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Old 03-06-2023, 11:50 PM   #1
dsvitak
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Dansby Swanson

I just got into it with a Cubs fan, who claimed that this dude is a front runner for MVP in the NL this year.

I tried to tell him that the only thing Swanson does well is to make outs...486 last year, leading the league.

Help me out here..am I being too harsh??
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Old 03-07-2023, 12:06 AM   #2
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Most smart Braves fans were not super upset that we let him walk.

He had a career year last year but that was with an OPS+ of 115
He is a good fielder. But nothing suggests he will take another leap and he turned 29 last month.


Now the bigger issue is that Atlanta really has no one to replace him...

But for the price he went for, those are resources that can be better spent elsewhere.

And there is a reason that of the four high dollar short stops from the off-season he was the last one off the market.

He was nice to have on his rookie minimum and arbitration. But not for money he makes now.

And for a #1 overall pick, we were just expecting a bit more and never got it.

Last edited by rudel.dietrich; 03-07-2023 at 11:26 PM.
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Old 03-07-2023, 09:24 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rudel.dietrich View Post
Most smart Braves fans were not super upset that we let him walk.

He had a career year last year but that was with an OPS+ of 115
He is a good fielder. But nothing suggests he will take another leap and he turned 29 last month.


Now the bigger issue is that Atlanta really has no one to replace him...

But for the price he went for, those are resources that can be better spent.

And there is a reason that of the four high dollar short stops from the off-season he was the last one off the market.

He was nice to have on his rookie minimum and arbitration. But not for money he makes now.

And for a #1 overall pick, we were just expecting a bit more and never got it.
The last year on a contract is called a "salary drive" for a reason...and should be viewed with considerable skepticism.
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Old 03-07-2023, 10:56 PM   #4
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As a Braves fan I would have been pleased to have Swanson back at a reasonable price. No way should anybody be paying him what the Cubs are shelling out.
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Old 03-08-2023, 10:45 AM   #5
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Well, if you didn't point out that another M"V"P from a last-place team was unlikely to happen, you weren't too harsh. Andre Dawson was probably a once-off; the Cub fans may have been spoiled.

Swanson's a reasonably-productive hitter who plays shortstop. If the Cubs win 100 games, he'll get some votes. But "favorite" is stretching it quite a bit. JMO.
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Old 03-08-2023, 01:51 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rudel.dietrich View Post
Most smart Braves fans were not super upset that we let him walk.

He had a career year last year but that was with an OPS+ of 115
He is a good fielder. But nothing suggests he will take another leap and he turned 29 last month.


Now the bigger issue is that Atlanta really has no one to replace him...

But for the price he went for, those are resources that can be better spent elsewhere.

And there is a reason that of the four high dollar short stops from the off-season he was the last one off the market.

He was nice to have on his rookie minimum and arbitration. But not for money he makes now.

And for a #1 overall pick, we were just expecting a bit more and never got it.

Braves did not draft him , believe Arizona did.
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Old 03-08-2023, 02:21 PM   #7
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Braves did not draft him , believe Arizona did.
Yes, and traded to the Braves in the same year, chiefly for Shelby Miller, in one of the most lop-sided trades in recent memory.
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Old 03-08-2023, 03:39 PM   #8
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That's *All Star* Shelby Miller!
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Old 03-08-2023, 08:53 PM   #9
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Well, if you didn't point out that another M"V"P from a last-place team was unlikely to happen, you weren't too harsh. Andre Dawson was probably a once-off; the Cub fans may have been spoiled.

Swanson's a reasonably-productive hitter who plays shortstop. If the Cubs win 100 games, he'll get some votes. But "favorite" is stretching it quite a bit. JMO.
Google is your friend...players who won the MVP on crap teams:

Ripken, 1991 Baltimore, 67-95, 6th place
ARod, 2003 Rangers, 71-91, 4th place
Ernie Banks, 1958 Cubs, 72-92, 5th place
Andre Dawson, 1987 Cubs, 76-85, 6th place
Ernie Banks, 1959 Cubs, 74-80, 5th place

Banks is the one I feel bad for. Cubbies were 266 games below .500 for his career. Has to be some sort of a record there.

