I am sorry, but I am calling total BS on the playoffs now - Page 2

One Great Matrix · 06-09-2019, 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mcdog512

Shadowz should use his deductive powers and professional numbers experience to fashion a solution. If weaker teams do better in the playoffs simply weaken your team and you'll win more in the playoffs!

Shoot for just enough to get into the postseason, THEN win out. How can you expect to win more than 120 out of 162 and follow it up with 10 MORE wins against the best teams in your league?

Life,
It,
Chance,
Karma.

I've named 4 things that will keep anything from being purely statistical.

BaseballMan · 06-09-2019, 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edster007

From the start of the WC in 1995 through 2012 the team with the best record won the World Series 3 times. I don't have the time to look further but it seems to be an analytical trend.

Yeah the regular season isn't to crown a champion. Its to qualify for the best position during the playoffs.

Goliathus · 06-09-2019, 05:47 PM

So this is a weekly Shadowz cult ritual now?

Shadowz · 06-09-2019, 06:13 PM

Typical worthless responses from the majority of [snipped]on this forum. I give you facts and you are all too ignorant to recognize them. [snipped]

They have programmed this game to do whatever they want it to do, plain and simple. I could post so many screens of stats from several different teams that show the impossibility of a lot of the results. Some so absurd, you would have a better chance of winning the Powerball lottery then a lot of crap that happened in the game. None of you or this game is worth my time anymore. Good riddance [snipped]

Goliathus · 06-09-2019, 06:15 PM

I have plenty of time for conspiracy. If you want to post many stats and analyze them, I am reading them.

eldur00 · 06-09-2019, 06:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shadowz

Typical worthless responses from the majority of [snipped]on this forum. I give you facts and you are all too ignorant to recognize them. [snipped]

They have programmed this game to do whatever they want it to do, plain and simple. I could post so many screens of stats from several different teams that show the impossibility of a lot of the results. Some so absurd, you would have a better chance of winning the Powerball lottery then a lot of crap that happened in the game. None of you or this game is worth my time anymore. Good riddance [snipped] .

Just curious, but did calling out people on forums as being idiots ever worked for you ? Like, did a whole forum ever went back and said "wait a minute, this guy actually knows what's going on" ?

Findest2001 · 06-09-2019, 06:27 PM

Ahhh trolls hidden behind computer screens. Tough guy I see. I pray you learn to get your attitude checked out before someone decides to do it for you.

Chico Guilbault · 06-09-2019, 06:27 PM

Orcin · 06-09-2019, 06:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shadowz

None of you or this game is worth my time anymore. Good riddance to the idiots on this forum.

Then go away already!

HRBaker · 06-09-2019, 06:38 PM

Sometimes, you have to fight numbers with numbers... I'm not exactly a slouch in math (Electrical Engineering degree).

Hypothetical;

5 team league playing 160 games. that's 40 games per team. When all is said and done, the first place team wins 120 games(75%), the 2nd place team 100 games(62.5%), the 3rd place team wins 80 games(50%), the 4th place team wins 60 games (37.5%) and the last place team wins 40 games (25%). Thus, the 1st place team gets 24 wins from the 2nd place team(60%), 28 wins form the 3rd place team(70%), 32 wins from the 4th place team(80%), and 40 wins from the 5th place team(100%). That totals his 120 wins.

Now, knowing the teams you will be playing in the playoffs are AT LEAST as good as the 2nd place team, that means you will likely win 60% of the games against them.

Here's the kicker...

60% of a 5 game series is 3 game out of 5.
60% of a 7 game series is 4.2 games out of 7.

All it takes in either of those situations is one hit or one strikeout to flip the series the other way - thus why playoffs are a crapshoot.

Vary the numbers above all you want, and when you reduce it down to 7 games or less, the expectations in a playoff series mean nothing.

Failing in 5 straight seasons is almost as probable as winning in 5 straight seasons.

dkgo · 06-09-2019, 06:41 PM

he doesn't even believe it is random anymore (despite his posts from a couple days ago), the new conspiracy is that the developers have inserted code into the game specifically to keep him from winning in the playoffs

One Great Matrix · 06-09-2019, 06:42 PM

Wow...the game does behave the way it was designed to, doesn't it?

LeroyJenkins · 06-09-2019, 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by atabakin

Does he have many questions like children often do?

Great line!

Pulling for the Freaks to make a comeback... we need a Battle of the Beaches in the Perfect League finals!!

mcdog512 · 06-09-2019, 06:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shadowz

Typical worthless responses from the majority of idiots on this forum. I give you facts and you are all too ignorant to recognize them. The developers lie on these forms all the time, and most people are blind to it. Keep accepting all the lies and keep telling yourselves it is all just luck, bad luck or statistic anomalies.

