Update Altuve

[fcabanski]

Right now Altuve's in game ratings don't reflect what he's doing in 2016. I'm not just talking about hitting more HRs - that's a small sample size event.

I'm talking about his selectivity that's resulting in hitting more HRs.

"Over the past two years, Altuve went after nearly 52 percent of the pitches he saw. This year, that's down to 41 percent, and more importantly, his chase rate -- percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone -- has fallen from 38 percent to 25 percent. That's directly related to how Altuve's walk rate has nearly tripled (he has 22 walks in 179 plate appearances this year after 33 in 689 plate appearances last year), which is crucial for a fast player who routinely steals over 30 bases. But as we've learned avoiding contact at bad pitches is directly related to increased exit velocity, and few hitters have had a higher year-to-year exit velocity increase than Altuve, who has gone from an 86.1 mph exit velocity in 2015 to 90 mph this year."

http://m.astros.mlb.com/news/article...ower-potential

[Lukas Berger]

I'm just going to quote myself here:

Originally Posted by lukasberger

'It's just too early to start changing ratings for the most part. Especially for established guys like (Altuve). It's really, really unlikely he's actually improved this much at his age imo and the (selectivity) is clearly fluky high and may be unsustainable long term.

Anything's possible, I guess, but I'd definitely wait another month or two to see what happens in a larger sample.

We'll almost certainly try to release a semi-official Sept 1st update that will include some adjusted ratings for guys having great or bad years.'

[Padreman]

You can always adjust the ratings yourself if you don't like them

[Hammercraft]

Too small a sample. I remember the Brewers being super patient the first half of last year, taking pitches, etc. Then they fired Roenicke and it went back to normal.

[jbergey22]

And his very unsustainable 22.5% HR/FB ratio for a guy his size. I am glad each player that started out slow/fast this year isnt being tweaked.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/jose-...-power-hitter/

The article above has some valid reasons that he may get 20 home runs this year but the history of players his size hitting 20 home runs in a season isnt on his side.

[NoOne]

Originally Posted by fcabanski

Right now Altuve's in game ratings don't reflect what he's doing in 2016. I'm not just talking about hitting more HRs - that's a small sample size event.

I'm talking about his selectivity that's resulting in hitting more HRs.

"Over the past two years, Altuve went after nearly 52 percent of the pitches he saw. This year, that's down to 41 percent, and more importantly, his chase rate -- percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone -- has fallen from 38 percent to 25 percent. That's directly related to how Altuve's walk rate has nearly tripled (he has 22 walks in 179 plate appearances this year after 33 in 689 plate appearances last year), which is crucial for a fast player who routinely steals over 30 bases. But as we've learned avoiding contact at bad pitches is directly related to increased exit velocity, and few hitters have had a higher year-to-year exit velocity increase than Altuve, who has gone from an 86.1 mph exit velocity in 2015 to 90 mph this year."

Jose Altuve tapping into power potential | astros.com

if he keeps that up for a couple years, you can consider it a permanent change... until then we have no idea whether his small sample stats are accurate or not. don't worry, a video game will probably bump him after just 1 year or less, because he's a fan favorite. it's great to see they do show some restraint and may have some SOP for it...

I'm sure altuve will hit more HR/yr than he did his first few... that's fairly predictable of most young players. he's likely never going to be a 300+ HR guy. that's a total pipe-dream.

[da commish]

If we updated all the Twins players ratings for how they have done so far this year we would have all the great prospects like Buxton, Berrios, Sano, Murphy, etc. with 1 star overall and potential ratings. I certainly hope they are the victims of small sample size so far and not really like they have performed this year.

[andyhdz]

and....that's why I play fictional

[Padreman]

Originally Posted by andyhdz

and....that's why I play fictional

Exactly