Drafting strategy

Birdland24 · 08-10-2021, 04:11 PM

All I wanted to get some ideas on what you look for before the amateur draft? How much focus do you put on your scouts scouting reports?
College and high school stats?
Personality?
Potential overall?

I’m just trying to get some ideas because the draft has become boring because I don’t know what I’m looking and usually just let the scouting director make the suggestion and I go with it. But I think that takes the fun away from the draft?

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NoOne · 08-10-2021, 10:11 PM

1) TALENT (potential... more sophisticated when assessing a batter or pitcher than just 1-sized 'potential rating')

2) ... other stuff.

Try to look at tiers of talent relative to what is avilable... once ubiquitous, you can relly on those secondary traits.

don't forego 5 much better rted players because some middling guy has a better work ethic... work ethic isn't going to change potential.

when the ratings are much closer, then you can use those tidbits to push the scale one way or another, but i wouldn't cast too wide of a net in the first round, for example, and double for a top 5-10 pick. might only look at 2-3 players seriously, if drafting #1 even though you do your due diligence and look a bit more.

same process with FA, swapping development concerns for aging concerns. you aren't signing a guy for his personality... you sign him for those 30-40hr he's gonna hit each year, lol. too many dirtbags knocks the team down a few percent? probably still comes out ahead of a few guys with less talent bumping chemistry.

I don't go for batters except for top 5 talent or for what is likely filler in mil. SP heavy... invest in an absolute killer CL, occasionally. I prefer to trade for mil batters. 3+ of my first 4-5 picks are SP. Everyone is always in need of pitching...and you need 5 too. if you can rotate quality ~3 SP from MiL during their 7 years club conrol, it saves a sh%tload of money.

just had to add about the generted hs and coll stats... pbbbbtt! more useless than Mil stats. even middling prospects dominate at those levels... a guy in my home state has every meaninful state record for HS but never made it to the ML. Invest big i ntht budget...you don'tneed much for an accurate ML (3-4m + good scout will do you)... spend more on amatuer and if you trade for prospects, MIL scouting too. skimp on international.

you'll notice a much reduced top of draft the more you invest... just getting more accurate with fewer false positives... still plenty of those.. but it is abosutely teh best info at your fingertips, quantitavely true i'd bet the house on it..

nymetsfan5 · 08-10-2021, 11:04 PM

Pay attention to age.
For example, an 18 y/o RHP with 20/50 OVR/POT control, it's reasonable that he'll make it to that level. A 22 y/o with the same stuff is less likely too reach that potential. I used control in this example but it can be any rating.

08-10-2021, 10:11 PM	#2
NoOne Banned Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 7,273 Infractions: 0/2 (4)	1) TALENT (potential... more sophisticated when assessing a batter or pitcher than just 1-sized 'potential rating') 2) ... other stuff. Try to look at tiers of talent relative to what is avilable... once ubiquitous, you can relly on those secondary traits. don't forego 5 much better rted players because some middling guy has a better work ethic... work ethic isn't going to change potential. when the ratings are much closer, then you can use those tidbits to push the scale one way or another, but i wouldn't cast too wide of a net in the first round, for example, and double for a top 5-10 pick. might only look at 2-3 players seriously, if drafting #1 even though you do your due diligence and look a bit more. same process with FA, swapping development concerns for aging concerns. you aren't signing a guy for his personality... you sign him for those 30-40hr he's gonna hit each year, lol. too many dirtbags knocks the team down a few percent? probably still comes out ahead of a few guys with less talent bumping chemistry. I don't go for batters except for top 5 talent or for what is likely filler in mil. SP heavy... invest in an absolute killer CL, occasionally. I prefer to trade for mil batters. 3+ of my first 4-5 picks are SP. Everyone is always in need of pitching...and you need 5 too. if you can rotate quality ~3 SP from MiL during their 7 years club conrol, it saves a sh%tload of money. just had to add about the generted hs and coll stats... pbbbbtt! more useless than Mil stats. even middling prospects dominate at those levels... a guy in my home state has every meaninful state record for HS but never made it to the ML. Invest big i ntht budget...you don'tneed much for an accurate ML (3-4m + good scout will do you)... spend more on amatuer and if you trade for prospects, MIL scouting too. skimp on international. you'll notice a much reduced top of draft the more you invest... just getting more accurate with fewer false positives... still plenty of those.. but it is abosutely teh best info at your fingertips, quantitavely true i'd bet the house on it.. Last edited by NoOne; 08-10-2021 at 10:21 PM.

08-10-2021, 04:11 PM	#1
Birdland24 Minors (Triple A) Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 283	Drafting strategy All I wanted to get some ideas on what you look for before the amateur draft? How much focus do you put on your scouts scouting reports? College and high school stats? Personality? Potential overall? I’m just trying to get some ideas because the draft has become boring because I don’t know what I’m looking and usually just let the scouting director make the suggestion and I go with it. But I think that takes the fun away from the draft? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

08-10-2021, 11:04 PM	#3
nymetsfan5 Minors (Double A) Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 117	Pay attention to age. For example, an 18 y/o RHP with 20/50 OVR/POT control, it's reasonable that he'll make it to that level. A 22 y/o with the same stuff is less likely too reach that potential. I used control in this example but it can be any rating.