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10-04-2023, 09:20 PM | #1221 |
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Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,758
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Week 23: September 20th-September 26th
Weekly Record: 5-1
Seasonal Record: 83-66 (2nd, 2 GB) Stars of the Week Duke Bybee : 2 Wins, 14.2 IP, 8 BB, 9 K, 1.84 ERA Pete Papenfus : 1 Win, 9.0 IP, 2 BB, 9 K, 0.00 ERA Luke Berry : 11 AB, 4 H, 1 HR, 5 RBI, .364 AVG, 1.227 OPS Schedule 9-20: Win vs Cannons (0-2) 9-21: Win vs Sailors (1-2) 9-22: Win vs Sailors (1-6) 9-23: Win at Saints (7-2) 9-25: Loss at Stars (4-5): 11 innings 9-26: Win at Stars (6-2) Recap Well now... Isn't this interesting! We won five of six, with the lone loss an extra inning one-run defeat at the hands of the Stars. As annoying as it is that our last five runs have all been of the one-run variety, we are right back in the pennant race, just two behind the Sailors with five games left for both teams. Sweeping them was huge, even more so considering that one of the wins was of the one run variety. They're on the road the rest of the way, with three in Toronto (78-70) before two in Cleveland (57-92). With their two game cushion, three wins may be all they need, and I wouldn't be comfortable with anything fewer then four wins for us. This isn't uncharted waters for us, as two years ago we made an epic late comeback after being annoyingly mediocre for a stretch, just to end up losing a game 155. I don't think I can take that again, and now after what the Blue Jays just did to me, I don't know how I can survive tomorrow. I now have to worry about how the Cougars are going to blow things for the a millionth time while being absolutely devastated to start with. John Schneider got to go... We pitched as well as we could, allowing just two runs or fewer in each of our five wins. Peter the Heater had arguably his best start of the year, twirling a 3-hit, 2-walk shutout over the Foresters with a season high 9 strikeouts. That gave Pap his 19th win of the season, and with two starts this week he has a legitimate chance for his third career 20-win season. His ERA is down to 2.93 (134 ERA+) with a 1.15 WHIP and 137 strikeouts. If Pap is able to reach the 20-win mark, he'll join Duke Bybee as the first pair of Cougar teammates since 1913 to win 20 games, where Isaac Meyer (21-7) and Tom Guaraneri (24-14) accomplished the feat. Bybee picked up his 19th and 20th win this week, beating the 1st and 3rd place teams in the Association. He didn't get out of the 8th in either, but allowed just 12 hits, 2 runs, and 8 walks with 9 strikeouts. His ERA is now down to 2.74 (143 ERA+) with a 1.12 WHIP and 102 strikeouts. He's got one start left, set to take on the Stars on Saturday before Pap finishes the season on Sunday. It wasn't quite a shutout, but Johnnie Jones is as streaky as ever, surviving 5 walks in a complete game victory, charged with 4 hits and a single earned run while striking out 2 in a huge win over the Sailors. It was his 28th and final start of the season, as with all the off days he won't be needed again in the regular season. Even if we make the playoffs, we're only using three starters, and it's going to be Donnie, Duke, and Pap. I'm glad the 30-year-old vet ended his year on a high note, and he finished 10-13 with a 3.45 ERA (114 ERA+) and 1.44 WHIP in 216.2 innings pitched. Again, he walked (120) more hitters then he struck out (94), and if he can ever fix that he'll have a huge year. if he can find the zone more consistently he'll be an excellent pitcher. If not, this might end up being a career high in starts, as George Oddo has blossomed and OSA and Dixie Marsh have fallen in love with Eddie Howard as a pitcher. Add in #2 pitching prospect Bob Allen and plenty of other talented pitching prospects and eventually moves need to be made. Brother Donnie started the only loss, but received a no decision in the 11-inning loss to the Stars. He went just 7.1 innings, leaving with 5 hits, 3 runs, 4 walks, and 6 strikeouts. New callup Harry MacRae was tagged with the loss, but a George Sutterfield error led to a bases loaded walk of Bill Barrett as the Stars literally walked-off as winners. It was one of two walks for MacRae, who got two outs and allowed a hit. His second outing was better, just one hit in a scoreless inning. George Oddo is finally over .500, winning his 10th game despite going just 7 innings in our 7-2 win over the Saints. He's won each of his last three starts despite walking more batters then he's struck out in each. This time it was 4 walks and 3 strikeouts with 5 hits and 2 runs, dropping his season ERA to 3.09 (127 ERA+). Ken Matson was busy and mostly effective, allowing 4 hits, a run, and 3 walks with 3 strikeouts while picking up a hold, save, and blown save. The pitching had to be perfect, and it was, and I'm hoping there are 45 elite innings left as we look to pull off the impossible. Unless you are Jeep Erickson (.358, 9, 30), It's hard to have a better debut week then Johnny Peters. The former 3rd Pick went 4-for-9 with a double, homer, 3 walks, and 4 runs. His entrance into the lineup didn't hurt Leo Mitchell, who was 5-for-8 with two walks, a run, and RBI, and just like that his season WRC+ is up to 97. Luke Berry also had no issues with Peters taking some time from him, going 4-for-11 with a double, homer, 3 runs, 3 walks, and 5 RBIs. It's his first homer as a Cougar, and he's hit an excellent .310/.408/.417 (121 OPS+) since coming over from the Miners. And the last guy affected by Peters, Ray Ford, had his second solid week in a row, going 4-for-11 as well with a homer, 2 walks, and 3 runs. Despite his error, George Sutterfield hit well, 3-for-8 with a double, walk, and RBI. Carlos Montes went 4-for-12 with a double, triples, 2 runs, and 3 RBIs. Walt Pack was just 1-for-9, but that one hit was a homer, and he added 2 RBIs, 2 runs, and 4 walks, posting solid OBPs (.400) and slugging (.500) without any singles. Otto Christian looked good in his return to Chicago, 1-for-4 with a walk and double. Sal Pestilli was just 4-for-22, but he hit his 29th and 30th home runs of the season, bringing him one away from Tom Taylor for the Cougar single season lead. I'd love for Sal to add two more this coming week, as not only does that make our slim chances of qualifying a bit larger, but it would be nice to see both our single season and career home run record broken in the same year. It's nice to see the offense really come through for the guys for once, and like with the staff, I'm hoping there's a little left in the chamber for some late season heroics. Going into the final week we have one new player, as the Kings finally waived Harry Carter, and he finally became a Cougar. The father of Cougar farmhand Hal Carter, the soon-to-be 38-year-old started 20 of his 26 appearances, going 4-8 with a 4.80 ERA (84 ERA+) and 1.55 WHIP, walking 68 while striking out 40. He may not pitch an inning for us this year, but he's a hard worker that should be a good influence on the guys in the offseason and during camp next year. Our pen is a little shaky, and a stabilizing veteran presence could be useful. He's been a starter most of his career, with 303 starts in 346 outing between the three New York teams. His 4.00 ERA (98 ERA+) is just slightly below average, as is his 3.98 FIP (101 FIP-), but he's a high floor arm who could pitch important innings out of the pen for us next year. Looking Ahead Much to my surprise, the games matter this week! Chances are both teams we face will be eliminated from postseason contention, starting with the eliminated 70-79 Brooklyn Kings. They sucked in August, going just 8-20, but they've now won five straight, including a pair of shutouts from Bob Arman. Arman improved to 17-11 with an elite 2.34 ERA (173 ERA+) and 14.3 K%. His 163 strikeouts lead the association, but control can be a problem for "Cyclone", who has allowed 121 free passes. Along with strikeouts, Arman leads the CA in WAR (7.8), innings (265.1), shutouts (6), and K/9 (5.5). Lucky for us, he pitched yesterday, which means no Arman! Instead, I expect the struggling Leo Hayden (10-14, 4.66, 97) and rookies Joe Potts (2-1, 4.15, 6) and Paul Byler (2-1, 2.52, 18). Our lineup should feast on these three, but it's going to be tough to keep the lineup in check. There's no way to stop Ralph Johnson (.298, 27, 95, 5), but if we can keep the rest of the lineup in check, we have a chance for the sweep. Anything less and we may be out before the Stars series kicks off, but my confidence here is pretty high as a young Kings team playing for nothing may not be up to the challenge. When the season started, I had this two game set with New York circled for potential playoff implications. Instead, it may just be battle for second and lottery balls. The Stars are nearly eliminated, as to force a tie they need to win all four of their games and the Sailors to lose all five, while we win no more then two. Both situations would force a tie, and even though it would be interesting, the last thing I want is a three way tie for first. The Stars have three off days this week, including the two games before our series, so I have zero clue who's going to pitch against us. The biggest story is Bill Barrett (.305, 43, 130, 7), who is chasing a Tom Taylor record of his own. That would be the CA single season home run record, set by a rookie Taylor in 1928. Barrett is just one away from tying it, but has been since September 10th. That's his only homer since September 6th, and his .235/.388/.426 (114 OPS+) September batting line is not what you would expect from "William the Conqueror". Cougars Park is the ideal location to hit a homer if you're a Continental Association slugger, so I have a feeling he'll tie or set the record in the Windy City. I'll allow that, if we can pick up the sweep, but the Stars play us well, and are quite skilled at keeping us out of the postseason. Maybe they can take this year off! Cougars in the GWL RHP Luis Sandoval (Houston Bulls): First place in the GWL has been long wrapped up, as the Oakland Grays (94-58) were the clear class of the league, holding an eleven game lead over the only two teams left competing for the final playoff spot. If it wasn't for Luis Sandoval, the Bulls wouldn't be close. Sandoval picked up another huge shutout, allowing just 3 hits with no walks and 4 strikeouts to improve to 12-14. With just two games left, Sandoval will be on the found for first game, with co-ace Tommy Shafer (9-4, 1.73, 81) in line for the finale. Sandoval has been with the Bulls all season long, working to an excellent 2.74 ERA (116 ERA+) and 1.26 WHIP with 114 strikeouts and just 49 walks. He's a tenth of a win from 5 WAR, with his next last being his 33rd of the season. A talented veteran, Sandoval was the first in what's been a year long talent shuffle for the Bulls, as after a 6th and 7th place finish, the Houston ballclub has made major investments in bringing in talent. Along with their top two pitchers, in the past year they've brought in Jim Bob Jones (6-5, 2.62, 86), Art Cascone (.277, 8, 60), and Spencer Snail (2-2, 2, 2.67, 18), all of who have made significant impacts on the big league roster. They're now so close to a playoff birth, fighting with the San Francisco Hawks for the right to lose -- I mean play -- against the Oakland Grays in the Bigsby Cup. 1B Jim Hatfield (Los Angeles Knights): Another Player of the Week for the former Cougar 6th Rounder, as Jim Hatfield went 12-for-20 with a double, triple, homer, walk, 2 steals, and 3 RBIs. The even .600 average upped his season line to .335/.371/.423 (132 OPS+) and he's been worth exactly 5 WAR through 544 plate appearances. "The Bandit" will get a few shots at Luis Sandoval to open the week, and him and his Knights could spoil the Bulls' season. Hatfield has been arguably the best leadoff hitter in the GWL, accumulating 20 doubles, 5 triples, 5 homers, 16 steals, 52 RBIs, and 70 runs scored. Despite his stellar performance, it will be interesting to see if the Knights bring him back at 37. Ben Brazel (.295, 1, 31, 3) is on hand has a more then capable replacement, and Hatfield's $15,000 projected contract for 1949 would be the highest on the team. He could be a trade or release candidate, but if I'm in LA I let it ride. He's both well liked and hard working, and he shows no signs of slowing down. He's been one of the more successful independent leaguers since debuting for San Antonio in the Lose Star Association back in 1937.
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10-05-2023, 08:37 PM | #1222 |
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Join Date: Mar 2018
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Week 24: September 27th-October 3rd
Weekly Record: 2-3
Seasonal Record: 85-68 (2nd, 2 GB) Stars of the Week Skipper Schneider : 17 AB, 7 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI, .412 AVG, 1.009 OPS Sal Pestilli : 20 AB, 4 H, 3 HR, 6 RBI, .200 AVG, .900 OPS Leo Mitchell : 19 AB, 6 H, 0 HR, 3 RBI, .316 AVG, .771 OPS Schedule 9-28: Loss vs Kings (11-1) 9-29: Win vs Kings (2-9) 9-30: Loss vs Kings (3-2) 10-2: Win vs Stars (3-4) 10-3: Loss vs Stars (3-1) Recap Well, I was right. To have a chance, I said we'd have to go at least 4-1, and obviously we failed to do so. That would have been enough, the Sailors went 2-3, so if we went 4-1, we would've forced a game 155. I won't dwell on it too much, but my rotation order didn't work, Pap got absolutely annihilated by the Kings, and six of our last eight losses came by just a single run. Classic Cougars! Tom Taylor's Continental Association home run record stood another year, but "The Canadian Club" is no longer the Cougars single season home run leader. Sal Pestilli clubbed more homers then we won games, finishing his 1948 with 33 homers, appearing in all but one of our games this season. It was an excellent bounce back for the 7-Time All-Star, who led the CA with 19 triples and his 73 extra base hits matched the Kings' Ralph Johnson (.302, 30, 104, 5). It wasn't quite prime Pestilli, but the soon-to-be 33-year-old hit .254/.324/.522 (123 OPS+) with more walks (64) then strikeouts (36). He swiped a personal best 27 bases, and was caught just 7 times. He posted a 131 WRC+ and accumulated a 16.5 zone rating (1.029 EFF) while worth 6.5 wins above replacement. I'm excited to see how he follows it up. He did cool down a bit in the final month, but Pestilli has positioned himself as the star of the team, and we'll look to him to lead us next season as we once again look to snap our franchise long title drought. George Oddo was supposed to pitch this week, but for some reason his start went to Johnnie Jones. Granted, Jones was great (8 IP, 6 H, 2 R, ER, BB, 3 K), but I wanted to give Oddo a 28th start. Instead, he'll finish 10-9 with a 3.09 ERA (127 ERA+) and 1.17 WHIP in 200.2 innings. He walked 64 and struck out 116, finishing second in the CA in both K/BB (1.8) and K/9 (5.2). Neither of the two leaders placed top five in the other category, and Oddo even ranks 5th in WHIP, just thousandths of a point below Peter the Heater. 26 in November, it was a great return to the rotation for the former 8th Rounder, and his grasp on a rotation spot is extremely secure. We do have some excellent prospects, but only Ron Berry may be ready next season and it's not going to be by Opening Day. Berry will be protected in the offseason and in camp next Spring, but he won't get a crack at the rotation until pitching some in AAA. There's always the risk of injury, but as long as Oddo can stay healthy and effective he's going to be in our rotation for a very long time. Looking Ahead To the offseason we go! There are a few holes to fill, but the most important one and easiest to fill would be left field. Leo Mitchell (.288, 4, 45) came close to a 100 WRC+ (98), but that's not good enough if you can't provide any defensive value. There's always a lot of corner bats available and a few I have my eyes on, but there still may not be many sellers on the market. Other areas of need include second and catcher, but there aren't many guys better then Harry Mead. Ideally Eddie Howard hits better, eventually erasing that need completely, and the Clark Car/Billy Hunter platoon is pretty solid. A lot of the better players are on teams that want to compete, so it could be tough to fill. I'm going to try my best to improve the team enough to get over the hump, and with a top five farm system, we have the ammo to make a major addition. The next few days I'll still have some posts, with the No Trade Team and a wrap up on our Minor League teams incoming. I might get started on the look back at the 1928 draft as well, but I also want to take a deeper look at our history with one-run losses. Since 1942, we've underperformed our expected record by an average five wins a season, with the -4 this year actually the second best showing. It's almost laughable how consistently we fail to win one-run games and I'm almost begging for next year to be the year it finally comes to an end. Minor League Report 1B Billy Biggar (AA Mobile Commodores): As expected, Dixie League Champion Billy Biggar took home the final Player of the Month, slashing .456/.511/.608 (186 OPS+) with 6 doubles, 2 homers, and 16 RBIs. The 24-year-old posted an elite .396/.449/.546 (154 OPS+) in 138 games, hitting 52 doubles, 10 triples, 5 homers, and 109 RBIs while accumulating a 6.1 WAR with a 163 WRC+. Currently not ranked as one of our top 40 prospects, Biggar has positioned himself for an opportunity elsewhere, as he'll be available in the Rule-5 Draft again. I don't envision anyone taking him, which is good because I like him as first base depth. He's not a flashy prospect, but he can hit a ton and should continue to walk (54) more then he strikes out (32). The lack of power keeps his overall value down, but Red Bond is old and Biggar could step in if he sticks around. There's competition with Bob Schmelz already on the 40, but he hits from the right side of the plate and Biggar could platoon with him if Schmelz can't quite hit like he did in AAA. As a former 10th Rounder, Biggar has already exceeded expectations just by lasting this long. A callup is in reach, but the deck is still stacked against him and he'll need to work hard to make his childhood dream come true. RF Harry Austin (Lincoln Legislators): Another Cougar took home a Player of the Month in September, as 22-year-old Harry Austin earned the accolade in the Heartland League. Austin hit an impressive .405/.470/.689 (207 OPS+) with 5 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers, 9 walks, and 16 RBIs. Those four homers accounted for more then a third of his 11 homers, and the New Athens native hit an impressive .319/.383/.452 (122 OPS+) in his first 138 games up in A ball. A former regional pick, it was Austin's first season where he appeared in more then 80 games, and his 133 WRC+ was a personal high. A former regional pick, Austin returned to the top prospects list, and will rank around our top 30 in the offseason rankings. As a corner player, Austin's value is linked to his bat, and Dixie Marsh believes he'll become "an elite hitter," despite not having much else to say about him. He puts the ball in play consistently and almost never whiffs, and he should be able to hit towards the top of a lineup. Unfortunately, he's not the greatest worker, and he may not be able to live up to that lofty potential. Like Biggar, he's Rule-5 eligible this offseason, but I don't expect either to leave the organization, and they may get a promotion before the year begins. Cougars in the GWL Luis Sandoval (Houston Bulls): The shutout machine did it again! If it wasn't for his 4-hit shutout of the Knights, the Bulls wouldn't be facing the Grays in the Bigsby Cup. Sandoval struck out 6 in the win, finishing his season 13-14 with a 2.65 ERA (120 ERA+), 1.23 WHIP, 50 walks, and 120 strikeouts in 33 starts. Sandoval then got the call in game two of the Cup, and he could have given the Bulls a 2-0 lead heading back to Houston. Instead, he was hit hard early and often, allowing 8 hits and 6 runs in just an inning and two thirds. At least in this game their was a reason to pull the effective starter early, but Sandoval will be hoping for a chance for revenge when his number comes up again. Cy Sullivan (Oakland Grays): The pitcher who beat Sandoval? That would be Cy Sullivan! The rubbered arm vet was outstanding, allowing just 2 hits and striking out 4 in the 8-0 victory. It was another excellent outing for the former Cougar, who finished the regular season 16-8 with a 2.98 ERA (110 ERA+) for the best team in the GWL. Sullivan had a stellar 1.16 WHIP and allowed just 5 homers in 232.1 innings. He doesn't walk (50, 5.2%) or strikeout (57, 6.0%) many hitters, but he does a great job generating week contact and he lives on the edges of the zone to compensate for the lack of wipeout stuff. In what has been an even series so far, he could help the Grays repeat just like their former affiliate, the St. Louis Pioneers, are trying to do now.
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10-06-2023, 09:27 PM | #1223 |
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1948 No Trade Team
As expected, the Pioneers staff was tough to beat, and they will now head home up 2-0 in what could be a very quick series. Chicagoan Larry Gregory (.326, 23, 99) was crucial in the opener, as a three-run homer proved to be the difference. No-Trade star Danny Hern (14-8, 3.75, 86) is on the mound for game three, and I'd be shocked if he doesn't come home with the victory. The Sailors will counter with Charlie Gordon (13-8, 3.93, 94), and he'll hope former Cougar Ed Reyes (.341, 7, 72) can snap his o'fer as the Sailors look to turn things around on the road.
