Quote:
Originally Posted by RonCo
Ok. Yes. If AVK is equal, in an environment where pitcher Movement is very high, I can see that every low Power guys would not get hurt as much as very high Power guys. A guy who would normally be expected to hit 5 HR a year in a "normal" environment might hit only 2 per year (therefore losing 3 hits), where as a guy who would normally be expected to hit 45 might hit only 38, hence lose 7 hits (a difference of four hits between the two...or a difference of seven points of average on 550 AB). The BABIP rating would replace a few of those--let's say two. So the gap due to difference is maybe four points of batting average across the entirety of the Power Spectrum--or mayby two-to-three points in real use.
The AvK delta is a much bigger influence simply due to the difference between the number of Ks and the number of HR. A guy who strikes out 70 or so more times than is expected (like Ruth probably will) loses maybe 25-35 hits...or about 45-65 points of batting average on 550 AB.
|
I think it’s also the case that there will be a bigger variance in AvKs than Power because the former is only included in overall ratings secondarily while the latter is sort of double counted, and in turn at the very least the first filtering the vast majority of players at the highest leagues do is by the overall rating.