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Old 01-08-2020, 02:54 PM   #10
Dyzalot
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Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,735
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomVeal View Post
What this experiment shows is that, when scouting accuracy is set to 100 percent, all scouts agree with the POT OSA ratings. It doesn't show that the OSA ratings are an accurate prediction of future performance.

An experiment that would be meaningful is this: Select a large number of draft-eligible players. Sort them by the difference between their OSA ratings and the ratings given by a scout with a "Legendary" rating for scouting amateurs. Simulate 20 years, compare the careers of the selected players, and determine from that whose Potential ratings were more on-target.
Shouldn't you just be able to compare OSA ratings as shown when using scouting inaccuracy to those shown when using perfect scouting? Why go through all the trouble of simming?
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