Thread: Pack Odds
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Old 02-11-2019, 08:05 AM   #5
km352
Minors (Rookie Ball)
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 22
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2002halos View Post
Bronze should average exactly 2 per pack (since you get one automatically and the other 5 cards have a one in five chance of being bronze...
It's possible that "getting one automatically" is what's happening, but it's written as "one Bronze card guaranteed" which makes the calculation more complex. The simplest algorithm for implementing the guarantee would be to distribute the first five cards and if no bronzes had been received give them a bronze as the sixth card. Or, if the guarantee is actually "one card that's at least a bronze", randomize the sixth card and upgrade it to bronze if it's an "iron" and cards 1-5 were all iron.

edit: never mind, I now realize that the simplest interpretation of "one bronze card guaranteed" works out the same as "getting one automatically". It would only be different if you interpret the guarantee as "one card that's at least a bronze".

Last edited by km352; 02-11-2019 at 08:09 AM. Reason: reconsidered the situation
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