Quote:
Originally Posted by LeeD
Yes, there is random deviation; but the problem is that the all-time greats (excepting the Babe, who had well-documented bad habits) didn't deviate to the extent that everyday players did. Search Aaron, Jackson, and WTH Pete Rose and Al Kaline and Ted Williams. Their career arcs are arcs, with no "mystery stinko" seasons. They were great every year once they established themselves, until age caught up with them.
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And those players are generally in PT as well, it's just the Tony Gwynn/Ichiro archetype that performs well in PT year in and year out.
Your super contact hitters will suffer from way less variance in PT than your sluggers with high eye will.