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Old 03-18-2019, 03:51 PM   #24
DawnBTVS
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: USA
Posts: 416
Quote:
Originally Posted by losbravos View Post
But that's my point,

Soto last year : .292/.406/.517 146 wRC+
Acuna last year (only 10.5 months older): .293/.366/.522 143 wRC+
Could the ratings differences be partly due to ballpark as well regarding ZIPS?

SunTrust Park had a 0.802 HR Factor compared to Nationals Park being 1.173 according to ESPN.

Tie those to the fact that Soto had more BB and fewer K (89 vs. 99 including IBB) compared to Acuna's 53 vs. 123 (including HBP/IBB) and maybe there's an argument to be made that ZIPS believes Soto has a better skill set to put up a similar season as last year in comparison to Acuna who may be more reliant on a high BA to sustain a similar OPS total.

Worth noting that Soto only hit 6 HR at home, which seems like it is low for such a HR favorable park, but better overall whereas Acuna hit better on the road but with similar power totals (IIRC 14 HR against 12 on the road).

I don't have a real dog in the fight but if you told me to project who would have the better season, I'd put my $$ towards Soto largely due to his plate discipline and home ballpark.
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