Looking For "Friends" to join "Our League".

[allenciox]

That's awesome, thanks!

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

Annandale, Aina Haina, and Stephensville still set the pace in their respective Our League campaigns, with Waffletown, in B251, and the newly branded Battery Point Energizer Bunnies, in S287, trying to mount a challenge to the leaders. G313, with its more limited schedule, offers an opportunity for a team to get hot and make a claim. Sorry, but still no I204.

[Charlatan]

June in Annandale

I completely missed the games at TI this month in my prior "upcoming" list. Oops!

Annandale(1) at Terra Incognita (2): The Rustlers took two of three from the visiting Atom Smashers

• In the first game, the Rustler's Mark Loretta (.295/.360/.416) went 2-4 with a HR and 3 RBI to lead the home team to a blistering 9-3 victory.
• In game 2, Fred Newman (8-3, 3.28 ERA) pitched an almost complete game (8.2 IP) in a 7-3 Annandale win.
• Terra Incognita took the rubber match 5-1.

Annandale (3) at Green Lake (0): The Cowboys played gracious host, allowing the Atom Smashers to sweep the three-game series.

• The first game saw Annandale throw a 2- 0 shutout
• Game two was a 7-6 victory in twelve innings as George Vukovich (.242/.268/.345) singled home the winning run in the top of the 12th. Vukovich was 3-6 with 3 RBI for the game.
• The third game was a close 3-2 win for the Atom Smashers that took 11 innings to complete

July Games
Annandale @ Terra Incognita 4x

[OMGPuppies]

It was Goldschmidt vs. Goldschmidt as Ewa Beach started off the month by losing two of three to Wheatland.

[Argonaut]

I don't have a chance to check Perfect Team until about 8:00pm Pacific Time, so last night I was shocked to see my Cowboys go from first in the division all the way to last place in the span of a month. And dead last in Our League.

As a result, video games have been banned from the clubhouse and Bobby Bonilla's playing time has been cut. We'll see if that has a positive effect this month.

[revmcgator]

A little frustrating for the Stephensville Bears. They've shown great focus and attention to detail while playing Our League games this season. However, the intensity of their budding rivalries in OL have left little fire for games played in the rest of B251.

Currently, the Bears are hibernating in last place in the B251 NC Central Division.

[allenciox]

All-Star break update:

The rebuilding for Battery Point by at least statistical measures appears to be a success. We are first in the league in all of the following: Batting: BA (.287), OBA (.352), OPS (.760),Batting WAR, wOBA, Runs Scored, Hits, Extra Base Hits, and for Pitching: ERA(3.28),, Bullpen ERA, Runs Allowed, Pitching WAR, and Home Runs allowed. We are last place in Home runs by a considerable margin (40 in 97 games). Since we are #1 in both Runs Scored and Runs allowed, we are also number one in Run Difference.

On the negative side, we are well behind first place in our division, and struggling to make a wild card birth, as our pythagorean record is 7 games ahead of our actual record (same difference as last year). But I am feeling pretty good about the rebuild, overall.

[Magus978]

As a preview for what fellow Our Leaguers in Iron are potentially in for when next season rolls around, the New York Patriots are clinging onto the first wildcard spot during a very tough 10-8 stretch that has them sitting at 52-44, 6 games behind in their division. Jeff Conine (73 OVR) leads the way for the Patriots on offense, hitting .293 with 14 HR and 55 RBI.

Terry Leach (68 OVR), with a record of 3-1 and a 1.42 ERA, was the team's only All Star, but he did not enter the All Star game, leaving Patriots boss Magus978 enraged. "The fact that Terry didn't get a chance to show off his talents on a big stage like that is a travesty. Manager was clueless!" Magus tweeted.

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

Stehensville did not play in yesterday's sims, but retained their comfortable lead atop the B251 Our league. The Syrups, and, to a lesser degree, the Asylum Keepers tried to keep the pressure on the leaders.


The standings:

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

To be honest, the S287 Our League is the Atom Smashers to lose. That did not stop the re-branded Energizer Bunnies from making a run at them. With busiest Our League schedule, Battery Point has enough games, but would need to match Annadale's early pace, while hoping for a strongly negative reaction in the Atom Smashers chemistry.


The standings:

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

The G313 Our League champion will be crowned in today's sims. The Pilots re-took the lead, and, given the meager largess of OOTP's friends list scheduling, it will end today. Seattle has two games left with Ewa Beach, and Aina Haina has six with Port Ruppert, casting the circuit's door mats in the role of possible spoilers. It boils down to this - if Seattle stumbles, the Parakeets need three wins; one Pilots' triumph would necessitate four Aina Haina successes; if Seattle sweeps, Aina Haina cannot afford a single loss.


The standings:

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

Sorry, but I still need the data. If one of the team's could send snips of the team-by-team report for the Our League teams, I will put them up. Thanks. Use kidheckett@gmail.com. That account may be used for any Our League communication. Thanks.

[Charlatan]

July in Annandale

Terra Incognita (0) at Annandale (4): The Atom Smashers swept the visiting Rustlers at The Reactor.

• Annandale took game 1, 4-3.
• The Atom Smashers scores 5 runs in the bottom of the 7th to win game 2, 7-6.
• The home team took the third game 8-1.
• Roy McMillan (.244/.326/.292) went 3-4 with 2 RBI to lead the Atom Smashers in the sweep, as game 4 was an Annandale 8-4 win.

