Quote:
Originally Posted by uruguru
In the context of reality = one sim, there's really not much difference between "better" and "better season".
"Better" in that "next season if nothing changes, then team B should be better" is a valid argument when nothing changes. But that never occurs, something always changes, so "better season" is functionally equivalent to "better", imo.
I would rather have a pitcher with a 3.00 ERA and a 4.00 FIP on my team than pitcher with a 4.00 ERA and a 3.00 FIP. Just like I'd rather have a team that overperforms it's pythag and narrowly wins the division over a "better" team that underperforms its pythag. Both of those situations, 100% of the time.
Next year is a long way away and too many things will always change and that means teams and players will not always play the same next year. A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush, as they say.
I get that this is just a different way of prioritizing things, philosophically. Neither is right or wrong.
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Then you don’t understand how statistics work. Play the game your way. That’s fine. You created a thread to argue that FIP is “pointless” and implying that nobody, not just only people who understand stats, should be using it anymore. Let’s not pretend that this is some kind of set of alternative facts or something.