Catchers Eddie Howard (CHC): 53 WRC+, HR, 10 RBI, -0.0 WAR Harry Mead (CHC): 103 WRC+, 9 HR, 50 RBI, SB, 2.1 WAR Infielders Billy Hunter (CHC): 92 WRC+, 4 HR, 19 RBI, 2 SB, 0.6 WAR Tommy Wilson (CHI): 95 WRC+, 5 HR, 65 RBI, 9 SB, 1.1 WAR Hal Wood (TOR): 127 WRC+, 5 HR, 72 RBI, SB, 3.9 WAR Skipper Schneider (CHC): 105 WRC+, 6 HR, 64 RBI, 5.1 WAR Hank Stratton (CHI): 83 WRC+, 5 HR, 34 RBI, 0.8 WAR Ed Reyes (PHS): 132 WRC+, 7 HR, 72 RBI, 2.7 WAR George Sutterfield (CHC): 77 WRC+, HR, 9 RBI, -0.1 WAR Outfielders Leo Mitchell (CHC): 98 WRC+, 4 HR, 45 RBI, 3 SB, 0.7 WAR Bunny Hufford (NYG): 113 WRC+, 8 HR, 71 RBI, 5 SB, 0.8 WAR Chubby Hall (NYS): 94 WRC+, 5 HR, 22 RBI, 0.2 WAR Chink Stickels (TOR): 117 WRC+, 16 HR, 88 RBI, 20 SB, 5.1 WAR Carlos Montes (CHC): 96 WRC+, 5 HR, 24 RBI, 5 SB, 0.7 WAR Don Lee (CHC): 67 WRC+, 4 RBI, 0.2 WAR Pitchers Duke Bybee (CHC): 21-8, 143 ERA+, 108 K, 4.4 WAR Frank Gordon (DET): 6-13, 87 ERA+, 47 K, 0.1 WAR Charlie Kelsey (CHC): 1-0, 79 ERA+, 8 K, -0.9 WAR Leo Hayden (BRK): 10-14, 87 ERA+, 97 K, 1.7 WAR Danny Hern (STL): 14-8, 108 ERA+, 86 K, 6.1 WAR Sam Hodge (NYG): 1-4, 2 SV, 87 ERA+, 8 K, -0.3 WAR George Oddo (CHC): 10-9, 127 ERA+, 116 K, 3.5 WAR Pete Papenfus (CHC): 19-12, 126 ERA+, 148 K, 3.9 WAR Harry Parker (CHC): 1-3, 2 SV, 62 ERA+, 8 K, -0.8 WAR Totals Hitters: 23.9 Pitchers: 17.7 Total: 41.6 Approximate Wins: 77 Notable Prospects/Picks Traded None This Cougars pitching staff is still pretty solid, but the lineup is on the weaker side. Sal Pestilli played a huge part in our almost success and we don't really have anyone on this team that can replace him. Stickels had a solid season, but the rest of the big performers were Cougars. A lot of teams currently run more homegrown lineups, and since we haven't made many big trades recently, most of our best prospects are still in the system. I almost wish we had this team this year, aside from the fact that we wouldn't have three lottery ball, as this team has obvious areas to upgrade. I'm not sure what I'm going to do to make this current group better, but I have a few ideas. Should be a fun offseason!
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10-07-2023, 10:34 PM | #1224 |
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Minor League Report
AAA Milwaukee Blues (Century League): 76-64, t-2nd, 3 GB: Despite not taking major players out of the Blues lineup in September, they completely fell apart, going 5-13 in the final month, completely crumbling away what should have been an easy pennant. They still had Bob Schmelz (.324, 13, 75) and Johnny Peters (.320, 13, 63, 7) in the lineup and Zane Kelley (13-8, 4.15, 61) and Frank Sartori (9-5, 4.46, 83) made regular starts all the way through. Perhaps Ducky Cole (.345, 8, 70) was the glue that kept the Blues together, but Peters and Schmelz were excellent and Jimmy Hairston (.268, 16, 72) posted a 112 WRC+ in his first AAA season. Those three and Kelley all ranked in the league's top 200 for prospects. The rotation wasn't as good as it has been in year's past, but offense was up a lot in the Century League. Despite plenty of pitchers having an ERA above 4, we allowed the third fewest runs (636). What helped the Blues win games was Harry MacRae (8-4, 23, 2.10, 48), so it's no surprise that when he struggled down the stretch the team did too. He allowed 20 hits and 8 runs in 14.1 September innings, walking and striking out eight. He won't be back next year, so the Blues may need someone like Bill Ballantine (5-5, 4.31, 39), Roscoe Brown (8-10, 4.69, 72), or Jimmy Ballard (7-10, 5.55, 47) could transition from the rotation to pen. I thought they were set to win their fifth title in six years, as they slumped to just 70-70 and 5th place last year.
AA Mobile Commodores (Dixie League): 82-58, 1st, 1 GA: The only affiliate of ours to come home with a ring, the Commodores built a huge lead early (60-32 trough July) so when they finished the year with sub .500 play (22-26) it didn't cost them a title. Mobile's offense was the highest scoring in the Dixie League, as Billy Biggar probably would've been named league MVP if there was one. He was worth 6.1 wins above replacement with 52 doubles, 10 triples, 5 homers, and 109 RBIs. He walked (54) more then he struck out (32) and produced a 163 WRC+ in 138 games. Just as effective was Clyde Parker, who hit .423/.493/.592 (177 OPS+) after being called up on August 16th. He was worth an even 2 WAR in just 33 games, doubling 16 times with 15 walks and 3 triples. They had plenty of support, as the Commodores got big seasons from Franklin Thomas (.313, 11, 76, 21), Rupert Abbott (.294, 7, 70, 13), Tom Brownleaf (.320, 4, 88, 7), and Mike Bordes (.310, 12, 77), while midseason additions Elmer Grace (.320, 2, 42) and Rupert Heinbaugh (.352, 1, 16) were excellent at the bottom of the lineup. Grace is one of our more interesting prospects, as the current 4th Rounder is ranked 52nd on the prospect list and Dixie Gaines has thought he's been big league ready since draft day. There's no spot on the big league roster for him now, but perhaps he could move over to second to replace Billy Hunter or Clark Car. He's excellent at short (7.4, 1.082) so it should be an easy transition for the 21-year-old to make. The pitching staff was solid, but the difference maker came on July 7th, when Ron Berry earned a promotion to AA. He went 7-4 for the Commodores with a 2.94 ERA (148 ERA+) and 1.20 WHIP. He would have led the team in ERA and WHIP if qualified, and he struck out 51 in 104 innings. Jim N Smith (9-3, 3.54, 48) impressed after a promotion of his own, while Fred Terry (13-6, 4.14, 60), Bob Petty (9-12, 4.00, 64) and Harry Beardsley (10-12, 3.75, 96) were effective all season. We have a lot of options to pitch in Milwaukee's rotation, so a lot of these guys may return for the pennant defense. It was the first title since the 1943 season, which finished their first ever threepeat. Going back-to-back will be tough, but there should be a lot of intriguing prospects on this roster. A Lincoln Legislators (Heartland League): 73-67, 2nd, 3 GB: Like the Blues, the Legislators failed to repeat, as they could never overcome their 12-18 May. Lincoln had a fair amount of roster churn, so their stopper Tom Irwin (7-7, 24, 3.54, 100) was the team's ERA leader and none of the final six starters had enough innings to qualify. Jim Williams (4-2, 1.85, 12) was dominant in a six start sample and Ben Clough (5-1, 3.25, 33) impressed in eight. Swingman Barney Gunnels (11-9, 5, 3.90, 82) led the team in innings, but the WAR leader was Commodores' ace Ron Berry (7-3, 2.11, 59), who was unhittable in his 12 starts. In total, ten pitchers made starts in Lincoln, with some of the better ones being Billy Stoddard (6-5, 3.63, 50) ,who is now in the Kings organization, swingman Howard Miller Jr. (4-6, 1, 3.38, 68), and former 1st Rounder Tommy Seymour (8-2, 3.39, 41). The lineup was rather thin, but top 100 prospect Clyde Parker (.338, 4, 54) posted a 161 WRC+ in 105 games before his late season tear in the Dixie League. When he left Harry Austin (.319, 11, 75) stepped in with the Player of the Month, but there wasn't enough thump in the rest of the lineup. Garland Phelps (.309, 2, 44) and Bob Stout (.265, 1, 25, 3) were okay, but the recently turned 20-year-old Henry Norman (.299, 18) seemed overmatched. All three are likely to return next year, and I'm hoping one, if not all of them, will take a step forward. B San Jose Cougars (California-Oregon-Washington League): 81-59, t-2nd, 10 GB: It was an excellent bounce back season for the Baby Cougars, who went just 55-65 last season. This year they won 81 games, and the only reason they weren't in pennant contention was because the Salem Warriors (91-49) were so dominant. The Cougars started the season with a trio of highly ranked outfield prospects, but Henry Norman (.345, 1, 25) left Frank Reece (.286, 8, 51, 21) and Jerry Smith (.298, 3, 61, 14) midseason. Even without him, Phil Boyes (.259, 2, 22) and Harley Dollar (.220, 14, 5) are two talented replacements, even if Dollar never quite got going this year. For the second half of the season, the A.C./D.C. middle infield impressed, with Archie (.276, 1, 21, 14) and Dick (.304, 4, 39, 6) useful producers after being drafted. The best hitter of the team was Bill Martin (.323, 10, 71), and he was a leader on and off the field. He was a big reason the team allowed the fewest runs in the league, led by former first rounder Bob Allen (10-11, 4.38, 78), who while still solid for a 20-year-old, wasn't as great as he was last season. 43rd ranked prospect Dixie Gaines (6-4, 3.00, 55) was excellent post draft and Max Tanner (4-1, 3.33, 23) and Lonnie Sis (5-0, 2.19, 28) made the most of limited starts. The strength of the Cougars pitching was their bullpen, as Ben Clough (7-1, 15, 1.47, 55) was an amazing stopper and replacement Doc Buckingham (3-2, 4, 1.49, 25) was just as impressive. Russ Cushing (2-1, .9, 1.76, 65) completed the three headed monster. He's looked far better as a reliever then when he was a starter, and he could now stick around in the system as an inning eater. San Jose should be right in the running again next year, and with an excellent pen in a league where pitchers don't go very deep, it could make the difference. C La Crosse Lions (Upper Mississippi Valley Association): 37-25, 2nd, 3 GB: The Lions were excellent in July (16-9) and August (17-11), but they lost five of their last nine games and lost their hold on the UMVA pennant. It would have been their first pennant since our last pennant, 1941, but like us they'll go another year without one. Plenty of players cycled through La Crosse, which could have been part of what kept them from the pennant. The team leader in innings was former 4th Rounder Mike Emerson (4-4, 4.48, 63), who at 80.2 innings was the only pitcher to surpass 65. In total, 12 pitchers made at least two starts, with some of the highlights being 13th Rounder Curt Smith (3-0, 2.73, 26) and stopper Nick Tomlinson (2-2, 4, 3.86, 28). Lonnie Sis (2-1, 3.89, 59) struck out an impressive 59 hitters in 41.2 innings before his promotion, and his 3.45 FIP (68 FIP-) was best among starters. Like the rotation, the lineup saw a lot of movement, with 14 hitters appearing in 40 or more games. Catcher Alex O'Dailey (.423, 1, 21) and shortstop Roy Gass (.402, 2, 12, 2) batted over .400 while 5th Rounder Doc Zimmerman (.399, 16, 7) came close. Other 1948 draftees like Bob Allie (.332, 3, 21, 9) and Clyde Skinner (.301, 3, 15) excelled with Zimmerman in the outfield, and Chicago native Charlie Harvey (.375, 2, 22) produced an impressive 141 WRC+. The infield had plenty of production as well, but unfortunately our highest drafted player Amos Peterson (.196, 3, 10) looked overmatched. Cecil Burr (.309, 2, 14, 8) found much more success in his debut year while holdovers from last year John Price (.321, 2, 24), Chief Ward (.377, 1, 10), Hank Smithers (.337, 1, 9), Dudley Sapp (.433, 1, 15), and Ike Cartwright (.333, 2, 22, 6) did well in limited time. While Sapp is one of our more exciting prospects, the others are more middling prospects, so their efforts did well to keep them in our future plans. We have a lot of depth in the lower minors, and I expect La Crosse to be in contention again next year.
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Check out my Dynasty Report on the Chicago Cougars of the FABL!: https://forums.ootpdevelopments.com/...12#post4571312 Last edited by ayaghmour2; 01-19-2024 at 04:44 PM. |
10-09-2023, 02:57 AM | #1225 |
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A Look Back at the 1928 Draft: Part 1
We're back with more draft retroactive! Hopefully I can remember these in future years so I won't have to double up, but it's nice to have something to write about as I anxiously wait for next season to come. The World Series continues tomorrow, but it may also end, as the Pioneers could be victorious with just two more wins. Just a few guys tonight, as I got started late, but these were all decently sized and there's not too many interesting late rounders as this was a weak and top-heavy class. Once the offseason starts, I'll publish our annual offseason top prospect list. I'm not quite sure how I'll handle both, but I expect to finish all the draft writeups before starting to analyze our top 40 prospects. Regardless, I'll post the order once we start the offseason, as I like posting the day it happens because that's what shows up in the player histories. What makes this year's special is we finally have receipts! For better or worse, my old posts weren't nearly as dense, so all 25 players fit on the same post. In the future, I may quote the old write ups directly for each guy, but these blurbs were rather short and didn't really have many predictions on future outcomes. It was more about how they did then who they were and who they could be, although a few are too funny not to include.
1st Round, 2nd Overall: RHP Mike Murphy School: Brooklyn State Bears 1932 (BRK): 7-2, 15 G, 92.1 IP, 2.53 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 29 BB, 51 K, 165 ERA+, 2.0 WAR 1934 (BRK): 21-7, 34 G, 269 IP, 2.84 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 76 BB, 114 K, 148 ERA+, 4.8 WAR 1935 (BRK): 20-10, 36 G, 281.2 IP, 4.54 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 66 BB, 100 K, 96 ERA+, 3.3 WAR 1936 (BRK): 17-8, SV, 37 G, 252.1 IP, 3.07 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 69 BB, 76 K, 148 ERA+, 4.0 WAR 1937 (BRK): 17-12, 34 G, 230 IP, 3.52 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 63 BB, 60 K, 115 ERA+, 3.1 WAR 1938 (BRK): 15-7, 28 G, 213 IP, 2.83 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 55 BB, 62 K, 140 ERA+, 4.0 WAR 1941 (DET): 10-9, 21 G, 174 IP, 3.41 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 37 BB, 40 K, 117 ERA+, 4.0 WAR 1942 (DET): 13-13, 29 G, 215 IP, 3.22 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 43 BB, 55 K, 111 ERA+, 3.6 WAR Career (BRK): 115-69, SV, 223 G, 1,655.2 IP, 3.52 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 446 BB, 609 K, 117 ERA+, 27.7 WAR Career (DET): 53-58, SV, 134 G, 930 IP, 3.73 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 220 BB, 229 K, 101 ERA+, 13.6 WAR Career (FABL): 177-133, 3 SV, 384 G, 2,747.1 IP, 3.62 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 707 BB, 863 K, 109 ERA+, 42.8 WAR Another rather week draft (excluding Bobby Barrell who was injured on draft day), in terms of total WAR (not pitcher WAR, that would be Chuck Cole), we again had the most valuable pitcher selected for the year. The funny thing is that Mike Murphy wasn't even the guy I wanted. In fact, the recap started with "A lefty from Brooklyn State, Mike Murphy was not the guy I wanted to draft,: so you can tell how enthused I was when my guy went first. And if Bobby Barrell didn't break his stupid kneecap, I never would have even considered going with Mike Murphy. But instead, we made the Brooklyn State native the second pick of the draft, as his college numbers (14-13, 5, 2.48, 274) were quite impressive, even for the old feeders. And despite never being a very highly rated prospect, Murphy was one of the more reliable starters of his generation, starting 355 games and winning 177 with a 3.62 ERA (109 ERA+) and 1.33 WHIP. It all started back in 1929, when Murphy started his professional career in Lincoln. It went great, as he was 3-1 with a 1.62 ERA (274 ERA+) and 1.06 WHIP in 8 starts. That earned him a promotion to Mobile, where he spent most of the next two years. In 1931 he started his season in Milwaukee, and after going 6-7 with a 3.94 ERA (114 ERA+) and 1.45 WHIP with 60 walks and 112 strikeouts, he earned a late season callup to Chicago. Murphy worked strictly out of the pen, throwing 8.1 innings across 4 appearances, allowing 13 hits, 9 runs, and 3 walks with 5 strikeouts. As you might expect with numbers that poor, the 2nd Pick was sent right back down to Milwaukee for 1932, as when you're looking to defend your pennant, you want someone more consistent. Consistent is what Murphy became, and through 19 starts he was as dominant as his college days. He went 6-3 with a stellar 2.83 ERA (160 ERA+) and 1.15 WHIP. His 3.34 FIP (73 FIP-) supported the overall work, and he struck out 87 hitters with just 25 walks in 92.1 innings pitched. I debated calling up Murphy back up (Tom Barrell got a shot first), but come July, it was time for a big move to help keep pace with the Stars. And since Murphy was a very exciting young pitcher, it's no surprise that Brooklyn demanded him in the four player package that brought the guy who was taken before him, old pal Tommy Wilcox, and longtime backstop Mike Taylor to Chicago. Just like with Tom Barrell, Murphy went straight into the Kings rotation, and he was just as good as he was in Milwaukee. He threw 92.1 more innings, going 9-2 in 11 starts with a 2.53 ERA (165 ERA+), 1.30 WHIP, 29 walks, and 51 strikeouts. That made the pain doubly awful, seeing Murphy and Barrell (8-3, 2.48, 59) completely outperform Wilcox (6-6, 6.70, 28) down the stretch, as we lost a pennant for the first of many times to the New York Stars. Luckily for us, the following season Wilcox (21-11, 2.58, 113) was as advertised, and the 26-year-old won his first of what I once assumed would be many Allen Awards, while Barrell (13-16, 3.86, 122) and Murphy took steep steps back. Murphy started 32 games, going 15-16 with a 4.13 ERA (87 ERA+) and 1.39 WHIP. There was reason for excitement, as he walked just 70 while striking out 127, and his 3.28 FIP (90 FIP-) and 4.3 WAR were both very impressive. It was clear the southpaw found his footing, and he was ready to be apart of a very good Kings rotation for years to come. The breakout came the following year, as the Florida native set career bests that would hold for wins (21) and WAR (4.8). He had an excellent 2.84 ERA (148 ERA+) and 1.28 WHIP with 76 walks and 114 strikeouts. He followed that up with another 20-win season, but his ERA rose to 4.54 (96 ERA+) and his WHIP to 1.40, despite a then career low 5.4 BB% in 281.2 innings. That was a career high, and potentially part of the reason for his struggles, along with the 28 homers and career high 0.9 HR/9. But when you win 20 games, you must have done plenty right, and the luck shifted to his favor the following season. The Kings were really good, with 1936 being the first of their three pennants, and Murphy was a big reason for their success. He led the CA with a 3.07 ERA (148 ERA+) and posted his third 4 WAR season in four years. He finished 17-8 with a 1.35 WHIP and 76 strikeouts, starting 33 of his 37 appearances. He was excellent again in the following season, and helped the Kings captured their first ever championship. The lefty went 17-12 with a 3.52 ERA (115 ERA+) and 1.32 WHIP, but fort he first time he walked (63) more hitters then he struck out (60). He was a big part of the pennant winning team in 1938, but started just 28 games, his fewest since his debut with the Kings in 1932. He was 15-7 with a strong 2.83 ERA (140 ERA+) and 1.17 WHIP, and returned to striking out (62) more guys then he walked (55). The 30-year-old continued to prove he belonged in the majors, and with him, Barrell (13-14, 4.33, 129), Art White (14-6, 3.00, 42), and Bob Cummings (13-7, 3.07, 98), the Kings looked to have the pitching to be good for a very long time. Unfortunately for Kings fans, the dynasty fizzled out, and come summer of 1939, they were relegated to a has-been. Murphy wasn't his reliable self, just 3-7 with a 4.86 ERA (88 ERA+) and 1.43 WHIP with near equal walks (18) and strikeouts (19). His 3.19 FIP (74 FIP-) declared that Murphy was pitching far better then the numbers showed, and the Detroit Dynamos decided to take a flyer on the veteran, sending two picks to Brooklyn to acquire his services. While still not great, he evened hi record to 8-8 in 17 starts (1 relief outing) in the Fed, with a slightly below average 4.19 ERA (99 ERA+). His 1.42 WHIP was near identical to his Kings WHIP, and he was back to walking (44) more hitters then he struck out (37). Murphy was never quite as good as he was in Brooklyn, but for the next three seasons he continued to be an above average starter. His first year in Detroit was similar to the partial season, as he was again .500 (15-15) with an average ERA (3.82, 100). What did change was he struck out 73 with just 53 walks, and his 1.28 WHIP was the lowest since his 21-win 1934 season. He only appeared in 21 games (20) in 1941, but he posted 4 WAR for the first time since 1938, going 10-9 with a 3.41 ERA (117 ERA+) and 1.26 WHIP with similar walk (47, 5.1) and strikeout (40, 5.5) numbers in 174 innings pitched. That was the first full season he didn't hit 200 innings, as he missed 3-4 weeks with a back strain, the first significant injury since he was at Brooklyn State. When 1942 came along, Murphy was healthy again, and just like most of his Dynamo career, he finished .500 (13-13). His 3.22 ERA (111 ERA+) and 1.25 WHIP were again solid, and he walked 43 with 55 strikeouts in 215 innings pitched. It was his ninth 200 inning season in ten years, and the last time he would surpass that inning total. His 1943 was interrupted by elbow tendinitis, which limited him to just 18 starts and 119.1 innings pitched. He went just 6-7 with a 3.92 ERA (90 ERA+), walking 33 while striking out just 20. Now 35, his stuff was just not sharp anymore, as even some of the replacement players from the war were able to cause him trouble. In the offseason it felt like his grasp on one of the Dynamos rotation spots was getting weak, so over a decade after leaving the Cougars organization, he returned in exchange for Sam Hess and Johnny Weaver, as we looked to fill the void created by Johnnie Jones' enlistment in the Army. Murphy started 22 of his 23 appearances for us during the 1944 season, going 9-6 with a 3.64 ERA (96 ERA+) and 1.30 WHIP. It was serviceable, but he walked (38) nearly twice as many hitters as he struck out (20), and his time in Chicago proved to be short. He did not return for the 1945 season, as we shipped him back to the Dynamos for a 10th Round Pick. That may seem inconsequential, but that pick turned into Cal Rice, who currently ranks 15th in our system and 142nd overall. 