There are two possibilities:
- your scout is right. If you generate the BA prospect list 'annually', it's possible that the no. 1 overall prospect has lost potential since Opening Day. Maybe your scout has noticed that;
- your scout is wrong. Especially if it's a new league (in its first season), your scouting reports might be quite inaccurate; they get better the more chances your scout has to see a player. Or maybe your scout isn't very good, or you aren't spending enough on scouting to get good reports.
So it depends a lot on your settings. But of course the kind of uncertainty you're seeing here is what makes the game interesting!
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