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Old 05-14-2019, 09:24 PM   #106
Mat
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Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Australia
Posts: 651
Quote:
Originally Posted by Findest2001 View Post
In Moneyball, Michael Lewis references several mathematicians, whose names I do not remember, who calculated that the worst a team could ever perform would be a 47-115 (IIRC, I read it last month for the fourth time) season in the current, 162-game, landscape of MLB. Again, IIRC, that's even the baseline for where WAR calculations start. Again, I'm still relatively new to analytics, but that was my understanding as he wrote it. And that win percentage of the 47-115 team is .290. That's more than 5x better than my team currently performs in played games
This 'worst a team could ever perform' is not a hard barrier that you can not physically go beyond. Ask the 2003 Detroit Tigers. There will always be outliers.
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