Simulation Module - "Entire Season"

DrEntropy · 04-03-2021, 11:40 AM

How does the "Entire Season" mode of the simulation module work? It seems to just generated a predicted standings page. How does it combine multiple iterations? Is there more data generated somewhere?

The manual is silent on this interesting mode.

EDIT: I did some testing and it certainly does combine iterations, in that the results are less 'noisy' if you use more iterations. Maybe it averages the the number of wins for each match up (e.g. Yankees vs Red Sox) across iterations to compute the final W/L , but that's just they way I would do it.

DrEntropy · 04-03-2021, 12:54 PM

After doing some more testing I realize I was overthinking this.. you can just average the overall win records in the most straightforward way. At first I was worried about something going wrong with correlations, but now realize that is not the case.

04-03-2021, 11:40 AM	#1
DrEntropy Minors (Rookie Ball) Join Date: Mar 2021 Posts: 22	Simulation Module - "Entire Season" How does the "Entire Season" mode of the simulation module work? It seems to just generated a predicted standings page. How does it combine multiple iterations? Is there more data generated somewhere? The manual is silent on this interesting mode. EDIT: I did some testing and it certainly does combine iterations, in that the results are less 'noisy' if you use more iterations. Maybe it averages the the number of wins for each match up (e.g. Yankees vs Red Sox) across iterations to compute the final W/L , but that's just they way I would do it. Last edited by DrEntropy; 04-03-2021 at 12:31 PM. Reason: More info!

04-03-2021, 12:54 PM	#2
DrEntropy Minors (Rookie Ball) Join Date: Mar 2021 Posts: 22	After doing some more testing I realize I was overthinking this.. you can just average the overall win records in the most straightforward way. At first I was worried about something going wrong with correlations, but now realize that is not the case.