are essentially dumping Thiesen, whom the Tigers are taking a small gamble on: is he actually still good?

December 9: The Orioles traded 3B Mauro Magoni (.212, 2, 12) to the Brewers for P Dave Zapata (0-1, 5.52). Magoni was an All-Star in 1968; maybe he can fit the bill for Milwaukee at third. Probably not. They're not exactly giving up much in Zapata.

December 10: The Angels traded SS Chris Adams (.222, 15, 68) to the Mets for minor league C Juan Carmona (.198, 3, 13 at AA Memphis), RP Mark Seitz (0-0, 4.11), SP David "Macho" Camacho (12-10, 3.82), and LF Brad Wagner (.211, 5, 13). In real life this was the Jim Fregosi for Nolan Ryan deal. Camacho is not at all the player that Ryan was IRL of course but then, Brad Wagner is a top-rated prospect, bad September or no. Chris Adams is a very good shortstop, albeit one who fell in love with the longball a bit too much last year. As for replacing him in Cal, the Angels didn't have a real guy there... except that Richard Simmons is such a great fielder that he can easily take over shortstop and who's in this team's minor league system but MOTHER EFFING SNAKE PLIZKEN HIMSELF, KURT RUSSELL.

December 10 (because I missed a bunch of deals from a week before UGH): The Indians traded RF Tommy Pron (.273, 9, 48), P Chris Regan (5-4, 4.82), CL Eric Godard (1-8, 4.53, 16 Sv), and C Jonathan House (.217, 3, 26) to the "Senators" for P Rocky Richard (10-10, 2.29 at AAA Denver), P Jaden Terrell (4-1, 2.66 at AAA Denver), CL Jake Duckett (4-6, 3.31), and LF Bobby Kaplan (.303, 2, 55). It's a trade that makes both teams worse! Cleveland seems like they're going whole-hog into rebuilding now; at least, their outfield will be entirely turned over. They bring back Bobby Kaplan, who is now not super well set up for Texas' new environs... although he's not exactly set up well for Cleveland Municipal Stadium either. Otherwise this was as much about Cleveland dumping the troubled Regan and House as anything else.

December 10: The White Sox traded SS Justin Henderson (.233, 0, 24) and P Aidan Williams (13-14, 3.16) to the Dodgers for 3B Brian Maccioli (.283, 16, 61). The Dodgers open up a giant hole at third base with this move but acquire what they think will be a top-line starter in return. Justin Henderson could get trained up over there but he doesn't hit like a corner infielder at all.

December 10: The Braves traded C Andres Gamez (.318, 5, 32) to the "Senators" for C Armando Flores (.290, 7, 65). Okay, so Washington, who really looked like they could compete for the AL West just by standing pat, now appears to be tearing it down. Gamez is 6 years younger than Flores but Flores is an All-Star. I don't know, man...

December 10: The Yankees traded P Josh Foster (10-9, 3.98 at AAA Syracuse) and P Josh Powers (no record in 1971) to the "Senators" for OF Joel Schaben (.305, 6, 65). The dismantling continues. Sorry, future Rangers fans. Hope you like crap! Schaben will be on his 4th team in 4 years; he played center for the Sens last year but probably isn't cut out for that spot at age 34. No matter, the Yankees already have a guy for that spot but a gaping hole in left.

December 10: The Astros traded minor league 2B Mike Fairbanks (.201, 12, 53) and minor league SS Vince Price (.248, 1, 22) to the Royals for P Allen Bailey (9-10, 3.29 at AAA Omaha) and RP Vincent Bump (3-2, 4.08). KC had a decent year but they're still a relatively new expansion team and so could use the minor league depth, especially when it comes so cheaply. Price has a small amount of hype surrounding him; Fairbanks is probably a career minor leaguer.

December 10: The White Sox traded 1B Pete Jennings (.283, 16, 77) to the Yankees for SP Obke Olthof (12-13, 3.85). The Sox added a guy in the Flying Dutchman whom they hope will become their new ace. Olthof struggled last year but won 20 games in 1970 so it's not crazy talk. For the Yankees, they seem to enjoy going through a first baseman a year; why should 1972 be any different? Jennings looks like a much better fit for the position than Alan Rickman.

December 10: The Orioles traded 2B Danny Fager (.293, 12, 60) and RP Chris Valenzuela (2-4, 3.86, 4 Sv) to the Dodgers for P Rob Reiner (1-2, 3.29), P Santos Rodriguez (8-11, 3.65), minor league C Jacob Marshall (.287, 2, 34), and minor league OF Steve Figueroa (.204, 6, 14 at A Bakersfield). Let the rebuilding begin! The Orioles will be sad to have to drop Fager, a star in the prime of his career, but he was also by far their biggest asset and they did get a good haul coming back. Most notably, Rob "Meathead" Reiner, LA's #1 prospect. Santos Rodriguez is no slouch himself. LA turns a minus position into an immediate plus. Is that going to be enough to propel them into contention in the NL West? We'll see!

December 11: The Twins traded minor league 1B Rich Rios (.258, 2, 31 at A White Rapids) to the Padres for minor league C Josh Barclay (.180, 3, 26) and minor league SS Ryan Casper (.180, 1, 7). None of these three players are going anywhere for anyone; in fact, Casper is the only one of the three who's seen time in the major leagues and that's probably how it'll stay.

December 13: The White Sox traded minor league OF Juan Ortiz (.277, 5, 47 at AAA Tucson) (probably not his real name) to the Phillies for minor league C Zack Delisle (.216, 3, 19). Ortiz is a highly sought after bat but the White Sox brass took one look at him and decided he was eventually going to be very expensive. Also, they need a catcher of the future in case Mike Perez goes to crap again. I can justify anything!

December 14: The Reds traded minor league 1B Jake Fusco (.248, 1, 11) to the Cardinals for minor league P Willie Garcia (2-12, 7.32 combined between AAA Evansville and AAA Tulsa). Garcia's a hard thrower with terrible control who's more or less on his last legs. The Reds gave up a 25 year old pure hitter who's not super likely to see the major leagues except maybe as a September call-up.

December 14: The White Sox traded P Hector Fernandez (11-7, 2.72 at AAA Eugene) to the Reds for OF John Penn (.297, 1, 4). The Reds just seem intent on collecting bad - well, questionable - pitchers. Fernandez had a 7.02 ERA in the major leagues last year but struck out 14 men in 16.2 innings. Even at age 28, it's worth taking a flyer on. They moved on from Penn, who really looks like a guy who deserves a bigger chance than the cups of coffee he's received so far. Will he get them in Chicago? Who knows.

