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OOTP 20 - General Discussions Everything about the newest version of Out of the Park Baseball - officially licensed by MLB.com and the MLBPA. |
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10-03-2019, 07:07 AM | #1 |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: Feb 2015
Posts: 218
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Home Field Advantage
Does anyone else find its slightly easier to win on the road than it is at home?
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10-03-2019, 08:46 AM | #2 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Apr 2019
Posts: 1,782
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It might be the park factors/dimensions, I noticed on the WPA graphs that you get like a 12.5% advantage at home where the line starts in your favor...and I noticed if my park settings are about neutral that I win 4-10 more home games a season than on the road. Maybe you don't have a big enough sample or you do but have just had bad luck/your home park doesn't play well with your team.
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10-03-2019, 09:27 AM | #3 |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 405
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I hope the model is realistic enough to have players play slightly better at home than away overall, given neutral parks.
But even if not, there's a small strategic advantage to being the home team and knowing how many runs you need each inning when you bat if the game is close at the end, for use of one-run strategies, including who you need to send home in a tough situation to tie it Another of the strategic advantages of being the home team, if you don't have the DH, is if you pinch hit for the pitcher in a given inning, you get one more inning pitched from that pitcher than the away team doing the same. With traditional closer usage, the closer will generally come in for the home team in the 9th inning rather than waiting for a lead, which may never come, to protect. So the home field advantage comes from the combo of matching the team to the park, players playing slightly better at home if the park is neutral toward them, and the strategic advantage. We don't know if the second is in the game though it probably is; but the first is there if you pick players well for your park, and the third is always there. |
10-03-2019, 11:14 AM | #4 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Mar 2018
Location: Denver, Colorado
Posts: 4,262
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Quote:
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10-04-2019, 01:11 PM | #5 |
Hall Of Famer
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10-12 years ago maybe, Markus changed the code to give the home team an advantage... in most cases, this has worked out.
Several OOTP members showed him over baseball history, most teams play better at home... and like he usually does, he listened and fixed it. This has been the first mention of homefield advantage that I have seen on the Forums in years. |
10-04-2019, 02:46 PM | #6 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 9,448
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Yes, a gentle home field advantage exists in OOTP as it does in MLB.
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10-05-2019, 12:05 AM | #7 |
Minors (Triple A)
Join Date: May 2019
Location: Southwest Virginia
Posts: 297
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I find that the visitors seem to have a slight edge in playoff games for some reason. I also rarely have the home field advantage team jump out to a 2-0 lead but quite often it will fall behind 0-2 losing the first two games at home yet rally to win the series.
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10-05-2019, 01:19 PM | #8 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 9,448
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Can you post any actual data to show that's happening more often than you'd expect by random chance?
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10-05-2019, 01:51 PM | #9 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 9,448
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A seat of the pants bit of math suggests that (assuming the two World Series teams have equal chances of winning any game on a neutral field), a team that goes down the first two games should be expected to wind up winning just under once every five times (about 16.9%).
If home field advantage had no play in it, that number would be more like 18.5% -- still about once every five occurrences of a 0-2 deficit.. |
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