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jarmenia · 08-16-2017, 08:56 AM

I realize only Markus knows for sure, but I'd like to get a feel for what the community at large thinks....

I vaguely remember reading several years ago a study that said something like "there's no such thing as a streaky hitter, just a hitter having a bad run of luck". While that may be true is some instances, in real life we do see guys getting sent down to the minors to "work on their swing" or "find their mechanics again".

I've often thought about this in the context of a single game and a pitcher as well. Sometimes pitchers do have bad luck, but sometimes they do let their arm slot drop, or got a bad nights sleep. If OOTP models changes in performance purely randomly, then there's never a reason to pull a pitcher out "because he just doesn't have his good stuff today" and you are always better having the player in the game with the better ratings.

Anyone have any theories or insight into how OOTP models these things?

08-16-2017, 08:56 AM	#1
jarmenia Hall Of Famer Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Tampa, FL USA Posts: 4,503	How does OOTP model streaky players I realize only Markus knows for sure, but I'd like to get a feel for what the community at large thinks.... I vaguely remember reading several years ago a study that said something like "there's no such thing as a streaky hitter, just a hitter having a bad run of luck". While that may be true is some instances, in real life we do see guys getting sent down to the minors to "work on their swing" or "find their mechanics again". I've often thought about this in the context of a single game and a pitcher as well. Sometimes pitchers do have bad luck, but sometimes they do let their arm slot drop, or got a bad nights sleep. If OOTP models changes in performance purely randomly, then there's never a reason to pull a pitcher out "because he just doesn't have his good stuff today" and you are always better having the player in the game with the better ratings. Anyone have any theories or insight into how OOTP models these things? __________________ When is good enough, good enough?