December 16: The Padres purchased CF Josh Coldiron (.211, 0, 7) from the Royals for $2,500. The Royals, who are a pretty young team now, increasingly had no need for the 25 year old backup CF. The Padres will let him fight it out with the other subpar hitters at the position in spring training. He'll project to be the best defender on the team at least.

January 19: The Orioles traded P Alfredo Contreras (1-1, 9.42) to the Yankees for minor league P Gregg Snell (1-0, 5.01 at AA Manchester). Mostly a salary dump, the thinking from the Yankees is that Contreras, as bad as he was last year, is a lefty and therefore might be effective in the Bronx.

January 20: The Cubs traded CF Ryan Johnston (.253, 12, 39) to the Yankees for RP Jesse Kelly (8-7, 4.90, 12 Sv). Both teams get pieces they love: the Yankees add an outfielder and the Cubs land a relief pitcher coming off of an awful season.

January 26: The Angels traded OF Barney Leriche (.225, 10, 32) to the Brewers for OF Andrew Powell (.245, 3, 29). Both of these outfielders struggled badly for their respective teams and both get new starts with new teams who aren't as invested in their future.

February 1: The Orioles traded P Pat Pierson (5-4, 3.02 at AAA Indianapolis) to the Tigers for 2B Alex Perez (.285, 1, 26 in AAA Toledo). Pierson is... fine, not young but maybe he'll become a thing, and for the Tigers, Perez was locked behind a couple of second basemen. He'll have every chance to fill the shoes vacated by Danny Fager for the O's in another month.

February 3: The Yankees purchased 2B Jimmy Luper (.200, 0, 4) from the Giants for $1,250. Luper will maybe get to compete for the 2B job, sort of.

## News
I'm still kinda interested in the news here, even if I'm not going to go way in depth with it until the season starts...

November 8: Led Zeppelin releases Led Zeppelin IV, aka the Runes album.

November 15: Intel releases the 4004 processor. Yeah, we're still a ways away from the 8086.

November 18: Oman gains independence from the United Kingdom.

November 21: Hall of Fame voting begins today. There are a bunch of guys who even I'm not particularly aware of. Nevertheless, here's my ballot:

3B Noah "Mungo" Buchanan (3rd year on the ballot, 69.1% last year). Buchanan finished his career with 2,311 hits and a .292 average with 1,121 RBIs. He went to 12 All-Star Games, won an MVP in 1950, and has a HOF Monitor score of 88. On top of that, he entered the league in 1946 as a 24 year old so might have lost up to 3 or 400 hits to the save date. Maybe this guy isn't like an inner circle HOFer but he's for suuuuuuuure a person who belongs in there.

SP Lazaro "Spanky" Hernandez (3rd year, 59.9%). Hernandez finished his career 226-194, which I know is a lot of decisions for this league (which, I do not like the fact that OOTP just switches out to 4 man rotations, period, in the 60s - there needs to be some kind of gradual change). He's got a career ERA+ of only 107 (3.47 career) but that looks like he got pulled down by a kind of bad second half of his career. He "only" went to the AS Game 5 times so I think he's kind of a borderline case but I want more guys in there.

SS Allen "Seeker" Ortiz (7th year, 21.1%). Another guy who's career was cut short by the start date, Ortiz entered the league in 1946 as a 27 year old starter, went to 7 All-Star Games, and collected 1,827 hits for a .298 average. And yeah, as a shortstop - only 1 GG as one but I'm seeing more than 8,000 innings in that role (he also played around 4 seasons' worth of 1st base). For sure, this guy was the premiere NL SS of the late 40s and early 50s.

CF Henning Rasmussen (3rd year, 13.9%). I ran into this guy's name while writing up the Yankees. He was a nice starter for them for many years and was I guess the AL CF of the 50s. Some day I should go back and do a Bill James Historical Abstract look at the decades of the past. Anyway, another guy who falls short on the HOF Monitor but come on, the man played a major defensive position (not as a GG quality guy, granted).

RF Chris Seidel (2nd year, 27.1%). A good RF for the Pirates throughout the 60s, Seidel had 8 trips to the AS Game, won an MVP in 1952 (.327/38/121 that year, and led the league in doubles (36), HRs, RBIs, and SLG (.623)). He looks like a guy who aged pretty quickly and so doesn't have gaudy counting stats (only 1,830 hits and 329 HRs) but my philosophy is, I kind of mentally tick down the Ken Keltner List and usually, "was this guy the best player at his position for an extended period of time" tends to cut it for me; I think it's clear that Seidel is in the mix as the top RF of the 50s.

I did leave off David "Nugget" Melton on account of he finished with a career record of 84-42. He was reeeeeeeeally good but had an extremely short career.

November 24: During a severe weather storm over Washington state, a man who called himself DB Cooper parachuted from a Northwest Orient plane that he'd previously hijacked with $200,000 in ransom money. He fell to his death. Sorry guys, that's what happened.

November 28: The Calgary Stampeders win the Grey Cup by beating the Toronto Argonauts, 14-11.

December 2: The Soviet Mars 3 lander reaches the surface of Mars, transmits for a few seconds, and goes silent.

December 3: The Indo-Pakistani War of 1972 begins as Pakistani forces launches pre-emptive attacks on nine Indian airbases.

December 4: The Montreaux Casino burns down during a Frank Zappa concert (later memorialized in the Deep Purple song "Smoke on the Water").

December 10: The John Sinclair Freedom Rally is held, featuring a performance by John Lennon, at Crisler Arena in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

December 11: The Pakistan Army in East Pakistan (now Bangladesh) surrenders to joint forces of India and Bengali nationalist separatist, ending the Bangladesh Liberation War.

December 19: The controversial Kubrick movie "A Clockwork Orange" is released in New York City.

December 20: Two groups of French doctors involved in humanitarian aid merge to form Medecins Sans Frontieres (aka Doctors Without Borders).

December 25: The Miami Dolphins beat the Kansas City Chiefs 27-24 after 82 minutes, 40 seconds, the longest game in NFL history. Garo Yepremian kicked - not passed! - the winning field goal.

January 1: Kurt Waldheim becomes the new Secretary-General of the UN.

January 2: The first scientific hand-held calculator, the HP-35, is introduced, priced at $395 (almost $3,000 in today's money).