1945 ended up being the last season for Murphy, and for the first time since his cup-of-coffee back in 1931, he started (2) fewer games then he relieves (13). That's mainly because he didn't look very good, allowing 56 hits, 20 runs, and 10 walks with just 4 strikeouts in 34 innings. His 1-6 record was poor, and when the offseason rolled in and the war players returned, Murphy was given his release papers. The day after he called it a career, hanging up the cleats after 2,747.1 productive innings in FABL. He struck out 863 batters and accumulated 42.8 WAR, with more then half (27.7) coming in his eight years in Brooklyn. His 115 wins are 7th and his WAR is 8th despite being outside the top 10 in innings. In a draft class that was considered weak, and produced very little in terms of pitching, Murphy was a clear win, even if most of his production came at our expense. If I had a do over, obviously I would have taken Bobby, which would have meant both Tom and Fred likely stay in Chicago and never get sent to Brooklyn for Wilcox and Taylor. But a broken kneecap was scary for a player who relied on power and athleticism, and without injury ratings it was impossible to know if there was more of that to come. It's hard to complain about drafting a 3-Time All-Star, and Murphy was the posterchild for having a successful career without ever ranking as a top prospect. 2nd Round, 18th Overall: RHP Ike Quinn School: Somerville HS Generals Career (FABL): 0-1, 4 G, 11.1 IP, 7.15 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 4 BB, 5 K, 65 ERA+, -0.0 WAR Career (AAA): 19-16, 12 SV, 144 G, 345.1 IP, 5.42 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 239 BB, 192 K, 80 ERA+, -0.3 WAR Back in the day, I almost always took a pitcher in the 2nd Round. Ike Quinn was one of them, and while he looked to be a very good one, he fizzled out like most of the others. A pitcher who always had excellent stuff, the 6'4'' righty had a devastating fastball/slider combo, but injuries haunted him his entire career, and a torn rotator cuff eventually ended his career in 1939. An excellent high school pitcher who had a 1.76 ERA (252 ERA+) and 126 strikeouts as a senior, Quinn pitched just 10 games across the next three seasons, missing almost the entirety of the 1930 and 1931 seasons as he ruptured his UCL towards the end of the 1929 season and partially tore it after one start in 1931. He then fought six different ailments in 1932, but made 19 starts between La Crosse and San Jose. He was excellent in both, but spent most of his time in La Crosse, going 4-4 with a 3.18 ERA (133 ERA+) and almost matching 3.17 FIP (74 FIP-), walking 35 while striking out 95 in just 79.1 innings. He struck out 18 in 4 starts with San Jose, walking just one and sporting an excellent 0.92 WHIP and 2.49 ERA (166 ERA+) for the Cougars. The next two seasons were spent in our system, again with injuries coming up constantly, tallying seven day-to-day injuries in 1934 alone. Still, the stuff was impressive, and I used him and catcher Claude Ramsey to acquire longtime Cougar Ollie Page, making him the Eagles' medical staff's problem. Again he fought injuries, but he made 15 starts in AAA (5-4, 4.52, 37) before earning a late season promotion to Washington. He started two games and relieved two, but was tagged for 15 hits, 9 runs, and 4 walks with 5 strikeouts. He kept his roster spot, but was limited to just six games in the next two seasons due to injuries. He was in the pen for 1938, but was released after allowing 24 hits, 10 runs, and 8 walks in just 15 innings pitched. The oft-injured 27-year-old caught on with the Tulsa Roughnecks of the Western Baseball League, and made 8 starts to finish off the season. He did alright despite the 1-6 record, working to a 4.09 ERA (104 ERA+) and 1.24 WHIP with 25 walks and 40 strikeouts. He survived most of the offseason, but Tulsa cut him in March. He didn't last long in free agency, as he joined the Pueblo Mountaineers, another member of the WBL, a week later. Quinn made 4 starts, but was hit hard, allowing 29 hits, 17 runs, and 8 walks in 24.2 innings. His 4.17 FIP (84 FIP-) was far better then his 6.20 ERA (80 ERA+), and he managed to strike out 18. Unfortunately, he left his final start with discomfort, and when diagnosed with a torn rotator cuff, he decided to hang up the cleats. Eventually his arm ended up feeling better, and with the war decimating minor league rosters, he attempted a comeback in 1944. He joined the Kings organization, and after two appearances in AA Knoxville, he spent the next two years in the AAA Jersey City pen. In 1944 he functioned as the teams stopper, making 76 appearances and throwing 137.2 innings. He finished 11-8 with 10 saves, but his 5.30 ERA (81 ERA+) and 1.93 WHIP were far less impressive. He walked 115 hitters and allowed 11 homers, but still managed to strike out 87. Unfortunately the 1945 season was even worse, as his ERA and WHIP rose to 7.04 (58 ERA+) and 2.02. He spent most of his innings in middle relief, walking 71 and striking out 40 in 85.2 innings pitched. With the war now over, Quinn saw the writing on the wall, and the Georgia native once again retired. This time: for good. 3rd Round, 34th Overall: RHP Johnny Walker School: Berkely Bears Career (FABL): 6-7, 16 G, 105.1 IP, 5.04 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 47 BB, 60 K, 87 ERA+, 0.4 WAR Career (AAA): 46-27, 98 G, 678.1 IP, 3.68 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 268 BB, 380 K, 124 ERA+, 10.7 WAR Career (AA): 45-24, 78 G, 638.2 IP, 3.38 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 264 BB, 345 K, 123 ERA+, 8.0 WAR I was always a big fan of Johnny Walker, and I really thought he was going to be an excellent big league pitcher. What made Walker so exciting was not only his stuff, but how well he commanded it. He put up huge strikeout numbers in high school with very low walk totals, and that was something he kept up most of his career. Everything started out great, as he went 13-3 in 19 starts with the Lions. He had a sterling 2.14 ERA (151 ERA+) and 1.09 WHIP with 148 strikeouts in 159.2 innings pitched. He walked just 50 and then earned a promotion to San Jose. He didn't do great (2-4, 7.58, 19), but quickly improved in 1930 (4-0, 2.65, 34), and spent most of 1931 in Lincoln. Again, he impressed, going 11-6 with a 3.58 ERA (114 ERA+) and 3.43 FIP (84 FIP-). He walked just 53 and struck out 159, and his 1.12 WHIP in 150.2 innings was most impressive. His 3.0 K/BB matched his impressive mark set in C ball, and when he returned to Lincoln the next season, he was absurd. Walker had a miniscule 1.69 ERA (221 ERA+) and 0.94 WHIP with 194 strikeouts in 165.1 innings pitched. He set a personal best with a 4.6 K/BB, striking out nearly 30% (29.6) of the hitters he faced. He finished 9-4 with a 2.29 FIP (61 FIP-), and finally earned a much deserved promotion to AA. Walker seemed to hit a wall there, as the last 10 starts of his year were not impressive at all. He did go 5-4, but that came with a 5.19 ERA (86 ERA+) and 1.55 WHIP. The issue came in his walks and strikeouts, as he allowed 47 free passes with just 46 strikeouts in 85 innings. His 9.5 BB% and 11.9 K% were career worsts, but I was hoping it was just due to his highest workload (250.1 IP) of his career. After a good offseason, Walker returned to the Mobile rotation, and threw 20 strong starts before another midseason promotion. The 22-year-old went 11-9 with a 3.19 ERA (135 ERA+) and 1.31 WHIP. the walks were still high, as his 9.6 BB% was in line with last year, but his K% rose from 11.9 to 15.5, which was still lower then in the past. After the promotion, however, the whiffs returned, setting a new personal best 34.1 K% by setting down 102 in just 67.2 innings pitched. He was an even 3-3 with a respectable 3.86 ERA (117 ERA+) and 1.40 WHIP, but with added strikeouts came an abundance of free passes. He walked 49 hitters (16.4 BB%), and because of all the walks, he returned to AA for the 1933 season. That's where 25 of his 31 starts came, as he went 19-6 with a 3.28 ERA (128 ERA+) and 1.25 WHIP. Walker's strikeouts deserted him, just 97 in 217 innings, leading to a less desirable 10.6 BB/9. 1934 was the season he finally got a shot in our rotation, as after 24 starts he got his contract purchased. Despite just 77 strikeouts in 164.1 innings, the overall results were good, as Walker went 10-6 with a 3.56 ERA (129 ERA+) and 1.30 WHIP. He got four starts in our disappointing Wilcox-less season, going 1-2 with 30 hits, 16 runs, 15 walks, and 14 strikeouts in 29 innings pitched. Walker returned to Milwaukee for 1935, but had his most success at the level. He went 9-6 in 20 starts, working to a 3.75 ERA (141 ERA+) and 1.25 WHIP with 37 walks and 81 strikeouts. His 2.2 K/BB was the first above 2 since his 11 starts in AAA back in 1932, and he again earned a shot to claim a rotation spot. He started 8 of his 9 appearances, finishing 4-5 with a 4.53 ERA (96 ERA+), 1.58 WHIP, 28 walks, and 37 strikeouts. While better then last year, it wasn't enough to keep hold of the rotation spot, and he again found himself starting the season in Milwaukee. He did go 10-8 in 21 starts, but ended up with a 4.14 ERA (107 ERA+), 1.51 WHIP, 62 walks, and 47 strikeouts in 150 innings. This was the first sample he walked more then one batter then he struck out, and just the second time he didn't strikeout more hitters then he walked. He still got one last chance to pitch in the big leagues, but the former 3rd Rounder allowed 26 hits and 13 runs in 16.2 innings. He did strike out 9 with just 4 walks, and he was DFA'd early in the 1937 season. For some reason I released him instead of outrighting him, and he spent the next two seasons bouncing around the independent circuit. In 1938 he was excellent for the San Antonio Missions, going 10-5 with a 2.79 ERA (132 ERA+) and 1.44 WHIP in his 23 starts. He did walk (85) about as many batters as he struck out (87), and his 3.81 FIP (103 FIP-) was actually a bit below average. He was released after the Texas League finished despite finishing second in Pitcher of the Year voting. Two weeks later he retired, pitching 105.1 FABL innings across three seasons for us.
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10-09-2023, 10:32 PM | #1226 | |
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A Look Back at the 1928 Draft: Part 2
To almost nobodies surprise, the St. Louis Pioneers completed their dominant sweep of the Philadelphia Sailors, winning a tight game three 2-1 at home before a dominating 11-4 blowout victory. No MVP has been named yet, but you could give it to Hiram Steinberg, who won both his starts in complete game fashion, or one of Ray Bates or Homer Mills, who both went 3-for-5 in the finale and hit .412 on the postseason. The Pioneers now have a chance for the first threepeat since the Stars beat the Miners (1924), Eagles (1925), and Gothams (1926) in the 1920s. The offseason will officially begin tomorrow, but I've already been on the phone trying to upgrade the active roster. We'll have our work cut out for us, as there are plenty of teams with eyes on the pennant.
4th Round, 50th Overall: CF Buck Waldrop School: Hartford HS Blue Sox Career (FABL): .218/.283/.304, 108 G, 419 PA, 10 2B, 3B, 7 HR, 44 RBI, SB, 61 WRC+, 0.2 WAR Career (AAA): .305/.368/.485, 307 G, 1,240 PA, 49 2B, 16 3B, 40 HR, 189 RBI, 3 SB, 132 WRC+, 11.8 WAR Career (A): .317/.363/.493, 901 G, 3,524 PA, 159 2B, 45 3B, 124 HR, 711 RBI, 38 SB, 133 WRC+, 41.3 WAR After three pitchers, we pivoted to the position player side, selecting talented center fielder Buck Waldrop, who was an athletic high schooler with an excellent combination of power and defense. One thing Waldrop struggled with as a prospect is making contact, so he tended to have low batting averages and a lot of strike outs. Waldrop spent the entirety of his first two seasons in La Crosse, appearing in 219 games and accumulating 34 doubles, 4 triples, 16 homers, 97 RBIs, and 4.7 WAR. He returned to La Crosse for 17 games in 1931, but then spent the rest of his season in San Jose, where he hit .239/.306/.447 (108 OPS+) with 19 doubles, 24 homers, 66 RBIs, and an impressive 3.1 WAR. As you can tell by the low average, there were a lot of whiffs, and Waldrop was set down on strikes 148 times in 125 games. He continued to strike out a lot the next year in Lincoln, with 145 more punchouts in 119 games, but he still maintained a bit above average triple slash at .233/.283/.447 (106 OPS+). He hit 25 homers and drove in 55 runs. Those from the early days may remember that I was very fond of the 1932 draft class, so that offseason I shipped Waldrop to Brooklyn for their 4th, 5th, and 6th Round selections. Those picks turned into current catcher Harry Mead, Ernie Carson, an outfielder who was used in the Masters/Rankin blockbuster, and Bobby Mills, who spent part of five seasons in Chicago. It's safe to say that trade worked out well for us, as Mead has been our every day catcher since 1941, while Waldrop ended up retiring last season with just over 100 FABL games in his career, less then the 122 Mead played this season alone. But Brooklyn seemed to be a good stop for Waldrop, who split time in AA and AAA in 1933 before earning a promotion to the big league club. It didn't go great, as the 23-year-old hit just .216/.269/.299 (65 OPS+) in 145 trips to the plate, hitting just 2 homers in 38 games. What's surprising is he stopped striking out, being set down just six times while walking nine times. He was banished down to the minors, spending the next two seasons split between AA Knoxville and AAA Rochester. His numbers in 1934 weren't great, but he broke back out in 1935. Starting in Knoxville, he hit .328/.362/.516 (133 OPS+) with 6 doubles, 3 triples, 4 homers, and 24 RBIs. That earned him a promotion, which turned up his production, and the Pennsylvania native posted a 155 WRC+ with a .362/.433/.578 (151 OPS+) batting line. The power was back, as Waldrop launched 18 homers and drove in 80 with 42 walks and just 25 strikeouts. Now 25, he started the season back in Rochester, and went 14-for-34 with 2 doubles, a triple, a homer, and 10 RBIs. This got him a promotion back to the big leagues for the first time since 1933, but went just 0-for-11. He was going to lose his roster spot, but the Detroit Dynamos took interest, sending minor league lefty Bob Haynesworth to Brooklyn. Waldrop was installed the outfield 65 times, but he hit just .230/.304/.323 (64 OPS+) with 7 doubles, 5 homers, and 35 RBIs in 263 trips to the plate. He didn't last long in Detroit, and was cut in May. He didn't last long as a free agent, as the Amarillo Stars of the Western Baseball League signed him on a minor league deal. Waldrop became a fixture in the Stars lineup, starting most games out in center field. He got off to an impressive start, slashing .334/.387/.581 (165 OPS+) with 20 doubles, 28 homers, 12 steals, and 85 RBIs in 465 trips to the plate. He accumulated an outstanding 6.6 WAR in 112 games, leading the Stars to their first ever WBL title. Waldrop was also a big part of the repeat, slashing .346/.374/.510 (138 OPS+) in his first full WBL season, accumulating 29 doubles, 15 triples, 10 homers, 115 RBIs, and an elite 7.6 WAR. Waldrop then posted another 6.6 WAR season as the Stars threepeated, posting an absurd 113 runs and 143 RBIs with 27 doubles, 24 homers, and 9 steals. Waldrop hit a similar .336/.390/.519 (136 OPS+) in 634 PAs, matching his 138 games from before. There would be no fourpeat, as Waldrop's .333/.381/.453 (121 OPS+) season line was a Stars worst, and his 5.6 WAR was the first time he didn't reach 6. Granted, these are all still impressive numbers, and it came with 28 doubles, 8 triples, 7 homers, 6 steals, and 112 RBIs. Lucky for the Stars, Waldrop was at his best again in 1941, and the 30-year-old slashed an excellent .325/.371/.504 (136 OPS+) with 25 doubles, 11 triples, 17 homers, and 126 RBIs, and this time he was worth 6.8 wins above replacement. The quest for 5th came 7 games short, and Waldrop had his worst season since joining, hitting just .293/.339/.437 (115 OPS+) with 15 doubles, 6 triples, 13 homers, and 75 RBIs in 117 appearances. That winter, Waldrop left Amarillo to enlist in the Navy, and there was no spot left for him when he returned. There was a spot with his the team that selected him way back in 1928, and Waldrop appeared in 12 games for the Mobile Commodores. He didn't play much, but hit a strong .412/.500/.706 (243 OPS+) with 5 doubles and 3 RBIs. He was cut next spring, but signed with the Oakland Grays of the GWL. 77 of his 78 appearances came with AAA Waco, where he hit .293/.366/.477 (143 OPS+) with 12 doubles, 4 triples, 9 homers, and 39 RBIs. He then made an at bat in Oakland, and he did not reach base safely. He was cut in August, and as he remained unsigned in September, he decided to retire. It was a nice and long career for Waldrop, who was one of the best players Amarillo ever employed. He's all over their career leaderboard, ranked 3rd in average (.328), 6th in OBP (.374), 2nd in slugging (.499), 4th in OPS (.874), 2nd in WAR (38.4), 5th in runs (534), 4th in RBIs (1,013), 6th in doubles (144), 3rd in triples (43), 2nd in homers (99), and 3rd in RBIs (656). There's a chance he could have made a return to FABL, but by spending his aged 26 to 31 years there, it was clear he preferred the security and stardom the Western Baseball League provided for him. He was the lowest member of this class to make a FABL debut, as after the first four all made a big league debut, the rest spent their whole careers in the minors. 