Quote:
Originally Posted by bailey
There is a hidden rating called BABIP. (Note: Not to be confused with the BABIP statistic.) It was disclosed in the card list released for PT20. The assumption was that this is a fixed rating. But, what if it fluctuates from week to week? That would account for a lot of the variance if it were not fixed.
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That's been an OOTP rating for years, yes, and no, it's not going to vary if the other ratings don't vary. What *can* vary pretty intensely from one league to the next is the average Stuff rating of pitchers. If the league average stuff rating is low for the league, you're going to see the Avoid Ks portion of Contact mean less and the BABIP rating mean more. If it's high, you'll see the opposite effect.
I see this in regular OOTP kind of all the time when I play historical leagues where the leaguewide K/9 rate might be 4.0 or less. You can have guys who strike out a fair amount without a lot of power but who can still hit well enough to play, and on the flip side speed becomes a lot more important even though stolen base success rates are lower because BABIP is correlated with speed (it's not a 1:1 correlation though; guys like Ted Williams and Joe DiMaggio still have pretty high BABIP ratings without being all that fast).
Likewise, if the league average Eye is low, pitchers with iffy control for the level won't be as disastrous as you'd might expect, and if Power levels are somehow low (which is almost never going to happen because POW is one of those ratings everyone gravitates towards), it is possible for low-Movement pitchers to not suck.