January 5: The HOF voting results are in, with one new inductee: 3B Noah Buchanan (see my write-up above), who just barely slipped in with 75.1% of the vote. It looks like a line drive in the box score, Noah! RF Matt Clayton, who I didn't vote for but who is very clearly worthy (10x ASG, an MVP, 11 GGs, 2,663 career hits), just missed with 71.1% of the vote. I'll be sure to remember him next year.

January 9: The original Queen Elizabeth ocean liner catches fire and sinks in Hong Kong's Victoria harbor.

January 12: Tigers owner John Fetzer announces that the Tigers have signed a lease to built a $126M domed stadium along the river in downtown Detroit. The complex will seat 52,000 for baseball and 60,000 for football. In the end, the city of Detroit will (probably wisely) shoot this future cookie-cutter park down with lawsuits, a failed bond issue, and finally the construction of the Silverdome in nearby Pontiac to provide the Lions with a place to play.

January 13: The prime minister of Ghana is overthrown in a military coup.

January 13: Former umpire and now housewife Bernice Gera wins her lawsuit against Major League Baseball, began March 15, 1971, and is slated to call games in the New York-Penn league in June.

January 19: The libertarian enclave Minerva, squatting on a platform in the South Pacific and sponsored by the Phoenix Foundation, declares independence. Soon, Tonga will annex the area and dismantle the platform.

## Teams in Review

ABSOLUTELY NOT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Markus Heinsohn
You bastard....
The Great American Baseball Thrift Book - Like reading the Sporting News from back in the day, only with fake players. REAL LIFE DRAMA THOUGH maybe not
Syd Thrift is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-30-2023, 01:30 PM   #200
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Preseason 1972

## Standings / Recap / Comments
The big franchise move, of course, involves the Washington Senators moving down to Arlington, Texas and becoming the Texas Rangers. This also necessitates a move from the AL East to the West, and to accommodate them the Brewers move to the East. In retrospect, I get why it was done - Milwaukee's an expansion team and so doesn't have any historical ties - but there's a kind of natural Minneapolis/St. Paul - Milwaukee - Chicago rivalry right there that MLB put the kibosh on by shipping the Brewers out to the East. No wonder why Bud Selig chose to be the guy to move his own team to the National League to balance things out in the 90s...

It looks like the auto-picker is working properly this year for the unis, which is a good thing because it looks like for the 1972 season there was a patch on everyone's uniforms. The 100th anniversary of... the 2nd season of the National Association? I have no idea. So that does mean that for the most part I'm just inputting the ballpark effects for each team. Not a lot to report here; Cleveland and Detroit went a little less extreme HR (so don't expect another 65 dinger season). Most noticeable to me is that Arlington Stadium is actually only 85/90 for HRs. That's still a better HR park than RFK but obviously it's well within "pitcher's park" range. Speaking of, one move I do see here - I use 3 year averages so the trends tend to be small - is Busch going into "destroy the end of Lorenzo Martinez's career" mode; it's now 75/74 for HRs, down from the low 80s.

The Rangers, of course, have all new uniforms. I'm happy to see that they didn't just stick with the Senators rend and white as I thought they had; there's a whole lot of blue that wasn't in there before and the road unis are positively 1970s. I've included the baseball card for their up and coming first baseman George W "Dubya" Bush both so you can get an idea of the new unis (from the neck up anyway) as well as the 1972 Topps cards, which I think are one of the more favorite sets out there.

Minor League Team stuff
------------------------
American Association: The Winnipeg Whips (MON) moved out of icy Canadia and to Hampton, VA, where they will be the Peninsula Whips this season. The Wichita Aeros move to becoming a Cubs' affiliate. I chose to just allow the world to burn here and move the rosters of all these teams.

Pacific Coast League: They split east and west instead of north and south this year. The new Eastern Division is comprised of Phoenix (SF), Salt Lake City (CAL), Tucson (CHW), and a new team in Albuquerque (LAD), replacing the Spokane Indians. In the West you've got the Hawaii Islanders (SD), the Eugene Emeralds (PHI), the Portland Beavers (now CLE), and the Tacoma Twins (formerly CHC, now MIN).

Dixie Association: This splits off into 2 separate leagues, the Texas League and the Southern League, and ups its number of teams to 8 apieces so that now all MLB teams have a AA affiliate.

Carolinas League: They dropped from 8 teams to 6, but there are already more than 1 team per A-level affiliate so it's not such a huge deal. At this level, too, I'm just switching teams to match their affiliates and if that means someone gets a big old new influx of minor leaguers, oh well.

Northern League: This short-season A league ceased to operate after 1971.

Dominican Winter League: I'm going to ease into this, try this out and see how it works. I see that there were already also fall instructional leagues but I'll hold off on making those, too. Because I did redo the preseason twice (once because the game crashed and I didn't notice it, once because I accidentally started deleting teams from MLB and had to give it the ol' 3 finger salute) I wound up adding a Venezeulan Winter League as well. We'll see how that works!

Spring Training Camp Battles
---------------------------------
Pretty much every team has a loosely defined bottom of their rotation and bullpen, so I'm not going to really mention pitching...

Atlanta: 35 year old incumbent Vicente Luna will fight off William Jefferson Clinton in a hitting (or what's left of it) vs. defense battle.

Baltimore: I can't just hand the job over to him so Frank Abagnale will duke it out against last year's man David Delgado at catcher. Jon Hernandez will fight things out with veteran 3rd baseman Mike Morrison for the 1st base job. And who will take over for the departed Danny Fager? It's between newcomer Alex Perez and "old" (he's 23) guard Vladimir Yakunin (my first one of these this year). Sergio Viera de Mello also will need to compete for the LF job, this time with TJ Corron. Finally RF Jamal Jenkins can't expect to get a job just handed to him after a .223 season so he'll fight it out with Ralph May. Lots of camp battles... this will not be a good team.

Boston: Bruce Springsteen seems to have the LF job set but I will make him fight it out with 26 year old Cuban national Carlos "Cupcakes" Rodriguez.

California: I fully expect Kurt freaking Russell to beat out Mauricio Mendez at second but hey, Mendez has been in this role before. Left field is out between the veteran Lou Morgenstern, acquired from Minnesota, and young stud / GREATEST BASSIST OF ALL TIME Jaco Pastorius. I haven't put Andrew Powell anywhere to compete because he sucked last year but he could play in the corners or first base should something happen.