5th Round, 55th Overall: SS Larry Burns School: Brunswick Knights Career (B): .247/.309/.334, 334 G, 1,250 PA, 54 2B, 7 3B, 10 HR, 105 RBI, 36 SB, 70 WRC+, 3.2 WAR The first member of the class to fail to reach the big leagues, Larry Burns got off to a hot start to his pro career, slashing .321/.398/.407 (149 OPS+) in 188 PAs, totaling 9 doubles, a triple, a homer, 14 steals, and 22 RBIs. But what was most impressive was his glove, as he put up an 11 zone rating and 1.179 efficiency in 346 inning. He was similarly impressive in San Jose, as in a larger 854.1 inning sample he had an excellent 14.7 zone rating and 1.082 efficiency. The problem for Burns was he could never hit like he did with the Lions, as even with elite defense a .271/.331/.349 (73 OPS+) line leaves plenty to be desired. He did have 16 doubles, 4 triples, a homer, 15 steals, and 27 RBIs, although that was barely better then how he performed in La Crosse. Burns was back in San Jose for 1930, and hit a more respectable .277/.331/.349 (86 OPS+) in 105 games and 429 PAs. He even provided some power too, hitting 6 homers with 20 doubles, 47 runs, and 50 RBIs. Add in strong defense (5.6, 1.042) and it seemed like the 22-year-old was starting to turn the corner. He even got 14 games in A ball, but his .256/.319/.302 (73 OPS+) batting line was closer to his production the year before. He got another chance in Lincoln, but after hitting a pitiful .175/.214/.250 (38 OPS+) in 23 games he was sent back down to San Jose. The demotion seemed to affect him negatively, and the 5th Rounder hit just .203/.268/.266 (49 OPS+) with 83 strikeouts and just 28 walks. He stole just 4 bases in 94 games, tallying only 15 doubles, a triple, a homer, and 22 RBIs. This marked the end of his tenure as a regular stater, appearing in 66 games split between four levels (AA, A, B, C). Burns was released at the start of the offseason, and instead of looking for an opportunity elsewhere, he retired a day later. 6th Round, 82nd Overall: 1B Charlie Steele School: St. Pancras Lions Career (A): .263/.329/.370, 135 G, 465 PA, 29 2B, 3 3B, 3 HR, 54 RBI, 4 SB, 89 WRC+, 0.7 WAR Career (B): .281/.343/.445, 172 G, 627 PA, 35 2B, 11 3B, 11 HR, 76 RBI, 6 SB, 100 WRC+, 1.0 WAR After posting WRC+ of 192 and 184 in his sophomore and junior years, Charlie Steele looked like he was going to be an excellent big league hitter. Instead, he was almost never above average. Steele spent 1929 in San Jose, but hit an adjusted league average .286/.341/.456 with 33 doubles, 11 triples, 10 homers, and 67 RBIs. In 1930 he was given the chance to play first for Lincoln, and the then 22-year-old hit a similar .270/.338/.373 (97 OPS+). The issue is the power disappeared, as he had just 2 homers in 407 trips to the plate, providing just 25 doubles and 3 triples after impressive extra base numbers in San Jose. He did get one final promotion to Mobile, spending the last 36 games of 1930 there. The production completely plummeted after, as Steele's .257/.292/.331 (66 OPS+) was terrible. He made just 64 appearances over the next two seasons, and after being cut in May of 1933, he retired that Fall. 7th Round, 98th Overall: LHP Lynn Albright School: Cumberland Explorers Career (A): 15-12, 41 G, 272.2 IP, 3.60 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 141 BB, 211 K, 105 ERA+, 2.6 WAR Quote:
Despite what you would be led to believe, Pat Albright wasn't any good either, and he actually ended up retiring a season before Lynn. Neither made it to the majors and both reached AAA, so in the end it didn't really matter! Albright had awful college stats, going 6-14 with a 7.31 ERA (64 ERA+) and 1.77 WHIP. He did strike out 175 batters with just 111 walks, but his 4.32 ERA (94 ERA+) as a junior (20 G, 4 GS, 66.2 IP) was the closest he was to an above average pitcher at Cumberland. Despite being used primarily as a reliever, Albright started in the Lions rotation, and he was surprisingly brilliant. The Girard native went a near-perfect 11-1 with a 2.32 ERA (139 ERA+) and 0.98 WHIP. His 1.89 FIP (58 FIP-) is one of the lowest I've ever seen, and he struck out 105 in 108.2 innings with only 30 walks. How does a guy who sucks so bad against college players do this well against minor leaguers!?!?!?! Albright's last six starts came up in San Jose, where he did come back down to earth a bit. He went 2-3 with a still far better then expected 3.78 ERA (125 ERA+) and 1.30 WHIP, but he walked and struck out 18 batters a piece. That stark decline in K/BB (3.5 to 1.0) was quite concerning, so it's no surprise he was just average in San Jose the following year. He appeared in 13 games (9 starts), going 4-4 with a save and 4.94 ERA (102 ERA+) and near equal 4.94 FIP (97 FIP-). His 1.71 WHIP was way higher then you'd like to see, but he at least struck out (69) more hitters then he walked (38). He made one start (7.1 IP, 7 H, ER, 4 BB, 3 K) for Lincoln, where 16 of his 20 1931 starts came. It was the first season Albright looked like the pitcher he was in college, finishing 4-9 with an inflated 5.82 ERA (64 ERA+) and 1.70 WHIP. He did strike out 91 in 116 innings, but his 71 walks and 13.4 BB% were career highs. As a 25-year-old, Lynn was given one last chance in A ball, and he put together his best season. He started 20 games, going 10-3 with a miniscule 1.87 ERA (208 ERA+). He walked 64 and struck out 116, posting a 1.35 WHIP in 144.1 innings pitched. His last five starts came in Mobile, but the more experienced batters hit him hard, as he went 0-3 with an awful 9.66 ERA (45 ERA+) and 2.37 WHIP, walking 22 hitters while striking out just 12. That spelled the end of his time as a starter, as he spent each of the next three years in our system as a reliever. The overall numbers weren't great, and after the 1935 season ended, Albright was eventually let go. Two days later he retired, but Albright did reach AAA, and his 1.87 ERA in 1932 with the Legislators was the fourth lowest in a season for our A ball affiliate. 8th Round, 114th Overall: C Joe McPherson School: Cambridge HS Colonials Career (A): .238/.287/.363, 216 G, 703 PA, 23 2B, 20 3B, 6 HR, 92 RBI, SB, 63 WRC+, 0.3 WAR Career (B): .251/.308/.355, 222 G, 755 PA, 29 2B, 12 3B, 6 HR, 80 RBI, 79 WRC+, 1.4 WAR Naturally a center fielder, Joe McPherson spent a lot of time behind the plate, bouncing around a lot in our system. He never played 100 games at any level in a single season, spending a lot of time on benches while sharing starts with many different backstops. His first season was about as bad as it gets, as Joe McPherson hit just .151/.199/.197 (23 OPS+) in 167 PAs, and was worth a full win below average. He struck out 41 times and walked just 7 times, so it's no surprise he spent the next year in La Crosse. He appeared in 46 games and started just 28 of them, but hit a much better .296/.374/.452 (110 OPS+) with 6 doubles, 3 triples, 2 homers, and 22 RBIs. Now 20, McPherson split the difference on the two seasons, hitting just .199/.265/.305 (65 OPS+) in 40 games. As bad as that was, I still decided to promote him to San Jose, and he played a lot there the rest of the way. He made 71 appearances and accumulated 240 PAs, and hit a respectable .244/.308/.387 (93 OPS+) with 10 doubles, 3 triples, 5 homers, and 24 RBIs. He spent all of next season in San Jose, making 99 appearances and hitting .244/.301/.319 (76 OPS+), adding 10 doubles, 4 triples, a homer, and 31 RBIs in his largest stint at a single level. He came close to the 307 PAs he made that year, but that proved to be the most he'd tally in a year. He still got relatively regular time until 1938, and he had decent stints with Lincoln in '35 (38 G, 74 PAs, 98 WRC+) and '36 (39 G, 120 PA, 107 WRC+), but the rest of the time his offense was uninspiring. He spent all of 1939 in La Crosse, a level he hadn't appeared in since 1931, but didn't get into a single game. Still, he was on the title winning roster that year, and eventually hung up the cleats after the celebration wore off. 8th Round, 122nd Overall: SS Joe Taylor School: Detroit City College Knights Career (C): .253/.337/.412, 122 G, 414 PA, 21 2B, 6 3B, 8 HR, 67 RBI, 4 SB, 121 WRC+, 3.8 WAR So here's a weird one: I never did a write up for Joe Taylor, but he joined the organization due to a June 1928 trade where we sent eventual 1928 ERA leader Buzz Ham to the Kings for Milt Nelson and their 8th Round selection. Taylor got off to a great start to his minor league career, and the shortstop hit an impressive .252/.343/.436 (141 OPS+) with 15 doubles, 5 triples, 8 homers, and 54 RBIs. He was worth 3.8 WAR and walked (37) a bit more often then he struck out (32). Unfortunately for Taylor, the wheels came off the following season, and his triple slash cratered to .258/.317/.344 (69 OPS+) with just 6 doubles, a triple, and 13 RBIs. He made just 103 PAs after 211 the year before, and was relegated to a bench role by the end of the year. He did get a few games in San Jose, but went just 0-for-5. He was cut the next January, but waited all season by the phone (or I guess, telegram?) and didn't receive a single offer. He retired that fall, so what could have been a very promising career flamed out quickly. 9th Round, 130th Overall: LHP Herb Plummer School: Brooklyn State Bears Career (C): 10-5, 20 G, 160.1 IP, 3.42 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 16 BB, 39 K, 108 ERA+, 3.0 WAR A teammate of Mike Murphy's at Brooklyn State, Herb Plummer pitched out of the Bears' pen, but he started all 15 of his games in La Crosse in 1929. The 21-year-old did alright, going 9-5 with a 3.03 ERA (106 ERA+) and 1.34 WHIP, walking 55 while striking out 96. He made 5 more starts the next season, and with a 4.66 ERA (112 ERA+) and 3.92 FIP (75 FIP-), he quickly got the call to San Jose. He appeared in 13 games, with all but one coming from the pen, but had an elevated 6.32 ERA (80 ERA+) and 1.78 WHIP with 17 walks and 37 strikeouts. He surprisingly got another promotion to Lincoln, and was actually way better, allowing just 8 hits, a run, and 2 walks with 9 strikeouts in 8.2 innings pitched. Despite that, he was cut next January, and spent a few months in the Houston Bulls system, before they cut him. With no more offers the rest of the season, he decided to retire following the 1931 season. 10th Round, 146th Overall: 2B Ed Thompson School: San Antonio HS Warriors Career (C): .267/.320/.366, 529 PA, 28 2B, 2 3B, 5 HR, 63 RBI, 5 SB, 94 WRC+, 2.7 WAR Most of Ed Thompson's professional career came in his first two seasons, where he played 152 games with the Lions. He hit a poor .220/.276/.306 (80 OPS+) in year one, but it was up to an almost league average .315/.368/.413 (99 OPS+). After the 1930 season, he started just 40 games, with 35 of them coming in 1932 with San Jose. Thompson made 161 PAs and hit .211/.296/.373 (88 OPS+) with 11 doubles, 4 homers, and 16 RBIs. It's no surprise he didn't play much after that, but he lasted in our system until 1937. He was cut that August and retired in October, spending just 6 days at AA and never reaching AAA.
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10-10-2023, 02:42 AM | #1227 |
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Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,758
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Trade News!
While no one would mistake it for a blockbuster, we made a quick trade to start the offseason, bringing back former Cougar draftee Chubby Hall, sending AAA pitcher Dick Garcia to the Stars to acquire their longtime outfielder. Way back in 1935, we made the New York native our 3rd Round pick, and I was quite shocked he was still available. Chubby was known for his excellent plate discipline, striking out just once in 23 high school games. He should have been one of my second round picks, as Grover Donahue and Doc Smith never amounted to anything, but we were very lucky to secure Hall with the 34th Pick of the draft. When the season opened, he was ranked as the 64th best prospect in the league, and at 19 he was installed in the La Crosse Opening Day lineup. and he flirted with .300, but his .294/.324/.376 (82 OPS+) overall line wasn't all that impressive. He struck out 59 times, but hit 18 doubles, 7 homers, and 61 RBIs.
Chubby again spent his season in La Crosse, but the consistent top 100 prospect had a breakout at the plate. He hit a superb .298/.341/.436 (140 OPS+) with 22 doubles, 3 triples, 14 homers, and 88 RBIs. He walked (33) just two times less then he struck out (35) and was worth a career best 4.1 WAR in 136 games. He did not return to La Crosse in 1938, and the 21-year-old started his season in San Jose. He appeared in 63 games, hitting .314/.384/.535 (146 OPS+) with 12 doubles, 12 homers, and 44 RBIs before earning a promotion to Single-A Lincoln. Hall's 138 WRC+ was a personal best and he walked (28) more then he struck out (19) in 263 trips to the plate. The then 25th ranked prospect kept up the pace with the Legislators, slashing an impressive .314/.382/.441 (130 OPS+) with 27 doubles and 54 RBIs. The lone downside was a drop in power, as he hit just 3 out in 336 PAs. Despite being ranked in the top 25 prospect list, Hall was best known for what came next, as he was moved in the wee hours to Washington with Lee Scott for current rotation member Johnnie Jones while I was trying to pry current Cannon Sam Brown away as well. This trade came at an untimely time, as we were swept by both Brooklyn and Montreal in a season where we finished 82-72 and -- five games out of first place. That sweep... Hall was hitting .399/.455/.592 (181 OPS+) in Mobile at the time with 16 doubles, 8 homers, and 50 RBIs. The Eagles started him in AAA Kansas City, and he played 46 games to finish the season. The 22-year-old hit .306/.387/.434 (116 OPS+) with 10 doubles, 12 homers, and 48 RBIs. He return to AAA as the #17 prospect coming into the season. Hall got off to an excellent start, slashing .319/.355/.534 (142 OPS+) with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 12 homers, and 48 RBIs. In a rather shocking move, Chubby was traded to the New York Stars for Henry Bush and Bill Martino. It turned out to be a pretty good trade for the Stars, and he even got a cup of coffee after hitting .332/.391/.448 (145 OPS+) in 281 trips to the plate. He didn't do so well with the Stars, hitting just .211/.304/.263 (59 OPS+) in a tiny 24 plate appearance sample. He wasn't quite ready, so he returned to LA, and he seemed a bit bummed to be sent back to the minors. He hit just .297/.348/.439 (110 OPS+) with 11 homers and 70 RBIs, and again returned to New York for the final month. While still not great, his .259/.348/.333 (90 OPS+) line was more then respectable, and he drew more walks (8) then strikeouts (6). Topping out as the 10th Ranked prospect, Chubby didn't really get a shot in the 1942 season, appearing in just 57 games for the big league club. He hit just .231/.321/.319 (91 OPS+), but his 100 WRC+ was league average and he finally hit his first big league homer. Hall drew 12 walks and struck out just 5 times, so it's easy to wonder how he could have done in a pull 500 PA sample. Now 26, Hall was one of the players who benefited from thin rosters in the war, and the right field spot opened up a place for him in 1943. He took advantage of the opportunity, hitting .274/.350/.373 (117 OPS+) with 11 homers and 61 RBIs. The outfielder drew 65 walks and struck out just 41 times, and he was worth 3.1 WAR in 152 games. Hall started all 154 of the Stars games in 1944 and 1945, collecting 25 homers, 165 runs, 184 RBIs, 134 walks, and 37 doubles. Unfortunately for Hall, Bill Barrett was back in 1946, so the 29-year-old was relegated to a bench role. It was actually his best year as a Star, as he produced a 136 WRC+ with 12 doubles, 5 triples, 36 RBIs, and 30 walks. His .314/.391/.424 (136 OPS+) season line was impressive and he accumulated 2.3 WAR in just 281 trips to the plate. Hall was angry with the demotion and put in multiple trade requests, and he didn't do his best at the dish in 1947 and 1948. He started just 57 games and hit 11 homers with 44 RBIs and WRC+ of 79 and 94. With the offseason approaching, Hall once again demanded a trade, and this time I decided to take the flyer. I'm really hoping this isn't our only move of the offseason, but we need a backup plan if Leo Mitchell truly is done and Hall is a solid hitter who could use a change of scenery. He's a solid veteran bat who owns a .268/.345/.376 (108 OPS+) batting line in 880 career games. His next walk will be his 300th, and he's still walked (194) fewer then 200 hitters. He's hit 93 doubles and 53 homers while driving in 346 runs. 32 in March, if our roster stays as is, he'll have every shot to earn the starting left field job to start the season. His bat has always been impressive, and he makes steady contact while drawing plenty of walks. Guys that put the ball in play a lot don't always do well in Cougars Park, so it will be interesting to see how Hall adapts to his new/old organization. What could work in his favor is he hits a lot of fly balls, and flyouts in New York can be homers in Chicago. He's always had the talent but he could never put it all together, and if all goes well he could set a career high in homers. Ideally we'll add another bat to the lineup, but as things are Hall's (.245, 5, 22) main competition will be Mitchell (.288, 4, 45)., Luke Berry (.260, 4, 54), and Ray Ford (.257, 3, 19, 3). All three are corner only guys, and none will play more then Red Bond (.281, 27, 77) at first. There's the chance Ford will call it quits, which would open up a chance for Johnny Peters (.250, 1, 1) or Don Lee (.208, 4) to claim a starting role. Competition should be a good thing, as having good players can only lead to good things. And now that we have plenty of money, we can take on veterans without having to worry too much about how much they cost. It's a low risk deal that if it work could win us a pennant, and if it doesn't, we can cut bait without worrying too much. It's always fun having former draftees return later in their career.
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10-10-2023, 12:15 PM | #1228 |
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Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,758
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Top Prospects!
