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Perfect Team Discover the new amazing online league competition & card collecting mode of OOTP!

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Old 01-09-2019, 12:44 AM   #81
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Originally Posted by Dunzie View Post
Iím starting to think thatís just par for the course at Perfect levels. I have pitchers having good years that still get lit up like Vegas every 2-3 starts.
Yeah, and I think he heard me bitching because he now has the best of ERA of 13 Sales in my league at 3.62. 3-4 (4 ND) record though because my offense has been mediocre.
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Old 01-09-2019, 08:19 AM   #82
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For better or worse, this is my rotation in Perfect. They are at least keeping us competitive.
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Old 01-09-2019, 10:20 AM   #83
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kushiel View Post
For better or worse, this is my rotation in Perfect. They are at least keeping us competitive.
Do you have stats for them? I'm curious. I'm only in silver, so I'm wondering what to expect.
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Old 01-09-2019, 10:24 AM   #84
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Originally Posted by Kushiel View Post
For better or worse, this is my rotation in Perfect. They are at least keeping us competitive.
Looks like a good rotation to me. Better stated then mine and I'm doing pretty well in Perfect right now.
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Old 01-09-2019, 11:48 AM   #85
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What are the stats on the Matt Harvey card? I think that is 1 of only a few cards I don't have stats for since I'm keeping track of SPs and RPs on a spreadsheet. Mainly need Stuff, Movement, and Control ratings for Harvey.
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Old 01-09-2019, 12:09 PM   #86
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what are the stats on the matt harvey card? I think that is 1 of only a few cards i don't have stats for since i'm keeping track of sps and rps on a spreadsheet. Mainly need stuff, movement, and control ratings for harvey.
stf 84, mov 79, ctl 80
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Old 01-09-2019, 12:11 PM   #87
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Originally Posted by sharpk23 View Post
What are the stats on the Matt Harvey card? I think that is 1 of only a few cards I don't have stats for since I'm keeping track of SPs and RPs on a spreadsheet. Mainly need Stuff, Movement, and Control ratings for Harvey.
Name Matt Harvey
STU 84
MOV 79
CON 80
STU vL 80
MOV vL 78
CON vL 78
STU vR 87
MOV vR 81
CON vR 81
FB 68
CH 84
CB 51
SL 84
VELO 97-99 Mph
STM 96
G/F FB
HLD 41
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Old 01-09-2019, 01:47 PM   #88
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For better or worse, this is my rotation in Perfect. They are at least keeping us competitive.
That's a great rotation. Those first four guys are #8, 13, 15, and 16 on my rankings. I don't think I have that Kershaw card in my database. Can you send me a screenshot?
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Old 01-09-2019, 02:07 PM   #89
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Old 01-09-2019, 02:18 PM   #90
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Nice. Slots in right between your Walter Johnson and Matt Harvey in the rankings. As some have noted, though, some LHP tend to struggle. There are like 20 Chris Sales in my league. They have a combined 3.02 FIP vs LH but a 4.50 FIP vs RHP. Most of the good PL team run multiple platoons so most LHP end up facing a lineup of almost entirely RH hitters. My current lineup vs LHP has Roger Connor at leadoff (a lefty) followed by eight righties.
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Old 01-09-2019, 04:36 PM   #91
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That Kershaw seems far better than the 99OVR one...
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Old 01-09-2019, 05:04 PM   #92
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That Kershaw seems far better than the 99OVR one...
Wait a second...I didn't realize there was a 3rd Kershaw. The Live 99 and 2013 Kershaw are much worse than that one. Don't have the 2013 in my database (it's pretty terrible), but this card is better than the Live in every category. As he's my favorite player, I was disappointed by the other 2, but this one looks really good.

EDIT: I guess his Individual Pitch ratings aren't as good, but I'm not sure how those play into things.
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Old 01-10-2019, 03:20 AM   #93
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Stuff (= how often get the batters hits) is slightly less important than Move (= how many hits are homers); the single most important is, that Control (= how often pitcher throws strikes) is not below average
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Old 01-10-2019, 04:04 PM   #94
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Pedro expos 96 is very good...37-20, 3,03 and 1.17 whip since is in my lineup.
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Old 01-10-2019, 04:53 PM   #95
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Pedro expos 96 is very good...37-20, 3,03 and 1.17 whip since is in my lineup.
He's come down a bit this season for me - he started the year with an ERA that maxed out at 8.64 after his 4th start, but is back down to 3.87 now through the All-star break. 3.21 ERA last year for me which was solid enough in a tough league.
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Old 01-10-2019, 05:59 PM   #96
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Here's the best model I have right now:

FIP_p = 8.661141 - (.01747*STUFF) - (.03291*MOV) - (.01737*CON)

This thread motivated me to update some of my numbers today. This model uses data from all pitchers in my league with at least 500 career IP across any league level. It actually correlates better to Perfect League FIP from last week than the model that uses only PL data. I'm guessing that will change as the amount of PL-only data increases.

Any thoughts or theories on how to adjust this based on a pitcher's pitch Tendency, if at all? For instance, Syndergaard 2018 (neutral), Drysdale PEAK (flyball), and Mordecai Brown PEAK (ex. flyball) all calculate to ~3.68. Surely they're not "equal". Is there any direct correlation between pitch tendency and home runs? Or is it an algorithm combined with movement rating and ballpark factors?
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Old 01-10-2019, 07:34 PM   #97
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He's come down a bit this season for me - he started the year with an ERA that maxed out at 8.64 after his 4th start, but is back down to 3.87 now through the All-star break. 3.21 ERA last year for me which was solid enough in a tough league.
Yeah, harder for him too in is first season in Diamond 14-11 3,27, 1,26 whip, but he perform a little better in his second season with 9-7 2.56 era, 1.06 whip.

Overall my Expos dont perform well in Diamond league...61-101 in 1st season and 45-53 to date in the second season.

But Pedro is my only pitcher with over .500 and so many strike out, extra pp with many games with 10K+

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Old 01-11-2019, 11:25 AM   #98
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What about Tim Lincecum? 99 ST / 77 MOV / 49 CON

I plugged those numbers into the formula and got FIP = 3.4, which would make him like top 10?? Just picked him up for 16k
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Old 01-11-2019, 11:34 AM   #99
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What about Tim Lincecum? 99 ST / 77 MOV / 49 CON

I plugged those numbers into the formula and got FIP = 3.4, which would make him like top 10?? Just picked him up for 16k
FIP of 3.40 is nowhere near top 10. More like 3.10. I have Lincecum at 3.55 FIP, which makes him top 50.
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Old 01-11-2019, 11:39 AM   #100
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ok I guess I am not understanding your chart then. I only see 1 guy on there with FIP_p under 3.1? (Pedro) What am I missing
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