Chicago (A): The White Sox are a complete mess. Jeff Nation, who played 3rd base last year, will compete with JP Carter for the 1st base job. Neither guy will probably hold it for very long. At 2nd, Chicago likes former Angels starter Chance Hopka and they've put him in the driver's seat at 2nd base against incumbent Ian Reeder. Chris Morgan and Jim Fiederlein are kind of going at it at short; I say "kind of" because that's more about whether Morgan is ready to play in the major leagues. The 24 games he got in September indicate he is. John Penn will battle Ian Everett in center just because Penn seems like a guy who should play more. And Ahnold hit well in 112 at-bats but those were 112 at-bats so he'll face off against last year's RF Josh Wade.

Chicago (N): Manuel Lozano has the inside track vs. oft-injured incumbent at 2B Juan Perez but again, can't just give the job away outright, especially with the vet still there.

Cincinnati: My thinking with catcher here is to split Jarrod Day and Oliver Williams about 50/50 but we'll see how that shakes out. Alonzo Rivera will see if he can hit anywhere near .400 again and also fight off Junior Cannon at first. Justin Richens is also in the mix there. LF will see a battle between two veterans: former Indians slugger Alonzo Huanosta is facing off against Carlos Gomez, who started the year horribly with San Diego but really picked it up after being traded to the Reds.

Cleveland: Joe Wolfe will probably play the lions' share of games but I want to push him with left-handed batting Ray Varner to see how much of a platoonish situation I can set up. I feel like this is the year TJ Pritchett loses his job, in this case to .300 hitting Luis Oropeza, but we need to play things out to be sure. Bobby Kaplan is going to fight Bobby Turner in left, although Kaplan, a .303 hitter with Washington last year, should really, really win this. Nelson Vargas will face off against Chris Fonseca in right; Fonseca is average at best but I need to make sure Vargas' bad 1971 in California isn't repeated.

Detroit: I'm *not* battling Suman with Danny Villegas but rather giving the job to the veteran outright. This is likely only a temporary situation, what with the DH on the horizon, and, well, even in the best case scenarios Villegas will probably miss time. Adam Dittmar has the inside track on Guillermo Thompson but hey, Thompson could become a .300 guy again and then what do you do? Danny Hohman likewise has the inside track on Chris Contreras in RF, although with Hohman's luck he could just miss the entire season again...

Houston: The scouts love them some Nick Miller at 1B but he hasn't exactly produced so I'll push him with pinch-hitting specialist Nate Ringstad. Here this feels like a team that's going to be suddenly weak in the lineup even though there aren't a lot of unsettled positions. Well, unless Justin Jensen comes back all the way...

Kansas City: Funny cats or no, I'm not entirely sold on just giving Jim Davis all of the at-bats at first base, so I'm pairing him with Josh Lewis. That could work as a platoon situation into the regular season. In right field, Kyle Brown was the team's pinch-hitter last year and will try and consolidate that into a starting gig against top prospect / questionable boss Tony Danza.

Los Angeles Dodgers: Can 3B Robin Gibb make the move all the way from A ball to the major leagues? He'll fight it out with Jeremy Schwartz, although honestlu that position could be an absolute black hole come April. Luis Solis will try to fend off Justin Henderson at short; Solis is the obvious choice on offense but he's a very bad defender where Henderson is a 3-time Gold Glover (all at second but still). Paul Stewart in LF is another guy who was not good last year but who will try to shake that off. He'll be battling JD Heil, who isn't all that good at anything other than defense. And with CF Butch Magana now out for the season after suffering a setback in his recovery from a broken kneecap, CF is down to Ben Ernst vs Mexican League veteran Tony Martinez.

Milwaukee: Adam Brown ended the season as the team's catcher but hey, 26 year old Ken Hall hit .312 at the end of the year - let's make 'em fight it out. At third base it's the semi-incumbent Franciso Martinez (Martinez did start the year as the Brewers' 3B but lost the job) vs. career second baseman Pat Jones. Jones is 34 but he just deserves to play somewhere, especially on a team like this with such iffy hitting. Guido Temudo vs Eric Biron at SS is good-field, no-hit vs no-field, good hit. I have to think Temudo will win this because Biron wasn't a shortstop in 1970 and he's gotten 2 years older since then. Ross Poynor also can't really stick in centerfield but Fernando Ceballos can't hit so maybe we can create some kind of platoon arrangement there that approaches quality.

Minnesota: Daniel Gilmet is still a good hitter but man, that defense at second base is really beginning to drop off so I feel the need to push him with Pietro Palmarocchi. Jeff Franks does not look great as a fielder but I'm just plain not going to go into the season with 38 year old Mike "the Randy Bush of this save" Grigg as the Twins' Opening Day left fielder so he'll get to prove it when the games count.

Montreal: Rule V pick Norman Engelmann looks poised to take over the starting C role but as long as Roberto Carranco is there he'll challenge. At SS, Klaus Meine has loads of potetial but hit just .130 in 23 at-bats at the end of the season. I guess even if he hit .500 I'd have to test him. Incumbent George Yarbor is the tester.

New York (A): The stoic Jonathan Banks will duke it out against future Hall of Famer Ty Stover, who could potentially still have something left. The entire outfield is up for grabs. In left, it's going to be 34 year old Frank Meneses, a man who, every time you think he's done he comes back, against Alan Rickman, who was pushed off of first base by the acquisition of Angels and White Sox slugger Pete Jennings. Center field is a fight between Micah MacMillan and Joel Schaben. Neither of them is a super great fielder but Schaben, I have to say, hit pretty well last season. And in right field, known Canadian Phil Hartman will see if he can keep up the good work of '71 against former Cubs CF Ryan Johnston, who come to think of it could also play in... center.

New York (N): Jason Bushon will see if he can out-catch, or at least out-hit known rabble-rouser Gerry Adams. Adri van Zanten has to be one of the worst .260 hitters in the league. I'm not super fond of Danny Waters either (anymore) but they can fight it out for the 1972 job. Ethan Keesee will fight it out to see if the .358 average he put up in 100 ABs for St. Louis last year is sustainable; his opposition in LF is former Expos pinch-hitting specialist Gabe Martinez.

Oakland: The A's are the first time I've run through who have zero camp battles. Except for the pitching of course.

