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Old 03-20-2015, 12:13 PM   #51
injury log
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Join Date: Apr 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gai1997 View Post
7) RP Andrew Miller only threw 2.8 BB/9 last year, certainly should be better than 45 control unless the league average was 2 BB/9 which I doubt.
In his career, Miller has walked almost 5 per 9 IP.

Big league player ratings come from PECOTA, which looks over similar player performances in big league history, and assumes current players will develop in the same way as players have in the past. So assuming the roster set has correctly imported the PECOTA projection (I don't have that in front of me), I have to guess that similar relievers in the past who have had an amazing improvement in BB rate have regressed in the following year.
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