OOTP's 1st 2015 MLB playoffs prediction: Yankees to beat Astros

BradC · 10-06-2015, 06:45 PM

Here's the first prediction piece. I'll be simming and writing about the rest of the playoffs along the way.

OOTP 16 Predicts New York Yankees to Top Houston Astros in AL Wild Card Game

NYYANKS98 · 10-06-2015, 07:06 PM

I certainly hope so, but I certainly have to say 5 simulations isn't much of a sample size to get any meaningful data. Also Chris Young is starting over Ellsbury and it doesn't seem to indicate who is DHing on the summaries. Good idea but I don't feel like it means much unless it's done at least a few hundred- one thousand times, which obviously would take awhile.

bwburke94 · 10-07-2015, 05:51 AM

0 for 1 so far.

Assos · 10-07-2015, 04:44 PM

Perhaps a larger sample size for tonight. And do not even run the LA-NYM series. Because the Mets will win every time and then it will go to their heads in real life and they will blow it!

BradC · 10-07-2015, 07:26 PM

Yes, a larger sample size would be better, but OOTP doesn't lend itself to that, unfortunately. If I sim the game 500 times in the Sim Module, for example, it will run through the starting rotation. Yes, I modified the rosters for the play-in games so each team only had one starter, with any other starters designated as emergency SPs, but I assume the game would just use whoever it could as starters if I simmed the game hundreds of times.

BradC · 10-07-2015, 07:31 PM

I just tried it and simmed Cubs-Pirates 500 times with the modified rosters. Arrieta started 167 times, Lester 149 times, etc., so that data is useless.

And as a one-person PR/marketing dept., I don't have the time to run the sim 500 times and manually compile the information.

10-06-2015, 06:45 PM	#1
BradC All Star Starter Join Date: Jan 2011 Location: northern CA Posts: 1,874	OOTP's 1st 2015 MLB playoffs prediction: Yankees to beat Astros Here's the first prediction piece. I'll be simming and writing about the rest of the playoffs along the way. OOTP 16 Predicts New York Yankees to Top Houston Astros in AL Wild Card Game

10-06-2015, 07:06 PM	#2
NYYANKS98 Minors (Double A) Join Date: Aug 2015 Posts: 128	I certainly hope so, but I certainly have to say 5 simulations isn't much of a sample size to get any meaningful data. Also Chris Young is starting over Ellsbury and it doesn't seem to indicate who is DHing on the summaries. Good idea but I don't feel like it means much unless it's done at least a few hundred- one thousand times, which obviously would take awhile.

10-07-2015, 05:51 AM	#3
bwburke94 Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: Belchertown, MA, USA Posts: 4,507	0 for 1 so far.

10-07-2015, 04:44 PM	#4
Assos All Star Starter Join Date: May 2004 Location: Just on the fair side of the foul pole! Posts: 1,772	Perhaps a larger sample size for tonight. And do not even run the LA-NYM series. Because the Mets will win every time and then it will go to their heads in real life and they will blow it!

10-07-2015, 07:26 PM	#5
BradC All Star Starter Join Date: Jan 2011 Location: northern CA Posts: 1,874	Yes, a larger sample size would be better, but OOTP doesn't lend itself to that, unfortunately. If I sim the game 500 times in the Sim Module, for example, it will run through the starting rotation. Yes, I modified the rosters for the play-in games so each team only had one starter, with any other starters designated as emergency SPs, but I assume the game would just use whoever it could as starters if I simmed the game hundreds of times.

10-07-2015, 07:31 PM	#6
BradC All Star Starter Join Date: Jan 2011 Location: northern CA Posts: 1,874	I just tried it and simmed Cubs-Pirates 500 times with the modified rosters. Arrieta started 167 times, Lester 149 times, etc., so that data is useless. And as a one-person PR/marketing dept., I don't have the time to run the sim 500 times and manually compile the information.