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Old 11-08-2019, 06:36 PM   #7
BirdWatcher
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Quote:
Originally Posted by actionjackson View Post
I agree with you wholeheartedly. However, it is very possible for that kind of drop in WAR to happen with recalc off, and development on if indeed this is a historical game, which I believe it is for reasons stated above. Recalc off/Development on = Anything is possible. As for -0.2 WAR with a 158 OPS+, that is bizarre, and I am skeptical too. What if recalc off/development on resulted in his defensive rating at 2B absolutely cratering? If there was a huge hit there, it would lead to absolutely horrific defensive stats because of the position involved. -0.2 WAR is crazy for that quality of offense though. Need more information on settings and defensive numbers for sure.
Yeah, I see what you are saying. I just wonder how truly atrocious someone's fielding would have to be though to counteract such solid hitting numbers (both raw numbers and clearly by OPS+ in terms of how they compare to league numbers.) This is just speculation but based upon his 40 doubles and 4 triples (not a high number but not zero and pretty in line with hit totals from at least a few of the preceding seasons) and even his 15 stolen bases (yes, he was also caught 10 times) it doesn't feel like he had some sort of falling off a cliff decline in pure speed. And therefore, I suspect he likely didn't have a falling off a cliff decline in defensive range either. Did he suddenly forget how to turn a double play and did he simultaneously start making errors by the bucket-full? Maybe. But it seems a stretch to me. Was his base running also just so catastrophically bad as to put him in negative WAR range? Seems like a lot of unlikely ifs and buts.
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