Philadelphia: Victor Serna deserves to defend his job after all these years with the team, even if he'll probably lose it to Nate Rowe. In left, Brandon Anderson played most of the year there but he's facing top prospect and Cuban not-defector Alberto Juantorena, who's a world-class sprinter in his off time. In right, Philadelphia hopes that John Belushi can keep going with his 66 1971 at-bats; he faces token competition there in the form of 28 year old Bobby Corley.

Pittsburgh: I intend to run back the platoon combo of Jack Holman and Albilio Valdivia at first base but that looks like a "competition" in the books. Alex Flores will try to wrest the 3rd base job away from 38 year old Roberto Prieto. I'm not a huge fan of the gloves of either Luke Dunnahoe or Tyler Webster but that's what we've got right now at shortstop and so that's the competition. Michio Kaku will try and prove he can acclimate to the spooky physics of center field as he battles it out with incumbent Justin Hearl.

San Diego: Peter Gabriel will fight it out with Michael DeBose at catcher but if Gabriel can hit I'll probably use both players extensively. Will Dale Earnhardt take pole position at third base vs 39 year old Kevin Landry? I guess we'll see. Andy Johnson, a 27 year old rookie, is going to get a shot at shortstop againt Armando Troncoso, who looks a step worse at the position and he was already around 3 steps bad. I don't really think either Jake Leone nor Josh Coldiron bring much to the table in center but one of them (probably) has to have the job. In right, I fully expect Ed O'Neill to emerge there but I want to give Ray Herring a lot of ABs to see if maybe he can be that guy in center.

San Francisco: Catcher will see Iggy Pop vs Chris Campbell in an offense vs defense and also youth vs age matchup (yes, in this universe Iggy Pop is actually young). Joe Kimball looks like a league-average first baseman waiting to happen, which is an upgrade over Chris Seek, but Seek will nevertheless fight it out with him. I'd be extremely surprised if George Harrison loses to Tim Mock at third base but hey, weirder things have occurred.

St. Louis: Given that they brought him in to shore up the defense, Brian Wilcox would have to completely die in order to lose the job to incumbent Dusty McCully... but then, McCully is the incumbent. Otherwise, this team is somewhat surprisingly set.

Texas: Andres Gamez hit .318 as a catcher and should win the job here but he is only 23 so Jonathan House will push him in case he falls off. Tyler Knight is listed as being in competition with David Salinas at third base but probably what happens there if Salinas "wins" is that Knight switches back to shortstop. Speaking of which, that's down to a couple of younger and unproven players in Michael Luna and Henry Rodriguez. Tommy Pron will face token "new guy" competition in minor leaguer Greg Mathis; the Rangers really need Pron to find that stroke. Devin Bucciarelli and Bill Iverson are at it in a true "battle of the crap". Well, both can cover the field well.

I won't list who won all them things but here's a very brief recap of spring training....

AL: The Tigers went 19-11 to lead the AL East over the 17-13 Yankees. Boston was only 14-16, which I won't take as a sign of anything. The O's trailed everyone with a 13-17 record. The West saw the hottest team all spring, the White Sox, who finished 21-9. Trailing the division were the champs, the A's, and the new kids, the Rangers, at 11-19 apiece. Of those two, I kind of expect that to be the Rangers' overall performance. Ernesto Garcia put on a clinic in spring training to lead everyone with 9 HRs. Brand new Twin Ernie Griffin had 7 of his own. Rob Curran led everyone in hitting with a .389 average although I'm almost positive that wasn't enough to win him a starting job. TJ Corron also performed super well and he *did* get a starting gig with that. Dylan Hamilton (CLE), Justin Kindberg (BOS), and Chris McGranahan (DET) all won 4 games, and Vince "not Denny McClain" Akright led the AL with a 0.41 ERA.

NL: Montreal(!) paced the East with a 20-10 record. Hey, it's nice to have fun in the spring. Philly finished 13-17 and in last place so it was a topsy-turvy division. Houston led the West with an 18-12 record in spite of having what felt like a day to day injury to a random middle reliever every day. Hey, maybe moving Jaden Weaver was the right thing to do after all (narrator: it wasn't). The Reds, speaking of which, finished 15-15 in the middle of the pack. The Dodgers and Padres had identical 10-20 records; as I look through both of those rosters I think both may have lowkey really awful seasons. Jimmy "Olson" Washington of the Mets led the entire NL in HRs with 8 - is he coming back this year? Bobby Beaulieu seems poised to make Astros fans forget about Weaver in right field (haha); he led the NL with a .491 average this spring. Sean Gabel also hit over .400 in holding off a challenge at third in Chicago. There were just 2 4-game winners in the NL this spring: knuckleballer Colin Rose of Atlanta (who is now in the rotation, I'm happy to say) and Montreal's Aaron Terrell. Paz Lemus looks like he's ready to turn aside the bad finish in 1971 as he led the NL with 7 saves and didn't allow an earned run all spring (which made him lead in ERA).

In preseason predictions news...

AL East: The Red Sox are expected to repeat in the West - prognosticators give them 95 wins, even in the protracted season (HOW DO THEY KNOW????). Detroit's once again second, with a resurgent Indians club in 3rd. The Yankees look to continue to stick above .500 if not exactly in contention. Baltimore also looks like they're out of it, although they, too, should finish around .500. And in the cellar, by a long, long ways, are the new kids in town the Milwaukee Brewers.

AL West: The Twins are predicted to come back after a year away from the playoffs, although truth be told there isn't really a clear front-runner here. The White Sox (what?) are predicted for 2nd, I guess thanks to a great spring (yes, I know how these are calculated; I'm just using my 1972 brain), with the Angels and A's both skimming a little below .500. That would be a big setback for Oakland, although they did overachieve like heck last season. Both Kansas City and Texas look like they're going to be losing a lot of games this year, which will be a big disappointment for both clubs.

AL top performers: The game has Ernesto Garcia hitting 69 HRs this year. I would say "uh uh no way" but the man did hit 65 in 1971. YOU ARE MAKING A MOCKERY OUT OF MY SAVE. Alvin Romero looks like, once again, the premiere leadoff man (.339/9/60, 56 steals). Dave Corona similarly should shine for an otherwise bad Royals team (.314/22/75, 38 steals). I guess White Sox OF Alice Cooper is why the White Sox are destined for... not-awfulness (.279/45/107). Pitching-wise, look for another Cy Young showdown between Red Sox hurlers Marco Sanchez (23-11, 2.37) and Justin Kindberg (28-9, 2.58) with the A's Vince Akright (22-13, 2.57) doing what he can to prop up his guys. Chris Benavides (17-18, 3.25) looks like both the ace of the Twins and the AL leader in losses.

