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Old 09-27-2022, 11:45 AM   #57
Syd Thrift
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Join Date: May 2004
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kidd_05_u2 View Post
It is perfectly viable, but keep an eye for possible changes to all the modifiers that are below the league totals (starting with starting pitcher stamina). My recommendation is to take a screenshot of those modifiers before hitting auto calc and then compare that screenshot to what you get after auto calcing. If there are big differences (say 0.3 or more) you probably want to put back the original modifiers or check back here.

Two recommendations:
1) Hitting auto calc on opening day is better than doing it in advance.
2) If possible, run a full season sim after auto calcing to make sure everything is in order stats wise. Sometimes the main stats can look right but league-wide Babip goes to weird places, or you notice that pitcher usage just doesn't look right.
Yeah, so just to open the hood a bit here... autocalc follows this workflow:

1. Sim the season using the current rosters/rotations/bullpen/sub matrices/etc. and assuming no injuries.

2. Take the league totals and compare them with the expected totals. Are hits 10% too high? If so, set the LTMs for hits to 0.9. And so on for all the stats that it covers.

3. Repeat steps 1 and 2 two more times.

Usually this gets you pretty close but yes, there are things that can skew it. If you run autocalc when the league doesn't have rosters completely set then that can be a big issue, so it's ideal to run it right before Opening Day (the game will automatically do this the "evening" before Opening Day if you set it to). Also, if you have a smaller league and some key player or five is on the DL or goes on the DL for the season right after you run the auto-calc, that can monkey with the results. The larger your league is, the less likely this is to be a factor though. And for numbers that are naturally very small - balks, for instance, but also sometimes stats like triples or wild pitches - even in a larger league one guy who does a lot of those missing time or getting called up can skew the league totals.

And of course if the initial run is way off, then the next two sims might still not get it super close.
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