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Perfect Team 22 Perfect Team 22 - The online revolution! Battle tens of thousands of PT managers from all over the world and become a legend. |
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#21 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: The belly of the beast
Posts: 1,498
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You nailed it here. If you match up a 113 win team (about a .700 winning percentage) against a .500 team, all other things being equal the .500 team still has a 1 in 6 chance of winning a five game series and a 1 in 8 chance in a seven game series. Playoffs may be fun but they are a tournament and are a horrible way of determining the “best” team.
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#22 |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Apr 2021
Posts: 57
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Welcome to my world. So far in '22, I've got 4 seasons with 100+ wins and 4 other seasons with 115+ wins and have not made it past the 2nd round in the playoffs yet. But I win more than my share of Open tourneys so I figure it's just a matter of time.
Last edited by Play4Thrills; 06-01-2021 at 05:17 PM. |
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#23 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,685
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you guys are making me feel bad for my extraordinary luck this year! 4 titles in 5 playoff appearances so far.
though I did just win 1 title all of last year, so maybe it's just my luck evening out. |
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#24 | |
All Star Reserve
Join Date: Nov 2020
Posts: 658
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Quote:
First trial: Lost in 5 Second trial: Lost in 5 Third trial: Lost in 5 Fourth trial: Won in 7 Fifth trial: Lost in 7 Total W-L: 10W-19L Maybe there's a hidden buff/debuff that hits teams randomly. Maybe it's something else. I really don't believe it was just simple odds and that I happened to witness a "1 in a million chance" the one time I put that to the test. |
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#25 | |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 61
Infractions: 0/1 (1)
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Quote:
EDIT: Washington Nationals fan here... Last edited by Southern_Aristocrat; 06-01-2021 at 05:47 PM. Reason: Cuz I felt like it |
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#26 |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 300
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Baseball playoffs are a crapshoot in real life.
They always have been. They aren't the NBA where players have much more of an influence over the course of any game. The goal should be to make the playoffs, anything past that will always have a combination of good luck with it. |
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#27 | |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: The belly of the beast
Posts: 1,498
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Quote:
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#28 | |
All Star Starter
Join Date: May 2014
Location: paper st.
Posts: 1,055
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Quote:
that's a nice run!
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#29 |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 319
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There are tons of factors to this as well. Is the team with the worse record really paying attention and adjusting team strategy, starting lineups, etc in the playoffs to target the opposing team? Did the worse team have bad #4 and 5 starters that don't factor in nearly as much in the playoffs? Did the team with the worse record just finish up negro league collections and add Gibson, Robinson, Charleston and Paige right at the end of the season or just get on a hot streak and pull some historical perfects that are difference makers?
Stuff like that can make a huge difference in a 7 game series vs the grind of a 162 game season just like in real life. Last edited by ncap99; 06-04-2021 at 02:14 AM. |
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#30 |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Apr 2021
Posts: 57
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Well I'm happy that after 8x 100+ win seasons without a championship, my team came in clutch on the first week where winning it all would get me to perfect team. Maybe dumping a pitcher to add 100 Heilman just for a few rare LHP DH opportunities made the difference. I can't say because I wasn't home and don't know how to see what happened in last season's playoffs! (The split by last year and double-split by playoffs doesn't show any data for any of my players.)
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#31 |
Minors (Rookie Ball)
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 47
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Id like to see the playoffs change. Make the WC a 3-game series. The DS 7-game. Or, just get rid of divisions, just have 2 leagues. Top 6 teams makes playoffs in each league. Top 2 teams get BYE into LDS. Then have 4 teams play in 5-game WC to see who goes against 1 and 2 seeds.
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#32 | |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: The belly of the beast
Posts: 1,498
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Quote:
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#33 |
Minors (Rookie Ball)
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 47
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Playoffs are a joke
Starting last season the playoffs became completely random. Just OOTP way to try and force people to spend more real money. Don't fall for it. There is no statistically accuracy with this game anymore. Just OOTP trying to manipulate everything to get more cash. It is really quite sad.
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#34 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 2,364
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Quote:
And what exactly does "completely random" mean? Are you saying the game is rolling dice for results without any dependence on players? If you honestly believe that, I'm not even sure what to say to you that doesn't get borderline. If you actually believe that stuff, find another game to play. Please. I'm really burned out hearing ridiculous conspiracies.
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#35 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Grayling, MI
Posts: 4,575
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If I was wealthy, I'd buy some of you cheese as a companion. If pouring money in was all it took, Steinbrenner would have had about 25 WS wins during his tenure. Out of politeness, I won't bring up the obvious corollary.
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"You could not live with your own failure. Where did that bring you? Back to me." Thanos |
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#36 | |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 300
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Quote:
Completely random, as in the likelihood of Mike Trout going 1-12 in a series is just as likely as he is going 10-12 in that same series if they played it again. Baseball and tiny sample sizes will always have wacky results. Not directing this next part at you, I'm pretty sure you understand that. He just doesn't seem to understand sample sizes and randomness that occurs all the time over baseball. It's just how baseball is set up to work. You want to know who the actual best baseball team is any given year? It's the one that won the most games over the course of 162 of them. You want to know who got hot and hit/pitched to the good end of the random results that baseball throws out over the course of a couple series? The team that wins the world series. |
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#37 |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 327
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Well.. the entire purpose of PT is to 'get more cash', just like every other game monetized in the same fashion in what has now sadly become an industry standard. The ethics of the methodology used have been widely discussed, and I won't repeat here.
However.. surely introducing 'randomness' would have the completely opposite effect to what you suggest? If you wish people to spend, then you want results to be predictable, not random. Spending will only lead to more spending if it produces a tangible advantage shown by results.
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#38 | |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 61
Infractions: 0/1 (1)
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Quote:
Last edited by Southern_Aristocrat; 06-21-2021 at 10:29 PM. |
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#39 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: The belly of the beast
Posts: 1,498
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Real life has a huge random element both at the player and the team level. My team had been a middle of the road Diamond crew but got knocked back to Gold for the first time last week. As expected, I shot through the regular season with 110 wins but lost my first round matchup against a 90 win team. It happens. So I’m still in Gold for at least another week but should have at least a two in three chance of getting back up into a Diamond League next week.
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#40 | |
All Star Starter
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,685
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Quote:
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