How very current!
Like I say, I appreciate it’s no guarantee of success, but I regularly see games where an opponent with a tactical deficit—such as SJS above—wins, and games where the advantage is minimal-to-non-existent ending up high scoring such as 7-1, 6-2 etc.
I appreciate breakdowns, bad goals, and freak results happen but they tend to be the exception rather than the rule. I’m finding more and more that the TA really doesn’t give you any legitimate indication of how a game will pan out, and therefore I’m questioning whether it’s really worth spending the time pre-game, each game setting the countering roles.