Statistical accuracy comparison between DMB and OOTP and Action Sports for 2016 season

orbops · 02-06-2026, 11:58 PM

I used the 2016 As Played Season to compare the statistical accuracy of DMB, OOTP and Action Sports. For all of them, I ran the sim 5 times.

For Team Batting, it looks like the accuracy of DMB and OOTP were very close, with Action Sports slightly below DMB and OOTP.
Team Batting
Avg OBP SLG Sim
0.255 0.322 0.417 Actual
0.254 0.32 0.416 DMB Avg
0.257 0.324 0.422 OOTP Avg
0.259 0.324 0.425 AS Avg

For Team Pitching, I left BABIP blank for Action Sports, because that stat isn't readily available without some additional calculations. DMB was slightly better than OOTP, with AS' ERA off by 7.1%
Team Pitching
ERA BABIP OPS Sim
4.19 0.297 0.739 Actual
4.20 0.295 0.736 DMB Avg
4.40 0.298 0.746 OOTP Avg
4.49 ----- 0.749 AS Avg

For Runs Scored, DMB was the closest to actual runs scored, with OOTP and Action Sports trailing behind.
Team Runs Scored
RS Sim Percent Delta
21744 Actual
22097 DMB Avg 1.62%
22814 OOTP Avg 4.92%
23294 AS Avg 5.42%

For Division Standings, the AL West gave the biggest discrepancy, with all 3 vendors showing on average that Houston winning the division. DMB matched the division winner in 5 of 6 races, OOTP and AS matched the division winner in 4 of 6 races,
Team Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins
AL East Boston 93 99 102 88
AL East Baltimore 89 88 80 87
AL East Toronto 89 92 94 82
AL East New York Yankees 84 77 73 82
AL East Tampa Bay 68 73 73 84
Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins
AL Central Cleveland 94 90 95 87
AL Central Detroit 86 81 91 90
AL Central Kansas 81 81 69 73
AL Central Chicago White Sox 78 83 73 75
AL Central Minnesota 59 63 67 63
Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins
AL West Texas 95 86 83 79
AL West Seattle 86 84 82 86
AL West Houston 84 87 87 95
AL West Los Angeles Angels 74 71 70 76
AL West Oakland 69 67 72 69
Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins
NL East Washington 95 98 93 97
NL East New York Mets 87 86 82 93
NL East Miami 79 80 78 83
NL East Philadelphia 71 65 67 78
NL East Atlanta 68 72 80 68
Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins
NL Central Chicago 103 104 115 112
NL Central St. Louis 86 82 91 97
NL Central Pittsburgh 78 80 71 73
NL Central Milwaukee 73 69 79 77
NL Central Cincinnati 68 67 66 66
Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins
NL West Los Angeles Dodgers 91 91 92 93
NL West San Francisco 87 90 95 83
NL West Colorado 75 86 73 61
NL West Arizona 69 70 76 64
NL West San Diego 68 66 64 66

This is where Action Sports lagged quite a bit behind DMB and OOTP to replay an entire season. In this case, I only ran the sim one time per vendor. Consider these times as relative based on my PC specs, but I would expect similar results in any PC hardware configuration.
Time to run a season Time (min:sec)
DMB 1:58
OOTP 1:20
Action sports 24:35

02-06-2026, 11:58 PM	#1
orbops Minors (Single A) Join Date: Sep 2017 Location: Cannon Beach, OR Posts: 80	Statistical accuracy comparison between DMB and OOTP and Action Sports for 2016 season I used the 2016 As Played Season to compare the statistical accuracy of DMB, OOTP and Action Sports. For all of them, I ran the sim 5 times. For Team Batting, it looks like the accuracy of DMB and OOTP were very close, with Action Sports slightly below DMB and OOTP. Team Batting Avg OBP SLG Sim 0.255 0.322 0.417 Actual 0.254 0.32 0.416 DMB Avg 0.257 0.324 0.422 OOTP Avg 0.259 0.324 0.425 AS Avg For Team Pitching, I left BABIP blank for Action Sports, because that stat isn't readily available without some additional calculations. DMB was slightly better than OOTP, with AS' ERA off by 7.1% Team Pitching ERA BABIP OPS Sim 4.19 0.297 0.739 Actual 4.20 0.295 0.736 DMB Avg 4.40 0.298 0.746 OOTP Avg 4.49 ----- 0.749 AS Avg For Runs Scored, DMB was the closest to actual runs scored, with OOTP and Action Sports trailing behind. Team Runs Scored RS Sim Percent Delta 21744 Actual 22097 DMB Avg 1.62% 22814 OOTP Avg 4.92% 23294 AS Avg 5.42% For Division Standings, the AL West gave the biggest discrepancy, with all 3 vendors showing on average that Houston winning the division. DMB matched the division winner in 5 of 6 races, OOTP and AS matched the division winner in 4 of 6 races, Team Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins AL East Boston 93 99 102 88 AL East Baltimore 89 88 80 87 AL East Toronto 89 92 94 82 AL East New York Yankees 84 77 73 82 AL East Tampa Bay 68 73 73 84 Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins AL Central Cleveland 94 90 95 87 AL Central Detroit 86 81 91 90 AL Central Kansas 81 81 69 73 AL Central Chicago White Sox 78 83 73 75 AL Central Minnesota 59 63 67 63 Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins AL West Texas 95 86 83 79 AL West Seattle 86 84 82 86 AL West Houston 84 87 87 95 AL West Los Angeles Angels 74 71 70 76 AL West Oakland 69 67 72 69 Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins NL East Washington 95 98 93 97 NL East New York Mets 87 86 82 93 NL East Miami 79 80 78 83 NL East Philadelphia 71 65 67 78 NL East Atlanta 68 72 80 68 Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins NL Central Chicago 103 104 115 112 NL Central St. Louis 86 82 91 97 NL Central Pittsburgh 78 80 71 73 NL Central Milwaukee 73 69 79 77 NL Central Cincinnati 68 67 66 66 Real W DMB Wins OOTP Wins AS Wins NL West Los Angeles Dodgers 91 91 92 93 NL West San Francisco 87 90 95 83 NL West Colorado 75 86 73 61 NL West Arizona 69 70 76 64 NL West San Diego 68 66 64 66 This is where Action Sports lagged quite a bit behind DMB and OOTP to replay an entire season. In this case, I only ran the sim one time per vendor. Consider these times as relative based on my PC specs, but I would expect similar results in any PC hardware configuration. Time to run a season Time (min:sec) DMB 1:58 OOTP 1:20 Action sports 24:35 __________________ Last edited by orbops; 02-07-2026 at 01:01 PM.