Too many triples (part deaux)

pvtitan21 · 03-10-2016, 03:34 PM

I posted earlier about noticing a high rate of triples.
Other posters asked for proof, so here goes:
My historical simulation says that triples at up 10.8%, easily the greatest discrepancy between simulation and real life of all the categories listed.

RchW · 03-10-2016, 03:47 PM

Historically triples increased 10.6% from 2014 to 2015. So it happens IRL. What seasons are you comparing?

What variation would you be comfy with?

pvtitan21 · 03-10-2016, 09:34 PM

I'm playing in 1970. Garvey had two triples in one game.

pvtitan21 · 03-10-2016, 09:44 PM

When holding a historical draft, how much does that AI know about the players it is drafting? When I ran a draft in 1969, it took Reggie Jackson first and made other solid choices, but was that simply because they had high ratings or does it factor in the real-life careers these players end up having.
Guys like Dusty Baker weren't rated that highly in '69, but I knew he was going to have a good career.

03-10-2016, 03:34 PM	#1
pvtitan21 Minors (Single A) Join Date: Mar 2016 Location: Rancho Palos Verdes, CA Posts: 66	Too many triples (part deaux) I posted earlier about noticing a high rate of triples. Other posters asked for proof, so here goes: My historical simulation says that triples at up 10.8%, easily the greatest discrepancy between simulation and real life of all the categories listed.

03-10-2016, 03:47 PM	#2
RchW Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: The big smoke Posts: 15,628	Historically triples increased 10.6% from 2014 to 2015. So it happens IRL. What seasons are you comparing? What variation would you be comfy with? __________________ Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit

03-10-2016, 09:44 PM	#4
pvtitan21 Minors (Single A) Join Date: Mar 2016 Location: Rancho Palos Verdes, CA Posts: 66	What does AI know? When holding a historical draft, how much does that AI know about the players it is drafting? When I ran a draft in 1969, it took Reggie Jackson first and made other solid choices, but was that simply because they had high ratings or does it factor in the real-life careers these players end up having. Guys like Dusty Baker weren't rated that highly in '69, but I knew he was going to have a good career.

03-10-2016, 09:34 PM	#3
pvtitan21 Minors (Single A) Join Date: Mar 2016 Location: Rancho Palos Verdes, CA Posts: 66	I'm playing in 1970. Garvey had two triples in one game.