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10-01-2019, 03:03 PM | #1 |
Minors (Rookie Ball)
Join Date: Feb 2019
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Posts: 48
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Loving the new diamond packs!
Just opened one of the cheaper diamond packs and got a haul of cards!
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10-01-2019, 03:09 PM | #2 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Germany
Posts: 11,807
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Okay, all good cards are taken. I can keep my PP.
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Portland Raccoons, 83 years of excell-.... of baseball: Furballs here! 1983 * 1989 * 1991 * 1992 * 1993 * 1995 * 1996 * 2010 * 2017 * 2018 * 2019 * 2026 * 2028 * 2035 * 2037 * 2044 * 2045 * 2046 * 2047 * 2048 * 2051 * 2054 * 2055 1 OSANAI : 2 POWELL : 7 NOMURA | RAMOS : 8 REECE : 10 BROWN : 15 HALL : 27 FERNANDEZ : 28 CASAS : 31 CARMONA : 32 WEST : 39 TONER : 46 SAITO Resident Mets Cynic - The Mets from 1962 onwards, here. |
10-01-2019, 04:22 PM | #3 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Indiana
Posts: 9,798
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10-01-2019, 04:22 PM | #4 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,685
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I haven't bought a single pack all year but I'm kinda considering it for this deal. Some historical diamonds are worth quite a lot with collections now...I wonder if anyone has done "the math" on the discounted price?
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10-01-2019, 05:44 PM | #5 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,118
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10 packs = 7 live and 3 historical.
7 x 5000 = 35000 3 x 30000 = 90000 IMHO = still a losing prop.
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10-01-2019, 06:15 PM | #6 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,685
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Well I assumed all pack purchases are losing propositions. 125k back on 150k investment isn’t that horrible
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10-01-2019, 06:18 PM | #7 | |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Nov 2018
Posts: 560
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Quote:
I could see it being at least close to even EV. It's certainly a lot closer to even than normal; if a team wanted to gamble, there are a LOT of worse decisions you could make with your PP. All those people who blow money on packs thinking you could make something out of it, this is your time to shine.
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Former leader of BFF, the definitive competitive PT group for F2P players. DM for info F2P + restrictions. First F2P winner of PT21 Perfect League F2P + restrictions. New team -> PT title in 8 weeks |
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10-01-2019, 06:33 PM | #8 |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Germany
Posts: 234
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Just buy the packs and flood the market with cards
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F2P Team |
10-01-2019, 06:49 PM | #9 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Indiana
Posts: 9,798
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Quote:
This is way too good to pass up. I suggest everyone buy as many of these packs as they can afford! |
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10-01-2019, 07:29 PM | #10 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,685
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I have been in the habit of dropping $100 on the first of the month the last two months...the wife hasn't noticed on the credit card as of yet...so I think I'm gonna do it lol
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10-01-2019, 07:32 PM | #11 |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: May 2019
Posts: 201
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Just bought my first ever Diamond pack. 5 Irons...AND 99 Nap Lajoie.
Now to keep or sell. My 9-32 YakAnglers are saying sell, sell, sell.
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Last edited by RunninYakAngler; 10-01-2019 at 07:36 PM. Reason: added screenshot |
10-01-2019, 07:53 PM | #12 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,685
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Congrats! In contrast, I bought 11 packs. Got 10 lives all worth under 8k, and the only historical was 91 Morgan Ensberg worth 6k. I'll be lucky to get 50k back on my 165k spent. Horrible, horrible decision.
Last edited by chazzycat; 10-01-2019 at 07:55 PM. |
10-01-2019, 07:59 PM | #13 |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: May 2019
Posts: 201
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Wow. That seriously sucks. Now I have to really think about buying another one for my other teams.
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10-01-2019, 08:18 PM | #14 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 2,152
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It's 70/30 live I believe, and live diamonds are in the ****ter since they can't get boosted to perfect. The market is going to flood and you'll be lucky to sell any of them for 5000.
But I'll give a generous 5000 though for the live diamond EV. The 5 random cards are worth like 400-500 in EV. So 70% of the time the pack is worth 5500. That means the average historical diamond needs to sell for 37000 (41000 before tax) to make these packs a positive EV (assuming they are all equally likely and not weighted towards lower overalls, which seems to be the prevalent thinking but I'm not sure) There's the math Last edited by dkgo; 10-01-2019 at 08:21 PM. |
10-01-2019, 08:20 PM | #15 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 1,272
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NOOOOOOO! Diamond pack sale sneak attack. I really dislike these things because they absolutely mess up supply/demand. And it figures that I bought a diamond player for 170K just last night and probably won't get anything near that re-selling it. Strong dislike. Wish we'd get a heads up before it actually happens.
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10-01-2019, 08:24 PM | #16 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 2,152
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I generally agree, but it was pretty obvious there would be one for the start of the playoffs
I was very aggressive selling out diamond collection parts yesterday to not get stuck with them |
10-01-2019, 08:31 PM | #17 |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Jun 2019
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 80
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So...I figured...why not spend some PP on the diamond pack sale. I've been hunting for a small number of cards to finish a mission or two (I'm not deep into missions, but have concentrated my fire on completing one set over the past couple of weeks and am real close) but am otherwise kind of paralyzed on where to spend excess PP. Obviously, your mileage may vary, but I opened 8 packs. Mostly live diamonds. One 92 Reuschel. One 92 Pedro. And then a pack with 99 Oscar Charleston (a duplicate for me)...and a Perfect Mays (someone I'd had an eye on for a while). So that happened. Good luck to everyone else rolling the dice.
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10-02-2019, 09:57 AM | #18 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 2,430
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I'm just annoyed because I did Packapalooza with 52 packs and got one stinkin' 92 Jeff McNeil. I could have waited, bought 3 Diamond packs instead and gotten three stinkin' Jeff McNeils!
Still would have come out ahead. And saved 7,000 PP.
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Mainline team SPTT team Was not a Snag fan...until I saw the fallout once he was gone and realized what a good job he was actually doing. - Ty Cobb |
10-02-2019, 10:29 AM | #19 | |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 203
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Quote:
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10-02-2019, 10:37 AM | #20 |
Minors (Double A)
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 104
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I seem to have the same experience - I blew all the PP i've been saving for a top tier player.
Bought 22 packs...almost all lives. I got a a few historics: 97 Joe Morgan, Will Clark, Trevor Rosenthal, and another that is escaping me at the moment. Needless to say I should've just bought the Perfect Griffey I wanted.
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