Odds are good.
It actually is determined by his exact ML service time. This screen is not perfectly accurate because you can demote him to the minors, then he stops accruing service and his arbitration is changed.
You need to go to the player profile->contract tab and look at his ML service days.
If you do not understand ML service, service days, arbitration and pro years to free agency you can google them. Once you deal with it a few times it is simple but at first it can be difficult to understand.
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