Analysis of 2000 decks in Perfect Team

allenciox · 01-06-2020, 05:44 PM

Ok, so starting this summer, I started recording the results of opening decks. At the end of November, I posted the results of the first 1000 decks opened, 632 of which had been opened since tournaments started. I have now opened 2000 decks across my thee teams, and wanted to report the results.

Of the two thousand decks opened, 1895 were standard decks, 85 were gold decks, and 20 were diamond decks.

Here are the details:

Code:

			avg	std	gold	diamond
	exp	actual	value	pack	pack	pack
iron	7223	7274	10.5	38	38	38
bronze	3895	3810	35.2	70	35	35
silver	500	509	252	63	63	63
gold	285	291	1886	189	2075	189
diamond	87	105	8361	279	279	8639
perfect	10	11	42000	210	210	210
total	12000	12000				
			value	849	2700	9174

The first two columns show the expected number of each level of card opened in that pack distribution, the actual number of cards opened, the average value for a single card at each level. The last three columns show the value in each pack type (std pack, gold pack, and diamond pack).

For everything except perfect cards, I estimated average value based on last-7 price -15%, or quick-sell price if that was higher. The only problem is applying that to perfect cards --- I drew 11 perfect cards, but 10 of those were Live cards --- so even though my average was 30,463, since I only had the single non-Live perfect I have estimated an overall average at around 42,000 (but it might be somewhat higher or lower than that).

Based on these stats, an average value for a std pack is about 849, a gold pack is 2700, and a diamond pack is 9174. These values are considerably lower than what I found after opening 1000 packs (my last post showed an average of 940 for standard decks) due to an eroding of card prices on the AH over the past few months. So a true average might be somewhat below that. If every card sold at quicksell price (which is the true limit) then the values of the decks would be about half of that listed.

At any rate, one takeaway is that less PP are "lost" by opening standard decks than gold decks or diamond decks.

01-06-2020, 05:44 PM	#1
allenciox All Star Reserve Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 735	Analysis of 2000 decks in Perfect Team Ok, so starting this summer, I started recording the results of opening decks. At the end of November, I posted the results of the first 1000 decks opened, 632 of which had been opened since tournaments started. I have now opened 2000 decks across my thee teams, and wanted to report the results. Of the two thousand decks opened, 1895 were standard decks, 85 were gold decks, and 20 were diamond decks. Here are the details: Code: avg std gold diamond exp actual value pack pack pack iron 7223 7274 10.5 38 38 38 bronze 3895 3810 35.2 70 35 35 silver 500 509 252 63 63 63 gold 285 291 1886 189 2075 189 diamond 87 105 8361 279 279 8639 perfect 10 11 42000 210 210 210 total 12000 12000 value 849 2700 9174 The first two columns show the expected number of each level of card opened in that pack distribution, the actual number of cards opened, the average value for a single card at each level. The last three columns show the value in each pack type (std pack, gold pack, and diamond pack). For everything except perfect cards, I estimated average value based on last-7 price -15%, or quick-sell price if that was higher. The only problem is applying that to perfect cards --- I drew 11 perfect cards, but 10 of those were Live cards --- so even though my average was 30,463, since I only had the single non-Live perfect I have estimated an overall average at around 42,000 (but it might be somewhat higher or lower than that). Based on these stats, an average value for a std pack is about 849, a gold pack is 2700, and a diamond pack is 9174. These values are considerably lower than what I found after opening 1000 packs (my last post showed an average of 940 for standard decks) due to an eroding of card prices on the AH over the past few months. So a true average might be somewhat below that. If every card sold at quicksell price (which is the true limit) then the values of the decks would be about half of that listed. At any rate, one takeaway is that less PP are "lost" by opening standard decks than gold decks or diamond decks. __________________ Last edited by allenciox; 01-06-2020 at 06:13 PM.