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OOTP 20 - Historical Simulations Discuss historical simulations and their results in this forum. |
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03-23-2019, 12:55 PM | #1 |
Bat Boy
Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 17
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Missed playoffs despite +18 pythag advantage
First simulated season with ootp20 was super unlucky. My Padres had a pythag record of 100-62 yet lost division to Braves (pythag 82-80). Has this ever happened before?
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03-24-2019, 08:35 AM | #2 |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 371
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The PYT is a flawed calculation. Teams that can play small ball, may not have a great PYT.
The most important stats in your game is wins. Then look at what really killed you, 1 run games. Atlanta beat you by 12 games. In my opinion, Atlanta was the better team. |
03-24-2019, 09:34 AM | #3 | |
Minors (Rookie Ball)
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 30
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Quote:
Just another indication of the huge part timing and luck have in baseball as in everything else in life. We always underestimate the role these play especially with very limited data points. |
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03-24-2019, 02:51 PM | #4 |
Bat Boy
Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 17
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Thanks Bill Veeck - In real life last year the diff between top/bottom in this luck measurement was 22 wins, 21 wins the year before. Cool to know.
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03-29-2019, 12:21 PM | #5 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Greenfield ,IN
Posts: 3,053
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Pyth is a Mirage, It's like saying "If we had Won more games we would have had a better record" They are all meaningless to me but it is Possibly the most useless of all Sabermetric Stats.
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“As soon as I got out there I felt a strange relationship with the pitcher's mound. It was as if I'd been born out there. Pitching just felt like the most natural thing in the world. Striking out batters was easy.” -Babe Ruth “Ruth made a grave mistake when he gave up pitching. Working once a week, he might have lasted a long time and become a great star.”-Tris Speaker My Dynasties The Beantown Bambino |
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