[Syd Thrift]

Games will have a normal distribution based on the stats. It happens. The SOM computer game directly messes with the cards as written to help recreate seasons like the aforementioned Duane Kuiper’s or, more commonly, slow hitters who don’t get very many triples, so it kind of makes me laugh when people say “you see all the stats up front in SOM”. If you play the cards and dice version, perhaps.

Also, because it was designed as a computer game, OOTP isn’t tied to a one-roll, one-outcome approach and so it’s not. People have done work in looking at how the game operates and it’s basically determining 3TO, then if it’s an automatic hit or out, then the ball location, and then if necessary a roll (or two, or three, who knows) against the fielder to determine if a play is made. Part of why you don’t have percentages is that the game doesn’t really work like that. And, of course, a larger part is that many / most of us prefer being in the dark about this.