NL East: A repeat by the Cards is... in the cards as they are predicted to make it 2 in a row, just barely beating out the Phillies thanks to a kind of big regression by the Philadelphia pitching staff (a predicted 3.66 ERA that should be below average in '72). The Pirates figure to tread water and remain well out of the race, while... the Expos(?) should be right behind them. The Mets and Cubs are the predicted cellar-mates, with both teams carrying a 4+ ERA (predicted).

NL West: Hey hey hey, the Reds (might be) are back! They're predicted to win the division and maybe the whole entire enchilada with a 90 win season. Predicted in #2 are the Padres in spite of an awful spring training, then the other 2 California teams, the Dodgers and Giants. That Giants team just looks mediocre from top to bottom, but the prognosticators insist they're basically .500. That also means that both of 1971's Western contenders, the Braves and Astros, are going to duke it out for last place. I don't like Houston's offseason in particular and I guess the Braves are just getting old.

NL top performers: Jaden Weaver, wow (.301, 55, 149). If it wasn't for what Ernesto Garcia is predicted to do in the AL, that would easily be the story of the year. Unleashed from the Astrodome, he's predicted to be a monster. Justin Stone (.314, 41, 113) is also predicted to do a lot for a Dodgers team who's stadium is kind of HR neutral this year for once. Henry Riggs (.309, 42, 97) continues to chug along for what is now supposed to be a bad Braves team. Sir Paul McCartney (.311, 27, 89) should continue to mash at second base. And Mike Galeana (.257, 40, 110) should be the key man for the Cardinals (Lorenzo Martinez is hurt, meaning he doesn't figure into this, which also means that the Cards might be even better than predicted). Pitching-wise, look for a race in NL wins between the Cardinals' new guy Roger Quintana (21-11, 2.47) and the Pirates' Santos Arango (21-12, 2.65). Tony Rivera of the Astros (16-16, 3.01) is on here as a "top performer" but that looks kind of bad to be honest. Geoff Saus (10-4, 1.84, 19 Sv) is the only reliever listed in either side; I expect he'll get a lot more saves than that, at least.

## Major Transactions

February 5: The White Sox purchased P Ruben Estrada (7-11, 3.52 at AAA Portland) from the Twins for $5,000. Estrada did play in 2 games in September but otherwise seems unlikely to fit into Minnesota's plans (although they haaaate this trade).

February 7: The White Sox purchased P Randy Nixon (0-3, 5.08) from the Giants for $2,000. The Sox continue to stockpile... bad arms.

February 8: The Phillies traded 3B Joel King (.227, 6, 34 at AAA Eugene) to the Brewers for 3B Marco Villafana (.172, 1, 7). Another organizational move for each team (in fact, this is another PTBNL trade). Of the two, maybe Joel King has a marginally better chance to start at some point, although he's also now behind two other players at 3rd for the Brew Crew.

February 25: The Cardinals traded P Vince Bachler (14-15, 3.44) to the Phillies for P Roger Quintana (17-14, 3.39). Bachler has never quite come through on his promise and so the Cards and Phillies are conducting a rare "challenge" trade between division rivals. Quintana immediately becomes St. Louis' strikeout artist; Bachler is roughly the same age but profiles as more of a middle-of-the-road who will make it hard to beat him. This is the Steve Carlton for Rick Wise deal; I think this is a waaay closer move than the real-life one, although Wise was no slouch IRL.

March 1: The Padres purchased minor league P Dan Stone (0-1, 3.86 at AAA Rochester). Stone was shuttled through 3 levels last year and kind of looks like a guy without a job. At least, that was the appearance in Baltimore. Now he's in the Padres' organization.

March 4: The A's traded RP Doug Ellis (1-0, 2.19) and P Billy Crystal (9-17, 3.36 in AAA Iowa) to the Rangers for P Vince Akright (18-13, 2.26). This is the Denny McClain deal, although of course in this universe McClain didn't implode between 1969 and 1971. Needless to say, this is a huuuge move for Oakland, as it gets them right into contention in the AL West. The Rangers do get a nice prospect in Crystal but man, they were supposed to compete this year...

March 20: The Royals purchased minor league IF Brandon Holloway (.221, 2, 10 at AAA Charlotte) from the Pirates for $1,000. Holloway's got zero place in Pittsburgh and... he doesn't look like a player to me but numbers!

March 20: The Red Sox purchased 2B Chris Moore (.200, 0, 3) from the Brewers for $750. How did this guy make the All-Star Game in 1970 again? I have no clue. Anyway, he had no place with the Brewers but in Boston he can maybe kind of back up the infield.

March 22: The Yankees traded OF Frank Meneses (.250, 17, 57) and 2B prospect Angel Rivera (.259, 11, 62 at AAA Syracuse) to the Red Sox for RP Kojiro Nakazawa (5-3, 3.21). This was actually the Sparky Lyle trade but I kind of already traded Matt Brock off. Oops! Nakazawa is pretty good himself though and could fashion a Lyle type career. Meneses was probably going to win the LF job, knowing him, but now the Sox have a guy who can legitimately push Bruce Springsteen.

March 25: The Reds traded OF/PH Javy Perez (.280, 5, 8) to the White Sox for minor league 1B Omari King (.222, 9, 13). Perez had increasingly no place in a crowded Reds outfield so this beats getting cut. The White Sox send back a guy who's got power but not a lot else; at least he won't cost the Reds a roster spot.

March 26: OF/P Paul Kahl, who had been used as a pure pitcher the last couple years but lacked the stuff to stick, has been signed by the Montreal Expos to play in the outfield. He went .269/11/53 in 1968, so don't expect him to lead the league in anything but hey, an above average corner outfielder is not bad to find on the scrap heap...

March 30: The Royals purchased C Mike Fenley (.172, 0, 3) from the Pirates for $5,000. With the development of Brent Spiner, the Pirates didn't really have any room for Fenley, who nevertheless is still only 25 himself. He'll probably just take the backup C job outright and maybe challenge Nick McIntyre if he can't get his hitting act together.

March 30: The Indians purchased P Eddie Sanchez (2-2, 4.72) from the Brewers for $2,500. Sanchez wasn't doing super well with the Brewers and now the 36 year old is Cleveland's project.