It's offseason time! No retirements on the big league squad, so we'll head into the offseason with 39 of our 40-man roster spots taken up. Some guys will have to be DFA'd, as there are players to protect, but there are enough expendable players that I shouldn't be forced into any tough decisions. Our system is still one of the best, ranked 3rd in the league with 154 points, trailing just the Kings (183) and Foresters (165). No top 10 prospects, as Allen and Smith just barely miss the cut, but we have 10 top 100 prospects, 26 top 250 prospects, and 47 of the top 500. Ideally, we thin out the system for an impact player, but chances are most of the guys here will return to the organization in the Spring:
1. RHP Bob Allen (11th Overall): 1st/6th 2. CF Jerry Smith (12th Overall): 2nd/10th 3. C Garland Phelps (33rd Overall): 3rd/24th 4. CF Johnny Peters (42nd Overall): 4th/44th 5. LHP Dixie Gaines (44th Overall): 55th Overall Pick 6. SS Elmer Grace (51st Overall): 52nd Overall Pick 7. LHP Ron Berry (62nd Overall): 5th/56th 8. CF Henry Norman (70th Overall): Acquired from Chiefs 9. LF Clyde Parker (76th Overall): 24th/244th 10. RHP Harry Beardsley (81st Overall): 6th/74th 11. CF Jeff King (122nd Overall): 40th Overall Pick 12. CF Bob Allie (125th Overall): 36th Overall Pick 13. 3B Amos Peterson (130th Overall): 26th Overall Pick 14. RF Jimmy Hairston (135th Overall): 12th/129th 15. 1B Cal Rice (143rd Overall): 30th/305th 16. SS Cecil Burr (154th Overall): 71st Overall Pick 17. CF Frank Reece (162nd Overall): 8th/81st 18. RHP Zane Kelley (165th Overall): Not Ranked 19. SS Buddy Jenkins (167th Overall): 10th/101st 20. SS Archie Cunningham (168th Overall): 116th Overall Pick 21. 2B Bob Schmelz (173rd Overall): 19th/205th 22. CF Clyde Skinner (179th Overall): 164th Overall Pick 23. 1B Dudley Sapp (181st Overall): 11th/103rd 24. SS Willie Watson (223rd Overall): 23rd/243rd 25. CF Harley Dollar (233rd Overall): 21st/214th 26. 1B John Kerr (241st Overall): 65th Overall Pick 27. LF Charlie Harvey (290th Overall): Not Ranked 28. LHP Dutch Yoak (293rd Overall): 32nd/329th 29. 2B Roxy Hilts (303rd Overall): 27th/274th 30. CF Phil Boyes (311th Overall): 26th/261st 31. RF Harry Austin (338th Overall): Not Ranked 32. CF Doc Zimmerman (344th Overall): 68th Overall Pick 33. SS Rupert Heinbaugh (352nd Overall): Not Ranked 34. 1B Charlie Everitt (356th Overall): 212th Overall Pick 35. RHP Tommy Seymour (363rd Overall): Not Ranked 36. RHP Lee Parker (368th Overall): 29th/300th 37. RHP George Carter (370th Overall): 13th/177th 38. SS John Price (380th Overall): 37th/375th 39. LHP Mike Emerson (390th Overall): 15th/185th 40. RHP Fred Terry (404th Overall): 39th/384th
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10-10-2023, 10:51 PM | #1229 |
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A Look Back at the 1928 Draft: Part 3
11th Round, 162nd Overall: RHP Jim Dyer
School: Liberty College Bells Career (B): 18-17, 40 G, 316 IP, 3.67 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 83 BB, 233 K, 127 ERA+, 6.4 WAR Career (C): 24-15, 8 SV, 55 G, 330 IP, 3.08 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 61 BB, 255 K, 118 ERA+, 6.4 WAR A teammate of Tommy Wilcox at Liberty College, Jim Dwyer also pitched in that impressive rotation, going 4-6 with a 3.47 ERA (123 ERA+) and 1.12 WHIP with 87 strikeouts and just 25 walks. He spent a good chunk of his first pro season in the pen, starting 8 of his 20 appearances. He looked impressive in both roles, going 7-1 with 6 saves, a 2.81 ERA, 0.98 WHIP,16 walks, and 58 strikeouts. That earned him a promotion to San Jose and a full-time starting spot, going 12-8 with a 4.05 ERA (125 ERA+) and 1.36 WHIP with 45 walks and 130 strikeouts. Despite those pretty impressive numbers, I decided to release him, and he caught on a month later with the Gothams. They sent him down to Class C Rhode Island, and he went 14-13 with a 3.36 ERA (112 ERA+) and 1.16 WHIP with 45 walks and 167 strikeouts. He later made ten starts between Class A and B, going 4-6. Dyer started the 1932 season in A-ball, but he went 1-5 with an elevated 7.46 ERA (62 ERA+) and 1.73 WHIP with 14 walks and 17 strikeouts. They sent him back down to Fresno, and his 9 starts there were much better. The 25-year-old was just 2-4, but he had a decent 4.02 ERA (103 ERA+) and an even better 3.33 FIP (80 FIP-) with 56 strikeouts and just 12 walks. But with his age he ended up a roster casualty. He spent a day with the Austin Violets, and then spent the rest of his season in the Foresters organization. They assigned him to Class C, where he made three starts and three relief appearances. He was an out shy of 30 innings, charged with 26 hits and 6 runs. What was most impressive was he didn't walk a single hitter, striking out 30 and posting a 1.82 ERA (233 ERA+) and 0.88. Again his time was short, as after the year ended, he was released for the third time that year. In 1933 he bounced around the Independent circuit, but didn't play a game for any of the 11 teams that signed him. Finally we ended his misery, bringing him back to Chicago and assigning him to Class-A Lincoln. He went 2-2 in 8 outings (3 starts), working to a 4.72 ERA (86 ERA+) and 1.43 WHIP with even walks (13) and strikeouts (13). For some reason he started 11 of his 12 games with the Legislators next season, going 4-4 with a 4.93 ERA (95 ERA+) and 1.61 WHIP with 34 walks and 18 strikeouts. He then earned a promotion to Mobile, starting 4 of his 11 outings while finishing 3-2 with a 4.19 ERA (106 ERA+) and 1.68 WHIP, again with more walks (24) then strikeouts (19). He was back at both levels in 1935, but allowed 77 hits and 45 runs in just 52.2 innings pitched, and his 17-to-9 walk-to-strikeout was poor. He was cut that August, and then was signed and released by seven teams before retiring at the end of the season. 13th Round, 194th Overall: C Billy Wiseman School: Elmira HS Emeralds Career (B): .257/.328/.453, 187 G, 759 PA, 29 2B, 5 3B, 31 HR, 126 RBI, SB, 110 WRC+, 5.1 WAR Career (C): .341/.408/.674, 96 G, 294 PA, 19 2B, 2 3B, 21 HR, 79 RBI, 3 SB, 167 WRC+, 4.0 WAR Billy Wiseman had a pretty simple career. He bounced up and down between La Crosse and San Jose, making appearances at both levels in each season of his career excluding his 7 game debut with the Lions in 1929. He had some pretty solid tints with the Lions, posting WRC+ of 190, 146, and 143 in '30, '31. and '32. The largest sample was 193 PAs for the 190, as he hit 16 doubles and 16 homers in just 43 games. All things considered, he probably deserved a more serious look, but my guess is the scouts were never a fan and he probably wasn't a good defender. He was cut in September of 1933, and remained a free agent for almost four months. He signed with the Denver Plainsmen of the WBL but they cut him a few days later. He remained a free agent all of 1934, eventually retiring when he realized he'd never get another chance. 14th Round, 210th Overall: RHP Sam Bigras School: Liberty College Bells Career (B): 7-11, 36 G, 143.1 IP, 7.66 ERA, 2.09 WHIP, 107 BB, 88 K, 64 ERA+, 0.1 WAR Career (C):11-1, 14 G, 109 IP, 2.15 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 48 BB, 95 K, 150 ERA+, 2.4 WAR I vaguely remember Sam Bigras as being a pitcher I liked. Maybe it's because he went 11-1 with a 2.15 ERA (150 ERA+) in his debut with the Lions. Or maybe it was the nickname "Twinkletoes". But for one reason or another, I have fond memories of the Canadian native. He proved to be a half season wonder, as he finished his season in San Jose, and went 4-6 with a 8.81 ERA (54 ERA+) and 2.26 WHIP, walking 49 while striking out just 21. He returned to San Jose for his aged 22 season, but didn't not make any noticeable improvements. After starting 11 of 12 games the season before, Bigras started 10 of 24, and was tagged for a 6.78 ERA (75 ERA+) and 1.95 WHIP. He did strike out (67) more hitters then he walked (58), but he allowed 8 homers in 81 innings, and was released the following January. He didn't sign anywhere, and hung up the cleats that October. 15th Round, 226th Overall: CF/LHP Eddie Simpson School: Memphis HS Pharaohs Career (AAA): .200/.200/.600, 5 G, 11 PA, 2B, HR, RBI, 87 WRC+, 0.1 WAR Career (AAA): 1-1, 4 G, 29.1 IP, 3.07 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 17 BB, 10 K, 134 ERA+, 0.4 WAR Eddie Simpson didn't play a single game at Memphis HS, so it's no surprise he was released after the draft. The surprise was that the natural outfielder signed with the Syracuse Excelsiors of the Union League, and they had him make four starts on the mound. He held his own, allowing 25 hits, 10 runs, and 17 walks with 10 strikeouts in 29.1 innings pitched. He had an above average ERA+ (134) and OPS+ (105), but at 18 he was probably not nearly as good as those metrics would suggest. That is supported by him being released in the offseason and never signing again, retiring in 1931. 16th Round, 242nd Overall: 3B Gordon Stroud School: Brooklyn HS Trojan Career (C): .375/.444/.375, 11 G, 9 PA, 166 WRC+, 0.1 WAR Gordon Stroud's professional career consisted of just 12 games -- 11 for the La Crosse Lions in 1929, and 1 with the Pueblo Mountaineers in 1930. He went 3-for-9, with all three hits coming in La Crosse, where he also drew a walk and struck out three times. He did win a 1933 Championship while on the Davenport Duster's roster before retiring in 1935. 17th Round, 258th Overall: 3B Tex Young School: Lynn HS Legends Career (A): .269/.325/.398, 212 G, 859 PA, 46 2B, 11 3B, 11 HR, 111 RBI, 7 SB, 2.7 WAR Career (B): .291/.352/.442, 268 G, 1,088 PA, 60 2B, 13 3B, 20 HR, 189 RBI, 14 SB, 113 WRC+, 6.0 WAR Drafted as a catcher, Tex Young had one of the longer careers for the guys that didn't make the majors, and spent most of his career at the hot corner in the Eagles organization. Young spent just one season in our system, playing 83 of his 93 games with the Lions. He had a tremendous year at the plate, slashing .293/.387/.436 (154 OPS+) with 19 doubles, 5 triples, 4 homers, 37 RBIs, and 3 steals. He drew one more walk (45) then strike out, and then went 7-for-27 in San Jose. The 1929 offseason was when we started making moves to compete, and Tex went to the Eagles with Gene Ross to acquire Tommy Russel. At the time, Russel was 27 and coming off three average seasons (ERA+ of 100, 103, 101), but what attracted me to him was his ability to eat innings. Russel threw a career high 275.1 innings in 1928, and was just four outs away from his third consecutive 200 inning season. He had a pretty good first season for us in 1930, going 13-11 with a 4.26 ERA (111 ERA+) and 1.43 WHIP in 221.2 innings, starting 27 of his 28 appearances. Another thing he was known for was his durability, as he had just one injury of more then three days that dated back to his college days, but shoulder inflammation held him to just 15.2 innings late in the season out of the pen. It didn't matter too much, as '31 was the year we won it all. We returned him to the rotation in 1932, but he was no longer the same pitcher he once was (3-2, 5.49, 9), and his season was again interrupted by shoulder inflammation. At the same time, Young was toiling around in the Eagles system, and in 1933 it looked like he was no longer considered a useful prospect. The then 24-year-old was given one last chance to start in Class B Everett, and he hit an impressive .325/.383/.491 (122 OPS+) with 32 doubles, 10 triples, 7 homers, 104 RBIs, and more walks (48) then strikeouts (21). He posted an even 100 WRC+ in 128 games in Class A Trenton in '35, and he was then promoted to AA, where he hit a solid .286/.323/.455 (110 OPS+) with 34 doubles, 17 triples, 7 homers, and 87 RBIs. The extra base hits were what kept him in the lineup, but when he was promoted to AAA in 1937, that disappeared, and his triple slash slumped to .236/.274/.323 (86 OPS+) with 17 doubles, 3 triples, a homer, and 35 RBIs. He spent 1938 on Kansas City's bench and was demoted to Atlanta the next year, and was cut in August. He spent the rest of the season as a free agent, and then retired when the offseason began. 18th Round, 274th Overall: 2B Billy Morgan School: College of San Diego Friars Career (B): .333/.364/.426, 79 G, 155 PA, 4 2B, 3 HR, 22 RBI, 10 SB, 105 WRC+, 0.3 WAR Billy Morgan lasted three seasons, but 109 of his 181 PAs came in 40 games with San Jose in 1929. He hit a respectable .343/.371/.434 (104 OPS+) for with 3 doubles, 2 homers, 16 RBIs, and 8 steals. We cut him in October of 1932, but he waited until October of 1933 before retiring. 19th Round, 290th Overall: 3B Sam Crum School: Lynn HS Legends Career (C): .256/.331/.362, 230 G, 783 PA, 21 2B, 6 3B, 13 HR, 80 RBI, 68 SB, 91 WRC+, 2.3 WAR A speedy infielder from Harristown, Illinois, Crum sat on the bench for most of 1929, but he played fairly regularly in 1930. He started 80 of his 110 appearances, and hit .282/.345/.391 (87 OPS+) with 15 doubles, 3 triples, 6 homers, 48 RBIs, and 26 steals. He ran wild the next year, swiping 33 bases in just 65 games. Even more impressive, he was caught just 4 times, and he hit .247/.345/.358 (104 OPS+) with 6 homers and 21 RBIs. This earned him a promotion to San Jose, but his production plummeted. His .198/.290/.224 (46 OPS+) batting average was more then twice as bad as the average C-O-W hitter, and he was just 6-for-10 on steals. He got another chance at 21 in 1932, and was off to a nice start through 23. He hit .265/.326/.422 (1110 OPS+) with 4 homers, 3 steals, and 17 RBIs, but he suffered a severe hip strain and missed the rest of the season. He survived the offseason, but was cut in late May before appearing in a game. No one gave him a minor league deal, and he retired following the conclusion of the 1933 season. 20th Round, 306th Overall: CF Curt Jeffrey School: New Orleans HS Cavaliers Career (A): .168/.230/.283, 66 G, 199 PA, 5 2B, 3 3B, 3 HR, 27 RBI, 2 SB, 33 WRC+, -1.0 WAR "Chatterbox" didn't start a single game in high school, so out of a principle he was an instant release. Despite that, a lot of independent teams were interested, and he played with seven separate organizations from 1929 to 1934. Most were small samples, but he made 132 trips to the plate for the Amarillo Stars of the Western Baseball League. He didn't hit too well, posting a miniscule .195/.262/.310 (51 OPS+) batting line with 3 double, 2 triples, 2 homers, and 24 RBIs. That was his second to last season, and he retired following an 0-for-7 showing with the Denver Bears. I might be busy tomorrow, so the finale may or may not come tomorrow. I'll cover the last five guys selected, and will include the disappointing FABL totals. I'll write a little summary too, but with so little success coming from this class, there's not going to be too much to mention.
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10-11-2023, 07:57 PM | #1230 |
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A Look Back at the 1928 Draft: Part 4
21st Round, 322nd Overall: RHP Dick Brown
School: Mississippi A&M Generals Career (B): 32-26, 63 G, 503.1 IP, 4.20 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 218 BB, 243 K, 114 ERA+, 8.4 WAR A 6'4'' righty from Montana, Dick Brown spent his first season pitching out of the La Crosse pen, but in 1930 he was inserted in the rotation. He put together six nice starts, going 2-2 with a 3.05 ERA (171 ERA+), 1.40 WHIP, 11 walks, and 44 strikeouts. This earned him a promotion to San Jose, where he made 19 starts down the stretch. He had his share of struggles, going 4-13 with a 5.95 ERA (85 ERA+) and 1.82 WHIP. The peripherals were more encouraging, as he had an above average 4.69 FIP (92 FIP-) with 61 walks and 96 strikeouts. He was cut the following winter, and after bouncing between independent teams, he found a home in the Sailors organization, where they even gave him $240 to sign. He started 14 games in 1931, going 6-5 with a 3.01 ERA (140 ERA+) and 1.26 WHIP, but he walked (51) just as many hitters as he struck out (51). Still, he was back for 1932, and he posted an excellent 22-8 record in 30 starts. He had a strong 3.90 ERA (124 ERA+), but it came with a 1.42 WHIP and more walks (106) then strikeouts (96). Now 25, he was cut by the Sailors, and signed and was released by ten teams (some times more then once) before eventually retiring in 1933. 22nd Round, 338th Overall: SS Tom Shaw School: San Francisco HS Navigators Career (C): .068/.128/.068, 45 G, 47 PA, 2 RBI, -32 WRC+, -0.7 WAR Most of Tom Shaw's playing time came in 1929, where he went just 3-for-39 with 17 strikeouts and a single walk. He appeared in 14 games the next year, but was 0-for-7 and cut in June. He bounced between independent teams, but eventually stuck with the Denver Bears. He got an RBI single in his only at bat, and then returned for 1931. He didn't do much at the plate, just 7-for-26 with a homer and 7 RBIs. Not the worst, but he didn't draw a walk and struck out 12 times. He survived the offseason, but was cut the next spring and retired in the fall. 23rd Round, 354th Overall: LF Jim Peterson School: Philadelphia HS Patriots Career (AA): .182/.308/.227, 29 G, 26 PA, 2B, RBI, 49 WRC+, -0.2 WAR Career (A): .283/.316/.396, 51 G, 57 PA, 2 2B, 2 3B, 5 RBI, SB, 87 WRC+, 0.1 WAR He didn't have any high school stats, so he was cut right after the draft. After he moved team to team, eventually suiting up for the San Antonio Gunslingers, Denver Plainsmen, Houston Bulls, Austin Violets, Amarillo Stars, and Waco Wranglers. In total, he made 80 appearances between 1929 and 1934, hitting .253/.313/.347 (69 OPS+) with 3 doubles, 2 triples, and 6 RBIs. He retired after the 1934 season, but lasted longer then I would have expected. 24th Round, 370th Overall: 3B John Johnson School: Norfolk HS Navigators Career (B): .222/.300/.333, 12 G, 10 PA, 2B, 5 RBI, 107 WRC+, 0.1 WAR John Johnson played just one season of pro ball, appearing in 12 games off the bench for the Lions in 1929. He did manage to drive in five runs, but that's about all he did well. He got auditions with the Austin Violets, Dallas Centurions, and Amarillo Stars, but never played a game. He ended up retiring after the 1931 season. 25th Round, 386th Overall: RHP Bud Butler School: St. Blaine Fighting Saints Career (AA): 20-28, 3 SV, 102 G, 458 IP, 4.91 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 227 BB, 247 K, 91 ERA+, 3.4 WAR Bud Butler was awful in college, going 3-5 with a 6.46 ERA (71 ERA+) and 1.65 WHIP, allowing 12 homers in 47.1 innings as a Freshman. He didn't pitch as a sophomore or junior, which really says something about his talent. This combined for a very poor pitcher, and he was cut before pitching with us. Surprisingly, the Terre Haute Brewers were fond of him, and he started in their rotation for two seasons. Year one wasn't great, as he was 7-10 with a 5.21 ERA (85 ERA+) and 1.56 WHIP, walking 50 while striking out 37. He started 23 of his 29 games, and had a respectable 4.54 FIP (101 FIP-) in 140 innings. He improved at 23 in 1930, going 9-5 with a 3.86 ERA (106 ERA+), 1.47 WHIP, 61 walks, and 109 strikeouts. That wasn't enough for a third season, as he was let go before the 1931 season began. Butler then joined the Minutemen organization, and spent the next five seasons with their AA affiliate. His best season was probably his best, as he was 13-7 with a 4.30 ERA (127 ERA+) in 30 games (29 starts). In total, he went 20-28 with 3 saves, a 4.91 ERA (91 ERA+) and 1.57 WHIP. He struck out 274 and walked 227 in 458 innings, and then made the move to AAA for the 1936 season. He struggled, 5-9 with a 5.04 ERA (88 ERA+) and 1.67 WHIP, walking 89 while striking out just 43. That came in 19 starts and 8 relief outings, and for 1937 he was moved strictly to the pen. That didn't help him too much, as his 4.58 ERA (73 ERA+) in a lower offensive environment translated to a professional worst for ERA+. Again, he walked (22) more guys then he truck out (15). For one reason or another, he didn't pitch in 1938, and got his final innings in Class B Arlington, where he went 2-2 in 49.1 innings. He started 3 of his 17 outings, and owned a 5.29 ERA (90 ERA+) and 1.58 WHIP with 33 strikeouts and 19 walks. He survived the offseason, but was cut before the Minutemen's title winning 1941 season, and he retired that Fall. FABL Totals Big League Debuts: 4 (of 25) Parts of 5 Seasons: 1 Parts of 10 Seasons: 1 Parts of 15 Seasons: 1 500 Games: 0 1,000 Games: 0 1,500 Games: 0 500 PA Seasons: 0 1,000 Career PAs: 0 2,500 Career PAs: 0 5,000 Career PAs: 0 15 HR Seasons: 0 20 HR Seasons: 0 50 Career HR: 0 100 Inning Seasons: 11 200 Inning Seasons: 9 300 Inning Seasons: 0 500 Career Innings: 0 1,000 Career Innings: 1 2,500 Career Innings: 1 10 Win Seasons: 10 20 Win Seasons: 2 50 Career Wins: 1 100 Career Wins: 1 150 Career Wins: 1 4 WAR Seasons: 4 Total WAR: 43.4 The worst class I've reviewed so far, there were a lot more misses then hits in the 1928 draft. That was a common theme for most teams, as just two teams produced double digit FABL players, and our class was saved by having Mike Murphy develop into a very dependable innings eater. It is nice that each of our first four selections made the majors, but the production was limited for those who weren't Murphy. There were a few positives, as Tex Young helped get Tommy Russel and Buck Waldrop was moved for some very useful picks. And aside from Bobby Barrell, the only other player we really missed out on was Chuck Cole. There were a handful of other capable big leaguers, but for the most part there weren't many gems to find.