Last edited by dsvitak; 03-08-2023 at 09:01 PM.
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Old 03-08-2023, 09:03 PM   #10
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Well, if you didn't point out that another M"V"P from a last-place team was unlikely to happen, you weren't too harsh. Andre Dawson was probably a once-off; the Cub fans may have been spoiled.

Swanson's a reasonably-productive hitter who plays shortstop. If the Cubs win 100 games, he'll get some votes. But "favorite" is stretching it quite a bit. JMO.
Cubs have zero chance of 100 wins..and zero chance of 90 wins. I would ESTIMATE a 40% chance of a winning record.

Just like the Cardinals, they're playing fewer games against Cincy, and Pittsburgh. Imagine how well the Cubbies will do against New York, the Dodgers, San Diego, and the Phillies.
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Old 03-09-2023, 01:21 AM   #11
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Google is your friend...players who won the MVP on crap teams:

Ripken, 1991 Baltimore, 67-95, 6th place
ARod, 2003 Rangers, 71-91, 4th place
Ernie Banks, 1958 Cubs, 72-92, 5th place
Andre Dawson, 1987 Cubs, 76-85, 6th place
Ernie Banks, 1959 Cubs, 74-80, 5th place

Banks is the one I feel bad for. Cubbies were 266 games below .500 for his career. Has to be some sort of a record there.
So… Dawson is the only man to win an MVP for a last place team then?
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Old 03-09-2023, 01:24 AM   #12
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So… Dawson is the only man to win an MVP for a last place team then?
The AL West still would have had four teams in 2003.
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Old 03-09-2023, 08:36 AM   #13
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That looks good for Swanson. Most of them are Cubs and all but one are shortstops.
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Old 03-09-2023, 09:03 AM   #14
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The AL West still would have had four teams in 2003.
ARod is no man
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Old 03-09-2023, 09:29 AM   #15
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ARod is no man
I concede, Sir. Well played.
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Old 03-09-2023, 09:32 AM   #16
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Banks is the one I feel bad for. Cubbies were 266 games below .500 for his career. Has to be some sort of a record there.
What would the criterion be? Most games under .500 in career games played for a Hall of Famer? An All Star?

Because I'm sure we can find some 1930s Travis Blankenhorn that was on some woeful Browns teams or so, and racked up 300 games under .500 that way.

And I have nothing against Travis Blankenhorn. In fact, I like saying his name out loud.

+++

Edit: Baseball Almanac credits Rusty Staub (who holds the odd record, like 500+ hits with four different teams) with 1,633 losses in 2,951 games, so that would put him 315 under .500; that's all I can find while I am supposed to work
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1983 * 1989 * 1991 * 1992 * 1993 * 1995 * 1996 * 2010 * 2017 * 2018 * 2019 * 2026 * 2028 * 2035 * 2037 * 2044 * 2045 * 2046 * 2047 * 2048 * 2051 * 2054 * 2055 * 2061 * 2071
1 OSANAI : 2 POWELL : 7 NOMURA | RAMOS : 8 REECE : 10 BROWN : 15 HALL : 27 FERNANDEZ : 28 CASAS : 31 CARMONA : 32 WEST : 39 TONER : 46 SAITO

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Last edited by Westheim; 03-09-2023 at 09:40 AM.
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Old 03-09-2023, 03:18 PM   #17
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I want to say that record is held by Rusty Staub.

ETA: BBRef ran this in 2009, when they only had game data going back to 1954, but at that time it was Staub:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/b...ives/2765.html
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Old 03-09-2023, 04:03 PM   #18
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What would the criterion be? Most games under .500 in career games played for a Hall of Famer? An All Star?

Because I'm sure we can find some 1930s Travis Blankenhorn that was on some woeful Browns teams or so, and racked up 300 games under .500 that way.

And I have nothing against Travis Blankenhorn. In fact, I like saying his name out loud.

+++

Edit: Baseball Almanac credits Rusty Staub (who holds the odd record, like 500+ hits with four different teams) with 1,633 losses in 2,951 games, so that would put him 315 under .500; that's all I can find while I am supposed to work
One of my favorite trivia questions is about Le Grande Orange...only player with 500+ hits for four different teams.
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