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OOTP 16 - General Discussions Discuss the new 2015 version of Out of the Park Baseball here! |
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04-24-2015, 03:28 PM | #1 |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 205
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Most unrealistic thing about OOTP's model...
...seems to me to be that pitchers have way too much control over their HR rates. It feels like a guy with 6/8 movement will just consistently give up only half as many HRs as a guy with 4/8 movement. I haven't actually done a controlled study on it directly but I did calculate some MLEs from AAA to the majors in a fictional league. I came up with 0.88 K% (plausible), 1.16 BB% (plausible) and 1.49 HR% (wut?!?).
I mean, I guess this is pretty fundamental to OOTP's model (contact vs. stuff, eye vs. control and power vs. movement) which was based on state-of-the-art DIPS theory from back when OOTP version 1 was released, but it doesn't seem to match up very well with current sabermetric research. What are your experiences? Do you have another candidate for something unrealistic in OOTP's model of how baseball works? |
04-24-2015, 03:31 PM | #2 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 1,098
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Considering OOTP doesn't use sabermetrics to get it's game engine I wouldn't think it would match up.
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04-24-2015, 03:36 PM | #3 |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 205
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Maybe you have some extremely narrow definition of sabermetrics, but it seems completely impossible to me to create a realistic baseball simulation engine without looking at sabermetric research. Or, to put it another way, if sabermetrics gives you different results for real baseball and OOTP, then OOTP clearly isn't realistic, and they surely strive to be realistic.
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04-24-2015, 04:49 PM | #4 | |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 1,098
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Quote:
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04-24-2015, 05:21 PM | #5 |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 205
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04-24-2015, 06:38 PM | #6 |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Houston, TX
Posts: 621
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