They have programmed this game to do whatever they want it to do, plain and simple. I could post so many screens of stats from several different teams that show the impossibility of a lot of the results. Some so absurd, you would have a better chance of winning the Powerball lottery then a lot of crap that happened in the game. None of you or this game is worth my time anymore. Good riddance to the idiots on this forum.

I wish you farewell too....hope I never see you again. You call us idiots...friendly advice, look in the mirror.

Westheim · 06-09-2019, 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mcdog512

I wish you farewell too....hope I never see you again. You call us idiots...friendly advice, look in the mirror.

Sshh. Don't. User CP -> there's an ignore list there. Doing the same now, because there's no point.

mcdog512 · 06-09-2019, 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Westheim

Sshh. Don't. User CP -> there's an ignore list there. Doing the same now, because there's no point.

Thanks Westheim, I already have an infraction so I should keep my real feelings in check.....

KleineBiere · 06-09-2019, 07:09 PM

A team with a 60% chance of winning any one game should win 9 of 13 best of 5 series

gemini615 · 06-09-2019, 07:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shadowz

The best part is my full-time job is analyzing numbers, and I can say for a fact that there are other things at work here then pure statistics.

What exactly is your job?

06-09-2019, 06:13 PM	#24
Shadowz Bat Boy Join Date: May 2019 Posts: 15	Typical worthless responses from the majority of [snipped]on this forum. I give you facts and you are all too ignorant to recognize them. [snipped] They have programmed this game to do whatever they want it to do, plain and simple. I could post so many screens of stats from several different teams that show the impossibility of a lot of the results. Some so absurd, you would have a better chance of winning the Powerball lottery then a lot of crap that happened in the game. None of you or this game is worth my time anymore. Good riddance [snipped] Last edited by CONN CHRIS; 06-10-2019 at 05:46 AM.
	$Received Infraction$

06-09-2019, 06:27 PM	#27
Findest2001 All Star Reserve Join Date: Aug 2011 Location: Boston Posts: 960	Ahhh trolls hidden behind computer screens. Tough guy I see. I pray you learn to get your attitude checked out before someone decides to do it for you. __________________ Last edited by Findest2001; 06-09-2019 at 06:29 PM.

06-09-2019, 06:27 PM	#28
Chico Guilbault All Star Starter Join Date: May 2015 Location: Harlingen, NJ Posts: 1,063	__________________ BeechumCounty.com

06-09-2019, 06:38 PM	#30
HRBaker Hall Of Famer Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 2,088	Sometimes, you have to fight numbers with numbers... I'm not exactly a slouch in math (Electrical Engineering degree). Hypothetical; 5 team league playing 160 games. that's 40 games per team. When all is said and done, the first place team wins 120 games(75%), the 2nd place team 100 games(62.5%), the 3rd place team wins 80 games(50%), the 4th place team wins 60 games (37.5%) and the last place team wins 40 games (25%). Thus, the 1st place team gets 24 wins from the 2nd place team(60%), 28 wins form the 3rd place team(70%), 32 wins from the 4th place team(80%), and 40 wins from the 5th place team(100%). That totals his 120 wins. Now, knowing the teams you will be playing in the playoffs are AT LEAST as good as the 2nd place team, that means you will likely win 60% of the games against them. Here's the kicker... 60% of a 5 game series is 3 game out of 5. 60% of a 7 game series is 4.2 games out of 7. All it takes in either of those situations is one hit or one strikeout to flip the series the other way - thus why playoffs are a crapshoot. Vary the numbers above all you want, and when you reduce it down to 7 games or less, the expectations in a playoff series mean nothing. Failing in 5 straight seasons is almost as probable as winning in 5 straight seasons. __________________

06-09-2019, 06:42 PM	#32
One Great Matrix All Star Starter Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 1,782	Wow...the game does behave the way it was designed to, doesn't it? __________________

06-09-2019, 05:47 PM	#23
Goliathus Major Leagues Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 449	So this is a weekly Shadowz cult ritual now?

06-09-2019, 06:15 PM	#25
Goliathus Major Leagues Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 449	I have plenty of time for conspiracy. If you want to post many stats and analyze them, I am reading them.

06-09-2019, 06:41 PM	#31
dkgo Hall Of Famer Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 2,152	he doesn't even believe it is random anymore (despite his posts from a couple days ago), the new conspiracy is that the developers have inserted code into the game specifically to keep him from winning in the playoffs

06-09-2019, 07:09 PM	#37
KleineBiere Minors (Double A) Join Date: Dec 2018 Posts: 108	A team with a 60% chance of winning any one game should win 9 of 13 best of 5 series