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10-12-2023, 01:56 PM | #1231 |
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Top Prospects: 1-5
It's top prospect time! The offseason continues to roll on, but before reviewing the cream of the crop, there are a few transactional moves to account for first. I claimed a player off waivers that I was always a huge fan of, George Dawson, who will turn 38 in April. Previously one of the top defensive shortstops, those days are behind him, and he's got a chance to start at third against lefties. If he doesn't crack the lineup, he could replace George Sutterfield on the bench, and as a team leader in the clubhouse, he can provide value even if he's not playing regularly. He didn't play much in 1948, but he posted a 93 WRC+ in 103 PAs, hitting .278/.343/.358 (88 OPS+). The longtime Forester has appeared in 1,737 FABL games, hitting .297/.345/.379 (102 OPS+) with 235 doubles, 67 triples, 58 homers, 187 steals, and 640 RBIs. Combine that with stellar shortstop defense, and he has accumulated 53.5 WAR since debuting in 1933.
With Dawson being added to the 40, it became full, and with some guys still needing to be protected in the Rule-5 draft, it was time to trim the edges a little. The first two casualties were Steve Mountain and Leon Blackrdidge, which made room for Ron Berry and Mike Bordes. Berry is our 7th ranked prospect, so he'll get covered in the next post, but since Bordes isn't on the list, he's worth a quick blurb. Bordes, 23 in November, was a former 11th Round selection of the Eagles who came over in the Billy Riley trade. He had an excellent season in Mobile, slashing .310/.407/.465 (123 OPS+) with 26 double, 4 triples, 12 homers, and 77 RBIs. He was one walk (79) away from walking twice as often as he struck out (40), and he was worth almost 4 WAR (3.8). He's not the greatest defender, but he caught 53.2% base stealers. The -2.8 frame rating is pretty poor, but hopefully he can fix that up as I like when my catchers have high catcher ability, so Bordes may have to look for another position. For now, he'll catch regularly in the minors, and once he's out of options he'll have a chance to take the backup catcher role from an aged Harry Mead. RHP Bob Allen (11th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 1st Round, 10th Overall (1946) Alma Mater: Sonora Wildcats OOTP 24 doesn't like pitchers as much as OOTP 23, so even though Bob Allen is outside of the top 10, he's the second highest ranked pitcher. The 20-year-old spent all season in San Jose, and he held his own in 24 starts. He finished 10-11 with a 4.38 ERA (101 ERA+) and 1.68 WHIP, striking out 78 while walking 92. It's a bit concerning to see him walk more hitters then he struck out, but his 10.8 K% is still solid. His control now isn't great, but he's expected to be able to throw all four of his pitches for strikes. An extreme groundballer, Allen relies on an solid defense to make up for his free passes. He locates his mid-80s fastball well, and it's his best pitch. His slider, curve, and change are still works in progress, but the slider in particular is good at getting whiffs from same-side hitters. His pitches get plenty of movement, the fastball included, and his stuff is off the charts. He's still very raw and has a long development path ahead of him, but he's got all the tools to front a rotation. Dixie thinks he'll be better then Duke Bybee, which is a lofty prediction, but there is still some worry that he won't reach his potential. I'll take my time with him, and with all the talent he's shown, it's hard to believe that he won't spend a decade starting games for an FABL team. CF Jerry Smith (12th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 1st Round, 5th Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Jackson Generals Ranked right after Allen is center fielder Jerry Smith, who also spent the entirety of his season in San Jose. Despite not turning 20 until the season was almost over, Smith more then held his own at the plate, hitting a respectable .298/.346/.400 (93 OPS+) in just over 500 trips to the plate. He maintained his 6.3 BB% from the previous season and dropped his K% from 19.8 to 16.6, demonstrating that he's starting to grow as a hitter. The hard working former 1st Rounder is whiffing less often, but he's also not elevating the ball as much. After 5 homers in 51 games last year, he hit just 3 all season, adding in 20 doubles, 9 triples, 14 steals, and 61 RBIs. Speed is a big part of his game, but what makes him really exciting is how good the bat will be. He has legit 20/20 potential and could quite possibly put in a 30/30 season, all while being able to bat comfortably above .300. Dixie thinks he could hit around .330, as he hits the ball hard and far. He's improving his defense as well, and while he's not quite above average (0.5, .988) yet, he's looked good in limited time. He has an excellent arm, posting a 2.4 ARM rating in 704.2 innings out in center, and while his speed would suggest excellent range in center, it's nice knowing that he'd be one of the best defensive right fielders if we have to move him off. As good as Sal Pestilli is, Smith should be even better, and I can't remember the last time we had a position player prospect with this much talent that plays a premium position. I'm undecided on if he starts 1949 in San Jose or La Crosse, but like with Allen, he'll have a slow climb up the ladder as his position is covered on the big league squad. If he reaches his potential, it's not a stretch to say he'd be the best center fielder in the game, as he's a legit five tool player who does everything well. C Garland Phelps (33rd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 2nd Round, 21st Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Sheffield Fightin' Irish It was the first real test for Garland Phelps this year, as last year's 2nd Rounder spent all season in Lincoln despite not turning 19 until August. The catcher of the future put together a very nice season, slashing .309/.367/.373 (97 OPS+) with a 102 WRC+ in 129 games. "Einstein" is both brilliant and hardworking, which makes me very excited for his future, but he did take a few noticeable step backs this season. The most notable being the drop in power, as after 9 doubles, 6 triples, and 5 homers in 57 games last year, he had just 12, 5, and 2. Phelps isn't this otherworldly slugger who's going to launch 20 homers a season, but what he does excel at is hitting for extra bases. He has a nice smooth swing that allows him to drive the ball to the gaps when he makes solid contact, but he's hitting a few too many groundballs. If he was fast, that would be okay, but as a catcher he's not going to be beating out many close plays. Still, he has excellent plate discipline, which will allow him to draw plenty of walks and maintain both a high average and OBP. He's improving behind the plate as well, posting a slightly above average (0.5) framing rating in 1,085.2 innings behind the plate. He calls a great game and his pitchers are confident trusting him, as his baseball IQ is off the charts. Catchers carry a ton of risk, but he's got all the tools to excel in the big leagues, and while Jimmy Hawkins is a higher ranked prospect, I find it hard to believe that Phelps is not the most talented catching prospect in the game right now. CF Johnny Peters (42nd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 1st Round, 3rd Overall (1945) Alma Mater: Liberty College Bells The first of our prospects to debut this season, former 3rd Pick Johnny Peters put together another 600 PA season in Milwaukee, slashing .320/.415/.462 (122 OPS+) with 26 double, 5 triples, 13 homers, and 63 RBIs with a personal best 136 WRC+. He did strike out a lot, an even 100 times, but his 80 walks and 12.8 BB% are well above average. Another issue was his base stealing, as he was caught 17 times while being successful just 7 times. After the Blues' season ended, he got two weeks in Chicago, and went 5-for-20 with a double and solo homer. He both walked and struck out six times, starting all eight games out in left. Even with the addition of Chubby Hall, Johnny Peters could win an Opening Day roster spot. 25 on Opening Day, this is probably the last year of him being a prospect, even if he doesn't graduate as expected. He's a very exciting outfielder, with a quick bat and excellent patience. He'll make even the best pitchers work, as once he cuts down on the whiffs, he'll be very hard to get out. He has the power to go deep at any time, and he' always a threat on the bases. Even if he has to move to a corner, the bat should be good enough to earn regular playing time, but the Lawrenceburg native has a few things to work on before getting regular playing time at the highest level. LHP Dixie Gaines (44th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 4th Round, 55th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Capital University Catamounts Our first four prospects were the exact same this year as last year. The first change from last year was Dixie Gaines replacing Ron Berry as our #5 prospect. The first member of our most recent draft class on the top prospect list, he's looking like one of the best value picks so far. Not only is he our fifth ranked prospect, but he's the fifth player I selected in the Winter. A five pitch pitcher, I was rather fond of Gaines on draft day, as he was one of the few good looking pitchers from the pool. He had an excellent offseason, polishing up his five pitch arsenal. It looks like it could even fool big league hitters, and if we weren't so deep on the mound, he would have got fast tracked to Chicago. OSA thinks he'll be ready to go in 1950, but I'd be surprised if he has much of a role on our staff before the '52 season. The lefty had a great first taste of professional ball, going 6-4 with a 3.00 ERA (148 ERA+) and 1.43 WHIP in 12 starts. He struck out 55 and walked 46 in 81 innings pitched, and even though his 3.92 FIP (88 FIP-) FIP is much higher then his ERA, it was still above average. The most important part of Gaines' season was that he didn't allow a single home run. The extreme groundballer doesn't throw very hard, but his sinker is tough to elevate and with a solid middle infield behind him he could be an excellent big league pitcher. He'll strike guys out too, as it's hard to it on any one of his pitches, and his change up has devastating downward movement. The splitter can get whiffs to and he locates his fastball well, but his curve still needs some work. For a guy with excellent movement, it's interesting that his curve isn't very effective, so perhaps it could develop into a fifth plus pitch. I haven't yet decided where he'll begin 1949, but I'm excited to see what is in store for his second act. I'm not as sold on him as the prospect people, but I do expect him to be a reliable mid-rotation starter.
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10-13-2023, 08:11 PM | #1232 |
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Top Prospects: 6-10
SS Elmer Grace (56th Overall)
Acquired: Via Draft: 4th Round, 52nd Overall (1948) Alma Mater: St. Dominic's Padres The fourth round of the most recent draft treated us quite well, as a few picks before selecting 44th ranked prospect Dixie Gaines, we got a made-to-order FABL shortstop in Elmer Grace. Since the time of the draft, he's been given green arrows all the way up to Chicago, but with Skipper Schneider fully entrenched there on the big league club, I was in no rush to move Grace up to the top. Instead, the switch hitting shortstop from St. Dominic's spent the second half of his season in AA Mobile, where he produced an impressive 2.3 WAR in just 70 games -- almost a 5 WAR pace for a full season. Grace is somewhat similar to Skipper, as he's an excellent defender with a decent enough bat. He posted a 7.4 zone rating (1.082) and a 104 WRC+ in against strong competition. He's a light hitter as well, just 2 homers in 311 trips to the plate, but he hit above .300 (.320/.366/.399) with 14 doubles and similar walk (20) and strikeout (26) numbers. He'll put the ball in play a lot, and while base stealing isn't a part of his game, he is quick both on the bases and in the field. OSA is a huge fan of the Pennsylvania native, explaining how he "has good potential and a very promising future." I think they're on to something, and if we didn't have arguably the best shortstop of the 1940s (102 WRC+, 59.8 WAR), I would have considered giving him the starting shortstop job after a few weeks in the minors. He's a hard worker, great teammate, and hits well from both sides, and his glove will impress the more comfortable he gets at short. He may also be our most enticing trade piece, as there are a lot of very poor shortstops, and the only shortstop prospects ranked ahead of him are the trio in the top 10 (Ralph Hanson, 1; Tom Miller, 2; Joe Kleman, 3), and of the top 10 shortstop prospects, four of them are Cougars (Burr, Jenkins, A.C.). Ideally, he's in Milwaukee to start next season, and while his future is definitely at second, I want to start moving him around the infield to boost his versatility. Second base is one of our few weaknesses, so he could quickly replace Car and/or Hunter, and neither George Sutterfield or Otto Christian has grabbed hold of the third base role against lefties, so if he can keep things up with the Blues, he could get significant time in Chicago next season. LHP Ron Berry (62nd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 7th Round, 112th Overall (1944) Alma Mater: Elm Springs Knights Very few pitches can even approach the crazy numbers Ron Berry totaled this season, as he was dominant for both Lincoln and Mobile. He made 12 starts a piece, going 7-3 in Lincoln and 7-4 in Mobile, and at both stops he held ERAs below 3, ERA+ above 140, FIP- below 90, WAR at 2 or higher, and WHIPs of 1.20 or below. As you might expect, the numbers at the lower level were stronger, as he posted a miniscule 2.11 ERA (192 ERA+) and 2.70 FIP (66 FIP-) with a 1.00 WHIP, 19 walks, and 59 strikeouts. His 3.1 K/BB was elite, he kept the ball on the ground 57% of the time, and he didn't allow a single homer in 81 innings. Regression was expected in AA, and that was somewhat illustrated by his 3.86 FIP (88 FIP-), but on the whole he was just as impressive. The now 23-year-old sported a 2.94 ERA (148 ERA+) and 1.20 WHIP, tallying 41 walks and 51 strikeouts in 104 inning. The increase in BB% (6.0 to 9.5) and drop in K% (18.5 to 11.8) aren't ideal, but what he was doing in Lincoln was not sustainable. He did, however, get a few more ground outs (58%) and allowed just one homer in 104 innings. One of the most extreme, extreme ground ballers out there, Berry is maybe a season away from Chicago, and I recently added him to the 40 to protect him in the Rule-5 draft. We don't need another starter yet, but he's on pace to join Oddo and Bybee as the next young Cougar pitcher to dominate Continental Association hitters. Despite topping out around 87, he's got devastating stuff, as he generates a ton of whiffs and incorporates all four of his pitches well. He doesn't really have a weakness, as while not great, a 9.5 BB% is not really a command issue, especially considering how many guys he strikes out. While not an ace, he's more middle then back of a rotation, and he could work his way as a #2. He's worked hard to go from 7th Rounder to top prospect, and he's made improvements each season. Like Grace, he could be used as trade bait, and I've already shopped him a round a few times in search of an upgrade. Despite that, I expect him to break camp with us in the Spring, before heading to either Mobile or Milwaukee to pitch every sixth day. If we get hit by injuries in the rotation, he could be one of the first up, but I think his development is best served with another full season in the minors before a potential cup of coffee after we clinched the pennant. One can dream, right?!?!? CF Henry Norman (70th Overall) Acquired: Via Trade with Chiefs (1948) Drafted: 3rd Round, 36th Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Cleveland Tigers One of the guys on my list for the 1947 draft, we acquired Henry Norman this offseason from the crosstown Chiefs, sending Mel Haynes (10-11, 4.21, 70) a few L stops away to fill the void in their rotation after Gus Goulding's surprise retirement. The then 19-year-old started the season as the 37th ranked prospect, but lasted just five games before heading on the IL with with plantar fasciitis. He rejoined the star studded outfield of Jerry Smith, Harley Dollar, and Frank Reece, and was the first and only to earn a promotion. After 52 games he hit an impressive .345/.392/.399 (105 OPS+) with a 112 WRC+. A natural center fielder, he spent most of his time in the corners in San Jose, so the promotion offered him the opportunity to return to his natural position. In 51 games he accumulated a 2.4 zone rating (1.006 EFF), and hit a respectable .299/.349/.351 (87 OPS+) at 19. He hasn't developed much power yet -- just one longball in 375 plate appearances. The former 3rd Rounder did gather 11 doubles, 2 triples, 36 runs, and 43 RBIs. Considering his age, I'm very happy with how advanced of a hitter he is, and there is a lot to like about his bat. He puts the ball in play a ton, and Dixie Marsh thinks he could hit around .330. He's not much of a base stealer, but he has good footspeed and does well taking the extra base. A smart kid, Norman has held his own against advanced competition, and he could contribute to the big league club in just a few seasons. The tools are in place for a long professional career, but he'll have to stay healthy to reach his lofty potential. LF Clyde Parker (76th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 7th Round, 103rd Overall (1945) Alma Mater: Liberty Bluejays Turns out he's a Leo Mitchell type after all! It's almost as if Mitchell transferred all his power to Parker, who not only shot up the prospect rankings, but also had a breakout season at the plate. In 105 games with the Legislators, he posted a 161 WRC+ to go with a .338/.410/.523 (148 OPS+) season line. Parker added 26 doubles, 17 triples, 4 homers, 54 RBIs, 66 runs, and 46 walks in as complete of a performance as you'll get. Despite being a middling left fielder, he was worth 4.2 WAR fueled by an elevated .430 wOBA. Parker then got to participate in a pennant race with the Commodores, and he somehow managed to hit even better. September was his birthday month, as the now 22-year-old slashed an astronomical .423/.493/.592 (177 OPS+) with 16 doubles, 15 walks, and 20 RBIs. He was worth a full 2.2 wins above replacement in just 149 trips to the plate, and his 196 WRC+ would have led all qualified FABL hitters. His offensive capabilities were on full display, opening up the potential for an exciting big league career. Corner bats aren't in the most high demand, but I'm sure every team would take a potent bat wherever they can take it, and if he can just follow Mitchell and develop power in the big leagues he could make multiple All Star trips. Few players have as quality fo a hit tool as he does, so if he remains consistent he'll me penciled in the lineup night in and night out. RHP Harry Beardsley (81st Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 10th Round, 156th Overall (1946) Alma Mater: Arkansas A&T Badgers The prospect people just can't make up their minds on Harry Beardsley, and I feel like I've seen him anywhere from 50th to 350th. A four-pitch pitcher, Beardsley put together a strong first full season, going 10-12 with a 3.75 ERA (116 ERA+) on the pennant winning Commodores. His 4.72 FIP (108 FIP-) was a bit concerning, but he had a respectable 1.33 WHIP with 96 strikeouts and 76 walks in his 23 starts. He's shown the ability to pitch deep into games, reaching 140 pitches twice and tossing a team high 15 complete games. Always cool and collected, Beardsley does a great job controlling his emotion on the mound, allowing him to work out of jams and limit damage. He mixes his pitches well, and while his change up is the headliner, his other three offerings can be lethal. His sinker should keep the ball in his park, his slider is effective on same-side hitters, and he can live in the higher parts of the zone with his fastball. His stuff is best when he's around the strike zone, so if he can keep the ball in the park he'll be able to fill the middle of a rotation. 24 in December, he'll move up to Milwaukee to start next season, and there's a high chance he'll be in camp this Spring to get a few innings early. He's the type of guy I'd love to get some time in the CWL, as he's a durable innings eater who will only get better the more he pitches. Unlike Berry, he's not on the 40 since this is only his third pro season. This makes a big league debut for him not likely despite being the most advanced of our pitching prospects. A team with an offensive surplus in need of starting pitching could be interested in Beardsley, but my guess is he'll break camp with us next spring.