March 31: The Yankees purchased OF Jim Rogers (.286, 2, 7) from the Brewers for $750. Rogers couldn't break into the Brewers' OF game, probably because he's alreaady 30 years old. The Yankees see that number and think "oooh, veteran leadership".

March 31: The Cubs traded P Victor Marin (5-10, 4.19) to the Brewers for RF Roger Greeno (.200, 0, 3) and RP Elliott Pettijon (2-2, 4.41). Marin looked a lot better in relief last year than as a starter so naturally the Brewers will likely put him back into the rotation. He's still only 30, though he's now 4 years removed from carrying a sub-4.00 ERA. Maybe the more forgiving County Stadium will do good for him. Chicago gets back organizational soldier Greeno as well as the 25 year old Pettijohn, who was off and on for Milwaukee last year and struggled with his control (28 walks in 49 IP).

April 3: The Indians traded CF Norm Hodge (.232, 9, 48) to the Rangers for LF Tommy Pron (.273, 9, 48) and 1B Danny Cardenas (.218, 2, 7). Cleveland brings back Pron, whom they'd traded away earlier in the offseason, after he had a solid spring (.283, 1, 7) and send back the 7 time Gold Glove award winner in Hodge to get him. Reportedly Hodge had fallen out of favor with the Indians coaching staff due to his "clubhouse lawyer" attitude.

April 5: The Expos traded 2B Bill Heyen to the Mets for 2B Danny Waters, minor league OF Bill Anderson, and LF Ruberto Yebra. Hey, the Expos are, after all, still working on building something up. Trading away Heyen in this case nets them the Mets' top prospect in Bill Anderson, rated the 100th best prospect in MLB in July of last year, so that's a thing. They also take a flier on Danny Waters, who looked like a guy 2 years ago, and Ruberto Yebra, who's been trying to be a leadoff man for several years now. For the Mets, to an extent this feels like opening one hole by plugging up another but presumably a corner OFer will be easier to find than a second baseman.

April 7: The Cubs traded 2B David Holcombe and minor league 2B Zachary Taylor to the Expos for P Tom Owens. The Expos continue to be like "hey, we're supposed to be bad; don't make us a .500 team", although here they're trading away pitch-to-contact veteran reliever Owens and getting maybe their new 2B in return.

April 10: The Giants signed 1B Justin Richens to a 1-year contract. The 39 year old Richens may no longer be good enough to make another All-Star Game but San Francisco was heading into the season with a gaping hole at the position and besides, he's within striking distance of 2,500 hits, so that should be fun for the fans.

April 10: The Rangers signed LF Matthew Levario to a 1-year contract. Similarly, Levario fills a hole and is 5 HRs away from 450. His presence also allows the Rangers to put the young George W. Bush in the 5 hole in the lineup instead of cleanup.

April 12: The Indians purchased CF Eric Weyenberg from the White Sox for $7,500. Weyenberg had just been sent down to the minors so this also constitutes a promotion for him. Cleveland barely has a starting CF since they traded Norm Hodge away so Weyenberg should get a long look.

## News

January 24 (hey, overlap, sue me): Japanese soldier Shoichi Yokoi is discovered in Guam; he spent the last 28 years in the jungle, having failed to surrender after World War II.

January 30: The British Army kills 14 unarmed nationalist civil rights marchers in Derry, Northern Ireland, an event that came to be known as "Bloody Sunday".

February 3-13: The Winter Olympics are held in Sapporo, Japan. The top medal winners are:

1. Soviet Union - 8 gold, 5 silver, 3 bronze
2. East Germany - 4G, 3S, 7B
3. Switzerland - 4G, 3S, 3B
4. Netherlands - 4G, 3S, 2B
5. USA - 3G, 2S, 3B

Host Japan won 3 medals, all of them for ski jumping - this was one of three events where one country swept the podium, the other two being the women's and men's singles luge events, both won by a total of 6 East Germans.

February 4: Mariner 9 sends pictures as it orbits Mars. No news of whether or not it saw that dead Soviet capsule or not (probably not).

February 8: (real life) Commissioner Bowie Kuhn announces the Hall of Fame selection of Josh Leonard and Buck Leonard by the Special Committee on the Negro Leagues.

February 17: The Volkswagen Beetle produces its 15,007,034th model, exceeding the total of Ford Model Ts created.

February 21-28: Richard Nixon visits China, the first ever visit by a sitting US president to that country.

February 22: The Troubles continue in Northern Ireland; here, a car bomb planted by the IRA kills seven people outside a British military base in Aldershot, England.

February 29: A's reliever Josh Howard (2-4, 14 Sv, 5.00) tore a muscle in his back while moving furniture and will miss all of spring training plus the first month of the season. Ouch.

March 3rd: Orioles RF Ralph May will miss the rest of spring training with a sore shoulder, probably handing that job off to Jamal Jenkins, who I'm not sure deserves it.

March 9th: The White Sox voted 31-0 in favor of a strike, if necessary, during negotiations between players and owners. The dispute centers around health and pension benefits for the plauyers. Particularly outspoken on behalf of the players is 24 year old Ben Lamar (3-4, 2.52, 4 Sv in 1971).

March 9th: I guess it just wasn't going to be the year for Carlos Ramirez. The former Pilots and A's closer who played in only 34 games behind Paz Lemus in Pittsburgh, will now miss all of 1972 with a torn flexor tendon in his elbow. He's 29 now and so it's not out of the question that this is a career-ender.

March 10th: Giants RF Barry Cooper (.258, 3, 34), trying to come back from a bad, bad 1971 season, will not get the PT he wanted this spring, as a bone bruise in his knee will set the 28 year old back until late April. That also, at least for the time being, opens up the job between prospect Carl Weathers and 31 year old Jon Berry, who led the league in runs scored in 1968 while playing for the Red Sox.

March 13th: So... remember how Joel Schaben was going to try and become the Yankees 4th OFer and maybe something more? Not so much. He's out until midseason with a torn meniscus in his knee. That means that Ryan Johnston is now directly competing with Micah MacMillan, and that also means that Phil Hartman almost certainly has a lock on the starting RF gig now.

March 20th: Red Sox P Shunichi Zeniya (2-1, 5.17), hoping to make the roster following a tough 1971, will instead miss all of 1971 and possibly have to call it quits on his career with a partially torn UCL.

