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The 2022 cards should be based on ZiPS projections rather than 2021 results (though obviously 2021 results will play a big part in the 2022 projections).
Burnes is projected for a BB/9 of 2.77 in 2022, a bit of a jump from his 1.83 in 2021 but also pretty far away from his 3.62 in 2020. That places him #183 amongst starters according to ZiPS so maybe a 62 control makes sense in that context.
Chris Bassitt is projected for a BB/9 of 2.73 in 2022 -- so nearly exactly the same and has a 64 control. He had a 2.43 BB/9 in 2020 so if the ratings were based on 2020 then wouldn't Bassitt have a much higher control rating right now?
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