|
||||
|
05-13-2019, 07:42 PM | #81 |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Australia
Posts: 651
|
Have you noticed, you never see threads like this related to winning streaks.
|
05-13-2019, 07:42 PM | #82 |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
|
05-13-2019, 07:43 PM | #83 |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
|
05-13-2019, 08:00 PM | #84 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,255
|
|
05-13-2019, 08:52 PM | #85 | |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
Quote:
But that won't matter anyways. Your sole purpose in this thread is to pick things apart. Look all you want. Im not lying. Believe me or don't believe me. I dont care You might want to spend your time trying to upset someone who actually gets upset over internet message boards because Im not that guy. Troll elsewhere please. (You're now being ignored so blow as much hot air as you like I won't see it.) Last edited by Findest2001; 05-13-2019 at 08:55 PM. |
|
05-13-2019, 09:12 PM | #86 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 15,741
|
|
05-13-2019, 09:12 PM | #87 | |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,255
|
Quote:
Your original post says you are (were?) 86-39, and 0-25 in games that were “played out”. Subtract those 25 losses and you are 86-14...which is 86 wins in 100 games...which is an 86% winning percentage. I’m not trying to upset anyone. But this last post was a slap in the face. You’re calling me a liar...or saying I’m wrong...when I’m not. There’s only two possibilities here: either you were 86-14 in simmed games, or you were and have been exaggerating. If it’s option B, then this whole thread has been a lie. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
|
05-13-2019, 09:15 PM | #88 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 15,741
|
So, when the AI is in control, your team is 86-14?
|
05-13-2019, 09:40 PM | #89 |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
At the time of that post that's fairly accurate within maybe 5 wins. Its obviously much different now that I've lost so much trying to figure the issue out though...
Now iirc i stand around .560 or .580 WP with about 6 or 7 games left in the season. Ill confirm tomorrow when Im near my laptop. Last edited by Findest2001; 05-13-2019 at 09:41 PM. |
05-13-2019, 09:42 PM | #90 |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
|
05-13-2019, 09:45 PM | #91 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 15,741
|
|
05-13-2019, 10:30 PM | #92 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Iowa
Posts: 6,102
Infractions: 0/1 (1)
|
Quote:
A link the thread I posted at the time.. http://www.ootpdevelopments.com/boar...d.php?t=282806 I was +10 PYT for the year that ended with a MLB record 118 wins. Which has me wondering what is your PYT? I can't rid myself of the idea that my season is as unlikely as yours and counters everything that happened in your season. You want to see ridiculous? How about a .961 win pct that fell off to .942 with a loss A google search tells me the longest win streak in MLB history belongs to the Giants at 26 and I had 44! Is that statistically impossible? I don't know. I do know my streak is a one time thing, at least up to this point. In real life the 1961 Phillies lost 23 in a row and at one stretch went 1-28, .035 pct. Sounds impossible but there it is in real life. |
|
05-14-2019, 09:59 AM | #93 | |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
Quote:
I was basing my opinion/analysis of the situation on much better mathematicians than I. In Moneyball, Michael Lewis references several mathematicians, whose names I do not remember, who calculated that the worst a team could ever perform would be a 47-115 (IIRC, I read it last month for the fourth time) season in the current, 162-game, landscape of MLB. Again, IIRC, that's even the baseline for where WAR calculations start. Again, I'm still relatively new to analytics, but that was my understanding as he wrote it. And that win percentage of the 47-115 team is .290. That's more than 5x better than my team currently performs in played games. They could've been wrong, but that's not my math. Nonetheless I agree about the dichotomy of our experiences. There's a certain yin-yang feel to it. Although I am hoping it ends soon. With each game the improbability of it all increases exponentially. I'm statistically already the worst team in the 120+ years of MLB history (when I play). And this is with a team that's making the playoffs solely on the merits of when I don't play, albeit barely. As far as the pyth, I'll get back to you on that. I doubt it'll say much as I'm not sure there's any way to calculate the pythagorean record with only played games as the statistical source. Last edited by Findest2001; 05-14-2019 at 10:11 AM. |
|
05-14-2019, 10:14 AM | #94 |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
|
05-14-2019, 01:11 PM | #95 | |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Traveling through another dimension-not one of only sight and sound,but of mind. A journey into a wondrous land whose boundries are those of imagination.
Posts: 1,153
|
Quote:
Maybe I'm just missing it though |
|
05-14-2019, 01:22 PM | #96 | |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
Quote:
I can find the email and copy and paste what I wrote to the devs and what their response was if you'd like, though. Just let me know. Last edited by Findest2001; 05-14-2019 at 01:24 PM. |
|
05-14-2019, 01:30 PM | #97 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Near the Great Wall. On the GOOD side.
Posts: 3,711
|
Nobody calls customer service to say what a great job the company is doing.
__________________
reported |
05-14-2019, 01:31 PM | #98 |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
Here's the ticket anyways, if you felt like seeing it.
MY TICKET DESCRIPTION: No matter who is pitching or what I do I can't win a "played game". My team is almost a .700 team but as soon as I "play game" my pitchers give up a HR on EVERY pitch. Play Game feature is literally unplayable and totally ruining my playing experience. It is not my decisions or anything. This is not a few games. I have won TWO out of 45 "play games". TWO. Because the computer gets 3-5 HR in the first inning of every game I play. But when I just sim my team plays realistically. My most recent play game they got 3 HR on 3 pitches. Not sure if it matters but it is an imported game from 19. I never had this problem in 19. I've posted this in the forums and I am the only person experiencing this." DEV RESPONSE: Sorry you're having issues. To give you some more background though, OOTP uses the exact same engine when you're playing out a game or simming. There's absolutely no difference whatsoever in the code the game uses. So if you're regularly losing games when playing them out, but not when simming it's likely a combination of bad luck and potentially strategic choices that are not working out as intended. The game engine is exactly the same though, in any game mode. There's nothing that would cause different results when playing out a game to when you sim, except the choices that you're making as a manger. I'd suggest as a test, making a backup of your save and trying having the computer manage your team's strategy in-game and see what results you get that way, and if the ratio of wins to losses for your team changes in that case. That could give you a baseline to measure the results against, and might provide some insight as to what's happening for you in-game and why. Cheers, Lukas Berger OOTP Developments ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is pretty much what I suspected would be the response based on posts in the thread. It's certainly disappointing as nobody plays a game to lose all the time. I don't expect to be 150-12 or anything, but my record is certainly not enjoyable. My team isn't "rebuilding", they made the playoffs, but now I know I can't play my playoff games like I always do, because I'll be 3 and out in the first round, and I'd like my team to compete. |
05-14-2019, 01:34 PM | #99 | |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Boston
Posts: 960
|
Quote:
I could be way off base here, but it seems like a somewhat reasonable framework for capitalist ideology. Last edited by Findest2001; 05-14-2019 at 01:35 PM. |
|
05-14-2019, 02:10 PM | #100 | |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,255
|
Quote:
Do you not see how you keep having to back off your statements? Give it a rest. The fact that you are now saying “fairly accurate within maybe 5 wins” means you have not been telling us the whole story. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
|
Bookmarks |
|
|