March 22nd: Nick Mileti, the owner of the Cleveland Cavaliers, heads a group that purchases the Cleveland Indians from Vernon Stouffer for $9M. Stouffer had originally turned down an offer from George Steinbrenner to buy the team but when the rest of the owners reject a proposal to have the Indians play some of their home games in that classic Cleveland suburb called New Orleans, Stouffer decides to sell the team. I put Mileti in as fiscally controlling, tolerant, and kind of tight-fisted, owing to the way he's pretty heavily leveraged.

March 23rd: Rangers hurler Eric Godard (1-8, 16 Sv, 4.53), who was working on a big comeback after a really bad season as the Indians' closer, will miss the entire season with shoulder inflammation. I guess the inflammation is really bad or something.

March 23rd: It's a now-regular occurrence but Expos RF Matt Williams (.281, 19, 48) will once again miss the start of the season, this time with a sprained knee. He's not expected back until mid to late May. This also leaves the Expos completely without a RF to the point that I am signing guys off the street, including outfielder-turned-pitcher-turned-back-to-outfielder Paul Kahl.

March 23rd: And in news of guys who've done nothing but tantalize you with talent while sucking rocks at the major league level... Royals P Jose Zuazua ruptured his UCL and will miss all of 1972 as a result. He's only 26 so maaaaaybe could come back but the man has a lifetime 6.47 ERA over 3 seasons so it's going to be an uphill climb.

March 24th: The Expos purchased OF Bill Swan (.188, 5, 12) from the Tigers for $1,000. Swan looked pretty much done last year and wasn't figuring into the roster but the Expos are pretty, pretty desperate for outfield help right now.

March 24th: The Reds traded RP Edward James Olmos (3-5, 14 Sv, 2.51) to the Cardinals for SS Dusty McCully (.253, 9, 58). The Reds, no doubt, did not want to part with the young hurler Olmos who was a bright light on a bad pitching staff last year, but their own SS Mike Wendt (.236, 10, 54) is looking more and more replacement-level and McCully did start for a pennant-winning team (I guess you could say the same about Wendt in 1970). The Cardinals had handed the SS job to Brian Wilcox (.230, 8, 31) anyway and now they've added the setup man they were missing all offseason after trading away Rick Legere.

March 25th: In what is truly the biggest news of the year, the final episode of Bewitched was broadcast, ending a run that had started in September 1964.

March 25th: The UCLA Bruins beat Florida State 81-76 to win their 6th NCAA basketball championship, their 8th overall, and their 45th consecutive victory.

March 25th: 10-time All-Star for the Cardinals, 1B Lorenzo Martinez (.265, 37, 100), will be out until May with a badly sprained knee. Spring training has been if anything a little light so far this year, at least in terms of injuries to frontline players. This, obviously, is an exception.

March 27th: Dutch lithographer MC Escher died today at the age of 73.

March 28th: Northern Ireland's Parliament, the Stormont, met for the very last time; British prime minister Edward Heath dissolved the assembly earlier in the month when he announced that the region would be ruled directly by the United Kingdom.

March 29th: Douglas Sweetapple, a 3 time All-Star who was attempting a comeback in Philadelphia after being limited to just 61.2 IP snce 1967, suffered a partially torn UCL yesterday and today announced that rather than go through another round of extensive rehab, he'd retire. Sweetapple finishes with a major league record of only 40-52 with a 3.67 ERA. He made the All-Star Game from 1962-64 as a young, up-and-coming member of the expansion Astros.

March 30th: Marvin Miller, the executive director of the MLB Players' Association, completes his canvass of players on the strike issue: 663 vote in favor of a strike, 10 against, and there are 2 abstentions. Barring anything major, it looks like the season's going to be delayed by a labor dispute for the first time in MLB history.

April 1st: Tigers CL Alex Madrigal (9-7, 2.24, 20 Sv), who missed a chunk of last year too, will miss the entire first half of the season with shoulder inflammation. Jim Marceau (5-3, 11 Sv, 2.22) will hold down the job while he's out; the 30 year old filled a similar role for the Tigers last year.

April 1st: Brewers IF Pat Jones (.316, 2, 16), who was looking like the easy favorite to take over the 3rd base job, will instead be out until July with a broken hand. Jones is 34 and to be honest I was kind of looking forward to a comeback type season for him. Instead, the job reverts bacck to Francisco Martinez, who I guess to be fair is hitting .333 this spring and looks like maybe he'll be the .306 hitter he was in 1970.

April 1st: The former 18th overall pick (in 1967), P Tim Elliott, will miss the entire season with a partially torn UCL. Elliott has never been able to stay healthy and now at age 25 it might be time to call it quits.

April 1st: Following today's games, the long-rumored strike officially goes into effect. The remaining 3 days of exhibitions have been cancelled (handily, OOTP did not schedule them in the first place) and the season opener on April 5 will be postponed.

April 2nd: Just as Cubs 2B Juan Perez (.248, 6, 27) looked like he was going to be crowned the winner of the 2B-off in Chicago, he came down with a sprained knee that's going to keep him out until May. That may actually not be all that bad of an injury given the strike...

April 2nd: Speaking of starters who will miss Opening Day, whenever that is, Phillies 3B Alex Becerra (.248, 30, 72) is out for the next 2 months with a sprained knee. It's right on the cusp as to where he should go but I'll stick him on the 21 day DL for now in the hopes that he can come back quickly.

April 2nd: (real life) Mets manager Gil Hodges died suddenly of a heart attack at age 47.

April 3rd: Silent film legend Charlie Chaplin returned to the USA after more than 20 years of a self-imposed exile. He's back in the States for an invitation to the Academy Awards.

April 5th: A waaaay out of place tornado killed 6 people in the Portland suburb of Vancouver, Washington. I grew up in Western Washington and in all my time living there I never saw anything twistier than a dust devil.

April 5th: As expected, Opening Day comes and goes with nobody playing ball due to the strike.

April 9th: President Richard Nixon recommends that both sides in the baseball dispute meet with J. Curtis Counts, director of the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service. I don't think anything comes of this and it sounds suspect to me anyway.

April 10th: President Nixon is a busy man: he and Soviet head of state Nikolai Podgorny signed the Biological Weapons Convention, in their respective capitals of Washington and Moscow. Okay, maybe saying baseball should mediate one day and signing a document the next isn't a super tight schedule...

April 11th: (real life) Red Sox fan favorite Jason Varitek was born in Rochester, Michigan.

April 13th: The end of the strike is announced! Games will officially begin on the 15th, a Saturday. That's probably the first time in MLB history that the season starts on a Saturday but I'm not going to check on that, haha.

## Teams in Review

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