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OOTP 15 - General Discussions Discuss the new 2014 version of Out of the Park Baseball here! |
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01-12-2015, 05:02 AM | #1 |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 65
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Most Boring Playoffs Ever!!
Never quite seen this.. Wonder what the odds are..
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01-12-2015, 07:46 AM | #3 |
OOTP Developer
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Here and there
Posts: 14,143
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If every game is 50/50, then my quick math shows the odds of all sweeps as roughly 7 in a million. Pretty impressive indeed!
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01-15-2015, 03:47 PM | #4 |
Minors (Double A)
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 137
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Can we get the regular season standings?
Edit for quick math: Assuming both teams have a 50% chance to win each game: A 3 game series has a 1/4 chance of ending in a sweep. A 4 game series has a 1/8 chance of ending in a sweep. That makes the total chance of a swept playoffs (1/4)^4 * (1/8)^3, or 1 in 131072, or 7.63 in a million. Obviously the chances are a bit higher if the teams aren't all equal. If the better team has a 55% chance to win each game, the odds go up to 10.23 in a million. Last edited by FunkyBike1; 01-15-2015 at 04:07 PM. |
01-15-2015, 04:26 PM | #5 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: The big smoke
Posts: 15,628
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In one of my solo leagues (all 7-game sets) I went 9-0 then lost 4 to lose the WS 4-1. That one still bugs me.
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Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit |
01-15-2015, 04:30 PM | #6 |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 65
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Last edited by JayJayJames3223; 01-15-2015 at 04:33 PM. |
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