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Old 04-22-2022, 10:52 PM   #1
BaseballNewsNow
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What's Up With The White Sox?

Very, very, very small sample size here and probably an overreaction but...the White Sox suck in this game. I've ran maybe 10 simulations and the White Sox have had a losing record in all but one of them. Needless to say, they have not made the playoffs once.

What's up with that? They are heavy favorites to win the AL Central.
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Old 04-22-2022, 10:59 PM   #2
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Could’ve just stopped typing after the dots
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Old 04-22-2022, 11:26 PM   #3
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I had the Orioles win the World Series... clearly the new simulation engine is broken beyond repair.
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Old 04-23-2022, 12:10 AM   #4
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what do their team stats look like? are they struggling offensively? defense?
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Old 04-24-2022, 06:43 PM   #5
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Very, very, very small sample size here and probably an overreaction but...the White Sox suck in this game. I've ran maybe 10 simulations and the White Sox have had a losing record in all but one of them. Needless to say, they have not made the playoffs once.

What's up with that? They are heavy favorites to win the AL Central.
Seems realistic to me
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Old 04-24-2022, 06:51 PM   #6
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i mean pretty good chance we see that irl this year...

i'd say 99.9% of threads that start like this are indeed an over reaction to sample sizes or you didnt dig into why they are losing (injuries, trades, underperformance, etc)
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Old 04-24-2022, 07:40 PM   #7
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Very, very, very small sample size here and probably an overreaction but...the White Sox suck in this game. I've ran maybe 10 simulations and the White Sox have had a losing record in all but one of them. Needless to say, they have not made the playoffs once.

What's up with that? They are heavy favorites to win the AL Central.

I wouldn’t read into it. Things happen. Too many variables.


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Old 04-24-2022, 08:07 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BaseballNewsNow View Post
Very, very, very small sample size here and probably an overreaction but...the White Sox suck in this game. I've ran maybe 10 simulations and the White Sox have had a losing record in all but one of them. Needless to say, they have not made the playoffs once.

What's up with that? They are heavy favorites to win the AL Central.
I wonder if it has to do with their defense. I haven't looked at them in OOTP 23, but I'm not sure, outside of Luis Robert, how strong they are up the middle.
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Old 04-24-2022, 09:55 PM   #9
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i mean pretty good chance we see that irl this year...

i'd say 99.9% of threads that start like this are indeed an over reaction to sample sizes or you didnt dig into why they are losing (injuries, trades, underperformance, etc)

Yeah same record they had same time last year to but managed to squeeze by with 93 wins. Same problem we that had last year injuries. Entire starting outfield of Eloy, Luis Robert, AL Pollack out . Starting 3rd base never played yet this year. Lance Lynn out another 2 months, Joe Kelly out.Keuchel, Velaquez are just terrible. Giolito came back today
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Old 04-24-2022, 10:02 PM   #10
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They are 6-9 to start the season, maybe OOTP will be right.
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Old 04-24-2022, 10:04 PM   #11
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Originally Posted by BaseballNewsNow View Post
Very, very, very small sample size here and probably an overreaction but...the White Sox suck in this game. I've ran maybe 10 simulations and the White Sox have had a losing record in all but one of them. Needless to say, they have not made the playoffs once.

What's up with that? They are heavy favorites to win the AL Central.
When you say "heavy favourites", do you mean "less than 50% chance"? Because that's what fangraphs has them as to win the Central.
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Old 04-24-2022, 10:06 PM   #12
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Very, very, very small sample size here and probably an overreaction but...the White Sox suck in this game. I've ran maybe 10 simulations and the White Sox have had a losing record in all but one of them. Needless to say, they have not made the playoffs once.

What's up with that? They are heavy favorites to win the AL Central.



Unless your team is stacked and let AI run tram you get better results. White Sox need to be hands on playing out every game because of si mnay injuries. I know bc they ob only team I play and manage
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Old 04-24-2022, 11:34 PM   #13
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When you say "heavy favourites", do you mean "less than 50% chance"? Because that's what fangraphs has them as to win the Central.
ZIPS gives them a 70.7% chance to win the division.
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Old 04-25-2022, 12:01 AM   #14
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I had the Orioles win the World Series... clearly the new simulation engine is broken beyond repair.

What’s your secret? I’m the O’s and I’m struggling to have a pitcher make it 5 innings. It’s almost like the game is to real


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Old 04-25-2022, 01:23 AM   #15
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White Sox just made it to the World Series in the 1st year of my save. Lost the series 4-2 to the cardinals.
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Old 04-25-2022, 04:46 AM   #16
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It's quiite a lottery. I started 4 games with the White Sox. In two of them they have a ~0.650 in May and the other two games they were last place in division with ~0.350.

Then sim'ed a whole season and they got last as well.

I have the feeling that the morale of the team has a high impact on the performance. If they are winning the first games, it goes easy in the upcoming games.
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Old 04-25-2022, 10:17 AM   #17
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Just like real life, in my game CWS are littered with injuries.
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Old 04-25-2022, 02:10 PM   #18
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I had the Orioles win the World Series... clearly the new simulation engine is broken beyond repair.
As a lifelong Oriole fan....something IS broken. LOL
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Old 04-25-2022, 03:00 PM   #19
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ZIPS gives them a 70.7% chance to win the division.
So there was always a pretty decent chance (~30%) that they don't win the division. If I had a nickel for every pre-season prediction that didn't pan out I'd be a wealthy man.

Anyhow, it is early but still, this happens.
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Old 04-25-2022, 03:26 PM   #20
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So there was always a pretty decent chance (~30%) that they don't win the division. If I had a nickel for every pre-season prediction that didn't pan out I'd be a wealthy man.

Anyhow, it is early but still, this happens.
Not sure where to see these ZIPS projections, but on fangraphs today they have a 47.2% chance of winning the division.
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