Very hot...and then very cold....

[TheDROCK]

I have a player on my team who always starts the season hot. For April and May, the other team can't get him out. But as soon as the summer months begin, his average just tumbles.

This has been happening to him over the past four seasons. Does anyone know if this is built into the game or is it just a coincidence?

[htmlasp]

To be honest I kind of hope its a hidden type of thing built into the game, seeing as how it mimics how real life players have months where they are traditionally hot / cold without any reasonable explanation.

But, I have no idea.

[DCG12]

I suspect there is some modifier in the game that creates things like this because I have an all-star first baseman who has been on my team for 8 years and every year he hits under .200 in April and the beginning of May. Then he heats up and by the end of the year he is at his usual .310-40-120 totals.

[reds1869]

I'd like to believe this is built into the game. Some players (Mat Latos comes to mind) tend to have particularly hot and cold months that remain similar over the years.

[cblacker]

Originally Posted by TheDROCK

I have a player on my team who always starts the season hot. For April and May, the other team can't get him out. But as soon as the summer months begin, his average just tumbles.

This has been happening to him over the past four seasons. Does anyone know if this is built into the game or is it just a coincidence?

Bizarro Mark Teixera?

[CBL-Commish]

Originally Posted by DCG12

I suspect there is some modifier in the game that creates things like this because I have an all-star first baseman who has been on my team for 8 years and every year he hits under .200 in April and the beginning of May. Then he heats up and by the end of the year he is at his usual .310-40-120 totals.

I'd assume that it's just random. The number of players/seasons/years/league in all the OOTP leagues in the world has to be close to the point where everything that could happen has.

[GMLoophole]

I recall a conversation like this last year, but not the conclusions. I still don't know which comes first, the chicken or the egg. Does the "hot streak" or "cold streak" get slapped on by the game after a few bad games, or is there an internal trigger as you all are speculating?

I've always thought it's just a tag the game applies where a player is hitting well or poorly, and that it doesn't appear once the player gets a couple of hits. I have noticed that sending a guy to the minors doesn't seem to change it no matter how well or poorly the player performs in the minor league assignment.

[turkeybird86]

It's called the Jay Bruce coefficient. Be great for a month, then be horrible for a month.

[Leo_The_Lip]

Originally Posted by GMLoophole

I recall a conversation like this last year, but not the conclusions. I still don't know which comes first, the chicken or the egg. Does the "hot streak" or "cold streak" get slapped on by the game after a few bad games, or is there an internal trigger as you all are speculating?

I've always thought it's just a tag the game applies where a player is hitting well or poorly, and that it doesn't appear once the player gets a couple of hits. I have noticed that sending a guy to the minors doesn't seem to change it no matter how well or poorly the player performs in the minor league assignment.

Yep, it is a statistical marker that a player 'earns' after a poor stretch or a good one. That is why sending a player to the minors and then bringing him back does nothing to dispel the marker.

The hot\cold markers explain what has happened in the past few games, they don't predict what will happen in the next few games.

[DCG12]

Originally Posted by CBL-Commish

I'd assume that it's just random. The number of players/seasons/years/league in all the OOTP leagues in the world has to be close to the point where everything that could happen has.

I think we are going to have to disagree on this one. If it was random than at least once or twice this particular player would start the year red hot which hasn't happened in 8 seasons. He is my #3 hitter and I have tried everything to get a hot start, moving him in the lineup, sitting him out a game or two etc. with no luck.

I have had other players over the years who go hot or cold at the start of the season and are predictable enough to catch my attention. I do play all my games so I do tend to notice how players are doing.

We'll never know for sure unless Markus decides to share which I doubt.

[CBL-Commish]

Originally Posted by DCG12

I think we are going to have to disagree on this one. If it was random than at least once or twice this particular player would start the year red hot which hasn't happened in 8 seasons. He is my #3 hitter and I have tried everything to get a hot start, moving him in the lineup, sitting him out a game or two etc. with no luck.

I have had other players over the years who go hot or cold at the start of the season and are predictable enough to catch my attention. I do play all my games so I do tend to notice how players are doing.

We'll never know for sure unless Markus decides to share which I doubt.

That's not how random works. If you flip a coin 10,000 times there will be a lot of times where the same pattern happens in eight straight trials. It's entirely possible that there's no hot/cold coding, it's 100% random, and you have a player who is always cold early in the year.