Different Baserunning Question

Dodger1 · 10-29-2013, 10:35 AM

While I haven't had any issue as described below, with runners frequently thrown out at home for me, I do have another issue. It seems to me that runners advance from second to third on fly balls to left field way too often. In real life, it is rare to see a runner at second tag up and advance on a fly to left, but it happens frequently in ootp. Anyone have any thoughts on his?

D-BacksJosh · 10-29-2013, 10:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dodger1

While I haven't had any issue as described below, with runners frequently thrown out at home for me, I do have another issue. It seems to me that runners advance from second to third on fly balls to left field way too often. In real life, it is rare to see a runner at second tag up and advance on a fly to left, but it happens frequently in ootp. Anyone have any thoughts on his?

I haven't noticed either of these issues. Let me beat others to this question: Do you have some statistical recorded evidence for this happening in the game? Or is this just something that 'seems' to be happening.

Dodger1 · 10-29-2013, 12:22 PM

I don't keep any statistical records, no. But I play 7-10 games a night, and it happens at least once every night. Simply put, it rarely happens irl, so any occurrence catches my eye. It isn't even limited to speedy runners vs lfs with poor arms. Even guys with single digit speeds have advanced on guys with average arms. Just throws me every time it occurs.

RchW · 10-29-2013, 01:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dodger1

I don't keep any statistical records, no. But I play 7-10 games a night, and it happens at least once every night. Simply put, it rarely happens irl, so any occurrence catches my eye. It isn't even limited to speedy runners vs lfs with poor arms. Even guys wlfith single digit speeds have advanced on guys with average arms. Just throws me every time it occurs.

Not as rare as you think. Some simple calculations on BR suggest to me that an advance from 2B on a FB happens almost 3 times in 15 games. BR only has data for advances from 2B with 0 out so this is low. I also don't have specific data on FB location but would think that one third or more must be a reasonable guess due to the predominance of RHB.

Based on that I see 0.92 advances to 3B from 2B on a FB to LF in 15 games. I think this is low because there is no data for advances with 1 out.

I could be wrong but... ...

Dodger1 · 10-29-2013, 04:43 PM

Maybe, but I gotta be honest with you. I must have watched 50 mlb games at least this year, and don't ever remember a guy going from 2nd to 3 rd on a fly to left. On balls to right and center, yeah, frequently. But to left? Really can't recall one.

10-29-2013, 10:35 AM	#1
Dodger1 Minors (Double A) Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 137	Different Baserunning Question While I haven't had any issue as described below, with runners frequently thrown out at home for me, I do have another issue. It seems to me that runners advance from second to third on fly balls to left field way too often. In real life, it is rare to see a runner at second tag up and advance on a fly to left, but it happens frequently in ootp. Anyone have any thoughts on his?

10-29-2013, 12:22 PM	#3
Dodger1 Minors (Double A) Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 137	I don't keep any statistical records, no. But I play 7-10 games a night, and it happens at least once every night. Simply put, it rarely happens irl, so any occurrence catches my eye. It isn't even limited to speedy runners vs lfs with poor arms. Even guys with single digit speeds have advanced on guys with average arms. Just throws me every time it occurs.

10-29-2013, 04:43 PM	#5
Dodger1 Minors (Double A) Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 137	Maybe, but I gotta be honest with you. I must have watched 50 mlb games at least this year, and don't ever remember a guy going from 2nd to 3 rd on a fly to left. On balls to right and center, yeah, frequently. But to left? Really can't recall one.