August Games
Annandale @ Battery Point 4x
Green Lake @ Annandale 3x

[Boomcoach]

Bluffton Boomerangs look ahead to next season


Sitting squarely at .500 overall, and in the doldrums of the Our League standings, management has begun to think the team needs a hard look to prepare for next season. The experiment with openers and followers has been interesting, but does not appear to have provided many benefits, so a retooling of the bullpen would appear to be a priority. Play in the field has not been spectacular, but would probably need more of a tweak than an overhaul.

[OMGPuppies]

Waffletown and their team made up of entirely deceased players, beat Palolo in the first game of a three game series. Palolo, having remade its lineup, is just looking to end out the season strong.

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

Battery Point handed Annandale only it's second series loss of the year, taking three of four home games, to tighten the race in S287. Each will be matched up against their favor targets on the season, with Battery Point set for three road and four home games against the Sanguine Classics, against whom they are 8-4. Annadale, meanwhile have an even dozen to play against the Green Lake Cowboys, whom they've lassoed 7 times in 9 games. They are the only Our League games left for the last two title contenders. It shakes out like this:


If Annandale wins 8 games, they clinch their second straight crown.
If they each win 7, 6, 5, or 4 games, the Atom Smashers win by .017, .012, .007, and .001, respectively.
If they each win 3, 2, 1, or none, the Energizer Bunnies take the flag by .005, .010, .016, and .047, respectively.


Both teams are finished in Our League for today's sims. Tomorrow, Annandale plays three early home games against Green Lake, a four-game home stand against the Cowboys, Sept 25-29, and then finishes their season with three at Green Lake, Oct. 3-5.


Battery Point travels to Sanguine for three, Sept. 26-28, and ends their season at home with four against the Classics, Oct. 2-5.

[Stanley Kuppchaser]

Seattle suffered a damaging blow to their Our League title hopes, dropping a pair of home games to the Ewa Beach Fighting Chickens to finish their season at 10-8. The Parakeets now need only a split of their six-game home-and-home series with the haggard, last place Port Ruppert Mundys, who are in the fight of their lives to avoid relegation. Aina Haina seems poised to repeat as Our League gold champions.

[Kushiel]

Originally Posted by Stanley Kuppchaser

Battery Point travels to Sanguine for three, Sept. 26-28, and ends their season at home with four against the Classics, Oct. 2-5.

I need a lucky draw between then and now for the Classics. So far, all we have seen from Lady Luck is the cold shoulder.

[allenciox]

So I have run some linear regressions on the last few seasons of PT, and have found a pretty reliable (out of two seasons for 3 teams, they stay pretty constant for each of them) weights to apply to the Offensive stats to predict season wOBA. For anybody that's interested,

***drum roll please***

To compare to an average (ootp major leagues, not PT!) this computes the number of points "above average" a player is:

In this equation, <stat>_H is the number of points above 50 that a player is, and <stat>_L is the number of points below 50 that a player is in a stat.

If a player is over 50 in a stat, they have a <stat>_H value but no <stat>_L value, and vice versa.


So first add the following:
.45*CON_H + .3*EYE_H + .15*POW_H+.1*GAP_H

then subtract any "bad" or under 50 stats they might have.

- (.9*CON_L +.14*EYE_L + .15*GAP_L+.09*POW_L)

If you want you can adjust the above values by .02*SPE_H or -.01*SPE_L, but speed has a negligible effect.

What surprised me is how strong CON and EYE are in the formula above and how unimportant POW is. To understand this, I computed the hits, walks, home runs, etc. that a player is expected to hit, based on player editor relationships, which assumes major league average (which probably corresponds to about the bronze level in perfect team). Not surprisingly, all the statistics were depressed relative to major league average --- both batting average and walk percentage were only about 92%, on average, compared to those expectations, but home runs were a LOT less, only about 68 to 70% of those expectations. So, it appears that power really takes a hit in PT.

Now, this is in the bronze and silver levels of PT, I don't know how higher levels would affect these results, or as people get better and better cards.

[OMGPuppies]

Originally Posted by allenciox

So I have run some linear regressions on the last few seasons of PT, and have found a pretty reliable (out of two seasons for 3 teams, they stay pretty constant for each of them) weights to apply to the Offensive stats to predict season wOBA. For anybody that's interested,

***drum roll please***

To compare to an average (ootp major leagues, not PT!) this computes the number of points "above average" a player is:

In this equation, <stat>_H is the number of points above 50 that a player is, and <stat>_L is the number of points below 50 that a player is in a stat.

If a player is over 50 in a stat, they have a <stat>_H value but no <stat>_L value, and vice versa.


So first add the following:
.45*CON_H + .3*EYE_H + .15*POW_H+.1*GAP_H

then subtract any "bad" or under 50 stats they might have.

- (.9*CON_L +.14*EYE_L + .15*GAP_L+.09*POW_L)

If you want you can adjust the above values by .02*SPE_H or -.01*SPE_L, but speed has a negligible effect.

What surprised me is how strong CON and EYE are in the formula above and how unimportant POW is. To understand this, I computed the hits, walks, home runs, etc. that a player is expected to hit, based on player editor relationships, which assumes major league average (which probably corresponds to about the bronze level in perfect team). Not surprisingly, all the statistics were depressed relative to major league average --- both batting average and walk percentage were only about 92%, on average, compared to those expectations, but home runs were a LOT less, only about 68 to 70% of those expectations. So, it appears that power really takes a hit in PT.

Now, this is in the bronze and silver levels of PT, I don't know how higher levels would affect these results, or as people get better and better cards.

Do you have a spreadsheet for this? Would love to see it.