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10-14-2023, 05:19 PM | #1233 |
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Top Prospects: 11-15
CF Jeff King (122nd Overall)
Acquired: Via Draft: 3rd Round, 40th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Millville Middies One of our two third rounders this year, Jeff King was supposed to function in somewhat of a utility role, but instead his season ended after nine games due to elbow inflammation. Even when healthy, he didn't perform much, going just 8-for-25 with a triple and 3 RBIs. He struck out 7 times in 29 trip to the plate and didn't draw a single walk. Just 18, it's really a lost season for King, who has experience in the middle infield and all three outfield spots. I initially wanted him to play a little infield, but even if he did stay healthy, the La Crosse infield was pretty full. Next season for King will be big, as he's a very exciting prospect who can play all around the diamond. He as an elite hit tool, projecting to hit up to even .350, and even though he didn't walk here, he's got the plate discipline to walk up to 70 times a year. He's got great speed too, and at 6'3'' there's always the hope that he'll develop legit home run power later. There are a lot of unknowns regarding the Millville native, so I'm really hoping he can stay healthy next year. CF Bob Allie (125th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 3rd Round, 36th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Millville Middies Taken a few picks before Jeff King, Bob Allie ranks a few spots lower in the prospect list, and unlike King, he was able to stay in the lineup all year. A natural centerfielder, he appeared in 14 or more games at all three outfield pots, and hit a respectable .332/.372/.449 (96 OPS+) in 58 games. A prospect who relies on his athleticism, "Alley Cat" has excellent speed, swiping 9 bases in 10 tries, adding in 7 doubles, 3 triples, and 3 homers with 30 runs and 21 RBIs. He has a quick bat and excellent pitch recognition skills, so when he makes contact the ball tend to be hit hard. Dixie Marsh thinks the now 19-year-old will develop average power, which would only increase his value as a prospect. He hasn't looked that great defensively, so double digit homers would be huge, as he may end up moving to a corner spot. What could work in his favor is his work ethic, so if he keeps working at it his defense out in center may improve. I'm hoping the poor metrics (-1.5, .986) are more from inexperience and having to move around a lot, as with his speed you'd generally expect excellent range in the outfield. I do like his bat enough that he could make a career in a corner, but he's most valuable out in center. 3B Amos Peterson (130th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 2nd Round, 26th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Union City Golden Tornadoes Our first pick in the most recent draft, Amos "A-Train" Peterson had an awful first taste of pro ball, hitting just .196/.274/.339 (46 OPS+) -- less then half as good as the UMVA's league average hitter. He did have a few extra base hits, 7 doubles and 3 homers in 124 trips to the plate, but he struck out in 30% of his trips to the plate. The versatile switch hitter did play well at third (4.7, 1.065), but I expected a lot more from his bat. He should develop into a solid hitter, and he's a strong kid who can really put a jolt into mistake pitches. There's a chance for 20+ homers, as his raw strength should develop into home runs. He may never hit for a high average, but he has a quality eye and should make even the toughest pitchers work. Eventually he'll get the strikeouts down, but until then he's likely not going to produce a lot of offense. If everything breaks right, he'll be an above average player, but he's got a tough road of development ahead of him and as high as the ceiling is, the floor may be pretty low. RF Jimmy Hairston (135th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 4th Round, 61st Overall (1943) Alma Mater: Bowman Mohawks Former 4th Rounder Jimmy Hairston got added to the 40 last offseason, but instead of getting an eventual big league callup, the former 4th Rounder spent his entire season in AAA Milwaukee. He hit .268/.365/.424 (100 OPS+) -- exactly league average in terms of OPS+ -- but his 112 WRC+ is much more impressive. 24 in January, Hairston had a nice little power surge, launching 16 homers with 76 runs, 21 doubles, 2 triples, 72 RBIs, and 68 walks. He'll be in camp next spring to earn a big league roster spot, but I expect him to return to AAA to get every day at bats next year. Dixie is a big fan of the righty, thinking he has "the talent to flourish in the majors." He'll maintain a high average with a solid walk-to-strikeout ratio, and the increase in power is really nice. He led the team in homers and was one of just six players in the league to hit more then 15. Corner outfielders aren't the most in demand quantity, but we do have a relative weakness in left, and Hairston could eventually get a chance to fill it. If he gets off to a hot start, and none of Luke Berry, Leo Mitchell, or Chubby Hall seize the job, Hairston could work hi way into the Cougar lineup. 1B Cal Rice (143rd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 10th Round, 158th Overall (1945) Alma Mater: Farmington Tigers Like Clyde Parker, Cal Rice had a huge ascent in the prospect rankings, and he now checks in as our highest ranked first basemen prospect. He started the season in San Jose, hitting a solid .294/.364/.449 (110 OPS+) with 34 doubles, 5 triples, 3 homers, and 56 RBIs in 388 trips to the plate. This earned him a promotion to Lincoln, where he slashed a slightly below average .269/.354/.392 (99 OPS+), with a bit better 106 WRC+ in 47 games. Rice matched his home run total in almost half the time, adding 10 doubles with near equal (23) walks and strikeouts (25). That was pretty impressive for the lefty, who turned 21 this August and has looked advanced for his age. He doesn't have the traditional power you see with most first basemen, more of a Ray Ford then a Red Bond type, so he'll have to keep his strikeout down and his averages high. He will draw plenty of walks, but I'm not sure the hit tool is good enough to sustain .300 averages in the majors. Still, both Dixie and OSA think he'll start in the big leagues, but we have a lot of guys who can play first, so he'll have to separate himself from the pack to play regularly in Chicago.
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10-15-2023, 03:42 PM | #1234 |
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Join Date: Mar 2018
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Top Prospects: 16-20
SS Cecil Burr (154th Overall)
Acquired: Via Draft: 5th Round, 71st Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Anacortes Seahawks Another member of the 1948 class, Cecil Burr took a step back in his senior year at Anacortes, but the prospect people were still enticed with his skill, and he even entered a few mock drafts. The 18-year-old spent his time with us in La Crosse, spending most of his time at his natural shortstop position. He managed to hit above .300 in 160 PAs, but his .309/.335/.443 (85 OPS+) line was still significantly below average. He did post a more impressive 91 WRC+, and with decent defense (0.4, 1.017) he was still worth a bit above replacement level (0.3) in his first 46 games. A hard working infielder, he's fast and athletic, which should translate to at least average, if not better, defense up the middle. He's a bit of a light hitter, but he makes consistent contact and groundballs aren't bad for him. With his speed, any chopper on the grass could turn into a single, and he's a nice base stealer as well. He swiped 8 bags this year and his 3 triples were impressive as well. Not much power yet, but at 6'2'' there's chance the teen could still add muscle. His bat is still a work in progress, but there is a lot to like about his game so far. Both Dixie and OSA call him a "frontrunner for an audition as a shortstop," which is reasonable considering the combination of upside and risk. He's a bit less then a decade younger the Skipper, so there's a chance he could eventually surpass our superstar shortstop once he's fully developed. CF Frank Reece (162nd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 2nd Round, 20th Overall (1946) Alma Mater: Villisca Bluejays The prospect pickers have soured on Frank Reece, who dropped out of the top 100 this season despite a pretty solid year. The now 21-year-old was back at San Jose, hitting .286/.388/.386 (101 OPS+) with 19 doubles, 3 triples, 8 homers, 51 RBIs, and 21 steals. He had a solid 113 WRC+ and 3.3 WAR with a few more walks (78) then strikeouts (72). He scored 90 runs in 572 trips to the plate, and spent 200+ inning at all three outfield spots. He looked amazing in right, posting a 4.3 arm rating with a 3.3 zone rating (1.026 eff) in 512.1 innings. With his speed, I'd love for him to stick in center, but we have so many great center fielders and it's hard to ignore how impressive his arm has looked. I do like his bat enough if he has to make the move to a corner, as he has a compact and clean swing that allows him to hit the ball hard to all fields. With his speed, any ball in the gap is at least a double, and in the wider parks he could make it to third or potentially all the way home. He has solid power potential too, as he's able to elevate mistakes and hit them a long way. Even with our outfield logjam, I want him in Lincoln to start the season, as I believe he could still be an above average big league outfielder. If not, the speed will always earn him a role, as a capable 4th outfielder who can pinch run is a nice addition to any bench. RHP Zane Kelley (165th Overall) Acquired: Via Trade with Kings (1947) Drafted: 7th Round, 102nd Overall (1944) Alma Mater: Media Lions Half of the Hank Barnett return, Zane Kelley shot up the prospect rankings, going from unranked to #165 overall. After a strong season with Mobile last year where he went 11-12 with a 3.97 ERA (106 ERA+) and 3.45 FIP (82 FIP-), the 22-year-old righty was in Milwaukee to start the season, and he led the Blues rotation all season. An awful September (0-3, 7.17, 8) tried to sabotage his season, but he still finished an impressive 13-8 with a 4.15 ERA (109 ERA+) and 1.49 WHIP. He made 24 starts, threw 188.2 innings, and walked (61) as many hitters as he struck out. I debated giving him a late season callup to get a start or two, but since we were still in the playoff hunt up until the final week of the season, he didn't get added onto the 40 until the offseason as he would have been Rule-5 eligible. A natural starter, Dixie Marsh think he would be the bet reliever in our system, so he'll be given a shot to earn a pen spot this spring. He's still working on finishing his arsenal, as right now he's really just a cutter-change pitcher. His sinker and fastball need some work, which could keep him out of a big league rotation. He does have the stamina to go deep, reaching 130 pitches multiple times this season. Kelley is likely best served returning to Milwaukee to pitch every sixth day, but he's one of our top options for depth, and could be a good rotation filler if someone misses a week or two. SS Buddy Jenkins (167th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 5th Round, 77th Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Whitman Panthers It was a tough season for Buddy Jenkins, who due to the logjam of low minors middle infielders, had to spend all season in San Jose. 19 for most of the season, Buddy was overmatched at the plate, hitting just .283/.357/.365 (87 OPS+) with 8 doubles, 7 triples, 5 homers, 42 RBIs, and 11 steals. He did manage to draw 52 walks with 64 strikeouts in 515 PAs, so even if the balls in play weren't landing, he still worked the count well. Jenkins has excellent pitch recognition skills, and with his speed, a walk can be the perfect inning extender. His speed allows him to play all around the diamond, appearing at game at first, second, third, left, short, and right. He spent most of his time at short, and even though he didn't get innings in center, he's got experience there too. A prototypical utility guy, Jenkins has a very high floor as a Tip Harrison type. I do think the bat will eventually develop enough where he can play everyday, but his offensive ability is centered around his discipline. He doesn't put the ball in play much and even though he hit a few homers this year, power doesn't seem likely to be something he can keep up. A bounce back season would be huge for the former 5th Rounder, as he was not to happy about how his season went. SS Archie Cunningham (168th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 8th Round, 116th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Carolina Poly Cardinals On draft day, I thought Archie was the secondary Cunningham brother. Instead, he's now a top 200 prospect coming off an impressive first pro stint. Him and Dick made up the San Jose middle infield, where he provided above average offense (109 WRC+) and defense (1.7, 1.024) at short while stealing 14 bases in just 15 attempts. Speed is a huge part of A.C.'s game, as he hit an impressive 10 triples in 233 PAs. He hit a nice .276/.378/.408 (104 OPS+) with 3 doubles, a homer, and 21 RBIs. He drew 33 walks to just 26 strikeouts, worth a solid 1.7 WAR in 57 games. Now 22, the switch hitting shortstop is starting to establish himself as a legitimate prospect, combining excellent discipline and speed with a strong arm and plus range. He could be a quick riser, and him and Dick will move up the ladder together. He's a bit too arrogant, which could prevent him from being a popular guy in the clubhouse. Despite being 20th in our system, he's the 10th highest ranked shortstop prospect, and could end up being a reliable everyday player. I think the prospect people are a bit too nice to him, he looks like more of a bench bat then anything, but with a few solid seasons he could work his way into a big league lineup.
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10-16-2023, 07:36 PM | #1235 |
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Top Prospects: 21-25
2B Bob Schmelz (173rd Overall)
Acquired: Via Trade with Detroit (1945) Drafted: 1st Round, 11th Overall (1942) Alma Mater: Dravosburg Flyers Shoulder tendinitis in July cost Bob Schmelz a full month, and prevented him from getting a longer look on the big league club. We were in need of a bat to improve the lineup and a roster spot was available. Instead, Schmelz finished the Century League season in Milwaukee, only appearing in Chicago for the final two week of the season. The former 1st Rounder tore up AAA pitching, slashing .324/.429/.498 (134 OPS+) with 20 doubles, 6 triples, 13 homers, and 75 RBIs. Schmelz had an elite 15.4 BB% with 76 walks compared to just 29 strikeouts (5.9 K%). His 149 WRC+ was higher then team leader Red Bond (142), and despite not being much of a defender he was worth 3.4 WAR in 113 games. He played just two games with the Cougars, hitting into four outs in four tries. 24 in November, Schmelz has one option left, so a numbers game may keep him off the Opening Day roster. He'll be with the team in camp, but with Ray Ford returning for year eleven there's not much room for a bat-first player. Plus if I keep him in Milwaukee, he can work on his defense at second. He's done fine with the balls hit right at him, so perhaps more familiarity could allow him to improve his range. Otherwise there's the option to move him to left field, a spot that could use someone who can hit consistently. 1949 will be a big year for him, as he's on the cusp of earning a role on a big league club. CF Clyde Skinner (179th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 11th Round, 164th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: San Bernadino Falcons An AI pick, Clyde Skinner was actually a player I liked come draft day, and I was very excited to get him in the 11th Round. 19 in November, skinner was a four-year starter for the Falcons, and displayed an above average contact tool and eye. A natural center fielder, he's not one of the quickest players, which is why he spent most of his season in a corner. In terms of WRC+ (98), Skinner was almost exactly average in his first 126 trips to the plate, but his .301/.363/.416 (86 OPS+) triple splash was uninsipring. What surprised me was the poor walk (8, 6.3) and strike out numbers (28, 22.2), considering those are two things he should excel in. High school prospects tend to get off to tough starts on the three true outcomes, so I'm not worried about struggles in a small sample. Skinner will be back in La Crosse to start next season, and he'll have plenty of competition for the outfield spots. He's a longshot prospect, but he has the tools to be an average big leaguer, and if he works at it he could find himself in a big league lineup. 1B Dudley Sapp (181st Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 3rd Round, 45th Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Union City Bulldogs It was a tale of two seasons for Dudley Sapp, who was elite in La Crosse and awful in San Jose. Last year's 3rd Rounder hit an impressive .433/.486/.507 (138 OPS+) in 76 PAs with the Lions, but it dropped to just .233/.291/.247 (40 OPS+) in 79 PAs with the Cougars. He hit his only homer in Class C and had just one extra base hit (a double) against the tougher competition. A towering 6'4'' righty, Sapp is best known for his pop, but the homers just weren't there this year. He should be a 20+ home run guy when fully developed, so it was really concerning to see such a low output in year two. Off-speed pitches have been tough on him, so he'll have to make an adjustment as he moves up the system, and the new logjam at first is hurting his time in the lineup. He may be stuck waiting in La Crosse or he'll be in a timeshare with Charlie Everitt in San Jose. If the longballs come quickly he'll be playing every day, but he hasn't done enough to separate himself from the pack yet. While he's a solid defender, his big league success is tied to his power, and if he reaches his potential he may be the perfect first basemen for our stadium. SS Willie Watson (233rd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 10th Round, 157th Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Evansville Eagles The defense was great all year long for Willie Watson, who posted elite numbers at both second (2.6, 1.114) and short (1.71, 1.152), tallying over 100 innings at both spots. That will have to remain the case for the Illinois native, as Watson isn't the most dangerous hitter, and he hit just .298/.338/.347 (64 OPS+) with 6 double and 19 RBIs in 136 trips to the plate. 20 in December, the former 10th Rounder is the ultimate all-glove, no-bat infielder, so I'm not all too concern about the lack of offense. Don't get me wrong, I want a lot better then a 71 WRC+, but he's still young enough to make improvements at the plate. If he can give better at bats and put the ball in play, he could at least move runners up, and with solid speed he can do damage on the basepaths. I don't think he'll ever hit enough to play every day at short, but I like his chance to become a capable defensive substitute that could fill out a bench. CF Harley Dollar (233rd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 7th Round, 131st Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Nutley Maroon Raiders 1948 was a season to forget for Harley Dollar, who struggled at all three levels he played at. Between Class A, B, and C, Dollar had just 6 doubles, a triple, and a homer in 76 games, and in his largest sample, 165 PAs with San Jose, he hit just .220/.309/.241 (43 OPS+) with 17 runs, 14 RBIs, and 18 walks. A natural centerfielder, "Easy Money" spent most of his time in right, where he was just average (0.8, 1.009) in almost 400 innings. He does have the range to stick in center, but we have so many other better defensive center fielders that he may have to get used to right. That means he's going to have to hit better, and just a single home run is unacceptable. Or at least if you can't hit high in the .300s. Dollar may be able to do that, and he did hit a much better .237/.318/.421 (108 OPS+) with San Jose last season. Dixie doesn't think he's ready to leave La Crosse, so I'm not sure where he's going to end up starting next season. It would be nice to move some of my prospects to open up lineup spots, and Dollar could be one of the odd men out. The trade front is quiet so far, but if player start to be available, Dollar could be one of the many prospects I dangle to upgrade the big league team.
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10-17-2023, 02:14 PM | #1236 |
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Cuban Winter League: Rosters
No sim tomorrow and possibly Thursday, so the offseason will continue to drag on slowly (at least I have more top prospects to cover!), but Cuban Winter League rosters were officially announced today, and the team looks far better then last year. Our commish set the rosters himself, so instead of a bunch of scrubs representing us, the Santa Clara Stallion get some legit prospect representing the Cougars, including a few guys on the 40:
RHP Harry Beardsley (#119 Prospect) LHP Ron Berry* (#74 Prospect) LHP Ben Clough (#372 Prospect) RHP Zane Kelley* (#224 Prospect) C Mike Bordes* 2B Bob Schmelz* (#165 Prospect) SS Elmer Grace (#49 Prospect) SS Rupert Heinbaugh (#342 Prospect) CF Johnny Peters* (#40 Prospect) RF Jimmy Hairston* (#131 Prospect) *Represents on 40-Man Roster Not only are there some very exciting prospects, but most of our higher touted guys are going to be playing regularly. The first half of the Stallions rotation is all Cougars, with Zane Kelley, Harry Beardsley, and Ron Berry leading the rotation. I'm excited to see these guys get extra innings, and for Kelley in particular to face some tough competition to prepare for Spring Training. The lineup is also led by Cougars, with the front four comprised of Johnny Peters (LF), Elmer Grace (2B), Bob Schmelz (1B), and Jimmy Hairston (RF). Both Peters and Grace will get time at secondary positions I already wanted them getting more time at. Then Rupert Heinbaugh (3B) bats seventh, so the only one of our prospects on the bench is backup catcher Mike Bordes, who may get a chance to relieve former 4th Overall Pick Ike Perry. With a lot of off days, the starters are able to play most games, so it's clutch that our guys will be getting regular time. Each week I'll cover some of the top performers as the Stallions try to improve on an awful 10-32 season last year. A lot can be blamed on their insistence to uses Dick Garcia in the rotation, but a lot falls on the AI for picking poor players from our system. At first glance, only Jimmy Hairston and Bob Schmelz returned from last year, and they were our two most exciting selection from last year. Since I assume every team is better then last year, it's not a sure thing to say the Stallions can compete, but at least now they have a chance to contend in the four team division.
