Super Win Streaks followed by huge losing streaks

StreakyLoser · 04-27-2015, 05:11 PM

Howdy,

I've been playing OOTP 15 for a while now, and was noticing the streakiness of winning and losing. It all kind of peaked when I started a standard game and created an expansion team. After the expansion draft, a few free agent signings, and some trades, my team would consistently win five, lose five, literally building my record to 38-38. Then all of a sudden my team beasted out for a while with a 17-4 record, making the record 55-42. Then all of a sudden my team drops off the table and loses 13 in a row, making myself 55-55 again.

O, btw, I play out each game one batter at a time.

Anyone have an explanation or have this happen to them?

RchW · 04-27-2015, 06:00 PM

I think it happens more often than you know. Last season the Blue Jays went...

13-17
25-7
11-24

in their first 97 games. If you check many teams are streaky all season

Leo_The_Lip · 04-29-2015, 09:56 AM

A true .500 team, that is one that finishes 81-81, has about a 67% chance of having an 8 game winning streak and/or an 8 game losing streak. That's according to standard probability analysis.

So for you to end your roller coaster ride at 55-55 is a likely outcome.

RchW · 04-29-2015, 09:58 AM

Orioles in 2014 went 53-43 then 43-23 to finish 96-66.

04-27-2015, 05:11 PM	#1
StreakyLoser Bat Boy Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 2	Super Win Streaks followed by huge losing streaks Howdy, I've been playing OOTP 15 for a while now, and was noticing the streakiness of winning and losing. It all kind of peaked when I started a standard game and created an expansion team. After the expansion draft, a few free agent signings, and some trades, my team would consistently win five, lose five, literally building my record to 38-38. Then all of a sudden my team beasted out for a while with a 17-4 record, making the record 55-42. Then all of a sudden my team drops off the table and loses 13 in a row, making myself 55-55 again. O, btw, I play out each game one batter at a time. Anyone have an explanation or have this happen to them?

04-27-2015, 06:00 PM	#2
RchW Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: The big smoke Posts: 15,628	I think it happens more often than you know. Last season the Blue Jays went... 13-17 25-7 11-24 in their first 97 games. If you check many teams are streaky all season Attached Images __________________ Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit Last edited by RchW; 04-27-2015 at 06:01 PM.

04-29-2015, 09:56 AM	#3
Leo_The_Lip All Star Starter Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 1,703	A true .500 team, that is one that finishes 81-81, has about a 67% chance of having an 8 game winning streak and/or an 8 game losing streak. That's according to standard probability analysis. So for you to end your roller coaster ride at 55-55 is a likely outcome. __________________ "My name will live forever" - Anonymous

04-29-2015, 09:58 AM	#4
RchW Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: The big smoke Posts: 15,628	Orioles in 2014 went 53-43 then 43-23 to finish 96-66. __________________ Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit