View Single Post
Old 10-05-2012, 07:08 AM   #26
VanillaGorilla
All Star Starter
 
VanillaGorilla's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 1,371
Blog Entries: 2
Charting the Hall

I made a quick chart plotting the composite numbers of the Hall inductees.

A composite number of 4 is approximately that of the average current day HOFer.

The X axis is simply the order of induction, so this chart shows the numerical trend of entrants over time.

In this Hall, the current average score is about 6. What we should continue to see is a downward trend in entrants scores punctuated by high scoring outliers. These outliers will be players getting in on the 'first ballot' standard, generally.

The top scorer is the first entrant, Tris Speaker. The bottom scorer is Hans Lobert. After Lobert we see Walter Johnson near an 8, and Eddie Collins near a 10. The Current Standard Deviation of the entrants is about 2.4.

In 1951, there will be 2 hitters entered. Though I haven't tabulated his numbers yet, I am thinking I will have one enter on the first ballot standard, and maybe a second (both RL HOFers). Even if 2 first balloters enter, they will be just 2 numbers out of 48 and the standards won't raise significantly. I expect this chart to show declining positioning of plots on the Y and the average composite near 4 when 2012 arrives.
Attached Images
Image 

Last edited by VanillaGorilla; 10-05-2012 at 07:23 AM.
VanillaGorilla is offline   Reply With Quote