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Old 06-15-2017, 02:35 AM   #1
Karax268
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strategy presets

Which one do you use?
Do you make your own?

and is there really that much difference in results between strategies?
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Old 06-16-2017, 04:25 PM   #2
chazzycat
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there is probably a fair (but not huge) difference. Sabremetric is definitely the way to go in my opinion, since those strategies are backed by statistical analysis rather than relying on tradition. There's no reason not to heavily employ infield shifts for example, or to attempt a lot of sacrifice bunts. For stolen bases, the rule of thumb is that it's only a net positive if you are successful 75% of the time, which most players can't do. So I'll usually set it all the way to the left and change the individual player strategy for any really good basestealers to override it.
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Old 06-16-2017, 11:30 PM   #3
jpeters1734
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chazzycat View Post
there is probably a fair (but not huge) difference. Sabremetric is definitely the way to go in my opinion, since those strategies are backed by statistical analysis rather than relying on tradition. There's no reason not to heavily employ infield shifts for example, or to attempt a lot of sacrifice bunts. For stolen bases, the rule of thumb is that it's only a net positive if you are successful 75% of the time, which most players can't do. So I'll usually set it all the way to the left and change the individual player strategy for any really good basestealers to override it.
i think it's 66%
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Old 06-18-2017, 06:32 PM   #4
DawnBTVS
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For Stolen Bases: https://medium.com/@BuzzinTheTower/t...h-82ac4ed9da20

"John Thorn’s Total Baseball estimated that a runner must be successful in stealing more than 67% of the time in order to benefit his team. In the sabermetrics-laden book “Baseball Between the Numbers,” writer James Crick pointed out that the “break-even” line varies by season, based upon the run-scoring environment. The book was written in 2000, so to compare a the numbers, we must use a similar season. The 1985 and 1991 seasons are a good reference point, as the average runs/game were similar to the current 2016 rate of 4.34 runs/game.

1985: 4.33 runs/game; 66% break-even rate
1991: 4.31 runs/game; 72% break-even rate"

As for me, I tend to do my own heavily Sabermetric inclined pre-sets (virtually zero out bunting and intentional walks) but I also have slower hooks for SP and quicker ones for RP.

I also vary my base running aggressiveness depending on the speed of my team as a whole. A team like the 1986 St. Louis Cardinals would be full go vs. a slower team like the 2003 Oakland Athletics who'd be very conservative for the most part.
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Old 06-18-2017, 11:32 PM   #5
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as far as the choices the ai makes on the field, it's very important.

if you play out games, not so much for your team.

it will even affect the lineup and pitching staff -- again ai only. (the preferences, but some strategy sliders too, i bet).

some strategies are empirically better... and alot of that will depend on the league environment (just as displayed in the stolen base example in Dawn's post)... so, it's not a simple one-size-fits-all answer for each slider.

i customize mine, for sure. i take a screen shot now and then to preserve it...
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Old 06-19-2017, 02:05 PM   #6
chazzycat
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Here was my source for 75%:

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/break...k-even-points/

It does change a bit depending on situation but the conclusion is that 75 is still a pretty good rule of thumb.
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Old 04-06-2022, 01:41 PM   #7
SR000
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It’s all relevant. I went full small ball in a league where the batting average had dipped under .240 and won the title. Likewise if your bottom of the order is weak you should bunt and steal more. Sabermetrics is often a measurement of overall averages but not every situation is average.
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