Most Boring Playoffs Ever!!

JayJayJames3223 · 01-12-2015, 05:02 AM

Never quite seen this.. Wonder what the odds are..

Padreman · 01-12-2015, 07:33 AM

Wow that is unique to say the least

Matt Arnold · 01-12-2015, 07:46 AM

If every game is 50/50, then my quick math shows the odds of all sweeps as roughly 7 in a million. Pretty impressive indeed!

FunkyBike1 · 01-15-2015, 03:47 PM

Can we get the regular season standings?

Edit for quick math:

Assuming both teams have a 50% chance to win each game:
A 3 game series has a 1/4 chance of ending in a sweep.
A 4 game series has a 1/8 chance of ending in a sweep.

That makes the total chance of a swept playoffs (1/4)^4 * (1/8)^3, or 1 in 131072, or 7.63 in a million.

Obviously the chances are a bit higher if the teams aren't all equal. If the better team has a 55% chance to win each game, the odds go up to 10.23 in a million.

RchW · 01-15-2015, 04:26 PM

In one of my solo leagues (all 7-game sets) I went 9-0 then lost 4 to lose the WS 4-1. That one still bugs me.

JayJayJames3223 · 01-15-2015, 04:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FunkyBike1

Can we get the regular season standings?

Sure;

01-12-2015, 05:02 AM	#1
JayJayJames3223 Minors (Single A) Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 65	Most Boring Playoffs Ever!! Never quite seen this.. Wonder what the odds are..

01-12-2015, 07:33 AM	#2
Padreman Hall Of Famer Join Date: May 2013 Location: Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico (formally San Diego, CA.) Posts: 4,140 Blog Entries: 1	Wow that is unique to say the least __________________ Chargers= Despicable Traitors

01-15-2015, 03:47 PM	#4
FunkyBike1 Minors (Double A) Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 137	Can we get the regular season standings? Edit for quick math: Assuming both teams have a 50% chance to win each game: A 3 game series has a 1/4 chance of ending in a sweep. A 4 game series has a 1/8 chance of ending in a sweep. That makes the total chance of a swept playoffs (1/4)^4 * (1/8)^3, or 1 in 131072, or 7.63 in a million. Obviously the chances are a bit higher if the teams aren't all equal. If the better team has a 55% chance to win each game, the odds go up to 10.23 in a million. Last edited by FunkyBike1; 01-15-2015 at 04:07 PM.

01-15-2015, 04:26 PM	#5
RchW Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: The big smoke Posts: 15,628	In one of my solo leagues (all 7-game sets) I went 9-0 then lost 4 to lose the WS 4-1. That one still bugs me. __________________ Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit

01-12-2015, 07:46 AM	#3
Matt Arnold OOTP Developer Join Date: Jun 2009 Location: Here and there Posts: 14,104	If every game is 50/50, then my quick math shows the odds of all sweeps as roughly 7 in a million. Pretty impressive indeed!