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10-17-2023, 07:57 PM | #1237 |
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Top Prospects: 26-30
1B John Kerr (241st Overall)
Acquired: Via Draft: 5th Round, 65th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Chicopee Pacers Our 5th Round selection this spring, John Kerr had a rough senior season at Chicopee before the wheels completely fell off in La Crosse. Kerr made just 65 trip to the plate, hitting a meager .200/.250/.317 (35 OPS+) with 17 strikeouts to just 3 walks. The first sacker did hit two out of the park, but very little went right in year one. As worrying as this year was, there is plenty to like about the 6'4'' slugger, who reminds me a lot of the prospect ranked a few spots ahead of him, Dudley Sapp. He does a great job squaring up the ball, and when he gets a hold of one it tends to travel a long way. The 19-year-old generates a lot of power with his quick bat, and despite what he showed in his small sample this summer, he is an advanced hitter for his age. At his peak, he should be able to walk more then he strikes out while adding 20+ home runs. The main issue with Kerr is the Vlad Jr effect: too many balls hit on the ground. It's hard to hit home runs when you're too busy grounding into double plays, as the sinker could be a weakness of his if he doesn't improve his launch angle. There's a lot of development time ahead of Kerr, so bumps along the road are to be expected, but with little defensive value Kerr will have to get the bat working quickly if he wants to keep playing every day. LF Charlie Harvey (290th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 11th Round, 172nd Overall (1946) Alma Mater: LaSalle Cavaliers One of the many Chicago natives in our season, Charlie Harvey put together the best season of his three year career. He hasn't been able to get consistent playing time as a corner outfielder in La Crosse, but he hit an impressive .375/.433/.484 (119 OPS+) with 8 doubles, 2 homers, and 22 RBIs in 142 trips to the plate. Harvey appeared in a career high 51 games with a career high 141 WAR, .424 wOBA, and 1.1 WAR in his third season with the Lions. If everything goes according to plan, there will be no year four for Harvey, as he's set to move up to San Jose and join Jerry Smith in the Cougars outfield. An 11th Rounder from 1946, Harvey is a natural left fielder who has experience at first and right as well, and is one of the harder workers in the system. Somewhat of a Clyde Parker-lite, Harvey is a one-dimensional hitter who's best and only plus tool is his contact. It's better then that, as the lefty swinger should hit consistently above .300 while putting a lot of balls in play. I'm not sure if he'll ever walk much, but strikeouts don't appear to be an issue for Harvey, who seems to be the type of hitter who can take advantage of weak defenses. He'll hit the ball where he wants to early in the count, and can foul off tough pitches to stay alive. OSA is a bigger fan of him then I, as I view Harvey as a bench bat now, but he's young has room to grow into a useful lineup member. LHP Dutch Yoak (293rd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 2nd Round, 19th Overall (1945) Alma Mater: La Porte Renegades It was a down season for the former 2nd Rounder Dutch Yoak, who has yet to display any of the mastery he once did in high school. Yoak spent all year in San Jose, and was hit hard in 24 starts. His 10-12 record isn't bad, but his 5.32 ERA (83 ERA+) and 1.66 WHIP were very poor. The 21-year-old walked (70) just one fewer hitter then he struck out (71). I'm sure the hardworking southpaw will spend all season trying to figure out what went wrong. The imposing 6'4'' Yoak will want to add some mustard to his fastball, as if he can sit in the 90s his viability will greatly improve. His fastball is currently his weakest pitch, as he doesn't locate it as well as he needs to. His change and curve are effective out of the zone, but he won't get chases if hitters know the fastball won't be an issue. To make things worse, he's started allowing more flyballs, and in our park that's a dangerous habit. It would pain me to move Yoak, but he's developed into a pitcher that seems better suited for one of the spacious Continental Association parks. 2B Roxy Hilts (303rd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 4th Round, 59th Overall (1946) Alma Mater: Cedarburg Bulldogs Roxy Hilts had a great start to his season, hitting .383/.418/.533 (146 OPS+) in 44 games with San Jose. Roxy added 10 doubles, 6 triples, a homer, and 20 RBIs, while worth an impressive 2 wins above replacement. This earned him a promotion to Lincoln, where he finished out his season despite not turning 20 until June. The former 4th Rounder managed to improve his BB% (4.9 to 6.5) and K% (15.8 to 14.8), but despite that his triple slash was a below average .280/.329/.358 (83 OPS+). That's still respectable for someone his age, and I think he'll fair far better next season as he hit .359/.423/.438 (129 OPS+) in 17 September games. Dixie has noticed Roxy's approach improving, as he's made noticeable strides in cutting down his swing and miss. As a guy who doesn't hit for much power, low strikeouts are ideal, and since he's a solid base runner balls in play are always a good thing. I'm still not sold on the glove at second, but it's not nearly as poor as a second basemen like Bob Schmelz or Ray Ford. He should be at least adequate, if not better, but to play every day he'll need to be a force at the plate. CF Phil Boyes (311th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 5th Round, 76th Overall (1946) Alma Mater: Benton Zephyrs We have a lot of outfield prospects so it's been tough for Phil Boyes to hold down a spot long term. He almost got to his first 200 PA season this year, making 196 in 63 games for San Jose. He started 10 or more games at all three outfield spots, and the now 21-year-old hit .259/.337/.394 (89 OPS+) with 9 doubles, 4 triples, 2 homers, and 22 RBIs. A natural center fielder, Boyes is pretty fast, and while that translates to range it does not translate to steals. He doesn't get good jumps and it's quick enough to make up for it, but he does pick up his share of extra base hits. He has more gap then home run power, but seems to be the type of hitter to stay around .275. That feels like more fourth outfielder level then every day starter, but there's a chance all he needs is more regular playing time to shine. I don't think he's going to get that at the start of the season, as I imagine him, Harvey, Smith, and Frank Reece will all share time in the San Jose outfield. He could also be a cheap piece for an outside team who needs a floor of a 4th outfielder who can handle center field. 1949 could be an important year for Boyes, as a productive offensive season could seperate him from the pack.
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10-18-2023, 01:24 PM | #1238 |
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Top Prospects: 31-35
RF Harry Austin (338th Overall)
Acquired: Via Draft: 3rd Round, 44th Overall (1943) Alma Mater: New Athens Yellow Jackets 1948 was a breakout year at the plate for Harry Austin, who had a 5-for-5m two Players of the Week, and a Player of the Month for the Lincoln Legislators. A former regional round pick, Austin appeared in a personal high 138 games, the first time he even surpassed 80 in a full year. I won't go through all his new bests, but the lefty slugged 11 homers and drove in 75 runs with a .319/.383/.452 (122 OPS+) triple slash. He produced an impressive 133 WRC+ and 3.3 WAR with 29 doubles, 5 triples, and 77 runs. He drew 52 walks and struck out just 33 times, with the 5.5 K% in line with Sal Pestilli (5.4). He played well enough to earn a promotion to Mobile, but with outfield spots filling up quickly, he may have to give it another go in Lincoln. A bat first prospect, Austin's talent is not evenly distributed, as his hit tool is elite and the rest is maybe average at best. He puts the ball in play a lot, hits the ball hard, and won't swing and miss very often, making him one of the toughest outs in any lineup. As a Rule-5 eligible prospect, there's a chance someone can give him a shot on the big league roster, but chances are Austin will be back in our system next year, and he'll have a chance to hit his way into the upper minors. CF Doc Zimmerman (344th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 5th Round, 68th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Bryan Rams A 5th Round pick in the most recent draft, Doc Zimmerman was highly effective with the bat, producing a 138 WRC+ in his first 155 trips to the plate. He hit almost .400, checking in at .399/.425/.503 (121 OPS+) with 13 doubles, a triple, 16 RBIs, and 7 steals. The defense out in center wasn't great (-0.8, .986), but he's quick and should be able to range far and wide to make plays in the outfield. Still, he may be better suited for a corner, where he'll have to hit his weight to stay in the lineup. I'm shocked he hit so high this year, but average a bit above and below .300 can be expected for Doc. Power will never be part of his game, but he has a good eye and with his speed he should be able to hit for a ton of extra base hits. Then when he's on the bases he can do even more damage, always a threat to steal a base or force the defense to make a decision. He's on the younger side, not turning 18 until February, so I have to imagine it will be a slow climb up the ladder for him. Add in the limited playing time and it may be tough for him to reach his potential, but he's got all the talent to play in the majors. SS Rupert Heinbaugh (352nd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 7th Round, 107th Overall (1945) Alma Mater: Weedsport Warriors 22 later this month, Rupert Heinbaugh will spend his birthday in Santa Clara, where he's been penciled into the Stallions lineup at third base. That's the position he made the fewest (12) appearances at, appearing at second 53 times and short on 74 occasions. Like Austin, he had an excellent season, as after posting a 42 WRC+ in 52 games with the Legislators last year, he hit an inflated .318/.385/.475 (128 OPS+) with 23 doubles, 7 triples, 4 homers, 5 steals, and 47 RBIs in 357 trips to the plate. He was worth almost 3 WAR (2.9) and walked (33) as about often as he struck out (36). He earned himself a promotion to Mobile where he was just as effective, slashing .352/.414/.455 (122 OPS+) with 12 doubles, a triple, a homer, and 16 RBIs. His 132 WRC+ was a personal best, and he walked 18 times with just 10 strikeouts. Heinbaugh now has the opportunity to further his development even more, and with a strong showing out in Cuba he could position himself for a big league callup next season. It would be a nice final step for the former 7th Rounder, who looks like a nice supplemental piece for a big league club. 1B Charlie Everitt (356th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 14th Round, 212th Overall (1948) Alma Mater: Cowpens State Fighting Green One of the many Cowpens State alums we selected in the most recent draft, Charlie Everitt joined a very crowded first base picture in our organization. As a 14th Rounder, he came courtesy of the AI, and was one of the few useful picks from that portion of the draft. He split time between the lineup and the bench, hitting .333/.432/.383 (112 OPS+) for San Jose. No homers for the towering lefty (6'4'', 230 lbs), but he hit 4 doubles and sported an impressive 13-to-6 walk-to-strikeout ratio. He's a very disciplined hitter with an above average contact tool, and you have to believe with his pure strength he can hit some absolute moonshots. Still, neither OSA or Dixie Marsh mention anything about his ability to hit home runs, despite projecting him to be an "average big leaguer." When it comes to first basemen, I want power, and the only away around that is an elite hit tool. Everitt's is plus at best, so unless he makes an improvement in either tool, he's going to need to find a new home for regular playing time. RHP Tommy Seymour (363rd Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 1st Round, 13th Overall (1943) Alma Mater: Olathe Pioneers Our first rounder back in 1943, Tommy Seymour has yet to reach AA, splitting his season this year between San Jose and Lincoln. He made 11 starts at each stop, with similar ERA+ (118 and 119), walks (33 and 32), and strikeouts (45 to 41) in about the same innings (79.1 and 71.2). As expected, the peripherals were better in San Jose, where he had a 3.81 FIP (85 FIP-) -- far superior to the 4.36 (107 FIP-) he had in Lincoln. A three pitch pitcher, Seymour's stuff just never developed, as while his change is great, the fastball and splitter aren't too dangerous. I expected him to eventually throw in the 90s, but he's still sitting at 85-87 and this may be the max for him. It's a shame the now 23-year-old never showed much growth, as he had so much in place to become a rotation member. Instead, 1949 may be his last season as a starter, as there are a lot of talented young pitchers that deserve the innings more then him. If he stays effective, he'll keep his rotation spot, but I need him to produce early in the season so he can finish in Mobile. At one time he looked like a future ace, but now we'll be lucky if eats a few innings in our pen when it's all said and done.
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10-19-2023, 08:15 PM | #1239 |
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Top Prospects: 36-40
CWL games start tomorrow, so it's super convenient that I was able to finish the top prospects today. We are also starting to approach the Rule-5 draft, which will happen on Monday. Our 40 is full, but even if it wasn't, I wouldn't have added anyone else. I don't think we'll lose anyone, but if we do, it may be a good thing as I have too many guys I want to give time to. It's fun seeing the depth guys excel elsewhere, but I don't think we have many exciting prospects who are close to big league ready and eligible to be elected.
RHP Lee Parker (368th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 15th Round, 236th Overall (1946) Alma Mater: Marysville Monarchs A 15th Round Pick two seasons ago, Lee Parker has been a regular starter in the Lions rotation for the past two seasons, going 9-6 in 16 starts. This year he went 4-2, but his 5.33 ERA (94 ERA+) was on the high side. His 4.78 FIP (95 FIP-) and 1.39 WHIP were much better, and he walked just 10 with 36 strikeouts in 52.1 innings. The 20-year-old is an intriguing five pitch pitcher, headlined by a viable curve that gets plenty of swings and misses. He's not a hard thrower, his fastball tops out at 87, but he does a good job mixing his pitches and living on the edges. One of the few pitchers in our system with great control, Parker walked just 4.4% of hitters he faced, and he's able to paint the black with ease. This will overcome any shortcomings in the velocity department, and with better stuff he could work his way into a big league role. He's not quite ready ready to move up to San Jose yet, so it may be another season of part-time play for Parker, but with a good offseason he could be ready for a promotion sometime next season. RHP George Carter (370th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 9th Round, 141st Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Bluegrass State Mustangs After a terrible start to his season in San Jose, he threw back-to-back shutouts and won five consecutive starts before earning a promotion to Lincoln. At the surface, a 4.19 ERA (106 ERA+) isn't the most impressive, but he was 7-2 with an excellent 3.78 FIP (85 FIP-) and 1.27 WHIP with 29 walks and 64 strikeouts. Up in Lincoln, his walk (6.5 to 5.7) and strikeout (14.4 to 11.7) percentages went in the wrong direction, leading to an elevated 5.51 ERA (74 ERA+) and poor 1-6 record. He threw just 65.1 innings in 10 starts, with an average 4.08 FIP (100 FIP-) and 1.41 WHIP. Thee 22-year-old Illinois native also dealt with a steep decline in the prospect rankings, but that doesn't give me much pause. The Bluegrass State Native does a great job finding the zone and getting pitchers to chase, and in his first pro season he maintained a K/BB above 2 at both levels. Those are qualities I love in a pitcher, and it should help counter some of his flyball issues. His change is as good as it gets, and if he can get his fastball in the 90s I have faith in his abilities as a big league starter. He's almost there now, and on a team in need of pitching he would be fast-tracked to the majors. Instead, our minor league staff will continue working on polishing his repertoire as we mold him into a reliable innings eater. SS John Price (380th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 9th Round, 140th Overall (1946) Alma Mater: Holy Cross Tigers With all the infielders down in La Crosse, John Price made more of his appearances off the bench, starting just 17 of his 51 games down in La Crosse. He did make the most of his offense, slashing .321/.366/.536 (113 OPS+) with 12 doubles, 2 homers, and 24 RBIs. His 122 WRC+ in 94 plate appearances was 30 points higher then it was in La Crosse last season, and as much as I want to move him up to San Jose, but our staff doesn't think he's ready for the challenge yet. Still, he's the next man up when an infielder is needed elsewhere in the system, so he may be pushed against harder competition. He's position-less at the moment, so I'm only focused on how his bat will develop. More reps is a great way to improve as a hitter, which makes it that much harder that the UMVA is back to being a short season league, as the guys who still can't drink yet don't get back to playing games in late April. I'm hoping guys like him take advantage of the time out to hit in the cage. With the bat speed he produces he's able to catch up to almost any pitch, so if he can start elevating the ball he could work his way into a lineup. He hits too many ground balls, and since his bet position may be third base, that's not a good combination. There's a lot to like here, but without improvement he's nothing more then a utility player, and the system will always add talented up the middle players in the draft. Price could be one of the guys lost in the shuffle, as he already played less then I wanted him this season. 1949 is a big year for the former 9th Rounder, and his best path to success is regular time in San Jose next spring. LHP Mike Emerson (390th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 4th Round, 61st Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Jamesville Bullets Only one Lion made double digit starts this season. That was Mike Emerson. A top-200 prospect as recently as last season, Mike Emerson was a 4th Round selection last season, and went 4-4 with a 4.48 ERA (112 ERA+) and 1.54 WHIP in his 11 starts. In 82.1 innings he walked 22 and struck out 63, good for a 2.7 K/BB ratio. OSA is not a fan of the 19-year-old lefty, but head scout Dixie Marsh thinks his hopes "are at the back end of a rotation." A four pitch pitcher, Emerson does a great job keeping the ball on the ground as all of his offerings have a lot of movement. None are all that great, but his change, curve, and cutter are serviceable pitches. The slider needs some work, so without a true headliner he's going to need to either learn how to work it in his game, or develop a true out pitch. Odds are he's back in La Crosse to start next season, but a strong offseason could see him up in San Jose before all the draftees look to take away his starts. RHP Fred Terry (404th Overall) Acquired: Via Draft: 8th Round, 115th Overall (1947) Alma Mater: Yellowhammer State Panthers Rounding out our top 40 is righty Fred Terry, who at 23 spent his season in Mobile with the Commodores. That was an aggressive placement for someone who was drafted last summer, but Terry had two excellent starts in San Jose before going 4-2 with a 2.98 ERA (142 ERA+) and 2.83 FIP (66 FIP-) in 8 starts. He looked really good in his first taste of upper minors action, going 13-6 with a 4.14 ERA (105 ERA+) and 1.47 WHIP in 23 starts. Terry threw an impressive 191.1 innings, and his 3.82 FIP (88 FIP-) was extremely impressive. This was due to just 5 home runs allowed, as he walked (51) almost as many hitters as he struck out (60). One thing that didn't carry over for Terry was high strikeout numbers, as his 15.2 K% in Lincoln (57.1 IP) was cut in half (7.2) in his first full season. That's an area to work on for the Yellowhammer State Alum, who seems likely to return to Mobile as the Commodores go on their title defense. He was a positive influence due to his immense dedication to the game, and he's always going to be valued for his clubhouse presence. I think he could be a reliable innings eater, but he seems destined to end up as an organizational pitcher. He doesn't seem likely to grow much, and with all the talented pitchers in our organization he seems likely to get lost in the shuffle.
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10-20-2023, 07:58 PM | #1240 |
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Cuban Winter League: Week 1
RF Jimmy Hairston (#136 Overall)
Acquired: Via Draft: 4th Round, 61st Overall (1943) AAA: .268/.365/.424 (100 OPS+), 558 PA, 21 2B, 3 3B, 16 HR, 72 RBI CWL: .444/.583/.778 (256 OPS+), 12 PA, HR, RBI A CWL veteran, Jimmy Hairston is off to a fast start this season, going 4-for-9 in the opening week with with three walks and a solo home run. Weeks like this were common for Hairston early last season as well, and in 42 games he hit .312/.385/.497 (113 OPS+) with 8 doubles, 8 homers, and 29 RBIs. This season he's not the only exciting prospect of ours on the Stallions, but it's fitting he's the first to make an impact at the plate. Hairston's hit tool seems to play well down in Cuba, as his ability to work counts and put the ball in play tends to be on display. Dixie thinks he can even hit .330 in the majors, which could be exactly what we need. 24 in January, Hairston could hit his way into our lineup. I haven't had much success finding a bat for the lineup, so a strong winter could give position him well for a midseason callup. If Chubby Hall and Luke Berry aren't getting it done, Hairston could fill the short side of a platoon with one of our lefty corner outfielders. It's still early and it seems like a longshot, but one thing I'd expect this season is Hairston getting his first call up to the major leagues. RHP Zane Kelley (#224 Overall) Acquired: Via Trade with Kings (1947) AAA: 13-8, 188.2 IP, 4.15 ERA (109 ERA+), 1.49 WHIP, 61 BB, 61 K CWL: 1-0, 9 IP, 2.00 ERA (186 ERA+), 1.00 WHIP, 2 BB, 3 K Santa Clara won their opener, as Zane Kelley helped the Stallions top the two-time pennant winning Manzanillo Palms 5-2. Kelley outdueled former Cougar draftee Foster Smith, who was part of the two player package used to bring in current Eagle Billy Riley. The 24-year-old has ranked as high as 48th on the prospect list, and is on the Stars 40-man roster. Him and Kelley both went all nine, as "The Thin Man" struck out 6 with 9 hits, 5 runs, and 3 walks. Dixie Marsh is a big fan, postulating his "frontline starter potential," and it may not be too long until we see him in the Stars rotation. Kelley doesn't have as easy of a path to a rotation spot, but the recently turned 23-year-old was named the Stallions ace and is more-or-less the honorary sixth starter on our staff. He will get another start at the end of this week, and I'm hoping he can be equally effective. Kelley allowed just 7 hits, 2 runs, and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts, throwing 127 pitches in his CWL debut. He was the only Stallion to win, as Harry Beardsley (4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K) and Ron Berry (8 IP, 9 H, 6 ER, 6 BB, 3 K) dropped their first starts.
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